Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, domestic commodities continued to rebound, with most industrial products rising and agricultural products soaring. The main reasons were the large - scale conflict between Israel and Iran, the improvement of the Sino - US framework agreement, the resilience of the Chinese economy, and the lower - than - expected US inflation boosting the interest - rate cut expectation, which improved market risk appetite [3]. - Multiple factors may cause the commodity market to continue to rebound in the short term, including the Sino - US framework agreement, the improvement of the US economic outlook and the decline of inflation expectations, and the deterioration of the Middle - East situation [3]. 3. Summary of Each Section Overseas Situation Analysis - **Sino - US London Consultation Reached a Principle Agreement**: From June 9 - 10, the first meeting of the Sino - US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London. The two sides reached a principle agreement on implementing the consensus of the heads - of - state call and consolidating the results of the Geneva economic and trade talks. China's exports may still have a window period for "rush exports" before July, but the export growth rate may decline in the second half of the year [6][7]. - **US: May CPI Lower than Market Expectations**: In May, the overall CPI in the US rose 2.4% year - on - year and 0.1% month - on - month; the core CPI was flat at 2.8% year - on - year and rose only 0.1% month - on - month, for the fourth consecutive month lower than expected. After the data was released, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates before September jumped to 75%, and the annual interest - rate cut expectation remained at about 45 basis points. It is believed that the probability of a soft landing of the US economy in recent years is still large, and the Fed may cut interest rates in the fourth quarter [10]. - **US: Confidence Index Rebounded and Inflation Expectation Declined**: In June, the preliminary value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index was 60.5, a month - on - month increase of 15.9%. The 1 - year inflation expectation dropped to 5.1% from 6.6%, and the 5 - year inflation expectation slightly decreased to 4.1% from 4.2%. The suspension of tariffs and the decline of inflation expectations drove the confidence to rebound, but there are still concerns in the future [13]. - **Middle - East Situation Escalated**: On the early morning of June 13, Israel launched an attack on Iran. Iran launched a series of retaliatory actions. The global economy was shaken, with the Brent crude oil price soaring 8% to $94 per barrel, the global stock markets falling generally, and the gold price breaking through $3400 per ounce [16]. Domestic Situation Analysis - **Financial Data: Mixed Results**: In June, the new social financing was 228.94 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 8.7%. The new RMB loans were 620 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.1%. M2 increased 7.9% year - on - year, and M1 increased 2.3%. Overall, the government sector was still the main force of entity - sector financing. The central bank's actions to guide monetary easing and the expectation of restarting treasury bond trading may bring a favorable environment to the capital market [21]. - **Foreign Trade Data Interpretation: Exports Maintained Short - term Resilience**: In May, exports increased 4.8% year - on - year, and imports decreased 3.4% year - on - year. The decline in exports was affected by the weakening of "rush exports" and the high base, and the decline in imports was dragged down by the decline in commodity imports. In the short term, exports are expected to maintain a certain resilience, but there will be pressure in the second half of the year [24]. - **Policy Tracking**: The release of the "Opinions on Further Ensuring and Improving People's Livelihood" may bring development opportunities to multiple fields such as consumption and elderly care. The acceleration of the "one - old - and - one - young" policy may bring development opportunities to multiple industries, including the maternal and infant consumption, elderly care service, and related equipment industries [25]. High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Production End: Industrial Production was Generally Stable**: In the chemical industry, the production load remained stable, and product prices declined. In the steel industry, production declined slightly, and demand slowed down [34]. - **Demand End: Real - Estate Sales Increased Week - on - Week and Passenger - Car Retail Sales Increased Year - on - Year**: As of June 12, the commercial housing transaction area of 30 large and medium - sized cities increased 43.96% week - on - week. In the first week of June, the average daily retail sales of the national passenger - car market were 43,000 units, a year - on - year increase of 19% [41]. - **Price Trends**: As of June 13, most food prices fell this week. The average vegetable price decreased 0.05% month - on - month, the average pork price decreased 1.48% month - on - month, the agricultural product wholesale price 200 index decreased 0.25% month - on - month, and the fruit price decreased 2.01% month - on - month [42].

Group 1 - The article discusses the upcoming Tokyo Metropolitan Assembly election on June 22, which is seen as a precursor to the national Diet's House of Councillors election in July [2][4] - Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is under scrutiny as it seeks to maintain its seats in the assembly, with recent polls showing a rise in Ishiba's approval ratings [4][5] - The election features a record number of candidates, with approximately 300 participants, surpassing the previous high of 271 candidates in 2021 [4] Group 2 - Key issues in the election include rising prices, the political scandal involving the LDP, and the government's response to aging and declining birth rates [5] - Ishiba has pledged to increase nominal GDP to 1,000 trillion yen by 2040 and aims for a 50% increase in average wages, which requires an annual growth rate of approximately 2.74% [7] - The government is also considering cash handouts to citizens to alleviate the impact of rising prices, particularly in response to soaring rice prices [8] Group 3 - The article highlights the challenges posed by U.S. tariffs on Japanese exports, particularly in the manufacturing sector, which has seen a decline in business confidence [9] - The confidence index for large enterprises has dropped to negative territory, with significant declines in the steel and automotive industries due to U.S. trade policies [9]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The supply and demand of rebar remain weak, with supply contraction leading to inventory reduction, but demand is also weak, and the fundamentals have not improved. Steel prices continue to face pressure, and it is expected that rebar will continue to fluctuate at a low level during the off - season. Pay attention to the production changes of construction steel mills [2] Summary by Related Catalogs Supply - The weekly output of rebar decreased by 108,900 tons compared with the previous week, and the supply continued to contract and reached the lowest level of the year. However, due to the good profit per ton of the variety, the sustainability of production reduction is questionable [1][2] Demand - The weekly apparent demand of rebar decreased by 124,000 tons compared with the previous week, and the high - frequency daily transactions were lower than the normal level. Both were at the lowest level in recent years. The weak demand pattern remained unchanged, which was likely to suppress steel prices [2] Inventory - Supply contraction led to inventory reduction. The total inventory decreased by 124,000 tons compared with the previous week, the in - plant inventory decreased by 19,700 tons, and the social inventory decreased by 104,300 tons. The relatively positive factor was the low inventory level, and the real - end contradiction was not significant [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Shagang Co., Ltd. has announced its 2024 annual profit distribution plan, which includes a cash dividend of 0.25 RMB per 10 shares, totaling approximately 54.85 million RMB to be distributed to shareholders [1][4]. Summary by Sections Shareholder Meeting Approval - The profit distribution plan was approved at the 2024 annual shareholder meeting held on April 30, 2025, with a total share capital of 2,193,825,445 shares as the basis for the distribution [1][3]. Profit Distribution Details - The cash dividend of 0.25 RMB per 10 shares (before tax) will be distributed, amounting to a total of 54,845,636.13 RMB. There will be no stock dividends or capital reserve transfers [1][4]. - For specific categories of shareholders, different tax rates will apply, with a net dividend of 0.225 RMB per 10 shares for certain foreign investors [4]. Key Dates - The record date for the distribution is set for June 17, 2025, and the ex-dividend date is June 18, 2025 [4][5]. Distribution Method - The cash dividends will be directly credited to the accounts of A-share shareholders through their respective securities companies on the ex-dividend date [5][6].

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In May, the CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, consistent with the previous month, resulting in a cumulative decline of 0.1% from January to May[1][4] - The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, remained below 1.0%, indicating a weak domestic price level primarily due to insufficient consumer demand[2][4] - The decline in CPI was influenced by a 6.1% year-on-year drop in energy prices, which contributed approximately 0.47 percentage points to the overall CPI decrease[5][4] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The PPI fell by 3.3% year-on-year in May, with the decline accelerating by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month, reflecting weakened pricing momentum and increased drag from base effects[2][9] - Month-on-month, the PPI decreased by 0.4%, maintaining the same decline rate as the previous two months[2][9] - Key sectors such as coal, steel, and cement experienced price declines due to weak domestic demand and ample supply, contributing to the overall PPI decrease[8][10] Group 3: Future Outlook - CPI is expected to hover around 0% in June, while the PPI year-on-year decline is projected to remain at approximately -3.3%[3][12] - The government aims to implement macroeconomic policies to promote reasonable price recovery in the second half of the year, which may include fiscal measures to boost consumption and further interest rate cuts by the central bank[3][12] - The impact of external economic fluctuations on consumer confidence and potential downward pressure from "export to domestic" shifts will be critical to monitor[7][12]

从"要我减排"到"我要减排"，本届碳博会上琳琅满目的绿色技术和低碳产品，展现了中国企业对"双 碳"的认知共识：这道"必答题"也是"加分项"，既是应对全球气候挑战的责任担当，更是抢占绿色产业 先机、重构竞争优势的战略抉择。 2025上海国际碳中和技术、产品与成果博览会日前在沪举办。探访其中，记者发现，越来越多的中国企 业已将"双碳"这一"必答题"视为争优的"加分项"。企业在"被动合规"之外，更多了些"主动谋势"，通过 搭建绿色"护城河"，为未来竞争抢占先机。 "双碳"蓝海之下，一些传统企业也在转型过程中锚定增长新坐标。 河钢集团河钢数字旗下的盈碳科技在本届碳博会上展示了自主研发的碳中和数字化平台。3年来，该平 台累计服务超200家工业企业。公司起源于河钢集团内部低碳转型。2023年起，盈碳科技开始面向市场 独立运行。尤其是2025年钢铁行业纳入全国碳排放权交易市场体系后，越来越多的企业有了需求。 申能集团把上海10万吨级绿色甲醇项目等沙盘模型带到了碳博会现场。据工作人员介绍，绿色甲醇被视 为最重要的绿色替代燃料之一，上海港是世界上吞吐量最大的集装箱港口，绿色甲醇加注需求量预计将 达40万—50万吨/年。打造与上 ...

以"走向碳中和之路"为主题的2025上海国际碳中和技术、产品与成果博览会（以下简称"碳博 会"）6月7日闭幕。 本届碳博会，300余家企业在4万平方米的空间里汇成一片"绿色海洋"。探访其中，记者发现，越来越多的中国 企业已将"双碳"这一"必答题"视为争优的"加分题"。距离"碳达峰"目标还有5年，企业在"被动合规"之外，更多 了些"主动谋势"，通过搭建"绿色护城河"，为未来竞争抢占先机。 而盈碳科技的起源，便是河钢集团内部的低碳转型。2023年起，盈碳科技开始面向市场独立运行，并将碳中和 数字化平台与人工智能等新兴技术融合。"尤其是2025年钢铁行业纳入全国碳排放权交易市场体系后，越来越 多企业有了这些需求。"盈碳科技相关负责人说。 当下，全球正投身绿色转型浪潮中。中国企业的国际化发展迎来以ESG为核心的新机遇。通过主动对接国际 ESG标准，中企不仅能突破绿色贸易壁垒，更能从政策、标准和技术等维度，将可持续发展理念转化为持久的 市场竞争优势。 安永大中华区可持续发展报告与鉴证服务主管合伙人刘国华告诉证券时报记者，当前国际ESG监管日趋严格， 领先企业普遍建立了政策动态跟踪机制，将ESG合规纳入战略规划，并通过参 ...

Group 1 - The UK Trade Remedies Authority has initiated an anti-dumping investigation into hot-rolled steel plates imported from South Korea [1]

Group 1 - The core focus of the recent research conducted by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) is on enhancing product and service value, resource integration, and promoting high-end industrial development [1][2] - "Focusing on core responsibilities and main businesses" is a recurring theme, emphasizing the need for companies to concentrate resources and efforts on their primary sectors to achieve sustainable and high-value growth [2][3] - The term "integration" has been frequently mentioned, indicating a strategic move to consolidate resources towards main businesses and emerging industries, enhancing core competitiveness [3][4] Group 2 - Key core technologies, including automotive-grade chips and machine tool technologies, are highlighted as critical areas of focus for state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to strengthen their competitive edge [4][5] - Companies are encouraged to foster collaboration with research institutions and industry partners to accelerate technological advancements and optimize product structures [4] - The emphasis on high-end, intelligent, and green development is aimed at transforming traditional industries and enhancing overall efficiency [4][5]

欧盟委员会副主席谢夫乔维奇：美国对钢铁加征50%的关税令人惊讶。 ...