Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview 1. Baijiu Industry - The baijiu industry is experiencing cautious expectations for sales during the Spring Festival, with a decrease in the willingness of distributors to collect payments. However, Moutai shows strong demand resilience, with its price rebounding. The misalignment of the Spring Festival holiday is expected to benefit Q1 2026, and policies to stimulate domestic demand may be implemented, leading to increased dividend yields for leading companies and maintaining strong profitability [1][3][5]. 2. Paper Industry - The profitability in the paper industry is shifting towards upstream sectors due to high pulp prices and weak downstream consumption, resulting in narrowed profits for midstream operations. It is anticipated that wood chip and pulp prices will continue to rise in Q1, driving up paper prices. Companies with their own pulp production capacity are expected to see sustained profitability [1][7][8]. 3. Forestry Carbon Sink - China is actively promoting forestry carbon sinks as part of its national climate strategy. Companies capable of developing forestry carbon sinks and possessing forestry resources are worth attention, as the cost-effectiveness of forestry carbon sinks is the highest [1][9]. 4. New Consumption Sector - Leading companies in the new consumption sector, such as Laopu Gold, are currently undervalued with strong performance expectations. The rise in gold prices and discount promotions are driving sales growth. Laopu Gold significantly raised prices in the second half of last year, and substantial growth is expected this year [1][10][11]. 5. Home Appliance Industry - The home appliance industry is showing signs of bottoming out, with expectations for a reversal post-Spring Festival. The implementation of trade-in subsidies is expected to improve retail performance. TCL Electronics is integrating Sony's TV business, opening up profitability potential, and is currently undervalued [1][17][19]. Company-Specific Insights 1. Moutai and Other Baijiu Brands - Moutai is recommended as a key investment due to its undeniable competitiveness. Other notable brands include Luzhou Laojiao, Gujing Gongjiu, and Shanxi Fenjiu, which have significant advantages in competitiveness and operational capabilities, with opportunities to increase market share [1][6]. 2. Paper Companies - Recommended paper companies include Nine Dragons Paper, Sun Paper, and Yueyang Forest Paper, which are expected to see continuous profit improvements due to their upstream integration [1][7][8]. 3. New Consumption Leaders - Key investment opportunities in the new consumption sector include Laopu Gold, which is expected to achieve a performance of 7 to 8 billion yuan in 2026, corresponding to a P/E ratio of about 16 times, reflecting a 50% growth compared to 2025 [1][11][12]. 4. Gold and Jewelry Sector - The gold and jewelry sector is entering a bull market, with companies like Taibai Gang showing significant profit growth and low P/E ratios, indicating substantial potential. The sector is expected to benefit from promotional activities during Valentine's Day and the Spring Festival [1][13]. 5. Livestock and Meat Industry - The livestock sector, particularly beef and pork, is facing supply pressures, with pig prices in a downward cycle. However, the beef market is expected to see price support due to tight supply conditions [1][20][21][23][22]. 6. Pharmaceutical Manufacturing - The CRO, raw materials, and intermediates sectors in pharmaceutical manufacturing are poised for growth in 2026, driven by changes in supply and demand dynamics. Companies like WuXi AppTec and Junshi Biosciences are highlighted as key players in this space [1][24][25]. Additional Insights - The overall sentiment in the market indicates a cautious but optimistic outlook for various sectors, with specific companies showing strong potential for growth and profitability amidst changing market conditions [1][2][4][10][18].

商 品 研 究 | | | 表 1：基本面数据 2026 年 01 月 30 日 纸浆：宽幅震荡 20260130 | 项目 | | 项目名称 | 昨日数据 | 前日数据 | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 纸浆主力 | 日盘收盘价(元/吨) | 5. 388 | 5. 374 | +14 | | | | 夜盘收盘价(元/吨) | 5.416 | 5, 358 | +58 | | | | 成交量(手) | 215. 374 | 273.090 | -57.716 | | 期货市场 | (05合约) | 持仓量 (手) | 263. 863 | 264.092 | -229 | | | | 仓单数量(吨) | 141, 442 | 140. 494 | +948 | | | | 前20名会员净持仓(手) | -24.693 | -21.293 | -3. 400 | | 价差数据 | 基差 | 银星-期货主力 | -8 | 6 | -14 | | | | 金鱼-期货主力(非标) | -788 | -774 | -14 | | | 月差 | SP0 ...

Group 1 - The appreciation of the RMB is beneficial for the company's procurement cost optimization, particularly for imported raw materials and equipment, primarily settled in USD [1] - Since November 2025, the RMB has accelerated its appreciation, with the USD to RMB exchange rate at approximately 6.95 as of January 28, 2026, which may lower foreign trade procurement costs and enhance profitability [1] - The company has established a "forest-pulp-paper integration" industry system, enhancing its core competitiveness through strategic positioning and resource diversification across three major industrial bases in Shandong, Guangxi, and Laos [1] Group 2 - The company is one of the few listed firms in China achieving "forest-pulp-paper integration" and full category coverage, continuously gaining sustainable cost advantages through structured cost reduction [2] - Recent significant increases in gold prices and expectations of rising prices for certain commodities contrast with the relatively low pulp prices since 2025, indicating potential upward trends in pulp and white paper prices as macroeconomic stability and consumption policies take effect [2] - The anticipated rise in pulp prices is expected to improve corporate profitability, increase operating rates, and optimize gross margins [3] Group 3 - The company is adjusting its profit forecasts while maintaining a "buy" rating, expecting net profits for 2025-2027 to be 3.37 billion, 3.83 billion, and 4.50 billion RMB respectively [4] - The company continues to optimize its business structure and focuses on differentiated, high-end product development while implementing a "forest-pulp-paper integration" strategy to ensure sustainable development [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report maintains a "Buy" rating for Nine Dragons Paper Holdings Limited (02689), with projected EPS for FY2026-2028 at 0.85, 0.94, and 1.03 CNY, respectively, and a target price of 23.1 HKD based on a 25x PE for FY2026 [1] - For FY26H1, the company is expected to report a profit of 19.5-20.5 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 315.2%-336.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.3%-58.0%, driven by increased sales volume and prices, along with reduced raw material costs [1] - The main profit contribution is expected to come from pulp, with significant growth attributed to the increase in product sales and pricing [1] Group 2 - Incremental profit contributions are primarily from the integrated pulp and paper production capacity at the Hubei and Beihai bases, with new capacities coming online in FY25H1 and FY25H2 [2] - The Beihai base has 1.1 million tons of chemical pulp and 600,000 tons of mechanical pulp expected to be operational, while Hubei will add 650,000 tons of chemical pulp and 700,000 tons of mechanical pulp, along with additional paper products [2] Group 3 - For FY26H2, the outlook suggests that hardwood pulp prices are likely to rise further and maintain high levels, while cultural and white card paper prices are at historical lows, indicating potential for price recovery [3] - The profitability of the integrated pulp and paper production capacity is highlighted as a key outperforming factor, with additional capacity expected to come online in FY26H2 and FY27, alongside improvements in corrugated paper profitability [3]

【隔夜行情】 •周四（2026年1月29日），A股市场三大指数涨跌不一，截至收盘，沪指报4157.98点，涨0.16%；深证 成指报14300.08点，跌0.3%；创业板指报3304.51点，跌0.57%。总体来看，个股跌多涨少，下跌个股超 3500只。沪深两市全天成交额3.23万亿元，较上个交易日放量2600亿元。 【中国银行：调整白银延期合约业务参数 保证金比例由48.26%调整为50.80%】1月29日，为保护投资者 权益，防范市场风险，根据上海黄金交易所（简称"上金所"）发布的《关于调整白银延期合约保证金水 平和涨跌停板的通知》，中国银行将对代理个人上金所业务项下白银延期合约的交易保证金比例、涨跌 幅度限制进行相应调整。具体如下：自2026年1月30日（星期五）收盘清算时起，上金所白银延期合约 保证金比例从19%调整为20%，中国银行白银延期合约客户保证金比例由48.26%调整为50.80%，上金所 下一交易日（1月30日20:00）起涨跌幅度限制从18%调整为19%。请您做好风险防范工作，提高风险意 识，合理控制仓位，理性投资。 新股申购： 电科蓝天，科创板证券代码688818，发行价格9.47元/ ...

Group 1: New Stock Subscription - Two new stocks are available for subscription on January 30: Electric Science Blue Sky (688818) and Linping Development (732284) [1][5] Group 2: Electric Science Blue Sky (688818) - The issue price is 9.47 yuan with a total market value of 14.8 billion yuan [2] - The issuance price-to-earnings ratio is 56.79, compared to industry peers such as Tian'ao Electronics at 46 and Aerospace Electronics at 32 [2] - The main business composition includes special power supplies (5.18%) and new energy applications and services (20.69%) [2] - The company is a leading player in the aerospace power supply sector, backed by China Electronics Technology Group [2] - The company aims to enhance energy conversion efficiency, currently at 34.4% [2] - Projected revenue for the aerospace power supply sector is expected to exceed 7 billion yuan by the first half of 2025 [2][3] - Recent financial performance shows a revenue of 35.24 billion yuan in 2023, a 39.78% increase from 2022 [3] Group 3: Linping Development (732284) - The issue price is 37.88 yuan with a total market value of 2.143 billion yuan [4] - The issuance price-to-earnings ratio is 18.69, with industry peers like Rongsheng Environmental at 17 [4] - The main business composition includes corrugated paper (28.51%) and boxboard (71.49%) [4] - The company is positioned to benefit from the demand for "paper instead of plastic," with a projected production capacity of 35.65% of Anhui province's paper and board output by 2024 [4] - Recent financial performance indicates a revenue of 28.79 billion yuan in 2022, with a forecasted decline of 11.24% in 2024 [4]

（编辑 姚尧） 证券日报网讯 1月29日，恒丰纸业发布公告称，经初步测算，预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的 净利润17，800万元到21，500万元，与上年同期相比，将增加6，218.03万元到9，918.03万元，同比增 加53.69%到85.63%。 ...

Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks continued to lead, closing up 0.51% with a trading volume of 332 billion [1] - The FOMC meeting minutes indicated that the federal funds rate target range remains at 3.5% to 3.75%, with a voting result of 10 to 2 against a rate cut [1] - Oil prices are rising due to ongoing tensions in Iran, with WTI crude touching $65 per barrel, up 2.83%, marking a new high since September 2025 [1] Gold Market - International gold prices reached a historical high, with London gold nearing $5,600, leading to a rise in domestic gold jewelry prices to around 1,700 yuan per gram [2] - Despite the price increase, gold retail stocks did not see a corresponding rise, with concerns about potential profit-taking if prices decline [2] Commodities and Metals - Copper prices on the London Metal Exchange approached $14,000 per ton, a historical high, benefiting companies like Jiangxi Copper, which rose over 6% [3] - Nickel resources are rebounding, with Zhongwei New Materials securing significant nickel ore supply and establishing a nickel raw material industrial base in Indonesia [3] Real Estate Sector - The Chinese government is encouraging local policies to digest existing real estate stock, leading to a surge in real estate stocks, with companies like Agile Group rising nearly 41% [4] - Real estate brokerage firms also saw gains, with Beike rising over 7% [4] Consumer Goods - The liquor market is experiencing price increases, with Moutai's original box price rising to 1,610 yuan per bottle [4] - There are rumors of Kweichow Moutai participating in SpaceX's Series A financing, which the company denied, yet it contributed to a surge in liquor stocks [5] Financial Performance - Dongfang Zhenxuan reported a 5.7% increase in total revenue to 2.3 billion yuan and a net profit of 239 million yuan, up 14.5% [6] - Nine Dragons Paper expects a profit of 2.15 billion to 2.25 billion yuan for the six months ending December 31, 2025, a significant increase from 680 million yuan the previous year [6] Automotive Sector - The State Council released a plan to accelerate the development of service consumption in the automotive sector, which is expected to benefit automotive dealers like Meidong Automotive and Zhongsheng Holdings [7] Individual Stock Highlights - Sunny Optical Technology expects a net profit of approximately 4.589 billion to 4.723 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 70% to 75% [8] - The growth is attributed to high-end smartphone camera specifications and improved product mix, despite a recent decline in stock price due to fluctuations in smartphone demand [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the strengthening of economic and trade cooperation between China and Finland, highlighting the support for Finnish enterprises to expand their exports to China and invest in the Chinese market [1] - During Finnish Prime Minister Orpo's recent visit to China, practical cooperation results were achieved in the economic and trade sectors, including the signing of a memorandum to enhance the work of the China-Finland Innovation Enterprises Cooperation Committee [1] - Over 50 companies from both sides participated in discussions on cooperation in innovation, green technology, and digital sectors, resulting in multiple commercial agreements in areas such as mining machinery, healthcare, papermaking, and green construction [1] Group 2 - Finnish companies expressed optimism about China's economic development prospects and the potential of its vast market, indicating a commitment to long-term investment in China [1] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce plans to work with Finland to implement the important consensus reached by the leaders of both countries and to enhance communication on economic and trade policies through bilateral mechanisms [1]

纸浆早报 研究中心能化团队 2026/01/29 SP主力合约收盘价： 5374.00 | 日期 | 2026/01/28 | 2026/01/27 | 2026/01/26 | 2026/01/23 | 2026/01/22 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主力合约收盘价 | 5374.00 | 5342.00 | 5374.00 | 5398.00 | 5380.00 | | 折美元价 | 675.82 | 670.56 | 674.67 | 677.04 | 674.89 | | 距上一日涨跌 | 0.59903% | -0.59546% | -0.44461% | 0.33457% | 0.37313% | | 山东银星基差 | 26 | 58 | 26 | 12 | 30 | | 江浙沪银星基差 | 26 | 58 | 26 | 12 | 30 | 以13%增值税计算 | 产地 | 品牌 | 价格说明 | 港口美元价格 | 山东地区人民币价格 | 进口利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 加拿大 ...