证券研究报告 2025 年 05 月 07 日 | 市场数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证指数 | 3316.11 | 1.13 | | 深证成指 | 10082.34 | 1.84 | | 创业板指 | 1986.41 | 1.97 | | 科创 50 | 1026.52 | 1.39 | | 北证 50 | 1373.90 | 3.21 | | 沪深 300 | 3808.54 | 1.01 | A 股市场概览 | 类别 | 总市值 | 流通市 | 市盈率 | 市净率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (亿元) | 值(亿元) | PE | PB | | 上证指数 | 637466 | 497861 | 11.66 | 1.21 | | 深证成指 | 213645 | 181278 | 19.72 | 2.08 | | 创业板指 | 55474 | 44078 | 26.06 | 3.59 | | 科创 50 | 35427 | 23084 | 57.58 | 4.29 | | 北证 50 | ...

重要消息 申购提示：今日1只新股申购 中美经贸高层会谈将举行 今日9时，国新办将举行发布会，介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况 重要的消息有哪些 6．香港证监会与香港交易所5月6日发出联合公告，宣布正式推出"科企专线"，以进一步便利特专科技公 司及生物科技公司申请上市，并允许这些公司可以选择以保密形式提交上市申请。 7．据市场监管总局消息，近日，国务院食安办联合工业和信息化部、农业农村部、国家卫生健康委、海 关总署、市场监管总局印发《食品添加剂滥用问题综合治理方案》（以下简称《方案》），在全国范围内 部署开展食品添加剂滥用问题综合治理行动。《方案》明确，各级食安办牵头强化部门间风险会商和问题 通报机制，定期研判食品添加剂突出风险问题。 8．国家邮政局监测数据显示，2025年"五一"假期（5月1日—5月5日），全国邮政快递业累计揽投快递包 裹超48亿件，同比增长超两成，创历史同期新高。 9．当地时间5月6日，据美国经济分析局和美国人口普查局公布的数据显示，美国2025年3月国际贸易逆差 为1405亿美元，高于2月份的1232亿美元。3月份的出口额为2785亿美元，进口额为4190亿美元。 10．美股 ...

Core Viewpoint - The news reports a family dispute within the Double Star Celebrity Group, with founder Wang Hai accusing his son Wang Jun, daughter-in-law Xu Ying, and grandson Wang Zidong of attempting to seize company seals and engaging in violent behavior [1] Group 1: Company Background - Double Star Celebrity Group was established in 1921 and is one of the earliest national shoe manufacturing industries in China, originally part of the state-owned Qingdao No. 9 Rubber Factory [2] - The company was separated from Qingdao Double Star Group after the successful listing of its tire business, leading to the exit of state capital [2] - Wang Hai, born in October 1941, is a prominent figure in the company, having served as the president and party secretary of Qingdao Double Star Group and currently holds multiple leadership roles within Double Star Celebrity Group [2] Group 2: Recent Events - On April 11, 2023, Wang Zidong allegedly restricted Wang Hai's personal freedom for two hours, while Xu Ying and Wang Jun reportedly invaded the office, damaged surveillance equipment, assaulted staff, and attempted to seize company seals [1] - In response to the escalating situation, the police have initiated a case, and Wang Hai announced a suspension of external authorization for seal usage by Double Star Celebrity Group and its subsidiary [1] - The ownership structure of Double Star Celebrity Group changed significantly in 2022, with Qingdao Xingmaida Industrial Co., Ltd. becoming the largest shareholder, holding approximately 56.96% of the shares [1]

玲珑轮胎（601966）公告，控股股东玲珑集团拟2亿元-3亿元增持公司股份。增持资金为自有资金和自 筹资金。 ...

2025 年 05 月 06 日 玲珑轮胎 (601966) ——24Q4 产销量创新高，业绩受原料及费用计提影响较大， 海外第三基地落地巴西 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 投资要点： zhaowq@swsresearch.com 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025Q1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 22,058 | 5,697 | 25,954 | 29,026 | 31,140 | | 同比增长率（%） | 9.4 | 12.9 | 17.7 | 11.8 | 7.3 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,752 | 341 | 1,579 | 2,104 | 2,448 | | 同比增长率（%） | 26.0 | -22.8 | -9.9 | 33.3 | 16.4 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 1.20 | 0.23 | 1.08 | 1.44 | 1.67 | | 毛利率（%） | 22.1 | 14.9 | 18.7 | 18.8 | 18.9 | | ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview Chemical Industry - In 2024, the chemical sector's revenue decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, with net profit down by 4.3%, but showed a significant quarter-on-quarter growth of 180% [1][4] - Sub-sectors performing well include tires and synthetic leather, while potassium fertilizer and oil trading faced challenges [1][4] - In Q1 2025, growth was observed in fiberglass, modified plastics, and potassium fertilizer, while soda ash, petrochemicals, and polyurethane remained under pressure [1][5] - Key factors affecting the tire sector include raw material price fluctuations and overseas tariff risks [6] Power Industry - In 2024, electricity consumption growth was relatively high, with a 6.7% increase, but Q1 2025 saw limited impact from temperature changes [11] - Thermal power profitability improved due to declining coal prices, although profits remained stable due to electricity price and consumption limits [11][13] - Wind power generation increased by 15.7% in 2024, but utilization hours decreased; solar power competitiveness significantly improved with a 45.3% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025 [14] - Recommendations include focusing on leading companies in renewable energy such as China Yangtze Power and Longyuan Power [1][22] Real Estate Industry - The real estate sector is in a contraction phase, with many companies experiencing declines in cash short-term debt ratios and net debt ratios [24] - Central and state-owned enterprises hold a significant share of net profits, but most real estate companies saw declines in net profits [25] - There is potential for recovery in housing transaction volumes, particularly in first-tier and some second-tier cities, with recommendations for improvement-oriented companies like Binjiang Group and Greentown China [28] Transportation Industry - The transportation sector saw revenue and net profit growth in 2024, driven by increases in shipping, aviation, and express delivery [29] - The express delivery sector experienced a significant volume increase of 21.5% in 2024, with continued growth of 21.6% in Q1 2025, despite ongoing price competition [30] - The aviation sector showed a notable profit increase in 2024, but Q1 2025 saw a return to losses, with significant performance from Huaxia Airlines [31] Non-ferrous Metals - In Q1 2025, the copper sector's revenue decreased by 7.8%, but net profit increased by 22% quarter-on-quarter [36] - The aluminum sector faced a revenue decline, but profits improved due to falling prices of alumina [36] - Investment recommendations focus on defensive strategies, prioritizing precious and energy metals [36] Key Insights - The chemical sector is experiencing mixed performance across sub-sectors, with a focus on raw material costs and demand fluctuations [1][6] - The power industry is transitioning towards renewable energy, with significant growth in solar and wind sectors [14][22] - The real estate market is stabilizing, with potential recovery in specific urban areas, highlighting the importance of cash flow management [24][28] - The transportation sector is benefiting from increased demand, particularly in express delivery, despite competitive pricing pressures [30][32] - Non-ferrous metals are facing challenges from tariffs and supply-demand imbalances, with a cautious investment outlook [36]

Core Insights - Chengdu Eastern New Area has achieved significant development in its first five years, with a focus on high-quality growth and innovation [16][20][21] - The region has established itself as a hub for advanced manufacturing, biotechnology, and smart city initiatives, attracting numerous projects and investments [4][5][8][18] Group 1: Economic Development - The region's GDP reached 32.26 billion yuan in 2024, a 2.5 times increase since its establishment, with an 11% growth rate, the highest in Chengdu [16][17] - Chengdu Eastern New Area has introduced 28 industrialization projects and registered 61 companies, showcasing its commitment to fostering a robust industrial ecosystem [3][5] - The area has implemented 146 key projects with a total investment of 43.176 billion yuan, focusing on advanced manufacturing [17][18] Group 2: Innovation and Technology - The establishment of the Chengdu Jiaozi Zhongying Fund, with a total scale of 5 billion yuan, aims to create a comprehensive financial service system for innovation [7] - The region has introduced a "smart project management service system" to enhance project approval efficiency and inter-departmental collaboration [9][20] - Chengdu Eastern New Area has been recognized as a leading area for innovation, ranking first in the "Top 100 Urban New Area Development Potential" list for three consecutive years [18] Group 3: Infrastructure and Public Services - The transportation network has been significantly improved, with the completion of multiple rail and road projects, enhancing connectivity within the region [13] - The area has opened 23 new schools and kindergartens, adding over 25,130 educational slots to meet the growing demand for quality education [14] - Healthcare facilities are expanding, with the opening of new hospitals and partnerships to enhance medical services [14][15] Group 4: Future Outlook - Chengdu Eastern New Area aims to attract high-quality industrial projects by focusing on six categories of Fortune 500 companies and industry leaders [8] - The region is set to establish a modern industrial system by 2030, emphasizing strategic emerging industries and modern services [8][12] - The area is positioned to become a significant player in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle, contributing to the broader economic landscape of the region [20][21]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year increase of 59.74% in 2024, reaching 2.186 billion yuan [3] - The company is expanding steadily in both domestic and international markets, with a revenue of 8.511 billion yuan in 2024, representing an 8.53% year-on-year increase [2] - The company is recognized for its leading position in intelligent manufacturing within the industry, having received multiple national honors for its smart manufacturing practices [9] - The company has successfully entered the high-end tire supply market, becoming a qualified supplier for major automotive manufacturers, including Volkswagen and Audi [8] - The company is also making strides in the aviation tire sector, having developed capabilities to produce tires for various aircraft, including those for Boeing and Airbus [10] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a tire production volume of 32.2261 million units, a 10.22% increase year-on-year, with sales volume reaching 31.4087 million units, up 7.34% [2] - The average tire price was 270.70 yuan per unit, reflecting a 1.14% increase compared to the previous year [2] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.056 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.79% year-on-year, with a net profit of 361 million yuan, down 28.29% year-on-year [4] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities for 2024 was 1.960 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.19% year-on-year [3] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 10.856 billion yuan, 12.531 billion yuan, and 13.056 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 2.243 billion yuan, 2.664 billion yuan, and 2.835 billion yuan for the same years [12] - The company maintains a strong outlook with a leading position in intelligent manufacturing and ongoing expansion in both domestic and international markets, justifying the "Buy" rating [10]

Group 1 - The article highlights a growing trend of older women, particularly those over 55, engaging in self-driving travel, marking a shift in traditional travel demographics [1][9][10] - The self-driving market in China has historically been male-dominated, with two-thirds of the 480 million license holders being men [5][4] - The narrative emphasizes the empowerment of women like Chen Yumei, who, after learning to drive, embark on their first self-driving journeys, exploring new landscapes and experiences [10][11][12] Group 2 - The article discusses the challenges faced by these new female drivers, including traffic congestion and physical fatigue during long trips, which can disrupt travel plans [18][21][23] - It also addresses the importance of vehicle maintenance, particularly tire performance, in ensuring safety and comfort during self-driving adventures [25][26][32] - The introduction of innovative tire technology, such as the "liquid gold" tires, is presented as a solution to common issues faced by self-driving travelers, enhancing safety and fuel efficiency [27][32][34]

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of major Chinese tire companies, including Sailun, Linglong, and Triangle, shows significant divergence in 2024, with Sailun and Linglong experiencing substantial growth in revenue and net profit, while Triangle faced declines in both revenue and profit [2][4][8]. Financial Performance Summary - **Sailun Tire**: - Revenue reached 31.802 billion yuan, up 22.4% year-on-year - Net profit was 4.063 billion yuan, a 31.4% increase - R&D expenses amounted to 1.013 billion yuan, a 20.8% increase [3][4][6][8] - **Linglong Tire**: - Revenue was 22.058 billion yuan, growing by 9.4% - Net profit reached 1.752 billion yuan, up 26% - R&D expenses totaled 920 million yuan, a 12.97% increase [3][4][7][8] - **Triangle Tire**: - Revenue fell to 10.156 billion yuan, down 2.55% - Net profit decreased to 1.103 billion yuan, a decline of 21.03% - R&D expenses were 150 million yuan, a 6% increase [3][4][8] Market Trends and Challenges - The global tire market is expanding, driven by the recovery of the automotive industry, with a total global tire sales volume of 1.856 billion units in 2024, a 1.86% increase year-on-year [4][12] - The domestic tire market saw a total production of 847 million units, up 7.8% year-on-year [4] - The industry is facing challenges from rising raw material prices, particularly natural rubber and synthetic rubber, which increased by 30% and 19% respectively [7][11] Q1 2025 Performance - **Sailun**: - Revenue for Q1 2025 was 8.411 billion yuan, a 15.28% increase year-on-year - Net profit was 1.039 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.47% [9][10] - **Linglong**: - Q1 revenue reached 5.697 billion yuan, up 12.92% - Net profit fell to 341 million yuan, down 22.78% [9][10] - **Triangle**: - Q1 revenue was 2.244 billion yuan, down 5.92% - Net profit decreased significantly to 166 million yuan, a decline of 43.54% [9][11] Strategic Developments - Sailun is enhancing its digital and intelligent manufacturing capabilities, establishing a comprehensive digital ecosystem to improve production efficiency and reduce costs [6][8] - Linglong is expanding its global footprint with new factories in Brazil and Serbia, aiming to strengthen its international competitiveness [14] - Triangle is also investing in digital transformation to improve operational efficiency despite facing significant challenges [7][11]