Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Viewpoints - The sales of the top 100 real estate companies are weak, with a year-on-year decline of 10.4% in sales amount and 23.6% in sales area in May 2025, indicating a need for continued policy support for the real estate sector [5][6] - The report recommends focusing on the domestic substitution chain and the African building materials chain, with leading companies in the existing market being the main focus for the year [9] Summary by Sections Real Estate Sales - In May 2025, the total sales amount of the top 100 real estate companies decreased by 10.4% year-on-year, while the sales area dropped by 23.6%. The month-on-month sales amount increased by 4.2%, and the sales area rose by 2.7%, but these figures are still below the average from 2018 to 2024 [5][6] Central Government Support - The central government plans to provide over 20 billion yuan to support urban renewal actions in 20 cities, focusing on areas such as underground pipeline updates, sewage treatment, and the renovation of historical and old districts [6][21] Cement Market - The cement shipment rate remained stable month-on-month at approximately 48%, with a year-on-year decline of 2.3 percentage points. The average price of cement was 368.55 yuan per ton, down 4.19 yuan from the previous week [7][26] Glass Market - The domestic float glass market showed weak transactions, with prices continuing to decline. The average price was 71.59 yuan per weight box, down 1.25 yuan from the previous week [8][40] Recommended Companies - For domestic substitution, companies such as China National Materials, Meijia Xincai, and Puyang Huicheng are recommended due to their strong positions in the special glass fiber market. For the African chain, Keda Manufacturing is highlighted as a local leader with advantages in production and branding [9]

Group 1 - The report from Guotai Junan Securities indicates that starting from June 2024, there will be a significant decline in building materials demand, primarily due to the pressure from local government debt in developed regions [1] - The glass processing sector shows resilience, with leading companies having high competitive barriers, advantageous valuations, and dividends, indicating a continuous value recovery [1] - In the fiberglass sector, long-term contract price increases are gradually being implemented, with leading companies having a higher sales proportion in high-end roving and electronic yarn, which enhances demand and market structure [1]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 家庭消费仍有潜力，期待服务消费刺激 2025 年 06 月 08 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 房大磊 执业证书：S0600522100001 fangdl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书：S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -20% -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 2024/6/11 2024/10/9 2025/2/6 2025/6/6 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《建筑业 PMI 底部区间波动，推荐消 费建材》 2025-06-03 《继续推荐消费建材》 2025-05-25 东吴证券研究所 1 / 20 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周（2025.6.3–2025.6.6，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅 0.63%， 同期沪深 300、万得全 A 指数 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights an increase in infrastructure expectations in the western region, with significant opportunities emerging in the building materials sector [2][3] - The real estate market is expected to stabilize with government support, as indicated in the 2025 Government Work Report, which aims to promote a recovery in the real estate market [2][14] - The report identifies key projects that will drive demand for building materials, including the Three Gorges New Channel and the Mêdog Hydropower Station, which are expected to significantly boost cement demand [3][19] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.88%, while the building materials sector (CITIC) increased by 0.59% this week, with most sub-sectors showing positive returns [12] - Notable stock performances included Shandong Glass Fiber (+18.4%) and Quartz Shares (+14.1%) [12] Western Infrastructure Expectations - The report notes a significant increase in special bond issuance in central and western regions, with Sichuan (+162%), Chongqing (+35%), and Shaanxi (+1162%) showing remarkable growth [3][16] - Fixed asset investments in Tibet and Xinjiang also increased by 16.5% and 17.2% respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the region [3] Key Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks based on project involvement: Huaxin Cement, Xizang Tianlu, and Qingsong Jianhua, among others, which are expected to benefit from upcoming infrastructure projects [3][19] - The focus is on traditional building materials companies that are expected to see long-term value, as well as new energy materials that are likely to continue their growth trajectory [19] Building Materials Sub-Sector Tracking - Cement prices have shown a slight decline of 1.2% this week, with regional variations in price adjustments [17] - The glass market, particularly photovoltaic glass, is experiencing price drops due to weak demand, with significant inventory levels reported [17][18]

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月05日 重点板块数据跟踪： 1）水泥：上周全国水泥价跌 0.8%，沪苏浙粤桂黔降 10-20 元/吨，云南 昆明涨 20 元/吨。5 月底需求略增，出货率升至 47.8%。需求偏弱致多 地价格续跌，但长三角熟料涨价，计划 6 月水泥涨价，鄂赣等地跟涨， 后期价格或企稳反弹。2）玻璃：上周国内浮法玻璃均价 1270.96 元/吨， 环比跌 0.58%，供应端新增产线加剧市场观望，需求受高温多雨抑制， 行业亏损扩大，短期价格或继续承压。光伏玻璃市场交投清淡，终端需 求疲软致组件开工率下滑，厂家库存累积，2.0mm/3.2mm 镀膜面板价格 分别跌至 13 元/㎡和 21 元/㎡，环比跌幅扩大。纯碱价格走弱使成本支 撑不足，利润空间进一步压缩，市场整体维持弱势运行态势。3）玻纤： 上周无碱粗纱市场延续跌势，2400tex 缠绕纱主流价 3500-3800 元/吨， 均价 3696.5 元/吨，周跌 0.62%，同比降 4.3%。北方低价成交增多，市 场灵活议价。电子纱 G75 报价 8800-9200 元/吨，电子布 3.8-4.4 元/米。 投资建议： 建材方面，国际贸易冲突加剧 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the construction materials sector, indicating expected performance above the market index by more than 10% [5][77]. Core Viewpoints - The price of cement clinker in the Yangtze River Delta has increased by 30 CNY/ton, with plans for a similar increase in cement prices in early June. This price hike is expected to stabilize market expectations and lead to price recovery in the following months [1][3]. - The issuance of special bonds reached 1.63 trillion CNY from January to May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 40.7%, completing 37.1% of the annual quota. The issuance in May alone was 443.17 billion CNY, a month-on-month increase of 92.6% [1]. - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from domestic demand expansion policies amid escalating international trade conflicts, with limited further deterioration anticipated in the sector [3][4]. Summary by Sections Cement - National cement prices fell by 0.8% last week, with regional variations showing declines of 10-20 CNY/ton in several areas, while prices in Kunming, Yunnan, increased by 20 CNY/ton. The average shipment rate rose to 47.8% due to slight demand increases [2][23]. - The Yangtze River Delta's clinker price increase may lead to a stabilization or slight rebound in cement prices in the near future [24]. Glass - The average price of domestic float glass was 1270.96 CNY/ton, down 0.58% from the previous period. The market remains weak due to high temperatures and rain affecting demand, leading to increased industry losses [2][35]. - The photovoltaic glass market is experiencing weak trading activity, with prices for 2.0mm and 3.2mm coated panels dropping to 13 CNY/m² and 21 CNY/m², respectively [43]. Fiberglass - The market for non-alkali fiberglass continues to decline, with mainstream prices for 2400tex winding yarn at 3500-3800 CNY/ton, averaging 3696.5 CNY/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 0.62% [2][45]. - The electronic yarn G75 is priced between 8800-9200 CNY/ton, with stable pricing expected in the short term [45]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on resilient consumer building material leaders, particularly those benefiting from second-hand housing and renovation demands, such as Sanke Tree, Beixin Building Materials, and others [3][4]. - The report highlights potential opportunities in the construction sector, particularly for state-owned enterprises involved in major engineering projects, such as China Railway Construction and China Communications Construction [4].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Viewpoints - There is a shortage of high-end special glass fiber, and the report continues to recommend African building materials [2][6] - Cement prices are expected to rise, while glass inventory has slightly accumulated [8] - The report recommends focusing on the African supply chain and domestic substitution chain, with leading companies being the main focus for the year [10] Summary by Sections Special Glass Fiber - Low CTE glass fiber fabric is in short supply, with major manufacturers like Mitsubishi Gas Chemical issuing delayed delivery notices, extending lead times to 4-5 months [6] - The demand for advanced packaging materials, particularly for AI GPUs, is driving supply constraints in high-end Low CTE glass fiber fabric [6] - China National Materials Technology is expected to benefit significantly due to rapid capacity expansion and product upgrades, with an anticipated monthly capacity of approximately 6 million meters by the end of 2026 [6] Cement Market - The domestic cement market saw a slight increase in demand, with an average shipment rate of 48% in key regions, up by about 1.4 percentage points month-on-month but down 5.5% year-on-year [8][24] - The national average cement price decreased by 0.8% month-on-month, with some regions planning to increase prices in June [8][25] Glass Market - The domestic float glass market is experiencing weak demand, with prices continuing to decline [9][36] - The production capacity utilization rate is at 81.65%, with a total of 285 production lines and a daily melting capacity of 159,205 tons [9][36] - Inventory levels have increased slightly, with a total of 57.89 million weight boxes in key monitored provinces, reflecting a 0.26% increase [9][36] Recommendations - The report actively recommends companies like Keda Manufacturing in the African supply chain, which has advantages in production, channels, and brand [10] - For domestic substitution, companies such as China National Materials Technology, Mega Chip Color, and Puyang Huicheng are highlighted due to their strong positions in the market [10] - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the existing building materials sector, particularly in renovation and public construction [10]

Macro - The global economic system is undergoing reconstruction due to changes in the trust foundation, leading to a gradual "de-dollarization" primarily driven by non-economic factors, particularly international relations [2] - The long-term bull market for gold is expected to be historical and significant, as the trend of declining trust among countries is unlikely to change [2] - In the short to medium term, attention should be paid to the potential decline in dollar credit and the risks of rising real interest rates and inflation expectations in the US [2][3] Strategy - The "transformation bull" market in China's stock market is becoming clearer, with a strategic outlook favoring 2025 [6] - Key drivers include the decline in risk-free rates and a systemic reduction in risk perception, which will help restore investor confidence [6] - Investment opportunities are emerging in sectors such as financials, emerging technologies, and cyclical consumption, with specific recommendations for stocks in these areas [7][8] Overseas Strategy - The Hang Seng Technology Index is expected to lead the market, driven by the AI industry cycle [11] - The fundamentals of Hong Kong's tech sector are improving, with strong growth in capital expenditure and cloud business revenues [12] - Despite uncertainties in the trade environment, domestic policy support is expected to drive fundamental recovery in the Hong Kong market [13] Fixed Income - The bond market is expected to experience a bull market due to supply-demand mismatches, with low interest rates driving demand for convertible bonds [34] - Strategies focusing on short-term interest rates are recommended, with an emphasis on maintaining duration without chasing long-term bonds [29] Real Estate - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with improving supply-demand dynamics in key cities and a narrowing of cumulative declines post-policy adjustments [41] - The industry is expected to benefit from a clearer policy direction and a supportive environment for first-time homebuyers [41] Construction Engineering - The construction sector is focusing on high-dividend central state-owned enterprises and technology transformation [48] - Significant growth is anticipated in sectors such as intelligent computing and low-altitude economy development [48][49] Utilities - The electricity market is expected to see a bottoming out of spot prices, with both valuation and performance improving [53] - The nuclear power sector is projected to grow significantly, with a forecast of 110 million kilowatts of installed capacity by 2030 [54] Transportation - The aviation industry is entering a low-growth supply era, with demand expected to drive ticket prices upward [57] - The highway sector is anticipated to maintain strong demand, with policies likely to enhance long-term investment value [60]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The demand for high-end electronic fabrics is accelerating, leading to a new round of competition among fiberglass companies. The shortage of low thermal expansion coefficient (Low CTE) glass fabric raw materials and the surge in order demand have resulted in significantly extended delivery times for BT materials, confirming the ongoing supply-demand imbalance in high-end electronic fabrics. The rapid development of the AI industry is driving hardware upgrades, increasing the demand for high-speed, high-frequency PCB boards, which in turn raises the performance requirements for upstream electronic fabrics [4] - The report suggests focusing on companies with existing or potential layouts in high-end electronic fabrics, such as Honghe Technology, Zhongcai Technology, and China Jushi [4] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index (Shenwan) rose by 0.2%, while the cement, glass fiber, and renovation materials indices fell by 0.2%, 0.2%, and rose by 0.6% respectively. The top five gainers included Zhongqi New Materials (+20.5%) and Honghe Technology (+17.1%) [9] 2. Industry Dynamics - In May, the average price of new homes in 100 major cities in China rose by 0.30% month-on-month to 16,815 RMB per square meter, while the average price of second-hand homes fell by 0.71% year-on-year [14] - The sales revenue of the top 100 real estate companies in the first five months of 2025 was 1,443.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 10.8% [14] - The balance of real estate loans in RMB at the end of the first quarter of 2025 was 53.54 trillion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 0.04% [14] 3. Data Tracking 3.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide was 367.8 RMB per ton, down 3.0 RMB per ton month-on-month and down 6.3% year-on-year [15] - The cement inventory ratio was 65.7%, up 0.4 percentage points month-on-month [15] 3.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass was 1,370.3 RMB per ton, down 24.6 RMB per ton month-on-month and down 409.5 RMB per ton year-on-year [32] 3.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price of 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass was 13.6 RMB per square meter, down 0.1 RMB per square meter month-on-month [37] 3.4 Glass Fiber - The average price of alkali-free glass fiber yarn was 4,705.0 RMB per ton, unchanged month-on-month and up 40.0 RMB per ton year-on-year [43] 3.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price of large tow carbon fiber was 72.5 RMB per kilogram, unchanged month-on-month and down 5.0 RMB per kilogram year-on-year [46]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector is experiencing fluctuations at the bottom of the PMI range, with expectations for a gradual recovery in demand driven by government policies and market dynamics [4][16] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the home decoration materials sector, particularly with the implementation of "old-for-new" subsidies and service consumption stimulus policies [4][16] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The building materials sector has shown a slight increase of 0.18% in the past week, outperforming the CSI 300 and the Wind All A indices, which decreased by -1.08% and -0.02% respectively, resulting in excess returns of 1.26% and 0.20% [4] - The construction industry PMI has shown signs of improvement, indicating a potential recovery in new orders due to eased tariffs [4][16] 2. Bulk Building Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data 2.1 Cement - The national average price for high-standard cement is 367.8 RMB/ton, down by 3.0 RMB/ton from last week and 6.3 RMB/ton from the same period last year [20][21] - The average cement inventory among sample enterprises is 65.7%, with an average shipment rate of 47.8%, reflecting a slight increase in demand [25][19] - The report anticipates a stabilization or slight rebound in cement prices due to improved supply discipline among leading companies [12][19] 2.2 Glass Fiber - The report notes that the profitability of mid-range glass fiber remains resilient, with demand in domestic wind power and thermoplastics continuing to grow [13] - The industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in supply-demand balance, supported by the growth in high-end products [13] 2.3 Glass - The glass sector is facing weak terminal demand, with prices under pressure as the industry enters a seasonal downturn [14][15] - The report suggests monitoring production line adjustments to gauge future price recovery potential [14][15] 3. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies aimed at stimulating domestic demand and stabilizing the real estate market, which are expected to positively impact the building materials sector [16] - The anticipated recovery in consumer confidence and the ongoing implementation of national subsidies are expected to drive demand for home decoration materials [16] 4. Weekly Market Review - The report provides a detailed analysis of price changes and inventory levels across various regions, indicating a mixed performance in the cement market with some areas experiencing price increases while others see declines [19][20][21]