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可选消费W23周度趋势解析:本周零食板块景气度增强,部分新消费公司解禁在即板-20250608
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the discretionary consumption sector, including Nike, Midea Group, JD Group, Gree Electric, Anta Sports, and many others [1]. Core Insights - The snacks sector has shown increased prosperity this week, with stock price volatility rising as some new consumption companies approach share release dates [4][10]. - The luxury goods sector, particularly gold and jewelry, has continued to perform well, driven by stable gold prices and brand upgrades [18]. - The sportswear sector has experienced divergence, with Lululemon's earnings slightly exceeding expectations but facing a significant stock price drop due to lowered guidance [19]. - The cosmetics sector has seen a decline, with unresolved issues affecting stock prices, while high-end international brands have performed well [19]. - Most discretionary consumption sectors are still valued below their historical five-year averages, indicating potential investment opportunities [20]. Sector Performance Review - Weekly performance rankings: Snacks > Pet > Luxury Goods > Credit Card > U.S. Hotel > Gambling > Cosmetics > Sportswear, with snacks and pet sectors outperforming the MSCI China index [14]. - Monthly performance rankings: Luxury Goods > Pet > Gambling > Credit Card > Snacks > U.S. Hotel > Cosmetics > Sportswear, with only cosmetics and sportswear underperforming [15]. - Year-to-date performance rankings: Luxury Goods > Pet > Snacks > Cosmetics > Credit Card > U.S. Hotel > Sportswear > Gambling, with luxury goods, pet, snacks, cosmetics, and credit card sectors outperforming [16]. Valuation Analysis - As of June 6, 2025, expected P/E ratios for various sectors indicate that most are below their five-year averages, with the sportswear sector at 15.5x (76% of its average), luxury goods at 21.8x (61%), and snacks at 25.7x (40%) [11][20].
重仓新消费基金业绩亮眼,年内最牛涨超65%
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-06-08 13:23
【导读】重仓新消费基金业绩亮眼,年内最多涨超65% 多只基金重仓新消费斩获亮眼业绩 今年以来,港股与A股市场新消费板块集体上涨。截至6月6日,沪深港新消费指数年内涨幅达15.71%, 同期消费指数下跌0.31%,沪深300指数下跌1.55%。 多个热点方向表现强劲,港股"新消费三姐妹"——泡泡玛特、蜜雪集团、老铺黄金尤为突出,股价连创 新高。 实际上,作为最具代表性的新消费龙头,泡泡玛特、老铺黄金等早已进入主动权益基金视野。Wind数 据显示,截至今年一季度末,共有182只基金重仓泡泡玛特,持仓总市值达87.8亿元,环比增加897.7万 股。老铺黄金被39只基金重仓,持股总市值为16.55亿元,不过,持仓环比减少了27.36万股。 得益于重仓新消费股,一批基金年内业绩可观。Wind数据显示,重仓泡泡玛特的基金今年以来平均净 值增长率为13.8%,其中39只基金涨超20%,119只涨超10%;重仓老铺黄金的基金年内净值平均涨幅为 16.94%,其中11只基金涨超20%,20只涨超10%。 从单只产品来看,吴远怡管理的广发成长领航一年持有A配置了泡泡玛特、老铺黄金等港股,年内净值 增长率达到65.18%;付娟、刘 ...
政策驱动去库降重,猪价短期压力显现
EBSCN· 2025-06-08 13:20
2025 年 6 月 8 日 行业研究 政策驱动去库降重,猪价短期压力显现 ——光大证券农林牧渔行业周报(20250602-20250608) 要点 本周猪价下跌。根据博亚和讯, 6 月 6 日全国外三元生猪均价为 14.05 元/kg, 周环比下跌 2.90%,15 公斤仔猪均价 34.51 元/公斤,周环比下跌 2.38%。根 据涌益咨询数据,本周商品猪出栏均重为 129.17kg,周环比下跌 0.01%,全国 冻品库容率为 13.80%,环比上升 0.01pct。节后消费需求疲软,白条走货滞 缓,大猪需求低迷,市场情绪偏弱。养殖端,政策驱动行业加速降重去库存, 南北多地供应增量,短期供强需弱格局将延续。 肉禽方面,本周毛鸡、鸡苗价格下跌。截至 6 月 6 日,白羽肉毛鸡价格为 7.32 元/公斤,周环比下跌 0.68%,鸡苗价格 2.84 元/羽,周环比下跌 1.05%。毛鸡 方面,近期屠宰企业鸡肉冻品库存升高,采购肉鸡积极性减弱,养殖端出栏宽 松,部分地区有压价现象,肉鸡价格偏弱。鸡苗方面,肉鸡价格下跌叠加夏季 高温因素,鸡苗以合同鸡为主,种鸡场订单放缓,鸡苗价格小幅回调。 农产品方面,本周玉米现货价 ...
农林牧渔周观点:5月能繁母猪存栏小幅增长,重视优质猪企中长期价值-20250608
行 业 及 产 业 农林牧渔 朱珺逸 (8621)23297818× zhujy@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 2025 年 06 月 08 日 5 月能繁母猪存栏小幅增长,重视优质猪企中 长期价值 看好 ——农林牧渔周观点(2025.6.2-2025.6.8) 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证券分析师 盛瀚 A0230522080006 shenghan@swsresearch.com 朱珺逸 A0230521080004 zhujy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 朱珺逸 A0230521080004 zhujy@swsresearch.com 胡静航 A0230524090002 hujh@swsresearch.com 联系人 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 证 券 研 究 报 告 ⚫ 本周申万农林牧渔指数上涨 0.9%,沪深 300 上涨 0.9%。个股涨幅前五名:万辰集团(14.6%)、邦基科 技(14.1%)、永顺泰(10.5%)、罗牛山(7.8%)、ST 佳沃(7.6%),跌幅前五名:瑞普生物(- 1 ...
光大证券农林牧渔行业周报:政策驱动去库降重,猪价短期压力显现-20250608
EBSCN· 2025-06-08 10:42
政策驱动去库降重,猪价短期压力显现 ——光大证券农林牧渔行业周报(20250602-20250608) 要点 本周猪价下跌。根据博亚和讯, 6 月 6 日全国外三元生猪均价为 14.05 元/kg, 周环比下跌 2.90%,15 公斤仔猪均价 34.51 元/公斤,周环比下跌 2.38%。根 据涌益咨询数据,本周商品猪出栏均重为 129.17kg,周环比下跌 0.01%,全国 冻品库容率为 13.80%,环比上升 0.01pct。节后消费需求疲软,白条走货滞 缓,大猪需求低迷,市场情绪偏弱。养殖端,政策驱动行业加速降重去库存, 南北多地供应增量,短期供强需弱格局将延续。 肉禽方面,本周毛鸡、鸡苗价格下跌。截至 6 月 6 日,白羽肉毛鸡价格为 7.32 元/公斤,周环比下跌 0.68%,鸡苗价格 2.84 元/羽,周环比下跌 1.05%。毛鸡 方面,近期屠宰企业鸡肉冻品库存升高,采购肉鸡积极性减弱,养殖端出栏宽 松,部分地区有压价现象,肉鸡价格偏弱。鸡苗方面,肉鸡价格下跌叠加夏季 高温因素,鸡苗以合同鸡为主,种鸡场订单放缓,鸡苗价格小幅回调。 2025 年 6 月 8 日 行业研究 农产品方面,本周玉米现货价 ...
稳中求进,静待成长良机
HWABAO SECURITIES· 2025-06-08 07:25
2025 年 06 月 08 日 证券研究报告 | 策略周报 稳中求进,静待成长良机 策略周报 分析师:刘芳 分析师登记编码:S0890524100002 电话:021-20321091 邮箱:liufang@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码:S0890524080002 电话:021-20321080 邮箱:haoyifan@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 1、《关税超预期调降,资金为何转向防 御?—策略周报》2025-05-18 2、《关税窗口期应如何博弈?—策略周 报》2025-05-11 3、《政治局会议临近,应如何布局?— 策略周报》2025-04-20 4、《关税对 A 股哪些行业影响较大?— 策略周报》2025-04-13 5、《关税迷雾叠加美股震荡,资产应如 何配置?—策略周报》2025-03-30 投资要点 分析师:郝一凡 【债市方面】未来利率仍有望创新低,关注左侧机会。今年债市收益率呈"慢 上快下"格局,难以捕捉右侧机会,建议在具有性价比的位置耐心配置。从 10 年期国债收益率的角度看,一季度机会配置点在 1.8%上方,极端点位触及 1.9%,考虑到央行持续 ...
竞逐新消费:先品类后品牌
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-06-08 03:42
Group 1 - The article discusses the importance of building a unified consumer market in China, emphasizing the government's ongoing commitment to this initiative since 2021 [2][3] - The author highlights the shift in Guangdong's economic model from export and investment-driven to consumption-driven, suggesting that this transition is crucial for sustainable growth [2] - The article introduces the concept of exploring representative entrepreneurs in the Pearl River Delta region to understand their contributions to consumer market development [3] Group 2 - The article features Shenzhen Qianhai Homan Technology Co., Ltd., which has achieved impressive growth, reaching an annual sales figure of approximately 400 million yuan in 2023 [4] - Homan's success is attributed to the rapid development of China's pet market, driven by younger generations who are increasingly adopting pets as family members [4][5] - The company focuses on combining technology and emotional value in its products, addressing real user pain points to capture a leading position in the trillion-yuan pet market [4][6] Group 3 - Homan's product development is driven by a commitment to quality and innovation, with a focus on creating unique, high-quality products rather than competing solely on price [6][7] - The founder, Liu Kun, emphasizes the importance of understanding market needs and creating new demand through innovative product categories [8][9] - Homan's brand strategy includes leveraging social media and community-driven marketing to build brand loyalty and awareness [10][11] Group 4 - Homan has successfully developed a range of products, including smart drying machines and automatic cat litter boxes, addressing traditional pain points in pet care [12] - The company anticipates continued growth in the pet economy, with plans to expand its product offerings to include dog-related products and smart home integrations [12] - Liu Kun believes that the brand's understanding of consumer needs and lifestyle is key to its success, as evidenced by high consumer loyalty and anticipation for new product launches [11][12] Group 5 - The article discusses the broader implications of brand building in the consumer market, highlighting the need for brands to create new market demands and emotional connections with consumers [14][16] - Liu Kun advocates for stronger intellectual property protection to foster innovation and brand development within the industry [15] - The article concludes with a call for a shift in policy focus towards supporting consumer-side innovation and brand building, which is essential for the transformation of China's economy [16][17]
研判2025!中国宠物寄养行业市场政策、产业链、发展现状、竞争格局及发展趋势分析:犬猫寄养占比超80%[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-06-08 02:10
Overview - The pet industry has a long history in developed countries, while the domestic pet industry in China is relatively new but is rapidly growing due to rising consumer spending, changing attitudes, and demographic shifts such as aging population and single-child families [1][9] - The pet boarding sector, as a significant part of the pet industry, is experiencing a golden period of rapid development, with the market size expected to reach 2.81 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.91%, with over 80% of the market share attributed to dog and cat boarding [1][9] Development History - Pet boarding services began to gain attention in the 1990s as economic development and living standards improved, initially characterized by simple, home-based services [3] - In the 21st century, the focus shifted to service quality and user experience, expanding from basic care to include grooming, health care, and behavioral training, leading to the emergence of specialized boarding institutions [3] Industry Chain - The upstream of the pet boarding industry includes pet food, supplies, pharmaceuticals, and medical services [5] - The midstream consists of pet boarding service providers responsible for daily care, which may also offer medical care, grooming, and training services [5] - The downstream includes pet owners, whose demands directly influence industry development [5] Current Development - The number of pets in China is increasing, with pet cats expected to reach 71.53 million and pet dogs 52.58 million by 2024, contributing to the growth of the pet boarding industry [7][9] Competitive Landscape - The demand for pet boarding services is increasing, especially during holidays, attracting significant capital into the market, leading to intensified competition [11] - The market is primarily dominated by pet stores and veterinary hospitals, which account for over 60% of the market share [11] Key Companies - Beijing Petdog Technology Development Co., Ltd. has established a significant presence with 1,500 pet chain stores and a comprehensive pet education and training base [14] - Shenyang Qianxun Pet Medical Co., Ltd. focuses on animal rescue and offers a range of services including pet boarding, with all profits directed towards animal welfare initiatives [16] Future Trends - The pet boarding industry is expected to implement stricter standards and regulations to enhance service quality and ensure pet health and safety [18] - There will be a growing emphasis on personalized services based on individual pet characteristics, including tailored dietary plans and specialized activities [18]
宠物医疗发展提速 海正药业子公司新兽药获批
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-06-07 00:43
Company Overview - Zhejiang Hai Zheng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has received approval for its new veterinary drug, non-rocoxib chewable tablets, which are designed to alleviate pain and inflammation in dogs [1] - The approval of this drug marks a significant milestone in the company's strategic positioning within the veterinary medicine sector, enhancing its market competitiveness [1] Business Development - Hai Zheng Pharmaceutical has been focusing on the pet medicine sector, transitioning from its original emphasis on economic animals since 1992, and has made notable progress in recent years [2] - As of the end of 2024, the company operates two production bases with 25 production lines and has over 40 products with 71 approved registration numbers [2] - The company's e-commerce performance has surpassed 100 million yuan in 2024, with a cumulative growth of 11 times over five years, indicating a strong expansion in its pet medicine business [2] Financial Performance - In 2024, the revenue from anti-parasitic and veterinary products reached 713 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 14.07%, although the gross profit margin increased by 1.55 percentage points due to improved cost control [2] - Despite not yet achieving profitability, the subsidiary Hai Zheng Animal Health reported a revenue increase of 3.21% to 410 million yuan [2][3] Industry Trends - The pet medical industry in China is experiencing rapid growth, with the market size reaching 94 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.49% [4] - The approval of 52 new pet drugs by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs in 2024, with 31 being domestically produced, indicates a significant enhancement in domestic drug development capabilities [4] - The integration of AI technology in the pet medical field, exemplified by the launch of the Vet1 AI model, represents a breakthrough in the industry [4] Future Outlook - The pet medical market is expected to continue expanding as pet owners increasingly prioritize their pets' health, driven by technological advancements and new medical models [5] - Companies are encouraged to leverage opportunities through innovation, service upgrades, and strategic partnerships to enhance competitiveness and promote sustainable industry growth [6]
618抢先购宠物消费火爆;智能外骨骼机器人新突破
第一财经· 2025-06-06 07:58
【精选快读】 【 今 日 速 读 】 精选行业研报,助您捕捉行业风口 2025.06.06 导读 : 618抢先购宠物消费火爆;智能外骨骼机器人新突破 ; 解锁【第一财经智享会员】实时解读 市场动态,把握投资先机。 【第一财经智享会员专属】 1、6 1 8抢先购宠物消费火爆,国货崛起逻辑持续强化 2、智能外骨骼机器人新突破,商业化进程有望加速落地 1、6 1 8抢先购宠物消费火爆,国货崛起逻辑持续强化 随着近期6 1 8电商大促拉开帷幕,宠物消费市场迎来了一波强劲的增长浪潮。5月1 6日晚8点,天猫6 1 8正 式开卖。首小时,6 5 3个宠物品牌成交同比翻倍。其中9个宠物品牌成交破千万,5个宠物主粮单品成交破 千万。 天猫宠物发布6 1 8抢先购全周期战报(5月1 6日0点- 2 6日2 4点),猫/狗食品天猫品牌榜TOP 1 0分别为:鲜 朗、蓝氏、弗列加特、诚实一口、皇家、麦富迪、天然百利、原始猎食渴望、爱肯拿、网易严选。抖音发 布 6 1 8 大 促 期 间 宠 物 品 类 各 细 分 类 目 的 销 售 战 报 ( 5 月 8 日 0 点 - 2 7 日 2 4 点 ) , 抖 音 猫 狗 粮 品 ...