Group 1 - The overall performance of the agricultural sector, particularly the pig farming industry, is currently under pressure, with the average pig price showing a decline in several key provinces [1] - The average price of pork is 20.95 yuan/kg, reflecting a slight increase of 0.05% week-on-week, while the average price of piglets remains stable at 28.00 yuan/kg [1] - The self-breeding profit stands at 48.21 yuan per head, while the profit from purchasing piglets is negative at -16.06 yuan per head, indicating challenges in the market [1] Group 2 - The feed industry is expected to see a recovery in its business environment due to falling raw material prices and improving conditions in the breeding sector, with Hai Da Group positioned for potential growth [2] - The current cycle in the pig farming industry is characterized by a focus on reducing debt rather than rapidly increasing production capacity, with expectations for profitability to begin in Q2 2024 [2] - The market may be overly pessimistic regarding the impact of rising pig production capacity on profitability, potentially overlooking the positive effects of declining raw material costs and anticipated demand recovery in 2025 [2] Group 3 - The poultry industry, particularly the meat chicken sector, may experience performance improvements driven by new demand in 2025, with Saint Agriculture positioned at the bottom of its performance and valuation cycle [3] - The year 2025 is anticipated to be crucial for pet food brands, with a focus on brands that can lead market trends and show profit improvements, recommending domestic brands like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. [3]

牧原股份（002714）向港交所提交上市申请书，联席保荐人为摩根士丹利、中信证券、高盛。公司此前 公告显示，赴港上市意在进一步推动海外业务发展。对此，牧原股份董秘秦军回应记者表示，此前公司 已在越南成立子公司，推进海外业务。目前，公司计划利用在克服包括非洲猪瘟在内的各类疾病过程中 积累的疾病防控经验、生猪养殖技术、智能化装备、数字化生产管理系统等优势，向海外输出生猪养殖 整体解决方案。(中证金牛座) ...

据港交所5月27日披露，牧原食品股份有限公司(简称：牧原股份（002714）(002714.SZ))向港交所主板 递交上市申请，摩根士丹利、中信证券、高盛为联席保荐人。 招股书显示，牧原股份为生猪养殖行业的全球领导者，已覆盖育种、生猪养殖、饲料生产、屠宰及肉类 加工的全产业链条。根据弗若斯特沙利文统计，自2021年起，按生猪产能及出栏量计量，公司是全球第 一大生猪养殖企业，生猪出栏量连续四年居全球第一。按生猪出栏量计算，公司的全球市场份额从2021 年的2.6%增长到2024年的5.6%，于2024年已经超过第二至第四的市场参与者的合计市场份额数。 在继续夯实生猪养殖的领先地位的同时，牧原股份自2019年开始进军生猪屠宰肉食业务，以增强公司全 产业链运营的优势。根据弗若斯特沙利文统计，按屠宰头数计量，公司于2024年的屠宰与肉食业务位列 全球第五、中国第一。按照收入计量，2021年至2024年间，公司的屠宰肉食业务的收入年均复合增长率 居于中国大型同行业企业之首。 财务表现方面，2014-2024年，牧原股份总收入复合年均增长率达48.7%，在全球范围内按照出栏量计算 的排名前十的猪肉食品上市企业中收入增速排 ...

Group 1 - Sichuan Province has drafted ten measures to promote high-quality development in the livestock industry, focusing on supporting leading enterprises and enhancing their capabilities to drive the industry forward [1] - The measures include encouraging the construction of a trillion-yuan livestock industry, modern agricultural industrial parks, and livestock industry clusters, which aim to improve the development capacity of breeding farms [1] - The plan also emphasizes the transformation and upgrading of pig slaughtering, supporting mergers and acquisitions of slaughtering enterprises, with potential subsidies for those passing quality management inspections by the end of 2025 [1] Group 2 - According to Industrial Securities, the recovery of pig breeding capacity is expected to lead to a new upward cycle in pig prices, with a gradual increase in sow capacity and continued optimization of breeding costs [2] - The poultry industry may benefit from limited overseas breeding stock imports, with a projected increase in domestic breeding stock, particularly in the context of disease affecting U.S. imports [2] - CITIC Securities anticipates a steady increase in pig output by 2025, despite a potential decline in prices, while the poultry sector may face challenges with continued price drops and industry losses [2]

供需僵持 猪价区间震荡 期货交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1285号 华联期货生猪周报 20250525 蒋琴 交易咨询号：Z0014038 从业资格号：F3027808 0769-22110802 审核：段福林 交易咨询号：Z0015600 1 周度观点及策略 2 期现市场 3 产能 4 供给端 5 需求端 6 成本及利润 周度观点及策略 基本面观点 u 现货：周内生猪现货价格窄幅震荡，整体走势趋于平稳。据我的农产品网数据显示，全国生猪出栏均价为14.46元/公斤，较上 周价格下跌0.25元/公斤，环比下跌1.70%，同比下降8.42%，低价区报13.80元/公斤。近期随着气温升高，下游对高价订单的接 受能力有限，终端消费进一步转弱，市场看跌预期逐渐增强。不过随着猪价回落，或有二育入场支撑。同时屠企为控制库存和成 本，采取主动缩量挺价策略，故猪价暂并未出现明显下跌，再次陷入僵持状态，价格整体波动幅度较小。 u 产能：据国家统计据数据显示，2025年3月末能繁母猪存栏为4039万头，较24年12月末的4078万头减少39万头，季度环比降幅为 0.96%；据了解当前养殖户大多选择主动淘汰母猪来应对下半年 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jingji Zhinong is expanding into the IP industry to create a second growth curve for profitability while maintaining its core modern agriculture business [1][3] Group 1: Company Developments - Jingji Zhinong established an IP operation company, Shenzhen Yingyunzhidi Cultural Technology Co., Ltd., to explore new business opportunities in digital cultural creativity [1][3] - The company aims to diversify its revenue streams and enhance its risk resistance through this new venture [3][4] - The company has achieved significant success in modern agriculture, with per capita profit levels entering the industry's top tier [3][4] Group 2: Market Insights - The IP industry is experiencing a golden development period, with a market size reaching trillions of yuan [2][4] - The global IP licensing market reached $356.5 billion in 2023, with China's market expected to exceed 168.9 billion yuan in 2024, showing a 40% year-on-year growth [3][4] Group 3: Strategic Focus - Jingji Zhinong's long-term vision for Yingyunzhidi is to become a global top-tier fashion and art brand, focusing on trendy art and cultural products [4][6] - The company plans to accelerate the development of its new business and strategically allocate funds based on market performance [4][6] - The company is adopting a differentiated strategy by focusing on post-link operations in the IP market, enhancing user engagement and monetization [5][6] Group 4: Competitive Advantages - Jingji Zhinong's unique joint operation model aims to deeply bind with IP partners, providing comprehensive services from derivative product development to user engagement [6][7] - The company has made substantial progress in forming strategic partnerships with emerging artists and leading game IPs, indicating strong growth momentum [6][7]

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证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 05 25 年 月 日 农林牧渔 618 预售，宠物板块迎来开门红 本周热点：618 预售，宠物板块迎来开门红。本届 618 大促中宠物类目 仍然表现突出，展现出持续强劲的爆发力和增长力。天猫宠物发布战 报，618 开卖 100 分钟成交金额超去年首日全天，开卖首小时，653 个 宠物品牌成交同比翻倍，开卖 4 小时，天猫宠物直播成交同比大涨近 180%。 其次，国产品牌在天猫强势崛起，多个品牌战报交出亮眼成绩，上市公 司品牌中，爵宴成交增长超 450%；Toptrees 成交增长超 250%；路斯 宠物猫主粮 GMV 同比增长 103%；弗列加特开卖 90min 成交破百万。 从销售前十品牌看，国产品牌替代趋势仍然明显；根据京东超级秒杀 日战报，猫干粮品牌成交全额 TOP10：皇家、网易严选、麦富迪、Orijen、 天然百利、蓝氏、素力高、弗列加特、爱肯拿、诚实一口；狗干粮品牌 成交 TOP10：皇家、麦富迪、伯纳天纯、网易严选、爱肯拿、疯狂小 狗、海洋之星、Orijen、蓝氏、冠能；根据天猫预售战报看，猫主粮天 猫品牌榜 TOP10：蓝氏、弗 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业策略 gszqdatemark 2025 05 25 年 月 日 行业走势 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 2025-05 农林牧渔 沪深300 作者 农林牧渔 传统与革新交织，优选景气与成长——2025 年中期策略 过去半年，我们看到各肉类蛋白价格保持坚挺，消费有所回升，此外种植 业关注拉尼娜天气周期临近，作物丰产预期或将结束，均指向传统消费领 域景气度好于预期，在市场一致性悲观的时间段里潜在长线的配置机会。 传统消费之外，新消费的方向逐步走向清晰。从大类来看，增进健康与收 获快乐的新消费亮点频现。符合年轻一代快乐消费的主要方向就是宠物相 关行业，包括宠物食品、医疗等，国产品牌在中高端市场加速发力，业绩 与预期双重增强。而涉及健康领域的新方向，包括减糖意识深化带来代糖 产业崛起，健康食品概念的魔芋、金针菇，视力保护概念水果蓝莓等，都 有颇多亮点。 投资建议。基于各板块景气判断与策略，关注标的如下：生猪养殖：牧原 股份、温氏股份、神农集团等；家禽与其他养殖：圣农发展、禾丰股份、 益生股份、立华股份、光明肉业；水产饲料：海 ...

Investment Rating - Maintain "Add" rating for the agricultural sector [5] Core Views - The pet sector showed strong performance during the 618 pre-sale event, with significant sales growth and a notable increase in domestic brand presence [12][13] - In the pig farming sector, the average selling price of lean pigs decreased to 14.46 CNY/kg, down 1.2% from the previous week, indicating a low valuation environment [14][15] - The poultry sector experienced a slight decline in white feather chicken prices, with the average price at 7.36 CNY/kg, down 0.5% [14][30] - The commercialization of genetically modified varieties is expected to enhance growth potential in the agricultural sector [14] - The fluctuation of agricultural product prices and the ongoing adjustment of poultry production capacity present investment opportunities [14] Summary by Sections Weekly Highlights - The pet category performed exceptionally well during the 618 sales event, with sales figures surpassing last year's first-day totals [12] - Domestic brands are gaining market share, with significant sales growth reported for several brands [13] Agricultural Data Tracking - The average selling price of lean pigs is 14.46 CNY/kg, down 1.2% from last week, while the average wholesale price of pork remains stable at 20.95 CNY/kg [15][16] - The average price of white feather chickens is 7.36 CNY/kg, down 0.5%, and the average price of chicken products is stable at 8.86 CNY/kg [30][31] - The price of 15kg piglets decreased to 42.42 CNY/kg, down 2.1% from last week [20][34] Livestock and Poultry - The self-breeding profit for pigs decreased to 48.21 CNY/head, down 32.45 CNY from last week, while the profit from purchased piglets is negative [17][21] - The average price of meat chicken seedlings remains stable at 2.85 CNY each [26][30] Crop and Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is expected to lead to commercial sales, enhancing the growth potential of industry companies [14] - The fluctuation in agricultural product prices is expected to create opportunities for leading feed companies to replace smaller competitors [14]