Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Total profit is accelerating improvement, with emerging manufacturing leading the growth. From January to September 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 537.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%. In September, the profit of industrial enterprises above designated size showed an accelerating recovery trend, with a year-on-year increase of 21.6%, 1.2 percentage points faster than in August. The revenue increased by 2.7% year-on-year, 0.8 percentage points faster than in August, and the monthly growth rate accelerated for two consecutive months [3]. - In terms of structure, emerging manufacturing leads the growth rate. Driven by policies, the profits of the midstream are gradually recovering. High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing are the core driving forces, with profits increasing by 8.7% and 9.4% respectively, jointly driving the overall profit growth by 5 percentage points. More than half of the industries achieved profit growth, and the profits of private and foreign-funded enterprises increased by 5.1% and 4.9% respectively, indicating a general recovery of market vitality. In addition, the operating profit margin of enterprises increased by 0.04 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a steady improvement in profitability quality [4]. Summary by Relevant Catalog 2025 January - September National Industrial Enterprises Above Designated Size Profit - Profit growth: The total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 537.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%. Among them, state-owned holding enterprises' profit was 170.218 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%; joint-stock enterprises' profit was 399.235 billion yuan, an increase of 2.8%; foreign and Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan-invested enterprises' profit was 135.097 billion yuan, an increase of 4.9%; private enterprises' profit was 151.317 billion yuan, an increase of 5.1%. The mining industry's profit was 63.692 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.3%; the manufacturing industry's profit was 406.718 billion yuan, an increase of 9.9%; the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas and water industry's profit was 66.91 billion yuan, an increase of 10.3% [31]. - Revenue and cost: The operating revenue was 102.08 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.4%; the operating cost was 87.34 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.6%; the operating profit margin was 5.26%, a year-on-year increase of 0.04 percentage points. The cost per 100 yuan of operating revenue was 85.56 yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.18 yuan; the expense per 100 yuan of operating revenue was 8.36 yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.16 yuan [32]. - Asset and liability: At the end of September, the total assets were 186.27 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.0%; the total liabilities were 107.96 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.2%; the owner's equity was 78.31 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.7%; the asset-liability ratio was 58.0%, a year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage point. The accounts receivable were 27.22 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%; the finished product inventory was 6.71 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.8% [32][33]. - Other indicators: The operating revenue per 100 yuan of assets was 74.7 yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.9 yuan; the per capita operating revenue was 1.856 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62,000 yuan; the turnover days of finished product inventory were 20.2 days, a year-on-year increase of 0.2 days; the average collection period of accounts receivable was 69.2 days, a year-on-year increase of 3.3 days [35]. Interpretation of Industrial Enterprises' Profit Data by Yu Weining, Statistician of the Industrial Department of the National Bureau of Statistics - Profit recovery: From January to September, the profit of industrial enterprises above designated size accelerated recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, the highest cumulative growth rate since August last year; 2.3 percentage points faster than from January to August. In September, the profit increased by 21.6% year-on-year, 1.2 percentage points faster than in August [37]. - Revenue growth: From January to September, the operating revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 2.4% year-on-year, 0.1 percentage point faster than from January to August. Among them, in September, the revenue increased by 2.7%, 0.8 percentage points faster than in August, and the monthly growth rate accelerated for two consecutive months [38]. - Industry performance: More than half of the industries achieved profit growth, and more than 60% of the industries saw an increase in growth rate. High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing played a significant driving and supporting role. The profit of high-tech manufacturing increased by 8.7% year-on-year, and in September, it increased by 26.8%, driving the profit growth of all industrial enterprises above designated size by 6.1 percentage points. The profit of equipment manufacturing increased by 9.4% year-on-year, and in September, it increased by 25.6%, driving the profit growth of all industrial enterprises above designated size by 10.5 percentage points [38][39][40]. - Enterprise performance: The profits of enterprises of different scales and types have improved. The profits of large, medium and small enterprises increased by 2.5%, 5.3% and 2.7% respectively year-on-year. The profits of private and foreign-funded enterprises increased by 5.1% and 4.9% respectively, 1.8 and 4.0 percentage points faster than from January to August [40]. - Profit margin: From January to September, the operating profit margin of industrial enterprises above designated size was 5.26%, a year-on-year increase of 0.04 percentage points; in September, it was 5.49%, a year-on-year increase of 0.85 percentage points, and it has increased for two consecutive months [41].

Group 1 - An explosion occurred at an underground mine in New South Wales, Australia, resulting in 2 fatalities and 1 injury [1] - The incident took place around 3:45 AM, approximately 560 kilometers northwest of Sydney, near the town of Cobar [1] - The mine involved is known as "Fengjin Mine," which is a silver, zinc, and lead underground mine owned by an Australian mining company [2]

Core Insights - The profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 3.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a notable acceleration in September, where profits grew by 21.6% [1][2] Group 1: Profit Growth - The profit growth rate for industrial enterprises above designated size has continued to rebound, with manufacturing profits increasing by 9.9% and profits in the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector rising by 10.3% [2] - In terms of enterprise size, large, medium, and small enterprises saw profit increases of 2.5%, 5.3%, and 2.7% respectively [2] - Private enterprises and foreign-invested enterprises reported profit growth of 5.1% and 4.9%, respectively, indicating a recovery across different types of enterprises [2] Group 2: Revenue Growth - Revenue for industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 2.4% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with September showing a growth of 2.7% [3] - The profit margin for these enterprises improved, with a profit margin of 5.26% in the first three quarters, increasing to 5.49% in September [3] Group 3: Industrial Value Added - The industrial value added for enterprises above designated size increased by 6.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with manufacturing growing by 6.8% [4][5] - A significant majority of industries saw growth, with 37 out of 41 major industrial categories reporting an increase in value added [5] Group 4: High-tech and Green Manufacturing - High-tech manufacturing value added grew by 9.6%, contributing 24.7% to the overall industrial growth [6] - The production of green products, such as new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries, saw substantial increases, with production growth rates of 29.7% and 46.9%, respectively [7]

Core Viewpoint - The profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China has shown a significant recovery in the first three quarters of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 3.2%, accelerating by 2.3 percentage points compared to the first eight months. In September alone, profits surged by 21.6%, indicating a strong recovery trend [1][2]. Group 1: Profit and Revenue Analysis - In the first nine months, the profit growth of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 3.2%, marking the highest cumulative growth rate since August of the previous year. The manufacturing sector saw a profit increase of 9.9%, while the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector grew by 10.3%. Conversely, the mining sector experienced a decline of 29.3%, although the decline has narrowed by 1.3 percentage points [2]. - Revenue for industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 2.4% year-on-year in the first nine months, with September's revenue growth reaching 2.7%, up by 0.8 percentage points from August. This consistent revenue growth over two months has created favorable conditions for ongoing profit recovery [3]. Group 2: Industrial Value Added - The industrial value added for enterprises above designated size grew by 6.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters. The manufacturing sector's growth rate was 6.8%, surpassing the overall industrial growth by 0.6 percentage points. The mining and electricity sectors grew by 5.8% and 2%, respectively [4]. - Among 41 major industrial categories, 37 reported year-on-year growth in value added, resulting in a growth coverage of 90.2%. In terms of products, 385 out of 623 major industrial products saw an increase in output, achieving a growth coverage of 61.8% [5]. Group 3: Trends in Manufacturing - The high-tech manufacturing sector's value added increased by 9.6% year-on-year, contributing 24.7% to the overall growth of industrial enterprises above designated size. Key industries such as integrated circuit manufacturing and biopharmaceuticals saw significant growth rates of 22.4% and 11.8%, respectively [6]. - The digital product manufacturing sector also experienced a value added growth of 9.7%, exceeding the overall industrial growth by 3.5 percentage points. Industries like smart device manufacturing reported a 12.2% increase [7]. Group 4: Green Manufacturing Initiatives - The production of green products has seen substantial growth, with output for new energy vehicles, lithium-ion batteries for vehicles, and charging piles increasing by 29.7%, 46.9%, and 22.2%, respectively. Additionally, green energy equipment such as wind turbines and solar cells also reported significant output increases [7].

Core Insights - The 2025 China International Mining Conference highlighted significant advancements in mineral exploration and resource management in China, as detailed in the "China Mineral Resources Report (2025)" released by the Ministry of Natural Resources [1][2][3] Group 1: Investment and Discoveries - In 2022, China invested 115.994 billion yuan in geological exploration, marking four consecutive years of growth [1] - A total of 150 new mineral sites were discovered, including 49 large, 54 medium, and 47 small sites, with notable finds in fluorite, lithium, gold, and iron [1] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, nearly 450 billion yuan was invested in exploration, resulting in the discovery of 10 large oil fields and 19 large gas fields [2] Group 2: Resource Production and Growth - In 2024, fixed asset investment in the mining industry is expected to grow by 10.5%, with continuous increases in the production of 10 types of non-ferrous metals and record-high outputs for coal, crude oil, and natural gas [1][2] - The newly discovered geological reserves of coalbed methane in the Ordos Basin exceeded 300 billion cubic meters, nearing the total added over the past decade [2] Group 3: Green Development and Ecological Restoration - China is advancing green mining practices, implementing standards for 125 mineral types to enhance resource utilization efficiency [2] - Efforts are underway to improve ecological conditions in mining areas, including the restoration of abandoned sites and the establishment of legal frameworks for ecological rehabilitation [2] Group 4: Regulatory and Technological Innovations - The new Mineral Resources Law aims to ensure resource security, protect mining rights, and foster a fair market environment [3] - In 2024, China will implement 10 national standards and 85 industry standards in the mineral resources sector, focusing on technological innovation and research [3] - International cooperation in the mining sector is being strengthened, with increased openness to foreign investment and collaboration with energy resource countries [3]

Core Insights - The profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China increased by 3.2% year-on-year in the first nine months, marking the highest cumulative growth rate since August of the previous year, and accelerating by 2.3 percentage points compared to the first eight months [1] - In September, the profit growth rate reached 21.6% year-on-year, indicating significant improvement in the manufacturing sector due to policy support and recovering market demand [2] - Revenue growth for industrial enterprises also accelerated, with a 2.4% year-on-year increase in the first nine months, and a 2.7% increase in September, contributing positively to profit recovery [2] Revenue and Profit Margins - The operating revenue profit margin for industrial enterprises was 5.26% in the first nine months, a year-on-year increase of 0.04 percentage points, while in September, it rose to 5.49%, an increase of 0.85 percentage points [2] - The decrease in costs and expenses per hundred yuan of operating revenue indicates effective cost control and product structure optimization by enterprises [2] Performance by Enterprise Size - Profit growth was observed across all sizes of enterprises, with private and foreign enterprises showing particularly notable increases. Large, medium, and small enterprises saw profit growth rates of 2.5%, 5.3%, and 2.7% respectively in the first nine months [2] Sector Performance - The manufacturing sector grew by 9.9% in the first nine months, while the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply sector grew by 10.3%. The mining sector experienced a decline of 29.3%, but the rate of decline has narrowed [3] - Among 41 major industrial categories, 23 saw year-on-year profit growth, with 30 industries experiencing profit growth in September, representing a growth rate of 73.2% [3] Future Outlook - The industrial sector is expected to continue its recovery, with a focus on expanding domestic demand and strengthening the domestic economic cycle to promote stable and healthy industrial economic development [3]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Industrial enterprise profits are recovering at an accelerated pace, with the cumulative year - on - year growth of profits of industrial enterprises above designated size significantly increasing. The profit growth rate in September continued to be high, indicating an accelerated recovery of corporate profitability [4]. - Structurally, the year - on - year total profits of the three major sectors have all increased compared to the previous period, and the equipment manufacturing industry has provided strong support. Profits of enterprises of different types and scales have improved [5][6]. - In the bond market, it showed an independent trend on the day of the report. The central bank will resume open - market treasury bond trading. In the context of economic expectation correction, bond yields are expected to rise trend - wise [7][8]. 3. Section Summaries Industrial Enterprise Profit Situation - **Overall Profit Growth**: From January to September, the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 3.2% year - on - year, 2.3 percentage points higher than that from January to August, reaching the highest cumulative growth rate since August 2024. In September, the profits increased by 21.6% year - on - year, 1.2 percentage points higher than in August [4]. - **Factor Analysis**: From January to September, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.2% year - on - year, remaining the same as from January to August; the PPI of all industrial products decreased by 2.8% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.1 percentage points; the operating income profit margin decreased by 0.19 percentage points year - on - year, with the decline recovering by 1.68 percentage points. Stable volume, slightly rising prices, and recovering profit margins led to a significant increase in the cumulative profits of industrial enterprises above designated size [5]. Structural Analysis - **By Sector**: From January to September, the total profits of the mining industry decreased by 29.3% year - on - year (previously - 30.6%), the manufacturing industry increased by 9.9% (previously + 7.4%), and the public utilities increased by 10.3% (previously + 9.4%). The profit decline of the mining industry narrowed by 1.3 percentage points, the manufacturing industry increased by 2.5 percentage points, and the public utilities increased by 0.9 percentage points. The profits of the equipment manufacturing industry above designated size increased by 9.4%, 6.2 percentage points higher than the average level of all industrial enterprises above designated size, driving the profit growth of all industrial enterprises above designated size by 3.4 percentage points [5]. - **By Enterprise Nature**: From January to September, the profits of state - owned enterprises decreased by 0.3% year - on - year (previously - 1.7%), joint - stock enterprises increased by 2.8% (previously + 1.1%), foreign - invested and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan - invested enterprises increased by 4.9% (previously + 0.9%), and private enterprises increased by 5.1% (previously + 3.3%). The profit growth of private enterprises was 1.9 percentage points higher than the average level of all industrial enterprises above designated size, and 1.8 percentage points faster than from January to August. The profits of large, medium, and small enterprises all improved [6]. - **By Industrial Chain Position**: From January to September, the cumulative profit of upstream raw material mining accounted for 11.9% of the profits of industrial enterprises above designated size (previously 12.1%), the middle - stream material manufacturing accounted for 15.8% (previously 15.6%), the downstream equipment manufacturing accounted for 38.1% (previously 37.5%), the downstream consumer goods manufacturing accounted for 21.1% (previously 21.3%), other manufacturing accounted for 0.6% (unchanged), and public utilities accounted for 12.5% (previously 12.9%) [6]. Inventory and Asset - Liability Ratio - At the end of September, the nominal and real inventory year - on - year were 2.6% (previously + 2.1%) and 4.9% (previously + 5.0%) respectively, with changes of + 0.5 percentage points and - 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous period. The real inventory decreased year - on - year. The overall asset - liability ratio of industrial enterprises at the end of September was 58.0%, the same as the previous period [7]. Bond Market Situation - **Market Performance**: In the morning session, bond yields rose, possibly pricing in the positive outcome of China - US negotiations. Although the equity market performed well during the day, it did not suppress the bond market. The bond market showed an independent trend, and the yields of interest - rate bonds generally declined. After the central bank's statement on resuming open - market treasury bond trading, long - term yields dropped rapidly. The yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond dropped by about 3bp, and the yields of the 10 - year CDB active bond and the 30 - year treasury bond active bond dropped by about 4bp [7]. - **Market Outlook**: In the context of economic expectation correction, bond yields are expected to rise trend - wise. The report maintains its view on stock - bond allocation [8].

Group 1: Profit and Revenue Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises reached CNY 53,732.0 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, with growth accelerating by 2.3 percentage points compared to January-August[1] - In September alone, industrial enterprise profits grew by 21.6% year-on-year, with a month-on-month acceleration of 1.2 percentage points from August[1] - The operating income of industrial enterprises increased by 2.4% year-on-year, slightly up by 0.1 percentage points from January-August, achieving CNY 74.7 per hundred yuan of assets[1] Group 2: Cost and Profitability Metrics - The operating costs of industrial enterprises rose by 2.6% year-on-year, with an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to January-August[1] - The operating income profit margin for industrial enterprises was 5.3% in the first three quarters[1] - The average collection period for accounts receivable was 69.2 days, shortened by 0.9 days compared to January-August[16] Group 3: Industrial Activity and Price Trends - The industrial added value grew by 6.2% year-on-year, maintaining the same growth rate as January-August, supporting current industrial enterprise profitability[2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) and the PPI for production materials both showed negative year-on-year growth, declining by 2.8% and 3.3% respectively, although the rate of decline slightly narrowed by 0.1 percentage points from August[2] - Manufacturing contributed positively to the overall profitability of industrial enterprises, with a profit increase of 9.9% year-on-year, accelerating by 2.5 percentage points from January-August[10]

Group 1: Profit Growth Overview - In September, industrial enterprises' profits increased by 21.6% year-on-year, marking two consecutive months of over 20% growth[3] - Revenue for the same period saw a year-on-year increase of 2.7%[6] - The profit growth is significantly supported by the export chain industries, indicating the importance of external demand in the current low domestic demand environment[3] Group 2: Industry Performance - Manufacturing profits rose by 29.4% year-on-year, while mining profits decreased by 16.8%[9] - State-owned enterprises reported a profit increase of 12.7% year-on-year, contributing positively to overall profit growth[9] - The export chain, particularly in sectors like computers, automobiles, and general equipment, contributed 8.1 percentage points to the profit growth[9] Group 3: Inventory and Demand Dynamics - By the end of September, nominal growth in finished goods inventory rose to 2.8%, while actual inventory growth fell to 5.2%[9] - The inventory turnover days decreased to 20.2 days, indicating improved sales and reduced turnover pressure[9] - External demand remains crucial for profit growth, with future export trends being a key observation point for industrial profits[9] Group 4: Risks and Future Outlook - Short-term export growth may face significant pressure due to last year's high base effects[3] - Mid-term outlook appears optimistic as global trade demand may improve with potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve[3] - Risks include increased volatility in the external economic environment and uncertainties in policy responses[8]

Core Insights - Xinjiang's economy has shown overall stability and progress in the first three quarters of the year, with a year-on-year increase in industrial added value of 7.3% [1] Economic Performance - The industrial added value growth is categorized into three main sectors: manufacturing (10.9%), mining (6.0%), and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply (3.2%) [1] - By economic type, the added value growth for state-owned enterprises, private enterprises, and joint-stock enterprises is 3.1%, 6.6%, and 7.6% respectively [1] Key Industries - Among 12 key industries, notable growth includes: - Non-ferrous metal mining and selection (37.6%) - Textile industry (26.8%) - Non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing (18.0%) - Gas production and supply (12.4%) - Chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing (11.4%) - Petroleum, coal, and other fuel processing (10.1%) [1] Private Sector Performance - The added value of private enterprises in the industrial sector has increased by 15.8%, surpassing the overall industrial added value growth by 8.5 percentage points [1]