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内需平稳复苏,新消费急先锋
2025-04-30 02:08
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Alcohol Industry - The liquor industry is showing a stable recovery with major companies like Moutai setting a 9% revenue growth target, Wuliangye aligning with macro indicators, and Luzhou Laojiao emphasizing steady growth. The supply-side pressure in the industry has significantly eased, and channel feedback is expected to improve [1][3]. - Moutai and Wuliangye have reported double-digit growth, slightly exceeding market expectations, while Luzhou Laojiao's cash flow performance is better than its apparent data [3]. Beer Industry - The beer sector performed well in Q1 2025, with small breweries like Zhujiang and Yanjing showing outstanding results. Qingdao Beer and Chongqing Beer met expectations, and structural improvements are noted despite pressure on ton prices [4][5]. Beverage Industry - The beverage sector continues to trend towards health and functionality, with Dongpeng Beverage showing high growth and new products like health water from Lululemon gaining attention. Nongfu Spring is also highlighted as a company to watch [6]. Dairy Industry - The dairy sector is experiencing supply-side adjustments, with Yili's Q1 report showing positive revenue growth. The improvement in demand is expected to resonate with the raw milk cycle, while Mengniu is noted for its defensive attributes [7]. Snack Industry - The snack sector is exhibiting a new consumption growth trend, with companies like Weilong and Yuyou revising their forecasts upward. Yuyou has entered new channels, and Ganyuan's overseas market prospects for Q2 are promising [8]. Textile and Apparel Industry - The textile and apparel industry is showing a trend of low performance followed by high recovery, particularly in sports apparel. Anta Sports is effectively managing multiple brands, while home textile companies like Luolai and Mercury Home Textile are seen as defensive investments [11][12]. Key Recommendations - **Liquor**: Recommended stocks include Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, and regional leaders like Fenjiu and Wuliangye [10]. - **Beer**: Focus on Qingdao Beer and its strong dividend yield [5]. - **Dairy**: Yili and Mengniu are highlighted as key players [10]. - **Beverages**: Nongfu Spring and Lululemon are recommended [10]. - **Snacks**: Weilong, Yuyou, and Ganyuan are noted for their growth potential [10]. - **Textiles**: Anta Sports and home textile brands like Luolai are recommended for their defensive qualities [11][12]. Additional Insights - The pig farming sector is currently valued highly, with pig prices remaining elevated, but the breeding sector's outlook is cautious due to limited capacity recovery. Key companies to watch include Muyuan, Shennong Group, and Dekang [2][20]. - The poultry industry, particularly yellow feathered chickens, is facing challenges with prices down from last year, but companies like Lihua and Wens continue to expand [21]. - The retail sector is experiencing rapid growth, especially in the snack segment, with companies like Liangpinpuzi expected to open numerous new stores [33][34]. - The home appliance industry is focusing on tariff adjustments and new consumption trends, with companies like Vanward Electric and TCL Electronics showing strong performance [37][38].
万辰集团(300972):Q1业绩超预期 行业进入净利率上升通道
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 00:44
Group 1 - The company achieved revenue of 10.82 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 124.0% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 210 million yuan, up 3344.1% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was also 210 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10562.3% [1] - The snack wholesale business maintained a doubling growth trend, with revenue of 10.688 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 127.6% [1] Group 2 - The net profit margin of the wholesale business significantly improved quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 412 million yuan after excluding share-based payment expenses, resulting in a net profit margin of 3.85% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 11.0%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the sales/management expense ratio decreased by 0.7% and 0.5% year-on-year, respectively [1] - The company expects to see continued growth in profitability, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 of 944 million, 1.257 billion, and 1.608 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 221.68%, 33.18%, and 27.85%, respectively [2]
年销555亿,1.5万家门店,平价零食霸主要IPO了
创业邦· 2025-04-29 23:47
从 40 ㎡小店起步,到 1.5 万家门店、年销 555 亿,占据全国量贩零食市场 28.6% ,零食巨头 " 鸣鸣很忙 " 正冲刺港股 IPO 。 今天带大家看看这匹零食界的黑马。 详情请戳视频 以上就是本期全部内容,如果您想了解更多 最新 企业 动态, 欢迎登录 睿兽分析 查看,解锁 赛道 图谱 以及 行业报告 。 4月28日,湖南鸣鸣很忙商业连锁股份有限公司向港交所递交招股书,计划以"零食很忙"和"赵一鸣零 食"双品牌登陆资本市场。 招股书显示,公司2024年实现门店零售额555亿元,全年交易超16亿笔,已是中国最大休闲零食连锁零售 商。 ...
沃尔玛等企业通知中国供应商恢复供货;上海机场2024年归母净利润翻倍|消费早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-04-29 23:34
Group 1 - Walmart and other US retailers have notified Chinese suppliers to resume shipments, with the cost of tariffs being borne by the US buyers, indicating a resilience in the supply chain despite tariff barriers [1] - The ongoing trade dynamics reflect a strong demand in Sino-US economic relations, highlighting the importance of maintaining supply chain stability [1] Group 2 - Shanghai Airport reported a nearly 12% year-on-year increase in revenue for 2024, reaching approximately 12.4 billion yuan, with net profit doubling to nearly 2 billion yuan [2] - The growth in performance is attributed to a record passenger throughput of over 124 million at Shanghai's two major airports, surpassing pre-pandemic levels [2] - However, a decline in duty-free business revenue raises concerns about structural risks in non-aviation operations, linked to weakened consumer spending and cross-border channel shifts [2] Group 3 - Nike's After Dark Tour in Shanghai attracted over 12,000 registrations, with 3,500 female runners participating, emphasizing the brand's focus on the female sports market [3] - The initiative aligns with Nike's strategic shift under new CEO Elliott Hill, aiming to reinforce its professional sports image and capitalize on the growing trend of health-conscious female consumers [3] - To maintain competitive advantage, Nike must differentiate its products, such as through specialized women's running shoes, to avoid homogenization in the market [3] Group 4 - Hunan Mingming Hen Mang has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, reporting revenues of 4.286 billion yuan, 10.295 billion yuan, and 39.344 billion yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively [4] - The company has expanded to 14,394 stores across 28 provinces, with approximately 58% located in county and township areas, demonstrating significant growth in the affordable snack sector [4] - The rapid revenue growth of nearly tenfold over three years indicates the potential of the low-tier market, but challenges remain in supply chain management and competition in the industry [4]
蜜雪冰城的学徒:393亿营收、1.4万+门店的薄利生意
36氪未来消费· 2025-04-29 14:55
可复制的规模,难以复制的利润率。 作者 | 李小霞 编辑 | 乔芊 当上市不到两个月的蜜雪冰城在港交所股价突破500港元,市值近2000亿港元时,零食界的"蜜雪冰城"——鸣鸣很忙也启动了IPO步伐,4月28日,正式 向港交所递交上市申请。 关于鸣鸣很忙的上市传闻最早可追溯到2023年(当时为零食很忙),同年8月,原明越资本联合创始人王钰潼加入公司担任CFO。而一家公司设立CFO 岗位,往往被看作准备上市的信号。 时至今日,可能很多人对旗下的零食很忙以及赵一鸣零食都不会陌生, 其明黄色和红色的招牌,正在渗透到全国的县城、乡镇。 零食很忙由晏周于2017 年 3 月在湖南长沙创立,赵一鸣零食由赵定于 2019 年 1月在江西宜春创立。 自2023年合并后到去年底,二者门店数量加起来14394家,覆盖全国28个省份和所有县级城市。 万店规模一直是连锁品牌所追求的里程式目标,但踏进来并不容易。两年前,多家茶饮咖啡企业喊出万店口号,目前国内也只有蜜雪冰城、瑞幸、古茗实 现。 迈过万店门槛,销售额、营收也同步水涨船高。 根据招股书显示,鸣鸣很忙2024年门店销售额为555亿元,营收为393亿元,毛利约30亿,净利润为9亿 ...
万辰集团(300972):利润率向上兑现,验证业态强竞争力
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-29 14:46
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2] Core Views - The company demonstrated strong competitive advantages in its business model, with a significant revenue increase of 124% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching 10.82 billion yuan, and a notable rise in net profit to 215 million yuan from 6 million yuan in Q1 2024 [1][2] - The snack retail business achieved revenue of 10.69 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a net profit margin of 3.85%, reflecting a sequential improvement of 1.11 percentage points from Q4 2024 [2] - The company is expected to maintain a strong return on equity (ROE) of 47.1% in 2025, with projected net profits of 978 million yuan and a revenue forecast of 54.77 billion yuan [3] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company reported total revenue of 10.82 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a 124% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 215 million yuan, compared to 6 million yuan in Q1 2024 [1][2] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 11%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the sales expense ratio and management expense ratio decreased by 0.7 and 0.5 percentage points, respectively [2] Business Model and Competitive Advantage - The company’s snack retail business continues to show strong competitive advantages, with a significant number of stores (14,196) contributing to its market position [2] - The business model is characterized by "low margin, high turnover," with inventory turnover days maintained at 15-16 days, indicating efficient inventory management [2] Future Projections - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are 54.77 billion yuan and 19.2 billion yuan, and 67.19 billion yuan and 25.3 billion yuan, respectively, with an upward adjustment in net profit for 2025 to 980 million yuan [2][3] - The company is expected to continue improving its return on equity, with projections of 47.1% in 2025 and 38.7% in 2026 [3]
食品饮料周报:政治局会议定调积极,看好饮料旺季催化
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-29 12:23
行业报告 | 行业研究周报 食品饮料 证券研究报告 食品饮料周报:政治局会议定调积极,看好饮料旺季催化 市场表现复盘 本周(4 月 21 日-4 月 25 日)食品饮料板块/沪深 300 涨跌幅分别-1.36%/+0.38%。具体板块来 看,本周零食(+4.50%)、软饮料(+2.21%)、其他酒类(+0.06%)、调味发酵品(-0.33%)、肉 制品(-0.53%)、啤酒(-0.72%)、保健品(-1.28%)、白酒 III(-1.75%)。 周观点更新 白酒:五一临近关注宴席场景拉动,Q1 板块释压预计总体持平微增。本周白酒板块-1.75%, 表现弱于食品饮料整体以及沪深 300,我们认为主要系:①当前处白酒消费淡季,需求端总体 仍偏弱;②25Q1 行业主动调整去库存&高基数背景下报表端预计承压。本周舍得酒业、华致 酒行发布一季报,天佑德酒、顺鑫农业、五粮液、老白干酒发布年报&一季报,总体表现符合 预期(五粮液25Q1略超预期),从目前发布的酒企财报来看预计降速释压仍是酒企24Q4&25Q1 主旋律。五一旺季来临各头部品牌纷纷加码婚宴投入力度,从多地酒店宴席预订量增长情况来 看,五一期间白酒宴席场景预计有 ...
传承基石,创新未来:佑磊新征程启航——专访佑磊国际有限公司经理兼财务长刘孝婷
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 11:22
刘孝婷在新加坡圣淘沙岛举行的2024 BIZZ ASIA活动上 荣获商业卓越奖 创业精神铸就根基 文 / 傅志辰 佑磊起源于中国台湾,由刘孝婷的父母一手创办,从最初的石材行业开发开始,经营范围逐步扩大至国际贸易等领域。如今,刘孝婷将要接过父母肩上的重 担,以负责佑磊石业开发有限公司以及佑磊国际有限公司的财务和国际贸易板块为起点,带领佑磊更加坚定地走下去,以创新理念为佑磊注入新活力,开拓 更加广阔的发展空间。 总部位于瑞士洛桑的欧洲质量研究协会是致力于研究、评估并推动各行业质量管理提升的国际组织,"质量选择奖"是授予关注商业伦理、重视凭借以质量为 导向的管理实践提升服务水平的企业。 对于刘孝婷而言,父母的创业故事一直伴随着她的成长,他们的创业精神也深深塑造了她的性格与价值观。 "我母亲的创业思维和解决问题的方式令我印象深刻。因为对天然石材的热爱,我的母亲李仪娉在20多岁时便和我的父亲一起投身于石材行业。白手起家是 十分不易的,但母亲始终坚守自己的原则。她曾告诉我,务实、以客户为中心是商业成功的关键。在我看来,正是这些价值观帮助她不断取得突破。"刘孝 婷说。 刘孝婷表示,母亲非常重视佑磊的企业文化建设。她介绍,佑 ...
三只松鼠(300783):春节错期影响Q1业绩 关注线下分销进展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 11:04
线上渠道势能不减,线下分销持续发力。在线上,公司依托"D+N"全渠道协同体系,短视频电商定 位"新品类发动机",主动打造爆品,并在货架电商有效承接,带动综合电商稳步增长。在线下,24年5 月公司召开全域生态大会,发布了新的区域分销模式,提出百万终端,百亿规模的"双百目标"。公司重 点聚焦分销业务,逐步推动日销品区域化深度分销的打造。 构建全品类产品矩阵,爱折扣完善社区折扣业态布局。在"高端性价比"总战略牵引下,公司加速零食产 品上新,为全渠道适配并经营全品类零食,24全年累计上线超1000款SKU。公司通过"一品一链"的供应 链管理模式,重新梳理价值链,做强一批大单品;通过"品销合一"的协同价值观,做强新组织。24年10 月公司公告收购爱折扣,完善硬折扣社区业态的全面布局。 公司发布25年一季报,实现营业收入37.23亿元,同比微增2.13%。归母净利润为2.39亿元,同比下降 22.46%;扣非归母净利润为1.62亿元,同比下降38.31%。 平安观点: 毛利率小幅下滑,净利率短期承压。25Q1公司毛利率同比小幅下滑0.66个百分点至26.74%;销售费用 率为18.67%,同比增长2.41个百分点,反映了 ...
动荡中的良品铺子再换帅,杨红春第三次掌舵
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 10:51
智通财经记者 | 卢奕贝 智通财经编辑 | 牙韩翔 创始人之一的杨红春再度成为良品铺子总经理。 但这条路没有走通。 4月28日晚,良品铺子发布2024年年度报告及2025年第一季度报告。财报董事、监事和高级管理人员的情况显示,目前杨红春为公司董事及总经理,其中总 经理任期显示为2025年4月26日至2026年11月26日。 不久前的3月被选举为董事长,且由其代行总经理职责的程虹,总经理(代行)任期于4月26日终止,董事长任期终止日期则显示为2026年11月26日。此外, 杨银芬仍为公司董事。 | 姓名 | 职务 | 性 别 | स्ट 龄 | 任期起始日期 | 任期终止日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 重事长 | | | 2025/03/01 | 2026/11/26 | | 程虹 | | | | | | | | 总经理(代 | 男 | 62 | 2025/03/01 | 2025/04/26 | | | 行) | | | | | | | 重事 | | | 2022/09/15 | 2026/11/26 | | 杨红春 | 重事 | 男 | 52 | ...