行 业 有色金属行业 标配（维持） 有色金属行业双周报（2026/01/16-2026/01/29） 金属价格高位震荡，有色板块分化加剧 2026 年 1 月 30 日 S0340523120001 电话：0769-23320072 邮箱： xuzhengkun@dgzq.com.cn 行 业 研 究 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind 相关报告 投资要点： 申万有色金属行业指数走势 贵金属。黄金方面，近期在地缘局势扰动以及资金涌入等推动下，黄金价格 再度上行。短期需重点关注避险情绪退却、投机资金退出等风险。截至1月29 日，COMEX黄金价格收于5410.80美元/盎司，较1月初上涨1068.9美元，COMEX 白银价格收于115.79元/盎司，较1月初上涨44.81美元，上海黄金交易所黄金 Au（T+D）价格收于1243.40元/克，较1月初上涨269.01元。建议关注紫金矿 业（601899）。 工业金属。在全球降息周期开启的大背景下，有色金属价格屡创新高。随着 主流工业金属铜、锡等供需格局加快转好，以及工业金属补涨贵金属的机会 仍存，工业金属价格有望进一步上行。截至1月29日，LME铜价收于1370 ...

| 序号 | 板块 | 涨跌幅(%)▼ | 总成交量 (万手) ▼ | 总成交额(亿元) ▼ | 净流入 (亿元) ▼ | 上涨家数 | 下跌家数 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 种植业与林业 | 3.81 | 2725.72 | 254.49 | 2.80 | ટર | 5 | | 2 | 造纸 | 2.65 | 815.26 | 53.97 | 2.87 | 18 | র্ব | | 3 | 影视院线 | 1.84 | 1471.20 | 164.68 | 7.36 | 12 | 6 | | র্ব | 通信设备 | 1.72 | 2607.68 | 1523.66 | 150.55 | 51 | 37 | | 5 | 环保设备 | 1.53 | 279.14 | 37.87 | 1.32 | 22 | 7 | | 6 | 橡胶制品 | 1.50 | 292.00 | 52.06 | 2.81 | 14 | 7 | | 7 | 自动化设备 | 1.35 | 865.25 | 387.35 | 11.47 | 62 | 27 ...

1月最后一个交易日的早盘，A股主要指数涨跌不一。 热门行业指数集体重挫，工业有色指数盘中下跌9%，黄金股票指数盘中下跌8.7%，A股资源指数、稀土产业指数盘中跌幅达6%，大宗商品指数盘中跌幅 超4%，成份股普遍走低，光伏产业指数盘中下跌3%。 从市场结构看，杀跌的主力，主要是前期大涨的资源股。贵金属里的晓程科技、赤峰黄金等跌停，稀土股里的华宏科技跌停，工业金属股里的铜陵有色、 兴业银锡、江西铜业纷纷跌停，培育钻石股里的黄河旋风跌停。 【导读】今日上午A股三大指数涨跌不一，CPO、农牧饲渔、旅游酒店板块大涨，资源股重挫，个股掀"跌停潮" A股风云突变。 1月30日早盘，A股市场迎来大变化。三大指数上演"过山车"行情，A股多个指数开盘集体杀跌，科创综指盘中跌超2.5%，上证指数、深证成指、创业板指 均一度跌超2%。随后多个指数涨跌出现分化，创业板指翻红。 风云突变 光模块（CPO）概念板块领涨市场，农牧饲渔、旅游酒店、通信设备等板块涨幅居前。 截至午间收盘，沪指报4108.46点，跌1.19%，重回4100点；深证成指走弱跌0.96%；创业板指涨0.8%。 个股跌多涨少，全市场共有3872只个股下跌，仅有1494 ...

1月30日早盘，A股市场迎来大变化。三大指数上演"过山车"行情，A股多个指数开盘集体杀 跌，科创综指盘中跌超2.5%，上证指数、深证成指、创业板指均一度跌超2%。随后多个指 数涨跌出现分化，创业板指翻红。 上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 风云突变 1月最后一个交易日的早盘，A股主要指数涨跌不一。 热门行业指数集体重挫，工业有色指数盘中下跌9%，黄金股票指数盘中下跌8.7%，A股资源 指数、稀土产业指数盘中跌幅达6%，大宗商品指数盘中跌幅超4%，成份股普遍走低，光伏 产业指数盘中下跌3%。 从市场结构看，杀跌的主力，主要是前期大涨的资源股。 贵金属里的晓程科技、赤峰黄金等 跌停，稀土股里的华宏科技跌停，工业金属股里的铜陵有色、兴业银锡、江西铜业纷纷跌 停，培育钻石股里的黄河旋风跌停。 光模块（CPO）概念板块领涨市场，农牧饲渔、旅游酒店、通信设备等板块涨幅居前。 截至午间收盘，沪指报4108.46点，跌1.19%，重回4100点；深证成指走弱跌0.96%；创业 板指涨0.8%。 个股跌多涨少，全市场共有3872只个股下跌，仅有1494只个股上涨，27只 ...

中国经济网北京1月30日讯 A股三大指数早盘涨跌不一，截至午间收盘，上证指数报4108.46点，跌幅 1.19%；深证成指报14162.20点，跌幅0.96%；创业板指报3330.91点，涨幅0.80%。 行业板块方面，种植业与林业、影视院线、通信设备等板块涨幅居前，贵金属、工业金属、小金属等 板块跌幅居前。 A股市场板块涨跌幅排行 | 序号 | 板块 | 涨跌幅(%)▼ | | 总成交量 (万手) = 总成交额 (亿元) ▼ | 净流入 (亿元) ▼ | 上涨家数 | 下跌家数 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 种植业与林业 | 4.12 | 2087.82 | 195.75 | 8.03 | ટર | 5 | | 2 | 影视院线 | 1.82 | 1056.83 | 119.04 | 6.96 | 11 | 8 | | 3 | 通信设备 | 1.22 | 1776.02 | 964.49 | 76.90 | 44 | 45 | | 4 | 旅游及酒店 | 1.13 | 820.22 | 81.53 | 3.31 | 25 ...

Group 1 - The precious metals and industrial metals sectors experienced a significant drop, with stocks like Xiaocheng Technology hitting the daily limit down, and several gold and silver concept stocks also reaching their limit down prices [1] - Spot gold fell over 4%, dropping below $5200, while spot silver declined more than 5%, falling below $110, indicating extreme market volatility [1] - Analysts attribute the sharp decline in gold and silver prices to profit-taking by investors after recent price highs, with David Meger from High Ridge Futures noting a wave of selling following record highs in precious metal prices [1] Group 2 - The London gold price was reported at $5187.647, reflecting a decrease of $189.513 or 3.52% from previous levels, with a trading range between a high of $5451.010 and a low of $5111.960 [2] - The London silver price was recorded at $110.566, down by $5.300 or 4.57%, with a trading range showing a high of $118.466 and a low of $107.947 [3]

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 30 日 日内风格和题材迅速轮动。早盘黄金股和油气资源高开，但随后快速回落；与此同时，AI应用迅速上涨， SW 传媒指数一度涨超 6%，科技成为上午行情的焦点。临近中午，有色行情迎来修复，稀土永磁板块领涨。值得 注意的是，上午地产板块同样走强，低位补涨成为交易线索，为下午的风格转换埋下伏笔。午后，市场风格由成 长转换到价值，白酒接力地产迅速走强，中证白酒指数全天大涨 9.79%，成分股除贵州茅台外全部涨停，同时贵 金属、AI应用、稀土行情均显著回落。 如何看待市场风格从科技迅速切换至白酒？其一，在商业航天行情之后，结构行情基本呈现"范围更小，烈 度更强"的现象，例如 AI应用、光伏、有色金属。在这种情况下，指数维持震荡状态，而结构层面则波涛汹涌。 今日的白酒行情，同样属于这样"定点突破"的范畴。其二，白酒行情 1 月中旬以来持续下跌，存在一定的反弹 预期。但如此迅速的拉升，并不是常规的反弹&风格切换，而是偏好推升行情加速的资金同样参与其中，这也意味 着潜在反弹空间被过快消耗，反弹的持续性有待观察。其三，资金尝试推升科技时被白酒行情阻 ...

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes the resilience of the A-share market amidst multiple overseas risks and signals of regulatory easing in China, suggesting that the relationship between market performance and regulatory changes warrants further consideration [5][12] - It highlights the significant outperformance of the A-share market compared to other major indices, particularly the CSI 300, which has faced substantial redemption pressure [5][12] - The report suggests that investors should not overly worry about the CSI 300's performance, as it has already aligned with regulatory easing requirements, reducing the necessity for further pressure [5][12] Group 2: Economic Insights - China's exports continued to show strong performance in December, driven by overseas investment during a global easing cycle, positively impacting sectors like electrical and mechanical equipment [6][13] - Domestic consumption is recovering, with a rebound in per capita consumer spending in the fourth quarter, aligning with the report's annual strategy predictions [6][13] - The report notes that recent government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing real estate are expected to support synchronized recovery in both domestic and external demand [6][13] Group 3: Asset Allocation and Investment Recommendations - The report identifies a dual focus for 2026 on physical assets and Chinese assets, with thematic investments being essential [7][16] - Recommended sectors include physical assets such as copper, aluminum, tin, gold, lithium, and oil, alongside Chinese equipment export chains like electrical grid equipment and renewable energy [7][16] - The report also highlights sectors benefiting from capital market expansion and improving long-term asset returns, such as non-bank financials and consumer sectors like aviation and duty-free retail [7][16] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - **Yunnan Aluminum Co. (000807.SZ)**: The report recommends a long-term investment due to favorable conditions for aluminum exports and a strong balance sheet, with potential for increased dividends [18] - **Hua Aluminum (600301.SH)**: The company is seen as a strong growth candidate due to rising tin and antimony prices and its position as a key beneficiary of metal consolidation in Guangxi [19] - **Yingliu Co. (603308.SH)**: The report anticipates a surge in global gas turbine demand, positioning the company to increase its market share in turbine blades [20] - **Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ)**: The company is recognized for its strong cash flow from cement operations and potential for significant dividends [21] - **Pop Mart (9992.HK)**: The company is expected to maintain rapid growth in the entertainment market through IP incubation and diverse monetization strategies [22] - **China Duty Free Group (601888.SH)**: The company is projected to strengthen its market position in the duty-free sector, benefiting from increased inbound tourism and overseas expansion [24] - **China Southern Airlines (1055.HK)**: The airline is expected to benefit from improved industry supply-demand dynamics and a large fleet size [25] - **Li Auto (2015.HK)**: The company is focusing on advancements in AI and smart driving technology, with expectations for increased vehicle sales [26] - **Lante Optics (688127.SH)**: The company is positioned to benefit from strong demand in automotive and smart imaging sectors [27] - **InnoCare Pharma (9606.HK)**: The company is advancing in the ADC field with a robust pipeline and partnerships, with several products nearing clinical registration [29]

智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研究报告称，近期电子涨价潮全面爆发，本轮涨价并非简单的周期性 波动，而是由AI产业爆发式增长与上游原材料成本攀升双重驱动的结构性变革。往后看，AI需求有望 持续高速增长，弱美元和资源民族主义背景下叠加金属供给长期约束，金属价格有望继续抬升，电子涨 价潮有望延续至今年年末甚至明年年初，推荐关注量价共振、盈利改善的半导体、元件、有色金属等。 招商证券主要观点如下： 【消费需求】生鲜乳价格上行，食糖综合价格下行;猪肉价格上行，仔猪批发价与上周持平，生猪均价 下行。在生猪养殖利润方面，自繁自养生猪养殖利润、外购仔猪养殖利润均上行;在肉鸡养殖方面，肉 鸡苗价格下行。蔬菜价格指数下行，玉米期货结算价上行，棉花期货结算价下行;票房收入十日均值上 行，电影票价十日均值环比下行;空冰洗彩四周滚动零售额均值同比降幅收窄;中药材价格指数下行。 【资源品】建筑钢材成交量十日均值下行;钢坯价格与上周持平，螺纹钢价格下行。煤炭价格方面，秦 皇岛优混动力煤价格下行，京唐港山西主焦煤库提价上行;焦炭、焦煤期货结算价均下行。库存方面， 秦皇岛港煤炭库存上行，京唐港炼焦煤库存下行，天津港焦炭库存上行。全国水泥价格 ...

证券之星消息，1月29日工业金属板块较上一交易日上涨2.62%，怡球资源领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08，下跌0.3%。工业金属板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日工业金属板块主力资金净流出77.72亿元，游资资金净流入9.26亿元，散户资金 净流入68.46亿元。工业金属板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入(元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 668109 | 紫美矿业 | 2.67 Z | 0.80% | -4.67 乙 | -1.40% | 2.00亿 | 0.60% | | 000878 云南铜业 | | 2.23 乙 | 2.92% | -2.26 Z | -2.96% | 278.47万 | 0.04% | | 603876 鼎胜新材 | | 1.38亿 | 34.07% | -7655.56万 | -18.96% | -6101.07万 | ...