多图速览>> 本周（6月23日至27日）的五个交易日中，A股三大指数均累计上涨，沪指本周累计涨1.91%，深证成指累计涨3.73%，创业板指累计涨5.69%。板块概念方 面，本周军工、港口航运、稳定币概念股表现活跃。 | 指数 | 周五涨跌幅 | | 周五收盘点数 周五成交额 (亿元) | 近一 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | -0.70% | 3424 | 6057 | | | 深证成指 | 0.34% | 10379 | 9354 | 3 | | 北班20 | 1.06% | 1440 | 348 | 6. | | 科创50 | -0.18% | 988 | 279 | | | 创业板指 | 0.47% | 2124 | 4646 | 5. | | 下班20 | -1.13% | 2708 | 957 | 1. | | 沪深300 | -0.61% | 3922 | 3435 | 1. | ►牛熊股：近50股本周涨超30% 最牛"马字辈"股出炉 Wind数据显示，本周（6月23日到6月27日）共有49只个股涨幅30%。万里马本周累计涨幅达91.97%居 ...

主板ST股或将告别5%限制。 6月27日，沪深交易所均发布通知，拟调整主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例，由目前的5%调整为 10%。 值得注意的是，上述通知尚处于征求意见阶段，反馈截止时间为2025年7月4日。 记者梳理发现，目前沪深主板风险警示股票合计有132只。 主板风险警示股涨跌幅拟调整为10% 可能涉及哪些股票？ 6月27日，沪深交易所发布公告称，为进一步完善股票交易制度，提升定价效率，维护市场交易秩序，保 护投资者合法权益，在中国证监会统筹指导下，起草了关于《调整主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例 及有关事项的通知（征求意见稿）》（简称"征求意见稿"），拟将主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例 由5%调整为10%，调整后与主板其他股票保持一致，现就有关安排向市场公开征求意见。 若最终按照征求意见稿中的相关规则变动施行，沪深主板风险警示股票价格涨跌幅限制比例，将统一变为 10%。 记者梳理发现，截至目前，沪深主板风险警示股票目前合计有132只。需要说明的是，因后续可能会有主 板风险警示股票"摘星脱帽"，或者有新的主板股票被实施风险警示，相关股票名单还会出现变动。 目前主板风险警示股票有何特点？ 上述主 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.70% on June 27, with 18 out of the 28 sectors rising, led by non-ferrous metals and communications, which increased by 2.17% and 1.79% respectively. The textile and apparel sector ranked third in terms of gains [1] - The banking and public utilities sectors experienced the largest declines, with drops of 2.95% and 1.01% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital flow showed a net outflow of 19.41 billion yuan across the two markets, with 8 sectors seeing net inflows. The communications sector led with a net inflow of 2.579 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.79%, followed by the electronics sector with a net inflow of 2.435 billion yuan and a daily increase of 0.92% [1] - Conversely, 23 sectors experienced net outflows, with the computer sector leading at 6.630 billion yuan, followed by the defense and military industry with a net outflow of 2.891 billion yuan. Other sectors with significant outflows included basic chemicals, automotive, and electrical equipment [1] Textile and Apparel Sector Performance - The textile and apparel sector rose by 1.23% today, with a net inflow of 195 million yuan. Out of 105 stocks in this sector, 84 stocks increased, including 6 that hit the daily limit, while 17 stocks declined [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the textile and apparel sector were Jihua Group with 288.94 million yuan, followed by Feiyada and Jinyi Culture with 165.18 million yuan and 101.35 million yuan respectively [2] - The sector also saw significant outflows, with Wanlima leading at 241.76 million yuan, followed by Bangjie Shares and Nanshan Zhishang with outflows of 35 million yuan and 24.74 million yuan respectively [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 5.4 [1][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 25.9 billion for the fiscal year 2024/25, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.6%, and recorded a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 3.51 billion, up 14.3% year-on-year, slightly below expectations [7]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of HKD 0.22 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 6.1% for the fiscal year [7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the textile and apparel industry, with a market capitalization of RMB 42.34 billion as of June 26, 2025 [2]. - The stock price on June 26, 2025, was HKD 4.62, with a 12-month high of HKD 4.94 and a low of HKD 3.50 [2]. Recent Ratings - The company has consistently received "Buy" ratings in recent evaluations, with the latest rating issued on December 2, 2024, at a closing price of HKD 4.05 [3]. Financial Performance - The main revenue driver is the down jacket business, which generated RMB 21.67 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11%. The OEM processing business saw revenue of RMB 3.37 billion, up 26% year-on-year [8]. - The overall gross margin decreased by 2.3 percentage points to 57.3%, with the down jacket segment's gross margin down 1.6 percentage points to 63.4% [8]. - Despite the decline in gross margin, the net profit margin improved by 0.4 percentage points to 13.6% due to enhanced operational efficiency [8]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of RMB 4.1 billion, RMB 4.65 billion, and RMB 5.16 billion for the fiscal years 2025/26, 2026/27, and 2027/28, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.8%, 13.2%, and 11.1% [10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the next three fiscal years are RMB 0.36, RMB 0.40, and RMB 0.45, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 12, 10, and 9 [10].

流动性增量预期较强，估值端存在明显支撑——A 股市场 2025 年下半年投资 策略报告 基金研究 市场结构分化，主动权益基金收益跑赢指数——公募基金 2025 年半年度投资 策略 金融工程研究 主要指数全部上涨，两融余额小幅下降——融资融券周报 晨会纪要（2025/06/27） 编辑人 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 崔健 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2025.06.27） 宏观及策略研究 证 行业研究 券 聚焦内需视角下，关注以旧换新与新消费投资机会——轻工制造&纺织服饰 2025 年半年度投资策略报告 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 7 晨会纪要（2025/06/27） 宏观及策略研究 流动性增量预期较强，估值端存在明显支撑——A 股市场 2025 年下半年投资策略报告 宋亦威（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150514080001） 严佩佩（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150520110001） 靳沛芃（研究助理，SAC NO：S115012403000 ...

证券研究报告 2025年6月26日 行业：纺织服饰 增持 （维持） 可选消费：年轻化、品牌化、智能化，驱动 新成长 分析师：袁锐 SAC编号：S0870525060002 分析师：杜洋 SAC编号：S0870523090002 目录 SECTION C o n t e n t 1. 新消费：品牌价值崛起，挖掘年轻消费 ➢ 黄金消费结构分化显著，避险需求推动金价走高； ➢ 古法金与小克重引领新潮流； ➢ 年轻群体成消费主力驱动创新。 黄金消费 潮玩消费 户外消费 科技消费 ➢ 潮玩市场三大驱动力支撑： Z世代消费力崛起、IP商业化加速、技术创新推动； ➢ "谷子经济"高速增长，国潮引领市场； ➢ 谷子经济推动二级市场繁荣。 ➢ AI+消费正从技术探索转向大规模商业化； ➢ 人形机器人量产与应用拓展； ➢ 智能家居与穿戴设备深度升级。 ➢ 户外市场稳步扩容，渗透潜力巨大； ➢ 健康意识与政策技术驱动增长； ➢ 多元化细分趋势崛起："轻户外"引领、消费场景拓展等。 图片来源：上海黄金交易所，人民日报数字传播，MobTech研究院，浙江省纪委省监委网站 3 2. 黄金消费：黄金避险属性凸显，古法黄金带动金饰消费 1. ...

Group 1: Automotive Industry - The average payment term for domestic automotive companies exceeds 170 days, with some companies extending it to over 240 days [1][3] - The long payment terms are seen as a way for automotive companies to transfer financing and cash flow pressures onto suppliers [1] - The revised "Regulations on Payment of Funds for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises" aims to address the payment difficulties faced by small suppliers, mandating large enterprises to pay within 60 days [3] Group 2: Real Estate Industry - The average payment term for real estate companies is reported to be 9 months, with some companies like Greenland Holdings exceeding 20 months [1] Group 3: Home Appliances Industry - The average payment term for white goods manufacturers is approximately 145 days, with Gree Electric Appliances notably lagging at over 170 days [1] Group 4: Food and Beverage Industry - The average payment term in the liquor industry is around 4 months, while *ST Rock faces a prolonged payment term of 4.5 years due to operational crises [1] Group 5: Textile and Apparel Industry - The textile and apparel industry has an average payment term of 71 days, with 107 listed companies reporting a total operating cost of 351.62 billion and accounts payable of 56.63 billion [5][7] - The payment term for the textile manufacturing sector is 55 days, while the apparel and home textile sector has a significantly longer payment term of 147 days [7] - The jewelry sector has a notably shorter payment term, averaging 8 days, due to the concentrated supply chain and strong bargaining power of suppliers [8][10] Group 6: Specific Company Case - ST Start - ST Start has an alarming payment term of 440 days, significantly higher than its peers in the apparel sector [12] - The company has faced severe operational challenges, leading to a cumulative net loss of 1.258 billion over three years and a debt ratio of 92.69% as of 2024 [14][16] - To alleviate cash flow issues, ST Start has extended its payment terms, with a drastic increase from around 200 days in 2020 to 452 days in 2023 [16]

Group 1 - A total of 24 companies were investigated by institutions on June 25, with 17 companies specifically targeted by funds [1][2] - The most popular company among funds was Botao Bio, which had 21 participating funds, followed by Sanfu Outdoor and Entropy Technology with 7 and 6 funds respectively [1][2] - The companies investigated belong to 12 different industries, with the textile and apparel, and pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors having the most companies, each with 3 stocks listed [1] Group 2 - Among the companies investigated, 3 had a total market capitalization exceeding 50 billion yuan, while 13 had a market cap below 10 billion yuan [1] - In terms of market performance, 9 stocks among the investigated companies saw an increase in the last 5 days, with Haike Xinyuan, Bai'ao Intelligent, and Ganfeng Lithium leading with increases of 50.83%, 10.42%, and 5.88% respectively [1][2] - Conversely, 8 stocks experienced declines, with Mankalon, Botao Bio, and China Merchants Energy showing the largest drops of 7.94%, 5.35%, and 4.76% respectively [1][2]

Economic Indicators - In May, the industrial added value for large-scale industries grew by 5.8% year-on-year and 0.61% month-on-month, indicating resilience despite external tariff impacts[9] - The total retail sales of consumer goods in May reached 41,326 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, surpassing the previous value of 5.1%[11] - From January to May, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 3.7% year-on-year, with real estate development investment declining by 10.7%[13] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,420.566, with a weekly decline of 0.51%[2][31] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.16%, while the CSI 300 Index decreased by 0.45%[31] - Daily average trading volume decreased to 12,150.34 billion yuan, down by 1,566.44 billion yuan from the previous week[31] Investment Trends - Equipment investment is expected to continue its upward trend, supported by long-term special government bonds aimed at equipment upgrades[5] - The manufacturing sector's investment growth is slowing, with a notable decline in electric equipment and real estate sectors[13] - The financial sector showed strength with a 1.37% increase, while consumer sectors faced a decline of 3.61%[31] Monetary Policy and Liquidity - The central bank conducted a total of 9,603 billion yuan in reverse repos this week, resulting in a net withdrawal of 799 billion yuan[6][19] - The upcoming seasonal transitions and government bond financing are expected to impact liquidity, with a focus on the central bank's monetary policy actions[20] Risks and Outlook - Potential risks include tighter monetary policy, unexpected economic recovery leading to rising bond yields, and deteriorating local fiscal conditions[35] - The market may continue to experience "high-low cuts," with a focus on dividend sectors and low-position technology stocks as rotation opportunities[34]

Summary of Financing Balances by Industry Core Insights - As of June 24, the total market financing balance reached 1,810.30 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 5.13 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with 20 out of 31 industries showing an increase in financing balance [1][2] Industry Financing Increases - The power equipment industry saw the largest increase in financing balance, rising by 1.31 billion yuan to a total of 129.50 billion yuan, marking a 1.03% increase [1] - Other notable increases were observed in the electronics industry (1.15 billion yuan increase), computer industry (668 million yuan increase), and pharmaceutical and biological industry (664 million yuan increase) [1] Industry Financing Decreases - 11 industries experienced a decrease in financing balance, with the communication industry facing the largest drop of 4.27 billion yuan, bringing its total to 60.00 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.71% [1][2] - Other industries with significant decreases included national defense and military industry (1.95 billion yuan decrease) and construction decoration industry (1.87 billion yuan decrease) [2] Summary of Financing Balances by Industry | Industry | Latest Financing Balance (billion yuan) | Change from Previous Day (billion yuan) | Percentage Change (%) | |-------------------|-----------------------------------------|------------------------------------------|-----------------------| | Power Equipment | 1295.03 | 13.17 | 1.03 | | Electronics | 2081.19 | 11.53 | 0.56 | | Computer | 1364.58 | 6.68 | 0.49 | | Pharmaceutical | 1315.83 | 6.64 | 0.51 | | Mechanical Equipment | 939.85 | 5.78 | 0.62 | | Media | 411.07 | 3.97 | 0.98 | | Automotive | 944.02 | 3.52 | 0.37 | | Non-ferrous Metals | 770.20 | 3.43 | 0.45 | | Agriculture | 250.27 | 1.56 | 0.63 | | Light Industry | 127.62 | 0.68 | 0.53 | | Retail | 212.65 | 0.65 | 0.31 | | Construction Materials | 116.04 | 0.34 | 0.30 | | Environmental | 148.15 | 0.33 | 0.22 | | Basic Chemicals | 782.64 | 0.24 | 0.03 | | Beauty Care | 59.28 | 0.23 | 0.39 | | Coal | 154.34 | 0.23 | 0.15 | | Public Utilities | 421.94 | 0.23 | 0.05 | | Comprehensive | 32.43 | 0.06 | 0.19 | | Non-bank Financial | 1501.68 | 0.06 | 0.00 | | Steel | 144.41 | 0.04 | 0.03 | | Social Services | 96.00 | -0.07 | -0.07 | | Real Estate | 300.05 | -0.07 | -0.02 | | Transportation | 340.92 | -0.14 | -0.04 | | Textile and Apparel | 67.20 | -0.46 | -0.69 | | Banking | 532.07 | -0.75 | -0.14 | | Home Appliances | 259.87 | -0.78 | -0.30 | | Oil and Petrochemicals | 257.65 | -1.20 | -0.46 | | Food and Beverage | 520.28 | -1.70 | -0.32 | | Construction Decoration | 318.04 | -1.87 | -0.59 | | National Defense | 636.01 | -1.95 | -0.30 | | Communication | 600.02 | -4.27 | -0.71 | [1][2]