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十大券商一周策略:下一波的线索是什么?股市不会止步于此,外资继续流入
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-09-21 22:19
Group 1 - The overall industry selection framework focuses on resources, new productive forces, and globalization [1][2] - Resource stocks are shifting from cyclical attributes to dividend attributes due to supply constraints and global geopolitical tensions [1] - The globalization of China's manufacturing leaders is expected to enhance pricing power and profit margins, leading to market capitalization growth beyond domestic economic fundamentals [1][2] Group 2 - The Chinese stock market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, driven by the demand for assets and capital market reforms aimed at improving investor returns [2][3] - Recent communication between Chinese and U.S. leaders indicates a stabilization of short-term risks, while a weak dollar and overseas rate cuts favor China's monetary easing [2] - The market is anticipated to experience adjustments that present opportunities, with A/H indices likely to reach new highs [2][3] Group 3 - The current market remains in a consolidation phase, with active trading and a positive funding environment [3][4] - The key to sustaining the market's upward momentum lies in the profitability of investments, with a focus on sectors like domestic computing, innovative pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods [3][4] - The market is still in a bull phase, with three main drivers for the current upward trend remaining unchanged [4][5] Group 4 - Foreign capital continues to flow into the Chinese stock market, with significant inflows from both domestic and foreign investors [5][6] - The recent decline in high-priced options indicates a cautious approach among investors regarding the upward potential of the market [5][6] - The overall sentiment remains bullish for the long term, despite short-term adjustments [5][6] Group 5 - The market is characterized by sector rotation rather than a simple switch from high to low positions, focusing on industry trends and profitability [6][9] - The emphasis is on identifying opportunities within sectors that are experiencing growth and have not been fully priced in [9][10] - The potential for low-position stocks to experience a rebound is increasing as the market transitions into the fourth quarter [10][11] Group 6 - The recovery of cash flow in export-oriented manufacturing is expected to continue, driven by anti-involution policies and global re-industrialization [11] - The valuation system for China's advantageous manufacturing sectors is likely to be systematically reshaped [11] - The main investment themes include hard currency assets, hard technology, and manufacturing benefiting from anti-involution policies [11]
投融资改革持续深化 资本市场回稳向好势头巩固
去年9月26日召开的中央政治局会议部署了一揽子增量政策。一年来,推动中长期资金入市、公募基金 改革、"并购六条"、科创板"1+6"等一批标志性政策落地,资本市场持续深化投融资综合改革,进一步 拓展制度包容性和适应性,不断提升对科技创新的精准支持力。其间,资本市场经受住了超预期的外部 冲击,市场韧性增强、预期改善,回稳向好态势不断巩固。 业内人士认为,一系列政策落地显效,既体现了资本市场投融资两端改革的放大效应,也折射出政策鼓 励向新兴产业倾斜的导向。未来,资本市场有望继续引导中长期资本流入硬科技领域,持续提升服务实 体经济、支持科技创新的能力。 引导资源加快向"新"集聚 科创板第五套标准重启,禾元生物成为首批受益者;创业板"激活"第三套上市标准,迎来首单未盈利 IPO项目大普微;蓝箭航天、屹信航天、中科宇航等相继启动上市辅导,拉开商业航天"IPO第一梯 队"冲刺序幕…… 近一年时间,一批具有代表性的科技创新企业,正借助资本市场多个路径获得发展新动能。随着资本市 场制度包容性不断提高,各类要素资源正加快向"新"集聚。 ——保险资金配置转向。上海等地开展保险资金长期股票投资试点,目前三批保险资金长期投资改革试 点 ...
A股分析师前瞻:聚焦高低切,四季度风格,居民存款入市节奏等焦点问题
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-09-21 14:00
Group 1 - The brokerage strategies remain positive, addressing market concerns such as high-low switching, market style in Q4, and the pace of retail investor entry [1] - The strategy team from Xingzheng emphasizes that the current market rotation is driven by incremental funds and economic advantages, focusing on identifying opportunities based on economic logic and industry trends rather than simple position switching [1][7] - The Citic strategy team highlights the importance of the globalization of leading Chinese manufacturing firms, which is expected to enhance pricing power and profit margins, leading to market capitalization growth beyond domestic economic fundamentals [1][7] Group 2 - The strategy team from招商策略 notes that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September historically correlates with a higher probability of A/H shares rising in the future [4] - Historical data indicates that the market tends to be relatively flat before the National Day holiday, but risk appetite improves significantly afterward, with over 60% probability of gains in major indices during the week following the holiday [4][8] - The strategy team from广发分析 suggests that the current rise in retail investor sentiment is still in its early stages, with various indicators showing that the market is not yet experiencing significant capital outflow from savings [1][9] Group 3 - The strategy from信达 suggests that the market is likely to continue its upward trend, with the current environment favoring strong industry trends while maintaining flexibility in high-low switching strategies [8] - The analysis indicates that the market is currently in a bull phase, with expectations of increased retail investment in the coming year, supported by a favorable policy environment [8] - The strategy team from国全策略 believes that the true bull market has not yet begun, but signs of recovery in corporate earnings and the potential for a new market cycle are emerging [9]
中信建投:全球手机直连卫星竞速,关注商业航天投资机会
Core Insights - SpaceX's acquisition of EchoStar's 50MHz spectrum for $17 billion marks a strategic positioning in the global mobile satellite competition [1] - This move allows SpaceX to reduce reliance on terrestrial operators and enables direct satellite connectivity for regular mobile phones through embedded chip technology [1] - The service capabilities are being enhanced from text messaging to voice and streaming data [1] Company Developments - SpaceX is adopting a hybrid model of "self-operated in remote areas + partnerships in urban areas" to build a global satellite communication capability [1] - The acquisition aligns with China's recent policy initiatives supporting mobile satellite connectivity, accelerating satellite constellation networking and commercialization of private rockets [1] Industry Outlook - The commercial space industry is poised for growth opportunities due to these developments [1] - However, challenges such as spectrum scarcity, technology maturity, and sustainability of business models remain critical variables [1]
80多家硬科技企业获贷近百亿
Bei Jing Wan Bao· 2025-09-21 06:44
Group 1 - The "Zhongguancun Technology and Finance Summit" has successfully facilitated financing for over 80 hard technology enterprises, achieving a success rate of over 70% and a total credit of 17.8 billion yuan, with loan disbursements amounting to 9.15 billion yuan [1] - The participating enterprises primarily span fields such as artificial intelligence, commercial aerospace, biopharmaceuticals, and robotics, with more than half still in the R&D investment phase and not yet generating significant revenue [1] - Eleven banks in Beijing have launched dedicated products for the investment-loan linkage, optimizing credit access and risk control approval processes, allowing banks to provide proactive credit based on investment decision amounts [1] Group 2 - Beijing Puqi Pharmaceutical Technology Co., Ltd. benefited from this financing mechanism, receiving a comprehensive financing solution from China CITIC Bank, which included a loan of 30 million yuan following its successful listing on the Beijing Stock Exchange [2] - Multiple departments are focusing on gathering financing needs from government investment fund-backed enterprises, market-oriented venture capital-backed enterprises, key talent startups, and critical technology sectors, facilitating efficient connections between investment institutions and commercial banks [2] - A comprehensive evaluation mechanism for technology finance has been established to assess the effectiveness of services provided by banks, securities, insurance, and fund companies, guiding them to focus on high-tech and future industries in Beijing [2] Group 3 - The Zhongguancun International Incubator has incubated nearly 1,000 enterprises, with over 80% being overseas talent enterprises, and has established partnerships with nearly 100 embassies, chambers of commerce, and investment institutions globally [3] - The incubator has successfully introduced international projects such as Japanese smart agriculture and Dutch smart greenhouses, creating a positive cycle of "technology introduction - local optimization - global promotion" [3] - Among the incubated enterprises, 368 have been recognized as national high-tech enterprises, 140 have secured a total of 3.16 billion yuan in equity financing, and 14 have successfully entered the capital market [3]
陈刚会见亚太空间合作组织秘书长江辉
Guang Xi Ri Bao· 2025-09-21 01:31
自治区领导许永锞、周异决等参加会见。据了解,在本届东博会、峰会期间,亚太空间合作组织一 行在南宁参加了中国—东盟技术对接会系列活动之商业航天与空间智能会议。(陈贻泽 罗昌亮) 陈刚对江辉一行来桂出席第22届东博会、峰会表示欢迎,介绍了广西经济社会发展和商业航天、空 间智能发展有关情况。陈刚表示,广西作为中国面向东盟开放合作的前沿和窗口,正深入贯彻落实习近 平总书记关于人工智能的重要论述和关于广西工作论述的重要要求,从地方层面积极落实全球发展倡 议、全球安全倡议、全球文明倡议、全球治理倡议,抢抓国家实施人工智能能力建设普惠计划、高水平 共建西部陆海新通道等重大机遇,协力打造"北上广研发+广西集成+东盟应用"的人工智能发展路径, 加强与东盟国家的人工智能合作,努力在高质量共建"一带一路"中发挥更大作用。广西愿发挥独特区位 优势,与亚太空间合作组织和各成员国加强合作,携手推动空间科学技术的创新应用与发展,推动更多 合作成果落地广西、惠及东盟,共同保护好地球家园,更好助力构建人类命运共同体。 9月19日,自治区党委书记、自治区人大常委会主任陈刚在南宁会见来桂出席第22届中国—东盟博 览会、中国—东盟商务与投资峰会的亚 ...
星际荣耀完成7亿元D+轮融资;禾赛科技回港上市,最新市值为364.12亿港元丨全球投融资周报09.13-09.19
创业邦· 2025-09-21 01:08
Core Insights - The article provides an overview of the latest trends in investment and financing activities in the domestic and international markets, highlighting key sectors and significant funding events [5]. Group 1: Investment Overview - In the domestic primary market, 85 financing events were disclosed this week, a decrease of 33 events compared to the previous week. The total disclosed financing amount reached 4.3 billion RMB, with an average financing amount of 134 million RMB [7]. - The most active sectors in terms of financing events were intelligent manufacturing (18 events), healthcare (15 events), and artificial intelligence (11 events) [9]. Group 2: Sector Distribution - Intelligent manufacturing led the disclosed financing amount with approximately 1.2 billion RMB, including a notable 700 million RMB Series D financing for "Interstellar Glory," a company focused on commercial space launch services [10]. - The materials sector followed with a total disclosed financing of 930 million RMB, where "Qingyun New Materials," a developer of advanced materials, secured several hundred million RMB in Series C financing [10]. Group 3: Regional Distribution - The majority of disclosed financing events were concentrated in Guangdong (18 events), Jiangsu (16 events), and Zhejiang (15 events) [13]. - Guangdong reported a total financing of 982 million RMB across 12 disclosed events, while Jiangsu had 940 million RMB from 5 disclosed events [16]. Group 4: Stage Distribution - The stage distribution of the disclosed financing events showed that 62 were early-stage, 22 were growth-stage, and only 1 was late-stage [17]. Group 5: Major Financing Events - The article highlights significant financing events, including a total of 10 disclosed merger and acquisition events, with a notable acquisition of 70% of "Deyou Tape" by "Longyang Electronics" for 1.1 billion RMB [38].
全国统一大市场“四梁八柱”基本建立,为经济循环注入澎湃动能
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-09-21 00:32
当今世界经济,最宝贵的资源之一是市场,而中国超大规模且极具增长潜力的市场,是我国经济发展的巨大优势。"十四五"时期,面对纷繁复杂的外部环境,中国 经济顶住压力、迎难而上,展现了强大的韧性。这其中,市场的建设发挥了关键作用。五年来,中国的营商环境越来越好,全国统一大市场的"四梁八柱"基本建立 起来,成为中国经济高质量发展的"压舱石"。 今年8月26日凌晨,长征八号甲运载火箭在海南文昌的商业航天发射场成功发射,将卫星互联网低轨10组卫星送入预定轨道。这是海南商业航天发射场第五次成 功发射。就在不久之前,这里还实现了五天之内两次成功发射,证明这里已经具备了常态化的发射能力,这也吸引了越来越多的商业航天企业落户海南文昌。 在距离发射场不到3公里的地方,一家民营航天企业的新一代火箭总装工厂已经初见规模,下个月就可以投入使用。 2021年,国家发布《关于支持海南自由贸易港建设放宽市场准入若干特别措施的意见》,其中给予海南自贸港开放商业航天的政策,文昌的商业航天发射场就是 为了满足未来密集的商业航天发射任务而兴建的。 正是看到这样的发展契机,星际荣耀公司成为了首家落户文昌航天城的商业航天企业,当地也对企业的落地提供了全方位 ...
“十四五”期间全国统一大市场的“四梁八柱”基本建立
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-09-20 16:13
当今世界经济,最宝贵的资源之一是市场,而中国超大规模且极具增长潜力的市场,是我国经济发展的巨大优势。"十四五"时期,面对纷繁复杂的外部环 境,中国经济顶住压力迎难而上,展现了强大的韧性,其中市场的建设发挥了关键作用。五年来,中国的营商环境越来越好,全国统一大市场的"四梁八 柱"基本建立起来,成为中国经济高质量发展的压舱石。 2025年,国家发布的最新版《市场准入负面清单》进一步缩减了商业航天领域的市场准入限制,这也吸引了更多像星际荣耀这样的民营企业加入这条前景广 阔的新赛道。截至今年上半年,已经有超过700家航天相关企业入驻文昌航天城,涵盖了火箭链、卫星链、数据链等八个方向。我国在商业航天领域持续放 开准入门槛、不断优化营商环境,正是他们的信心来源。 商业航天领域是我国市场准入逐步放开的一个缩影。党的十八大以来,我国逐步建立全国统一的市场准入负面清单制度。历经4次修订,清单数量从2018年 版的151项压减到2025年版的106项,压缩比例约30%。准入的放开也体现在实打实的数据上,"十四五"以来,我国企业净增1999.9万户,个体工商户净增 3394.6万户。 今年8月26日凌晨,长征八号甲运载火箭在海南文 ...
东博会155个项目签约:“人工智能+”领衔,中国—东盟“数智”合作升温
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-09-20 03:09
亚洲数字经济科学院院长 陈柏珲:东盟的人口非常年轻化,人口平均中位数是30岁左右,所以他们对新兴科技、新兴事物的接 受程度非常高,中国可以凭借自己在人工智能、数字科技等方面的优势,帮助东盟提升科技研发水平,同时也可以帮助中国企业找 到更好的落地应用场景。 央视网消息:在本届东博会的现场签约仪式上,155个项目成功签约,涉及多个东盟国家和领域,中国与东盟的合作正在迈 入"数智"新阶段。 总台央视记者 易扬:本届东博会现场签约的155个项目涉及马来西亚、越南、缅甸等6个东盟国家,包括了94个产业项目和44 个"人工智能+"赋能千行百业项目,为中国—东盟合作注入AI能量。 已签约的项目中,10亿元以上项目共45个,涵盖新能源、高端装备、商业航天、低空经济等细分行业,其中2个项目规模达到百 亿元以上。今年10月中国—东盟自贸区3.0版议定书将正式签署,本届东博会明确将自贸区3.0、数字经济、绿色发展与人工智能作为 未来合作四大支点。 东盟秘书长 高金洪:升级为3.0版,我认为将使双方经贸合作迈向新的高度,不仅巩固已有合作,还将不断拓展。在当今复杂的 全球经济形势下,这对中国和东盟都非常重要。 ...