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坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场(稳中求进、提质增效 实现“十五五”良好开局)
Ren Min Wang· 2026-01-04 22:37
Group 1 - The core focus of the article is on the importance of expanding domestic demand as a primary driver for economic growth in China, emphasizing the need for a strong domestic market and effective investment strategies [8][19]. - The Central Economic Work Conference has identified eight key tasks for 2026, with "maintaining domestic demand as the main driver" being the top priority [8]. - The "Two New" policies and "Two Heavy" projects are set to optimize implementation, with a first batch of 625 billion yuan in special long-term bonds allocated to support consumer goods replacement programs [8]. Group 2 - The ice and snow economy is highlighted as a significant contributor to consumption and domestic demand, with outdoor ski resort search volumes increasing over three times since December 2025 [9]. - The "old for new" consumer goods policy has led to a notable increase in sales, with over 2.6 trillion yuan in sales related to this initiative in 2025, benefiting more than 360 million people [10]. - Investment in equipment and tools has seen a 12.2% year-on-year increase from January to November 2025, contributing to overall investment growth [11]. Group 3 - The article discusses the potential for consumption upgrades, with digital technologies and new consumption models driving significant retail growth, as evidenced by a network retail sales figure of 543.98 million yuan in a specific region [13]. - Effective investment opportunities remain vast, with companies like Tianjin Feixuan Technology Co., Ltd. benefiting from quick access to credit for technology upgrades [14]. - The article emphasizes the need for a robust domestic market, advocating for policies that enhance consumer spending and investment in infrastructure and public services [17][18].
【2026年两节工会送温暖行动·暖闻】送爱心 送法律 送宣讲
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-04 20:04
Core Viewpoint - The event organized by the Qinhuangdao Municipal Federation of Trade Unions aims to provide support and legal guidance to workers in new employment forms, particularly in the service industry, enhancing their understanding of industry policies and legal rights [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The event took place at the square in front of the Qinhuangdao Shengjie Property Service Co., attracting a large number of workers [1] - It targeted six new employment sectors, including express delivery, cleaning, housekeeping, laundry, property management, and family services, benefiting 800 frontline workers [1] Group 2: Activities and Services Offered - The event included a special session on the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session, focusing on policies related to new employment and the service industry [1] - Legal consultation services were provided, with the legal service team explaining labor laws and offering on-site advice on issues such as labor contracts, wage protection, and work injury recognition [1] - Over 900 legal promotional materials, including handbooks and bags, were distributed during the event [1]
【追梦·一线职工风采录】从“活地图”到智能分拣师
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-04 20:04
清晨,辽宁营口天地快件有限公司分拣车间内,自动化设备规律作响。快件处理员张巍穿梭在流水线 旁,目光精准扫过传送带,不时俯身调整参数。那双操作过成千上万个包裹的手,见证了快递行业 从"手写面单"到"智能分拣"的奔腾年代。19年光阴,这位一线女工,将自己淬炼成行业技术革新的"尖 兵",更在2025年荣获全国劳动模范称号。 2008年,张巍初入行时,快递网点往往是"一间屋、两张桌、几个人"。作为内勤,她包揽了核对、录 单、绘图等10余项工作。最忙时,日处理上千份手写单据,指尖磨出厚茧,也将营口的大街小巷"刻"进 了脑海。当地址簿还在让同事犯难时,她已能凭借"活地图"般的记忆飞速分拣。 然而,随着电商爆发式增长,传统模式很快触到天花板。"培养一个成熟分拣员要3个月,大促时根本来 不及。"张巍回忆说。困境催生变革。"能不能把复杂地址变成简单数字?"经过一夜奋战,一套独创 的"数字编码"分拣法诞生:将全国省市简化为两位数区域码,再按派送路线细化为3位数格口码。新员 工培训时间从数月降至半天,连装卸工、司机都能临时支援分拣线。这项"草根创新"迅速在全公司推 广,成为张巍闪亮的标签。2021年,她在辽宁省职工技能大赛中,以高 ...
2026年-周期怎么看
2026-01-04 15:35
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 2026年,周期怎么看 20260104 摘要 Q&A 目前建筑建材行业的整体情况如何?有哪些值得关注的投资机会? 从目前跟踪的企业经营情况来看,建筑建材行业订单总体保持相对充分,但资金 仍是制约企业产值释放的核心因素。尽管国家启动了一些重大项目,但相对于庞 大的基础建设存量,这些投资难以带来显著成长性。因此,对于传统基建领域, 我们推荐高股息、低估值序列的公司,如中国建筑、四川路桥、隧道股份和中材 国际等。这些公司核心竞争力较强,经营稳定,分红股息率较高。 此外,一些 争 狗 - 传统基建领域推荐高股息、低估值公司,如中国建筑、四川路桥等,因其 . 核心竞争力强、经营稳定。同时,关注积极转型新科技、新产业的中小企 业,如正东设计、华阳国际等,可能迎来突破。 消费建材领域,头部公司市占率提升,经营趋稳健,建议左侧布局已证明 ● 核心竞争力的公司,如东方雨虹、兔宝宝等。关注 AI 产业链兴起需求增 加的高端产品公司,如中国巨石、中材科技。 2025 年元旦假期跨区域人流增长,海南离岛免税销售额同比大增 129%, . 客单价增长 43%。预计 2025年 ...
超40摄氏度高温、“鬼探头”考试、现金流安全管理……极兔、新石器、货拉拉出海阿联酋的“极限试验”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-04 14:56
每经记者|赵雯琪 每经编辑|陈俊杰 提起迪拜,许多人想到的是摩天大楼与奢华传说。但对中国企业而言,这里是"极限试验场",要直面高 温、沙漠与陌生的商业规则,也是走向全球化过程中,一个兼具战略意义的关键节点。 2025年,美团、新石器、九识智能、货拉拉等企业相继将业务拓展到阿联酋,与更早扎根于此的中资力 量共同织就了一张密集的出海网络。迪拜由此成为一面清晰的镜子,映照出中国企业与全球市场对话时 的一道必答题:如何在真正理解并尊重另一种文明底层逻辑的前提下,完成出海的创造性落地? 2025年岁末,《每日经济新闻》未来商业智库特别策划了"镜像2025",记者深度对话极兔速递、新石器 和九识智能在迪拜的业务负责人,以及货拉拉海外品牌Lalamove首席运营官卢家培,复盘这片市场的挑 战与机遇。 这里的挑战具体且深刻,从禁止三轮车上路导致快递配送成本急升,到自动驾驶要适应本地彪悍的驾驶 风格;从"清真寺后的白房子"等模糊的快递地址带来的困扰,到外籍快递员携款潜逃带来的风险;从40 多摄氏度高温的炙烤,到跨文化团队的管理难题…… 中国企业在这里褪去国内惯性,学习在陌生商业生态中重新扎根。他们在每一次调试、谈判与危机中, ...
申万宏源交运一周天地汇(20251228-20260102):委内瑞拉政局变化利好合规油轮市场,新造船价格指数上涨
Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive outlook for the shipping industry, particularly for VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) and related companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential benefits from the political changes in Venezuela, which could lead to increased oil exports and a shift from black market operations to normal market conditions, positively impacting VLCC demand [2]. - New ship prices have shown an upward trend, with a 0.5% increase, indicating a positive market sentiment for shipbuilding [2]. - The report notes a significant drop in VLCC average freight rates, down 36% week-on-week, reflecting seasonal trends and geopolitical tensions [2]. - The aviation sector is expected to experience a significant boost due to rising passenger volumes and a constrained supply chain, suggesting a favorable environment for airlines [2]. - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with potential for profit recovery and industry consolidation [2]. Summary by Sections Shipping Industry - Venezuela's shift to normal market operations could increase oil supply and demand for VLCCs, with a projected increase in compliant VLCC oil transport demand by approximately 1.4% [2]. - The report indicates a notable decline in VLCC freight rates, with Middle East to Far East rates dropping by 45% [2]. - The report recommends companies like COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy due to their favorable positioning in the VLCC market [2]. Aviation Sector - The report emphasizes the ongoing challenges in the aircraft manufacturing supply chain and the aging fleet, which is expected to limit supply while demand continues to grow [2]. - Airlines are anticipated to see significant improvements in profitability, marking a potential golden era for the sector [2]. - Recommended airlines include China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines, among others [2]. Express Delivery - The express delivery industry is undergoing a transformation, with three potential scenarios outlined: profit recovery, increased competition, and consolidation [2]. - Companies such as Shentong Express and YTO Express are highlighted for their resilience and growth potential [2]. Rail and Road Transport - The report notes stable growth in railway freight and highway truck traffic, with December data showing a slight decrease in volumes but overall resilience [2]. - Investment opportunities in high-dividend stocks and undervalued companies in the highway sector are suggested [2].
申万宏源交运一周天地汇:委内瑞拉政局变化利好合规油轮市场,新造船价格指数上涨
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, particularly in light of recent developments in Venezuela and the increase in new ship prices [1][2]. Core Insights - Venezuela's political changes are expected to benefit compliant tanker markets, with a potential increase in oil exports leading to higher demand for Aframax tankers and VLCCs [3][4]. - New ship prices have shown an upward trend, with a 0.5% increase reported, particularly in gas carriers which rose by 1% [3]. - The report highlights a significant drop in VLCC freight rates, which fell by 36% week-on-week, while the Atlantic market remains relatively stable [3][4]. Summary by Sections Shipping Market - The report notes that the recent escalation in Venezuela's situation could lead to a 1.4% increase in compliant VLCC oil transport demand and a 4.0% increase for Aframax tankers [3][4]. - The average VLCC freight rate was reported at $43,895 per day, with Middle East to Far East rates dropping to $38,690 per day, a decrease of 45% from the previous week [3][4]. New Ship Prices - New ship prices have increased by 0.5% to 185.59 points, although they are down 1.85% compared to the beginning of 2025 [3][4]. Oil and Product Transport - The LR2-TC1 freight rate increased by 5% to $42,671 per day, supported by tight capacity in previous weeks [3]. - The report indicates a decline in MR average freight rates by 5% to $23,103 per day, with the Atlantic market remaining stable despite the holiday season [3][4]. Air Transport - The report anticipates significant improvements in airline profitability due to supply constraints and increasing passenger volumes, recommending several airlines for investment [3][4]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with three potential scenarios outlined for future performance [3][4]. Rail and Road Transport - Rail freight volumes and highway truck traffic are expected to maintain steady growth, with recent data showing a slight decrease in volumes [3][4].
元旦出行供需两旺,关注油运淡季运价支撑和布局节奏
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-04 09:58
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the transportation industry [5] Core Views - The domestic flight ticket bookings for the New Year period in 2026 exceeded 3.83 million, a year-on-year increase of 28%, while international flight bookings surpassed 740,000, up 14% year-on-year, indicating strong demand [1][2] - The report remains optimistic about the long-term outlook for the aviation sector under the themes of "expanding domestic demand" and "anti-involution" [2][12] - In the oil shipping sector, attention is drawn to the support for freight rates during the off-season and the timing of investments, particularly focusing on China Merchants Energy Shipping and COSCO Shipping Energy [3][15] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights and Market Review - The transportation sector index fell by 0.70% during the week of December 29, 2025, to January 2, 2026, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.83 percentage points [18] - The best-performing segments were air transportation and warehousing logistics, with increases of 5.14% and 0.41%, respectively [18][19] Travel - The report highlights the strong recovery in air travel demand, with a focus on the low growth rate of capacity supply and the continuous recovery of demand, which is expected to narrow the supply-demand gap [2][12] Shipping and Ports - Oil shipping rates have continued to decline, with VLCC market rates dropping to $34,158 per day as of December 31 [3][13] - The dry bulk shipping indices have also seen a decline, with the BDI index at 1,882 points on January 2, 2026 [14] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the support for freight rates during the off-season and the potential impact of geopolitical developments on shipping logistics [15] Logistics - The report identifies two main investment themes in the express delivery sector: 1. Expansion into overseas markets, with Jitu Express planning significant investments in new market operations [4][16] 2. The impact of anti-involution on the industry, where the growth rate is slowing due to increased competition and rising prices, leading to a concentration of market share among leading companies [4][17]
交通运输产业行业研究:元旦假期首日人员流动超2亿,美军突袭委内或利好油运
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2026-01-04 08:09
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an overall investment rating for the transportation sector Core Views - The express delivery sector is experiencing a 5% year-on-year growth in business volume, with some companies benefiting from price increases due to reduced competition. The report recommends SF Express for its valuation and operational resilience, while also being optimistic about ZTO Express due to its increasing market share in the low-price segment [2] - In logistics, the chemical transportation prices remain stable, and the report recommends Haicheng Co. for its focus on smart logistics and improved demand [3] - The aviation sector is seeing a significant increase in passenger flow, with over 200 million people traveling during the New Year holiday, and the report recommends China Southern Airlines and Air China due to expected profit growth from optimized supply and demand [4] - The shipping sector shows a slight increase in container shipping indices, with potential benefits from geopolitical events affecting oil transportation. The report notes a 42.5% year-on-year increase in the crude oil transportation index [5] - The road and rail sector shows stable performance, with a slight decrease in truck traffic on highways but overall competitive dividend yields compared to government bonds [6] Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index fell by 0.7% during the week, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 0.1%, with the aviation sector showing the highest increase at +4.8% and logistics experiencing the largest decline at -3.4% [1][13] Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping and Ports - Container shipping is stabilizing, with a slight increase in freight rates supported by seasonal demand. The report anticipates pressure on rates in mid-January due to expected capacity growth [21] - The export container shipping index (CCFI) was 1146.67 points, up 2.0% week-on-week but down 24.3% year-on-year [22] Aviation and Airports - The civil aviation sector saw a 6% year-on-year increase in passenger volume in November, with domestic routes growing by 5% and international routes by 19% [54] - The report highlights that major airlines are expected to see significant profit increases due to high load factors and rising ticket prices [54][75] Rail and Road - The rail sector reported a year-on-year increase in passenger volume of 8.94% and freight volume of 1.16% in November, indicating a positive trend in transportation demand [78] - The road sector experienced a slight decline in passenger traffic but an increase in freight volume, with competitive dividend yields noted for major road operators [83]
全国总工会慰问团来川送温暖
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2026-01-04 07:05
Group 1 - The All-China Federation of Trade Unions, represented by Vice Chairman Cai Zhenhua, conducted a warmth-delivery activity in Sichuan to convey the care of the central government and the federation to local enterprises and workers [1] - The delegation visited various locations including the Chengdu Federation of Trade Unions' employee assistance center and several companies, emphasizing the importance of addressing workers' needs and contributing to local economic development [1] - The delegation encouraged trade unions and enterprises to prioritize the welfare of workers and to act as a bridge to unite and lead workers in contributing to economic growth [1] Group 2 - The delegation visited a SF Express service point in Chengdu, delivering warm gift packages to 40 couriers and advising them on safety and health during the busy year-end period [2] - The delegation also visited struggling workers, inquiring about their living conditions and encouraging them to remain resilient and confident in overcoming difficulties [2] - Praise was given to national model worker Liu Shiyong for his exceptional skills in aircraft assembly, with encouragement to train more skilled talents to better serve national and societal needs [2]