证券研究报告 商贸零售 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 08 月 24 日 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——新消费行业周报（2025.8.18-2025.8.22） 证券分析师 投资要点： 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 板块表现： 联系人 新疆首家"胖东来"指导调改门店正式营业。汇嘉时代超市北京路店为胖东来在新 疆首家指导调改门店，调改从商品结构的优化、动线布局的合理性、便民服务设施 的增设、整体服务能力的提升以及员工福利的改善等多个维度上，实现了全新的成 长与蜕变。1）商品结构调整：超 3000 平方米的经营空间内，汇聚了一线、二线品 牌及本地地标性商品，全力满足民生需求，为消费者提供安全、实用、实在、时尚 的商品选择。2）动线布局调整：调改之后的卖场，取消了强制动线，拓宽卖场内通 道，使得购物动线更加流畅，为顾客提供更方便宽阔的购物空间。3）便民设施升级： 新增顾客休息区，设置多项便民服务设施，寄存柜、洗手台、纸巾、直饮水、微波 炉、充电宝等一应俱全，针对特殊需求顾客，推出宠物寄存 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jinhe Commercial Management announced a semi-annual distribution plan for 2025, proposing a cash dividend of 1.1 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), with a total cash payout of 51.975 million yuan, representing 68.88% of the net profit, marking the seventh distribution since the company's listing [2][3]. Group 1: Distribution Plan - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.1 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 51.975 million yuan [2]. - The cash payout accounts for 68.88% of the company's net profit [2]. - This marks the seventh time the company has distributed dividends since its listing [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 491 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.18% [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 75.4524 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 224.95% [2]. - The basic earnings per share were reported at 0.16 yuan [2]. Group 3: Industry Comparison - In the retail trade sector, Jinhe Commercial Management's cash payout of 51.975 million yuan ranks third among nine companies that announced their semi-annual distribution plans for 2025 [3]. - The highest cash payout in the sector was from Jihong Co., amounting to 79.6685 million yuan, followed by Ruoyuchen with 65.6011 million yuan [3]. - The cash payout of Jinhe Commercial Management has a dividend yield of 1.83% [3].

Group 1 - The report indicates that as of mid-August, the upstream resource industry is experiencing an upward trend in prosperity, while the midstream manufacturing sector shows a mixed performance, with sectors like non-ferrous metals, coal, basic chemicals, and oil and petrochemicals improving continuously [4] - In the downstream consumption sector, there is a divergence in performance; the social services and home appliance industries are on the rise, while the commercial retail sector is declining. In essential consumption, the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, food and beverage, and textile and apparel industries are generally experiencing a downturn [4] - Supportive service industries and the financial sector are overall declining, with the environmental protection industry within supportive services also showing a downturn. However, the banking sector is improving, and the non-bank financial sector is on the rise, while the computer sector within the TMT industry is declining [4] Group 2 - The report tracks excess returns in various industries, including basic chemicals, steel, non-ferrous metals, coal, oil and petrochemicals, and construction materials, providing correlation data with high-frequency indicators [5][10][17][31][36][39][46][77] - The basic chemicals industry shows a strong correlation with various commodity prices, indicating potential investment opportunities based on price movements [6][9][17] - The steel industry is closely linked to production and inventory metrics, suggesting that monitoring these indicators can provide insights into future performance [10][12][14] Group 3 - The report highlights the importance of tracking excess returns in the automotive industry, with indicators such as daily sales and production rates being critical for understanding market dynamics [48][50] - The machinery equipment sector's performance is analyzed through various price indices, indicating a need for investors to pay attention to these metrics for better investment decisions [55][58] - The report also emphasizes the significance of high-frequency indicators in the transportation sector, which can provide insights into overall economic activity and sector performance [60][62] Group 4 - The agricultural sector's excess returns are tracked against food product price indices, indicating a strong relationship between agricultural prices and overall sector performance [96][98] - The report discusses the food and beverage industry's performance in relation to various price indices, suggesting that monitoring these can help identify investment opportunities [98][99] - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors are analyzed with respect to traditional Chinese medicine price indices, highlighting the importance of these metrics in understanding market trends [101][106] Group 5 - The public utilities sector's performance is linked to coal consumption metrics, indicating that energy prices and consumption patterns are critical for assessing sector health [111][114] - The real estate sector's excess returns are correlated with metrics such as transaction volumes and land prices, suggesting that these indicators are vital for understanding market conditions [115][121] - The report also examines the computer industry, focusing on the relationship between excess returns and pricing trends in electronic components, which can inform investment strategies [124][127]

按申万行业统计，东百集团所属的商贸零售行业共有8家公司公布了2025半年度分配方案，派现金额最 多的是吉宏股份，派现金额为7966.85万元，其次是若羽臣、东百集团，派现金额分别为6560.11万元、 4349.23万元。（数据宝） 2025半年度商贸零售行业分红排名 | 代码 | 简称 | 每10股送转 | 每10股派现 | 派现金额（万 | 派现占净利润比例 | 股息率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （股） | （元） | 元） | （%） | （%） | | 002803 | 吉宏股 份 | 0.00 | 1.8 | 7966.85 | 67.43 | 1.33 | | 003010 | 若羽臣 | 4.00 | 3 | 6560.11 | 90.78 | 0.65 | | 600693 | 东百集 团 | 0.00 | 0.5 | 4349.23 | 60.78 | 0.74 | | 601010 | 文峰股 份 | 0.00 | 0.2 | 3587.53 | 95.60 | 0.65 | | 301078 | 孩子王 | 0 ...

注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 中信建投指出，中证500的VIX指数近期呈现抬升态势，同时期货基差率也有所上升，显示市场情绪波 动加大。从行业层面看，当前机构对商贸零售和非银行金融行业的关注度较高。此外，石油石化、有色 金属、钢铁、非银行金融和综合金融行业的机构调研热度在最近期有所提升。整体来看，市场拥挤信号 和拥挤行业数量较少，显示市场调整压力相对有限。 国泰中证500ETF（561350）跟踪的是中证500指数（000905），该指数从A股市场中选取除沪深300成分 股外市值较大、流动性较好的500只股票作为指数样本，覆盖工业、原材料、信息技术等多个行业板 块。该指数具有成长性突出、行业分散度高的特点，旨在综合反映中国A股市场中小盘上市公司的整体 表现。 没有股票账户的投资者可关注国泰中证500ETF ...

Group 1: Banking Industry - The estimated high-interest time deposits maturing in 2025 amount to approximately 39.7 trillion yuan, with 42% maturing in Q1 [6][7] - The interest rate reduction for 3-year deposits maturing in 2025 is projected to be between 125 to 150 basis points [8] - The average deposit cost rate for listed banks is expected to decrease to 1.61% in 2025 due to the repricing of time deposits [10][11] - The report recommends several banks, including CITIC Bank and Agricultural Bank of China, as beneficiaries of the favorable conditions [12] Group 2: Chemical Industry (Spandex) - The demand for spandex is driven by its increasing penetration in the textile and apparel sectors, with 76% of spandex used for clothing production in 2024 [14][15] - The spandex market is experiencing a significant oversupply, leading to negative profit margins, with average gross profit at -5,217 yuan/ton as of August 2025 [15][16] - The report suggests that leading companies like Huafeng Chemical and Xinxiang Chemical are likely to benefit from the ongoing capacity clearance in the spandex industry [16] Group 3: Public Utilities (Pinggao Electric) - Pinggao Electric reported a revenue of 5.696 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.0%, with a net profit of 666 million yuan, up 24.6% [17][19] - The company has a strong order backlog, with contract liabilities amounting to 1.715 billion yuan as of June 2025 [19][20] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for Pinggao Electric, citing its solid position in the power grid market [18] Group 4: Pharmaceutical Industry (Prolo Pharmaceutical) - Prolo Pharmaceutical's revenue for H1 2025 was 5.444 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 15.31% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 9.89% [21][22] - The CDMO business segment showed rapid growth, achieving a revenue of 1.236 billion yuan, up 20.32% [22] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for Prolo Pharmaceutical, highlighting its strong valuation despite the overall decline in revenue [21] Group 5: Retail Industry (Runben Co., Ltd.) - Runben Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 895 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.3%, with a net profit of 188 million yuan, up 4.2% [30][31] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.00 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 43.15% [30] - The report maintains a "buy" rating, emphasizing the company's strong market position in the mosquito repellent and baby care segments [30] Group 6: Technology Industry (Kangguan Technology) - Kangguan Technology launched the KTCAI smart glasses, priced at 1,499 yuan, featuring advanced AI capabilities [34][35] - The global smart glasses market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 119% by 2028 [34] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for Kangguan Technology, forecasting substantial growth in net profit over the next few years [34] Group 7: Overseas Companies (Weimeng Group) - Weimeng Group's revenue for H1 2025 was 775 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 10.6%, but the adjusted net profit was better than expected [26][27] - The company is focusing on optimizing its SaaS business and expanding its advertising channels [26][28] - The report maintains a "buy" rating, anticipating recovery in the SaaS business and growth from AI applications [26]

按申万行业统计，新华百货所属的商贸零售行业共有6家公司公布了2025半年度分配方案，派现金额最 多的是吉宏股份，派现金额为7966.85万元，其次是若羽臣、文峰股份，派现金额分别为6560.11万元、 3587.53万元。（数据宝） 代码 简称 每10股送转 （股） 每10股派现 （元） 派现金额（万 元） 派现占净利润比例 （%） 股息率 （%） 002803 吉宏股 份 0.00 1.8 7966.85 67.43 1.33 003010 若羽臣 4.00 3 6560.11 90.78 0.65 601010 文峰股 份 0.00 0.2 3587.53 95.60 0.65 301078 孩子王 0.00 0.2 2503.64 17.50 0.15 600785 新华百 货 0.00 1 2256.31 26.23 0.82 603214 爱婴室 0.00 1.3 1801.02 38.53 0.61 2025半年度商贸零售行业分红排名 | 1999.12.31 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 10派1元（含税） | | | | | 0.09 | 0.92 | 1997.12 ...

一、强势个股 截至8月21日收盘，上证综指上涨0.13%，收于3771.1点，深证成指下跌0.06%，收于11919.76点，创业 板指下跌0.47%，收于2595.47点。今日沪深两市A股共计58只涨停，综合当前连板数以及当日龙虎榜数 据，其中较为强势的前三只个股分别为：吉视传媒（601929）、园林股份（605303）与汇嘉时代 （603101）。今日强势个股前10位具体数据见下表： | 代码 | 隋称 | 连板数 | 换手率(%) | 成交额 | 龙虎持净买入额 | 最高价是否创一年来新高 | 所属行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601929 | 吉親传媒 | 14天8板 | 30.31 | 37.28亿元 | -4936.95万元 | ਡੂ | 传媒 | | 605303 | 因林股份 | 4连板 | 10.17 | 2.95亿元 | -809.74万元 | 是 | 建筑装饰 | | 603101 | 汇嘉时代 | 2连板 | 16.06 | 7.59亿元 | -4827.38万元 | 是 | 商贸本售 | | 0021 ...

（原标题：7.50亿元资金今日流入商贸零售股） 沪指8月21日上涨0.13%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有17个，涨幅居前的行业为农林牧渔、石油石 化，涨幅分别为1.50%、1.39%。商贸零售行业今日上涨0.70%。跌幅居前的行业为机械设备、电力设 备，跌幅分别为1.08%、0.98%。 商贸零售行业今日上涨0.70%，全天主力资金净流入7.50亿元，该行业所属的个股共97只，今日上涨的 有53只，涨停的有3只；下跌的有38只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有37只， 其中，净流入资金超3000万元的有8只，净流入资金居首的是跨境通，今日净流入资金7.05亿元，紧随 其后的是翠微股份、国联股份，净流入资金分别为5.57亿元、9063.30万元。商贸零售行业资金净流出个 股中，资金净流出超5000万元的有5只，净流出资金居前的有武商集团、供销大集、永辉超市，净流出 资金分别为9480.70万元、6753.77万元、6715.47万元。（数据宝） | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

（原标题：主力资金动向 7.50亿元潜入商贸零售业） | 行业名称 | | 成交量 | | | 今日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 成交量 （亿股） | 较昨日 增减 | 换手率 （%） | 涨跌幅 （%） | 主力资金 | | | | （%） | | | 净流入（亿元） | | 商贸零售 | 37.20 | 2.16 | 3.10 | 0.70 | 7.50 | | 公用事业 | 51.23 | 26.82 | 1.28 | 0.89 | 5.57 | | 钢铁 | 39.59 | 12.23 | 2.01 | 0.54 | 4.23 | | 煤炭 | 16.51 | 41.26 | 1.26 | 0.72 | 0.71 | | 综合 | 6.94 | -9.34 | 4.11 | -0.73 | 0.14 | | 建筑装饰 | 51.84 | 18.19 | 1.85 | 0.43 | -0.18 | | 美容护理 | 4.86 | 9.77 | 4.92 | 0.98 | -0.21 | | 石油石化 | 25.57 | 33.76 | 0.69 ...