Core Viewpoint - The trend of "deposit migration" among residents is increasing, with a significant shift of funds from traditional bank deposits to wealth management products and securities investments, driven by declining deposit rates and the attractiveness of financial markets [1][4][8]. Group 1: Deposit Trends - In August, new resident deposits increased by 110 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 600 billion yuan, marking two consecutive months of negative growth [1]. - Non-bank deposits saw an increase of 1.18 trillion yuan in the same month, showing a substantial year-on-year growth despite a month-on-month decline [1]. - The trend of deposit migration is expected to continue, with an estimated scale of hundreds of billions of yuan moving into wealth management products over the next year [1][8]. Group 2: Corporate Wealth Management - Over the past year, listed companies have shown a structural change in their use of idle funds, with a decrease in the proportion of deposit products and a slight increase in bank wealth management and stock products [2]. - The total amount of wealth management products subscribed or planned by listed companies reached 3.734 trillion yuan, with 56.29% of this amount allocated to deposit products [2]. - The proportion of funds allocated to wealth management products has increased significantly, from 15.16% in the previous period to 28% in the current period [2]. Group 3: Investment in Securities - Some companies have increased their investments in secondary market stock-related products, with over 10 billion yuan invested in stock products in the past year [3]. - Companies like Liou Co. and Jilin Aodong have announced plans to invest significant amounts in securities, including new stock subscriptions and other investment activities [3]. Group 4: Market Conditions - The continuous decline in deposit rates has led to a lower yield on public deposits, with rates dropping to around 1% from over 3% in 2020 [6][8]. - The average annualized yield of bank wealth management products has reached 2.12%, creating a significant yield gap compared to deposit products [7][8]. - Asset management institutions are actively entering the corporate wealth management market, responding to the demand for safer and more liquid investment options [7][8].

A-shares Market - On September 18, A-shares experienced a rapid decline after an initial rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3831.66 points, down 1.15%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 13075.66 points, down 1.06%. The ChiNext Index fell by 1.64% to 3095.85 points. Despite the decline, the trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.135 trillion yuan, an increase of 758.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day, marking the third-highest trading volume of the year [2] - On September 18, 18 A-shares registered for equity distribution, with 17 companies proposing dividends and one company planning to implement dividends, capital increase, or stock distribution simultaneously [2] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has imposed strict penalties on several companies for financial fraud, including *ST Dongtong and Yili Clean Energy, sending a strong signal of "zero tolerance" for such behaviors [2] - The Beijing Stock Exchange continues to see high activity in new stock listings, with the stock of Sanxie Electric rising by over 860% on its first trading day, closing up 785.62%, marking the highest first-day increase of the year [2] Insurance Sector - In the first half of the year, listed insurance companies showed a mixed performance in investment returns. Companies like Xinhua Insurance and China Ping An reported strong results after increasing their equity allocations, particularly in high-dividend stocks. Conversely, China Taiping's investment performance weakened significantly, with total investment income dropping by 41.6% year-on-year, and the annualized total investment return rate falling from 5.27% to 2.68% [3] Banking and Financial Products - Current bank deposit rates have generally fallen below 2%, although some private banks like Huari Bank and WeBank still offer large-denomination certificates of deposit with rates exceeding 2%. These high-yield products are in high demand and are quickly sold out [4] - As of September 12, the number of domestic securities investment private equity firms with assets exceeding 10 billion yuan has reached 92, with quantitative private equity firms making up nearly 50% of this group [4] - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced a reduction in the base interest rate to 4.5%, effective immediately, based on a formula referencing the lower limit of the current U.S. federal funds rate target range plus 50 basis points [4] Government Bonds - On September 17, the Ministry of Finance announced the completion of the competitive bidding for the second issuance of the 2025 ultra-long special government bonds, with a total face value of 35 billion yuan for a 20-year fixed-rate bond. The overall issuance scale of ultra-long special government bonds this year has reached 1.148 trillion yuan, with an issuance progress of 88.3% [4] Real Estate Market - In August, the sales prices of commercial residential properties in 70 large and medium-sized cities continued to show a narrowing year-on-year decline, with positive signals in property sales, inventory reduction, and corporate financing. A series of supportive policies have improved market expectations and accelerated demand release [6] Tax Revenue - In the first eight months of the year, tax revenue collected by the tax authorities increased by 2% year-on-year, with significant growth in July and August due to heightened activity in the capital markets, where tax revenue from the securities industry grew by over 70% in both months [7] - From January to August, the general public budget revenue reached 148.198 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%. Tax revenue was approximately 121.085 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.02% [8]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on September 22, featuring key figures from the financial sector, including the Governor of the People's Bank of China, to discuss the achievements of the financial industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2] - Key Point 2: The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) for September will be announced on September 22, covering both one-year and five-year terms [3] - Key Point 3: The Fifth World Biosphere Reserve Congress will take place from September 22 to 25 in Hangzhou, Zhejiang, marking the first time the event is held in Asia, with approximately 4,000 representatives from over 150 countries and regions [3] Group 2 - Key Point 1: On September 22, a total of 22 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked, with a total of 1.203 billion shares released, amounting to a market value of 13.833 billion yuan [4] - Key Point 2: The companies with the largest number of unlocked shares include Xingxing Technology, Huafeng Superfiber, and Chuanfa Longmang, with respective unlock volumes of 600 million shares, 227 million shares, and 125 million shares [4] - Key Point 3: The companies with the highest market value of unlocked shares are Xingxing Technology, Hahong Huaton, and Huafeng Superfiber, with values of 2.67 billion yuan, 2.364 billion yuan, and 1.719 billion yuan respectively [4] Group 3 - Key Point 1: A total of 280 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos will mature today, following a central bank operation on September 15 with an interest rate of 1.40% [5] - Key Point 2: Economic data releases include the Eurozone's consumer confidence index for September and Canada's industrial product price index for August [6]

Company Developments - Arc'teryx issued an apology regarding its fireworks incident in the Himalayas and stated that it will implement timely and effective remedial measures. Arc'teryx is a core brand under Amer Sports, which was acquired by Anta Group in 2019 [9] - Sunflower plans to acquire 100% equity of high-end semiconductor materials company Xipu Materials and other assets, with its stock set to resume trading on September 22 [10] - Zhenray Technology's actual controller and chairman, Yu Faxin, has been subjected to detention measures [11] - Changfei Fiber announced that DrakaComteq B.V. reduced its holdings in the company by 5% through block trading on September 19 [12] - UBTECH Robotics signed a global strategic cooperation agreement with Yunzhihui Technology, further clarifying their roles in humanoid robot research, manufacturing, and global market promotion [13] Industry Insights - The State Administration for Market Regulation announced on September 21 that the State Council's Food Safety Office and other departments will accelerate the formulation of national standards for prepared dishes and promote the explicit use of prepared dishes in the catering sector [3] - According to data from the Civil Aviation Administration of China, in August, the total transportation turnover of China's civil aviation reached 151.8 billion ton-kilometers, a year-on-year increase of 8%, marking a historic high by surpassing 150 billion ton-kilometers for the first time [4] - The National Energy Administration revealed that since the 14th Five-Year Plan, China has put into operation pumped storage power stations exceeding 30 million kilowatts. As of now, the total installed capacity of pumped storage power stations has reached 62.365 million kilowatts, achieving the target of 62 million kilowatts set in the 14th Five-Year Plan [5] - The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing's Pharmaceutical Logistics and Supply Chain Committee estimates that the total cost of pharmaceutical logistics in China will exceed 50 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with cold chain logistics costs in the pharmaceutical sector expected to exceed 13.5 billion yuan [5]

Group 1 - The State Council will hold a press conference on September 22, 2025, to discuss the achievements of the financial industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, featuring key officials from the People's Bank of China and financial regulatory bodies [2][4] - Four companies, including Fudan Zhuhua and Creative Information, will be subject to risk warnings due to financial fraud, leading to a one-day suspension on September 22 and subsequent "ST" designation starting September 23 [2][5] - The automatic driving company Pony.ai announced a partnership with ComfortDelGro in Singapore to deploy autonomous vehicles and related services, expanding its operational footprint [2][12] Group 2 - The 11th batch of national drug centralized procurement was released, focusing on stabilizing clinical quality and preventing price wars, which is expected to improve the profitability of pharmaceutical companies [10] - The global and Chinese Robotaxi service market is projected to reach $2.9 billion and $1.6 billion by 2025, respectively, with significant growth anticipated by 2035 [12] - The establishment of a laser fusion power plant in Shanghai is expected to create a trillion-dollar industry chain, benefiting upstream and midstream companies involved in nuclear fusion [14][15] Group 3 - Sunflower plans to acquire 100% of Xipu Materials and 40% of Beid Pharmaceutical, entering the high-end semiconductor materials sector, which will create a second growth curve for the company [17] - Brother Technology's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for its iodine injection solution, which is now officially approved for sale in China [17] - Zhongyou Engineering signed an EPC contract worth $513 million for an LNG pipeline project in the UAE, which is expected to positively impact the company's revenue and profits over the next few years [17]

Group 1 - The State Council will hold a press conference on September 22 to discuss the achievements of the financial industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with key figures from the central bank and financial regulatory bodies in attendance [1] - Berkshire Hathaway has confirmed the complete sale of its stake in BYD, which was initially acquired in 2008 for $230 million, resulting in a remarkable gain of approximately 3890% over 17 years [1] Group 2 - Premier Li Qiang emphasized the importance of China and the U.S. working together as partners for mutual development during a meeting with a U.S. congressional delegation [2] - The China Science and Technology Development Strategy Research Institute reported an increase in China's comprehensive technology innovation score to 80.20, up by 1.77 points from the previous year, with significant growth in technology investment and output [2] Group 3 - As of September 18, the market's margin financing and securities lending balance reached 24,024.65 billion yuan, with A-share market daily trading volume exceeding 30 billion yuan multiple times this year [3] - The number of new A-share accounts opened in August was 2.6503 million, representing a month-on-month increase of 34.97% and a year-on-year increase of 165% [3] Group 4 - Over 1,000 A-share companies have been investigated by institutions in September, with over 300 institutions conducting research on leading robotics company Huichuan Technology [4] - More than 400 foreign institutions have conducted research on A-share companies since the third quarter, with some institutions conducting over 40 investigations [4] Group 5 - Goldman Sachs believes the current rally in Chinese stocks is sustainable due to improved market participant structure, reasonable valuation levels, and a lower margin balance relative to market capitalization compared to 2015 [5] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut is expected to shift focus from inflation to economic growth, potentially increasing foreign capital inflow into A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [5] Group 6 - Domestic stock private equity institutions have increased their average positions to 78.04%, the highest level this year, with 60.02% of private equity firms holding over 80% of their capital [6] - CITIC Securities suggests that the current industry selection framework should focus on resources, new productivity, and overseas expansion, with a shift in resource stocks towards dividend attributes [6] Group 7 - The number of securities analysts has surpassed 6,162, marking a historical high, with over 400 new analysts added this year [7] Group 8 - Various companies have made significant announcements, including Sunflower's acquisition of a semiconductor materials company and the planned control changes at several firms [9] Group 9 - The National Energy Administration reported that China has completed the installation of over 62.365 million kilowatts of pumped storage power stations, exceeding the target set for the "14th Five-Year Plan" [10] - The civil aviation sector achieved a record high in transportation turnover, reaching 15.18 billion ton-kilometers in August, a year-on-year increase of 8% [11]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of floating-rate bonds in China has significantly increased, driven by the need for interest rate risk management and policy support, with a year-to-date issuance of 97 bonds totaling 275.57 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 123.5% [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The floating-rate bond market has seen a resurgence, with policy bank bonds accounting for over 80% of the issuance, while commercial bank bonds and subordinated bonds have also resumed issuance since June, totaling 38.9 billion yuan [1][2] - The newly issued floating-rate bonds exhibit a pattern of high initial trading activity followed by a significant drop in liquidity, with many bonds experiencing zero transactions after the first month [2][3] Group 2: Cost and Risk Management - The primary driver for commercial banks to restart floating-rate bond issuance is the pressure to reduce funding costs amid narrowing net interest margins and increasing market interest rate volatility [3][4] - Floating-rate bonds allow banks to dynamically adjust their funding costs in a declining interest rate environment, helping to alleviate the mismatch between high-interest liabilities and low-interest assets [3][4] Group 3: Future Outlook - Experts predict that floating-rate bond issuance will become normalized, with expectations for a complete yield curve to be established, catering to different institutional funding duration needs [5][6] - The introduction of floating-rate mechanisms in local government bonds could further stimulate demand from banks and other institutions, leading to substantial growth in the floating-rate bond market [6]

Group 1: Economic Sentiment - A significant 76.3% of respondents in a survey believe that "making money is becoming increasingly difficult," which is an increase of 8.7 percentage points compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The growth rate of residents' income has noticeably slowed, with the per capita disposable income in Q1 2025 being 11,782 yuan, reflecting a real growth of only 3.2% after adjusting for price factors [3] - The Gini coefficient stands at 0.468, indicating a substantial disparity in wealth distribution, with lower-income individuals experiencing slow or even declining income growth [3] Group 2: Financial Industry - The financial sector is currently the most profitable, with the six major state-owned banks reporting a combined net profit of 682.524 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, averaging about 3.77 billion yuan per day [5] - The securities industry achieved a total operating revenue of approximately 251.9 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 31%, and a net profit of 104 billion yuan, up 65% [5] - The insurance industry reported premium income of 3.74 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.3% [5] Group 3: Monopoly Industries - Monopoly industries such as oil, telecommunications, tobacco, and electricity have fewer competitors, making it easier for these companies to generate profits [6] - The three major oil companies in China—PetroChina, Sinopec, and CNOOC—collectively achieved a net profit of 175.009 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [8] - The domestic tobacco industry reported a total tax and profit amount of approximately 624.24 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of about 7.58% [8] Group 4: Real Estate Industry - Despite a decline in both sales volume and area in the real estate sector during the first half of 2025, it remains a primary avenue for wealth accumulation [10] - Homebuyers often exhaust their savings and incur bank loans to purchase properties, leading to significant capital inflow into real estate companies [10] - The real estate sector has historically produced some of the wealthiest individuals in China, indicating its role in wealth concentration [10] Group 5: Wealth Distribution Insights - The primary sectors where wealth is flowing include the financial industry, monopoly industries, and real estate, as highlighted by entrepreneur Cao Dewang [12] - These sectors benefit from either monopolistic conditions or supportive government policies that stimulate market activity, contributing to the perception that earning money is increasingly challenging for the average resident [12]

Core Viewpoint - China aims to peak carbon dioxide emissions before 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, marking a significant commitment to green transformation and sustainable development [1][2]. Financial Sector's Role - The financial sector is crucial in facilitating resource allocation and addressing financing challenges for green projects, with green credit surpassing 42 trillion yuan and green bond issuance ranking among the highest globally [1][3]. - Financial innovations and policies have been implemented to support the "dual carbon" goals, including the establishment of a comprehensive financial support framework [3][5]. Funding Requirements - From 2024 to 2030, China's total funding requirement for climate change mitigation and adaptation is approximately 25.2 trillion yuan, averaging about 3.6 trillion yuan annually; from 2031 to 2060, the requirement is around 243 trillion yuan, averaging about 8.1 trillion yuan annually [2]. Policy Framework - A robust policy framework has been established, including key documents that outline financial support for green development, providing clear strategic guidance for market participants [3][4]. - The introduction of standards and guidelines has enhanced transparency and accountability in green finance, preventing greenwashing practices [4][5]. Market Practices - Green credit has become a vital tool for financing energy efficiency and renewable energy projects, with a reported balance of 42.39 trillion yuan in green loans as of mid-2025, reflecting a 14.4% increase from the beginning of the year [6][7]. - The issuance of green bonds and sustainable development-linked bonds has enabled companies to raise funds specifically for low-carbon projects, linking financial incentives to emission reduction targets [7][8]. Carbon Market Development - China's carbon trading market has rapidly expanded since its launch, becoming the largest in the world by greenhouse gas emissions coverage, with a cumulative trading volume of 715 million tons and a transaction value of 49.04 billion yuan [9]. - The integration of carbon markets with other financial instruments is essential for maximizing the effectiveness of green finance and ensuring that emission reductions are economically viable [9][10]. Future Challenges and Directions - Despite progress, challenges remain in matching funding supply with project demand, developing risk pricing mechanisms, and enhancing collaboration across financial tools [10][11]. - Future efforts should focus on innovating financial products, improving resource matching, and fostering international cooperation to strengthen the green finance ecosystem [11][12].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The adjustment of the 14 - day reverse repurchase tender method is beneficial for the decline of cross - quarter funds prices. The current institution's cross - quarter progress is slow, and the central bank's adjustment shows its intention to support cross - quarter liquidity, which helps to stabilize the cross - quarter funds price. Although this week's funds were tightened due to multiple factors, it cannot be inferred that the central bank's attitude has changed. Next week, the overall liquidity pressure is expected to ease marginally [3][26][29]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Money Market 3.1.1 This Week's Funds Review - The central bank's OMO had a net injection of 5623 billion yuan this week, and a 6000 - billion - yuan 6M outright reverse repurchase was carried out on Monday, with a monthly net injection of 3000 billion yuan. A 1500 - billion - yuan 1M treasury cash fixed - deposit operation was conducted on Wednesday, with a winning bid rate of 1.78%, the same as the previous value. Affected by factors such as the tax period and government bond payments, funds were marginally tightened. DR001 once rose to 1.51% on Thursday and only eased significantly on Friday [3][8]. - The trading volume of pledged repurchase fluctuated and declined this week, with the average daily trading volume decreasing by 0.33 trillion yuan to 7.16 trillion yuan. The net lending of large banks decreased in the first half of the week and rebounded above 4 trillion yuan in the second half. The net lending of city commercial banks and joint - stock banks decreased on Monday and recovered in the middle of the week but declined again on Friday. The net lending of non - banks increased significantly on Wednesday and then decreased slightly, while the net borrowing of non - banks increased in the second half of the week. The funds gap index first rose and then fell [3][16]. - The September cross - quarter progress of inter - bank institutions and exchanges was slow, with the overall market cross - quarter progress at the lowest level in recent years. The excess reserve ratio in August decreased by 0.1 pct to 1.1%, lower than the expected 1.4%, mainly due to the unexpected increase of 3370 billion yuan in government deposits [3][20][22]. - This week, funds tightened marginally due to multiple exogenous disturbances, especially the freezing of 8512 billion yuan by the new stock Jinhuaxincai on the Beijing Stock Exchange, which caused a significant increase in GC001 on Tuesday and Wednesday. However, funds eased on Friday, and the average values of DR001 and DR007 since September were 1.39% and 1.48% respectively, similar to those since Q3, so it cannot be inferred that the central bank's attitude has changed [3][26]. 3.1.2 Next Week's Funds Outlook - Next week, the treasury bond payment scale is expected to be 3320 billion yuan, and the local bond issuance scale of 12 regions is 1961 billion yuan, with an actual payment scale of 2422 billion yuan. The net payment scale of government bonds will decrease from 4030 billion yuan this week to 908 billion yuan, but the single - day net payment on Monday will reach 2525 billion yuan [3][33]. - The report maintains the assumption that the treasury bond issuance in September is 1.49 trillion yuan with a net financing of about 7300 billion yuan, and the local bond issuance is 9000 billion yuan with a net financing of 4900 billion yuan. It is estimated that the government bond issuance scale in September is about 2.39 trillion yuan, with a net financing scale of about 1.22 trillion yuan [3][41]. - It is estimated that the treasury bond issuance scale in October is about 1.25 trillion yuan, with a net financing scale of about 2700 billion yuan, and the local bond issuance scale is 7100 billion yuan, with a net financing scale of 4600 billion yuan. The overall government bond issuance scale in October is expected to be about 1.96 trillion yuan, with a net financing of about 7300 billion yuan [3][44]. - Next week, the maturity scale of reverse repurchases will rise to 18268 billion yuan, and there will be a 3000 - billion - yuan MLF maturity on Thursday. The main exogenous disturbances to the funds will be concentrated in the first half of the week. Although the demand for cross - quarter funds will increase in the second half of the week, the central bank will stabilize funds through 14 - day reverse repurchase injections, MLF is likely to be renewed in excess, and the end - of - quarter fiscal expenditure may also provide some hedging. It is expected that the liquidity pressure will ease marginally compared to this week [3][52]. 3.2 Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - This week, the 1Y Shibor rate rose 0.6BP to 1.67%, and the secondary rate of 1 - year AAA - rated inter - bank certificates of deposit rose 0.5BP to 1.68% [53]. - The issuance scale of inter - bank certificates of deposit increased while the maturity scale decreased this week, with a net financing of 903 billion yuan. The net financing scales of state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks were 2469 billion yuan, - 843 billion yuan, - 529 billion yuan, and - 47 billion yuan respectively. The issuance proportion of 1Y certificates of deposit rose to 23%, and the 3M certificates of deposit had the highest issuance proportion at 36%. Next week, the maturity scale of certificates of deposit is about 8941 billion yuan, an increase of 881 billion yuan compared to this week [57]. - The issuance success rates of state - owned banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks increased compared to last week, while that of joint - stock banks decreased. Except for the relatively low issuance success rate of state - owned banks, the others were above the average level in recent years. The issuance spread of 1Y certificates of deposit between city commercial banks and joint - stock banks narrowed [58]. 3.3 Bill Market This week, bill rates fluctuated and rose. The rates of 3M and 6M national stock bills rose 10BP and 7BP respectively to 1.25% and 0.86% [4]. 3.4 Bond Trading Sentiment Tracking - This week, bond yields fluctuated at a high level, and the spreads of credit and Tier 2 perpetual bonds were relatively stable. Large banks' willingness to increase bond holdings decreased significantly, especially for medium - and short - term treasury bonds. Their willingness to reduce holdings of 3 - 7 - year policy financial bonds and local bonds increased, and they tended to reduce holdings of Tier 2 perpetual bonds [4]. - Trading - type institutions tended to increase bond holdings, including fund companies and securities companies. The willingness of other products to increase holdings also rose, while that of other institutions decreased. Allocation - type institutions tended to reduce bond holdings. Rural commercial banks tended to reduce bond holdings, the insurance companies' willingness to increase holdings decreased, and the wealth management products' willingness to increase holdings was basically the same as last week [4].