公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 蔚蓝锂芯（002245）2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 一季度业绩高增，BBU 等新场景将持续发力 目标价：16.59 元 事项： ❖ 蔚蓝锂芯发布 2025 年一季度报告，公司 2025 年一季度营业收入 17.28 亿元， 同比增长 20.9%；归母净利润 1.42 亿元，同比增长 100.6%，扣非后归母净利 润 1.48 亿元，同比增长 204.5%。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 6,756 | 8,136 | 9,167 | 10,370 | | 同比增速(%) | 29.4% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 488 | 682 | 852 | 1,007 | | 同比增速(%) | 246.4% | 39.9% | 24.8% | 18.2% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.42 | 0.59 | 0.74 | ...

❖ 蔚蓝锂芯发布 2025 年一季度报告，公司 2025 年一季度营业收入 17.28 亿元， 同比增长 20.9%；归母净利润 1.42 亿元，同比增长 100.6%，扣非后归母净利 润 1.48 亿元，同比增长 204.5%。 评论： 公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 蔚蓝锂芯（002245）2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 一季度业绩高增，BBU 等新场景将持续发力 目标价：16.59 元 事项： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 6,756 | 8,136 | 9,167 | 10,370 | | 同比增速(%) | 29.4% | 20.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 488 | 682 | 852 | 1,007 | | 同比增速(%) | 246.4% | 39.9% | 24.8% | 18.2% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.42 | 0.59 | 0.74 | ...

| | | | 碳 锌 8 评20250508: 国内碳酸锂5月供给预期偏松,三元材料厂库存量较上周减少 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 交易日期(日) | 2025-05-07 | 2025-05-06 | 2025-04-28 | 较昨日变化 | 近两周走势 | | | 近月合约 | 收盘价 | 64120.00 | 65100.00 | 67100.00 | -980-00 | | | | 连一合约 | 收盘价 | 64200.00 | 65280.00 | 66960.00 | -1,080.00 | | | | 连二合约 | 收盘价 | 65320.00 | 66400.00 | 66960.00 | -1,080.00 | | | | 连三合约 | 收盘价 | 65320.00 | 66400.00 | 68100.00 | -1,080.00 | | | | | 收盘价 | 64160.00 | 65260.00 | 66960.00 | -1,100.00 | | | 碳酸锂期货 | 活跃合约 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Company: CATL (宁德时代) Key Points 1. **Upcoming H-Share Listing** CATL announced its upcoming H-share listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which is expected to enhance its global influence and potentially lead to a valuation recovery in the A-share market. The company is currently valued at around 15X, primarily due to liquidity issues in the A-share market. [1] 2. **Significant Fund Holdings** As of Q1 2025, CATL's fund holdings reached 146.8 billion yuan, making it the largest holding in A-share public funds for four consecutive quarters. This indicates that A-share market liquidity significantly impacts the company's stock price. [1] 3. **H-Share Issuance Details** The H-share issuance is projected to be around 5 billion USD, corresponding to approximately 3% of the share capital. The expected market capitalization for circulation is around 10 billion yuan. The current liquidity in the Hong Kong market is robust, with strong demand for quality leading companies, which may result in a liquidity premium. [2] 4. **Comparative Valuation** Compared to LGES, a comparable lithium battery company, CATL's market capitalization is significantly undervalued. LGES has a market cap of 391.2 billion yuan, which is only 37% of CATL's A-share market cap, despite LGES's shipments being only 25% of CATL's. This highlights CATL's competitive edge and profitability. [2] 5. **Catalysts for Valuation Improvement** The potential catalysts for CATL's valuation improvement include the recognition of its long-term value by cornerstone investors and the relatively low discount for placements compared to A-shares, which may boost market confidence. [2] 6. **Short-term Market Concerns** Short-term market concerns include exposure to the U.S. market and industry beta risks. However, CATL has reduced its U.S. exposure to a negligible level and is expected to manage this through inventory and overseas capacity in the coming years. [3] 7. **Long-term Business Value** CATL's new business ventures are not yet reflected in its current market value. Key areas of growth include: - **Battery Swapping**: Successful implementation could significantly increase CATL's market share in passenger vehicles. - **Data Centers & Zero-Carbon Grid Storage**: High barriers to entry may lead to unexpected market share and profitability. - **Low-altitude & Robotics Batteries**: Innovations in chemical systems could yield additional market share. - **Sodium Batteries & Dual-Core Batteries**: Innovations in chemical systems may further enhance market share. [3] Additional Important Insights - The H-share listing is seen as a critical opportunity for CATL to leverage its global market presence and improve its valuation metrics in the A-share market. [1][2] - The company's strategic focus on emerging markets and new technologies positions it favorably for future growth, despite current market volatility. [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the trend of "anti-involution" in various industries as reflected in the capital expenditure to depreciation ratio, indicating a shift towards more conservative investment strategies in response to market conditions [1]. Group 1: Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery industry has seen a significant reduction in the capital expenditure to depreciation ratio, dropping from 5.17 in 2022 to 2.37 in 2023, and further to a historical low of 1.77 in 2024, indicating a controlled expansion of capacity [1][2]. - In Q1 2025, major companies like CATL reported a 6.19% revenue growth, while EVE Energy experienced a 37.34% increase, confirming the industry's recovery [2]. Group 2: Silicon Material and Wafer Industry - The silicon material and wafer industry has drastically reduced its capital expenditure to depreciation ratio from 4.1 in 2023 to 1.94 in 2024, marking a historical low due to significant losses [4][5]. - Leading company Tongwei Co. reported an 18.58% revenue decline in Q1 2025, with a negative gross margin of -2.88%, indicating ongoing challenges in the industry [5]. Group 3: Special Steel Industry - The special steel industry saw its capital expenditure to depreciation ratio decrease from 0.93 in 2023 to 0.57 in 2024, suggesting a contraction in capacity but still maintaining profitability among major players [7]. - In 2024, China imported 2.555 million tons of special steel, valued at $5.248 billion, highlighting ongoing demand in high-end steel products [7]. Group 4: Organic Silicon Industry - The organic silicon industry experienced a decline in its capital expenditure to depreciation ratio from 6.98 in 2023 to 1.76 in 2024, indicating a slowdown in capacity expansion [10]. - In Q1 2025, leading company Hoshine Silicon reported a gross margin drop to 14.62%, the lowest in its history, reflecting the industry's ongoing struggles [10]. Group 5: Titanium Dioxide Industry - The titanium dioxide industry faced low prices in 2024, with a capital expenditure to depreciation ratio of 0.78, indicating a contraction in capacity [12]. - Leading company Longbai Group showed signs of stabilization in Q1 2025, with a slight recovery in gross margin, although demand remains uncertain due to external factors [12]. Group 6: Coking Industry - The coking industry is experiencing significant challenges, with a capital expenditure to depreciation ratio of 1.18 in 2024, despite being at a historical low price point [16]. - Leading company Shanxi Coking has reported negative gross margins for ten consecutive quarters, indicating persistent difficulties in the sector [16]. Group 7: Glass Fiber Industry - The glass fiber industry reported a capital expenditure to depreciation ratio of 1.45 in 2024, down from 2.3 in the previous year, suggesting a nearing of historical lows [17]. - Major player China Jushi saw a substantial increase in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, indicating a clear recovery trend [17]. Group 8: Inorganic Salt Industry - The inorganic salt industry faced continuous price declines, with a capital expenditure to depreciation ratio of 1.06 in 2024, indicating a contraction in capacity [21]. - Leading company Sinochem International reported a gross margin of 9.48% in Q1 2025, the lowest since its listing, reflecting ongoing challenges [21]. Group 9: Inverter Industry - The inverter industry has seen a significant drop in its capital expenditure to depreciation ratio from previous years, now at 4.43 in 2024, indicating a slowdown in expansion [23]. - The industry is experiencing a divergence, with leading companies like Sungrow continuing to perform well, while smaller firms face losses [23].

江苏如皋某民营造船企业船舶建造现场。 吴树建摄 如何破除"壁垒"，保障公平竞争？ 把党和国家对民营经济平等对待、平等保护的要求用法律制度落实下来 "立法把党和国家对民营经济平等对待、平等保护的要求用法律制度落实下来，保障各类经济组织享有 平等的法律地位、市场机会和发展权利。"全国人大常委会法工委经济法室主任杨合庆说。 核电领域关系国民经济命脉和能源安全，投资运营门槛较高，一直以来核电项目主要由中央企业投资和 运营。去年8月，国务院常务会议决定核准江苏徐圩一期工程等5个核电项目，总投资2400多亿元，都有 民营企业参与投资。 位于广东的陆丰核电站1、2号机组，民营企业久立集团股份有限公司投资占比5%。"作为核电材料供应 商，过去一直希望参与核电项目投资。"久立集团有关负责人感慨，能够有机会以较高股比参股，确实 感受到了国家支持民间资本的决心。 如何进一步优化营商环境？ 既鼓励支持民营经济发展，又注重加强规范引导 "民营经济促进法围绕营商环境优化构建系统性治理框架，在规范市场行为、优化投融资环境、推动科 技创新、强化服务保障等方面都有规定。"黄永维表示。 黄永维说，为推动政府从"管理者"向"服务者"转型，立法推动 ...

本报西宁5月7日讯（记者石晶）西宁海关日前举行新闻发布会透露，一季度，青海省进出口总值18.8亿 元，同比增长87.8%，增速居全国前列。 全省进出口市场呈现多元化趋势。青海依托资源优化布局新能源产业，新能源产品成为外贸增长主动 力。一季度，全省锂电池出口6.3亿元，同比增长69.2倍，占全省出口总值的38%，增速居全国第一。 多晶硅与光伏组件协同深耕国际市场。青海依托盐湖资源与清洁能源禀赋，构建光伏产业跨境供应体 系。一季度，光伏产业相关产品出口大幅增长，其中，多晶硅出口2.4亿元，同比增长3.5倍，出口值占 同期全国同类出口商品的69.3%，居全国第一；光伏组件出口3047.6万元，同比增长1.2倍。 （文章来源：经济日报） 不久前，一架装载1975公斤冰鲜虹鳟鱼的航班从西宁曹家堡机场起飞，经广州转关出口至泰国曼谷。目 前，青海产冰鲜虹鳟鱼已实现多个国家和地区当日抵达，青海冷水鱼年出口量从500吨增长到超5000 吨。西宁曹家堡机场海关监管科科长陈兆权介绍，机场海关持续优化通关服务保障，设立空运出口专 用"绿色通道"，指定业务骨干作为联络员，加强与货主、报关、物流单位联系配合，实现转关出口零延 迟。 今年 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rapid growth and demand for high-density lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries, particularly driven by advancements in fast-charging technology and the limited number of companies capable of producing high-density LFP using the oxalic acid iron preparation method [1][5]. Industry Overview - In Q1 2025, China's lithium battery shipments reached 314 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 55%, with lithium iron phosphate cathode material shipments at 760,000 tons, accounting for 76% of total cathode material shipments and achieving a year-on-year growth of 94% [2]. - High-density LFP products are leading the market in terms of orders and profit margins, primarily used in fast-charging power batteries and large energy storage cells [3][4]. Technological Advancements - The oxalic acid iron preparation method is gaining traction, with only 2-3 companies mastering this technology, which is utilized by CATL in its Shenxing battery [5][6]. - The oxalic acid method allows for a single sintering process, resulting in higher purity and better performance compared to the traditional iron phosphate method, which requires multiple sintering and incurs higher energy costs [6][7]. Company Developments - Pengbo New Materials has initiated a new lithium iron phosphate project in Shanxi, with an annual production capacity of 200,000 tons planned to commence trial production in September 2025 [5]. - The company has developed various high-density LFP products, achieving stable mass production and technological leadership in the field [9][10]. Market Positioning - Pengbo New Materials is positioned strongly in the high-density LFP market, with its products already being used in high-end electric vehicles and commercial energy storage applications [12]. - The company has established production bases in Ningxiang and Yangquan, with a total planned capacity of 100,000 tons per year to meet the growing demand for LFP materials [12]. Upcoming Events - Pengbo New Materials will showcase its products at the CIBF 2025 from May 15-17, 2025, in Shenzhen, highlighting its advancements in LFP and manganese iron lithium materials [11][13].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the rapid establishment and production capabilities of Hongli New Energy (Chengdu) Co., Ltd., which successfully launched its lithium battery production line just 86 days after signing the project agreement [1] - The project involves a total investment of approximately 1.1 billion yuan, aiming to build a production line capable of producing 1 billion manganese lithium batteries annually, with a target annual output value of 2.5 billion yuan [1] - The production line operates 24 hours a day, with plans to achieve a production value of 300 million yuan in the second quarter [1] Group 2 - The Tianxin Industrial Park has initiated a "Hongli New Energy Project Construction Action Plan," providing dedicated services to assist the company in various operational aspects, including registration, approvals, and talent services [2] - The Qionglai area has become a key hub for new energy and new materials industries in Chengdu, with the Tianxin Industrial Park covering an area of 18.70 square kilometers and housing over 320 industry chain enterprises [2] - The park has established a complete layout for key materials in power batteries, including positive and negative electrodes and separators, which has helped reduce procurement time and logistics costs for Hongli New Energy [2]

| | | | 碳 锌 8 详20250507: 国内碳酸锂5月供给预期偏松,三元材料厂库存量较上周减少 | 交易日期(日) | 2025-04-30 | 2025-04-25 | 较昨日变化 | 2025-05-06 | 近两周走势 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 近月合约 | 收盘价 | 65100.00 | 65680.00 | 68380.00 | -580.00 | 连一合约 | 65280.00 | 收盘价 | 65880.00 | 68180.00 | -600.00 | | | 连二合约 | 收盘价 | 66400.00 | -660.00 | 67060.00 | 68180.00 | 收盘价 | 66400.00 | 69240.00 | 连三合约 | 67060.00 | -660.00 | | | -700.00 | 收盘价 | 65260.00 | 65960.00 | 68180.00 | 碳酸锂期货 | 成交量(手) | ...