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中信证券:把握避险与供给主线 关注能源与材料板块逢低布局机遇
news flash· 2025-05-28 01:22
中信证券研报称,2025年初以来,能源与材料产业各板块指数表现分化。2025年下半年,在美国关税政 策或频繁变动的预期下,预计商品价格走势复杂多变,从需求端难以寻找指引价格走势的清晰逻辑,应 聚焦"避险"和"供给扰动"两条主线,建议按照黄金、战略金属、钢铁、工业金属、煤炭、石油的次序进 行配置。1)黄金继续作为首选方向,关注企业的产量增长和成本优化前景。2)战略金属板块关注稀土、 钨、锑和钴。3)钢铁板块的估值优势和利润再分配预期带来配置良机。4)建议逢低布局工业金属、煤炭 和原油板块。 ...
国泰海通|有色:宏观扰动再起,金属价格震荡运行
本 文摘自:2025年5月26日发布的 宏观扰动再起,金属价格震荡运行 于嘉懿 ,资格证书编号: S0880522080001 刘小华 ,资格证书编号: S0880523120003 报告导读: 特朗普全面减税法案的最终落地、以及其关税威胁均存在不确定性,市场情 绪反复之下,金价或呈现震荡。国内宏观利好频出,或将对冲部分海外影响,不过仍需 关注淡季下游需求反馈,工业品价格预计震荡运行。 周期研判: 特朗普全面减税法案,在美众议院预算委员会获得通过,引发市场对于美财政赤字担忧,且特 朗普再度发动对欧盟等关税威胁,市场避险情绪上升,金价上行。然该法案的最终落地、以及特朗普关税 威胁均存在不确定性,市场情绪反复之下,金价或呈现震荡。同时国内宏观方面利好频出,或将对冲部分 海外影响,进入传统淡季,需关注下游对工业金属需求反馈,工业品价格预计震荡运行。 贵金属:市场情绪反复,金价或延续震荡。 5 月 22 日,美国总统特朗普的全面减税法案,在美国众议院 获得通过,引发市场对于美财政赤字的担忧,长期美债遭遇抛售,叠加周五特朗普提出对欧盟、苹果、三 星加征关税,美股下跌、美元指数单周下跌约 2% 。同时,据美国有线电视新闻 ...
中原期货晨会纪要-20250522
Zhong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-05-22 11:58
中原期货研究所 | | | | 商品指数每日市场跟踪 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 宏观指标 | | 2025/5/22 | 2025/5/21 | 涨 跌 | 涨跌幅/% | | | | 08:00 | 15:00 | | | | 道琼斯工业指数 | 纳斯达克指数 | 41860.44 18872.64 | 42677.24 19142.71 | -816.80 -270.070 | -1.914 -1.411 | | 标普500 | | 5844.61 | 5940.46 | -95.850 | -1.614 | | 恒生指数 | | | | | | | | | 23827.78 | 23681.48 | 146.30 | 0.618 | | SHIBOR隔夜 | | 1.51 | 1.51 | 0 | 0 | | 美元指数 | | 99.64 | 99.60 | 0.038 | 0.038 | | 美元兑人民币(CFETS) | | 7.21 | 7.21 | 0 | 0 | | 主力合约 | | 2025/5/21 | 2025/5/20 ...
5月22日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-05-22 10:19
Group 1 - Company Zhongnan Media signed a government procurement contract worth 1.009 billion yuan for the supply of free textbooks and related teaching resources in Hunan Province for 2025, ensuring stable revenue for the company [1] - Company Zhongnan Media was established in December 2008, focusing on the publishing, distribution, and printing of publications [2] Group 2 - Company Tongling Nonferrous Metals announced the resignation of its general manager and deputy general manager due to higher-level assignments [3] - Company Tongling Nonferrous Metals was founded in November 1996, primarily engaged in the mining and processing of copper, iron, and sulfur gold [4] Group 3 - Company Xinyi Co. plans to reduce its shareholding by no more than 1% due to personal asset allocation needs [5] - Company Xinyi Co. was established in April 1996, specializing in the research, production, and sales of functional new materials based on organic synthetic resins [6] Group 4 - Company Xinhua Pharmaceutical received approval for the registration of ibuprofen suspension drops, a non-prescription drug for relieving fever and mild to moderate pain in children [7] - Company Xinhua Pharmaceutical was founded in November 1998, focusing on the sales of raw materials and intermediates, as well as chemical products [8] Group 5 - Company Emei Mountain A elected Tong Jianming as a director and appointed him as the general manager [9] - Company Emei Mountain A was established in October 1997, primarily engaged in tourism services, including ticket sales and hotel operations [10] Group 6 - Company Heng Rui Medicine announced the approval of its innovative drug, Regaglitin Metformin tablets, for market launch, aimed at improving blood sugar control in type 2 diabetes patients [11] - Company Heng Rui Medicine was founded in April 1997, focusing on the research, production, and sales of pharmaceuticals [12] Group 7 - Company Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank announced the approval of Tang Li's qualification as vice president [13] - Company Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank was established in June 2008, focusing on inclusive finance and corporate financial services [14] Group 8 - Company Weili Medical received certification from the Canadian Ministry of Health for its extraction bag, allowing legal sales in the Canadian market [15] - Company Weili Medical was founded in April 2004, specializing in the research, production, and sales of medical devices in various fields [16] Group 9 - Company Ailis received approval for its KRAS G12C inhibitor, a new drug for treating advanced non-small cell lung cancer [17] - Company Ailis was established in March 2004, focusing on innovative drug research and development in oncology [18] Group 10 - Company Renfu Pharmaceutical received registration certificates for two new drugs, including methylprednisolone tablets and hydrocodone ibuprofen tablets [19] - Company Renfu Pharmaceutical was founded in March 1993, focusing on the research, production, and sales of pharmaceuticals [20] Group 11 - Company Siwei Tuxin received multiple invention patent certificates from the National Intellectual Property Administration [21] - Company Siwei Tuxin was established in December 2002, focusing on navigation maps, intelligent driving, and automotive electronic chips [22] Group 12 - Company Changhong High-Tech received a warning letter from the Ningbo Securities Regulatory Bureau for failing to disclose related party transactions [23] - Company Changhong High-Tech was founded in June 2012, focusing on the research, production, and sales of styrene thermoplastic elastomers [24] Group 13 - Company Gansu Energy Chemical announced the resignation of its director and general counsel due to organizational adjustments [25] - Company Gansu Energy Chemical was established in December 1996, focusing on coal mining and sales [26] Group 14 - Company Shanghai Construction received land use rights for a residential project in Tianjin, with a total investment of approximately 330 million yuan [27] - Company Shanghai Construction was founded in June 1998, focusing on construction, design consulting, and real estate development [28] Group 15 - Company Chengdu Xian Dao announced that a major shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company by 25 to 50 million yuan [29] - Company Chengdu Xian Dao was established in February 2012, focusing on drug research and development services [30] Group 16 - Company Hunan Silver announced the resignation of its deputy general manager due to organizational adjustments [31] - Company Hunan Silver was founded in November 2004, focusing on the smelting and sales of silver and other precious metals [32] Group 17 - Company China Chemical reported a total contract amount of 123.017 billion yuan for the first four months of the year [33] - Company China Chemical was established in September 2008, focusing on construction engineering and modern services [34] Group 18 - Company Borui Pharmaceutical received a registration certificate for iodinated contrast agent injection [35] - Company Borui Pharmaceutical was founded in October 2001, focusing on the research and production of pharmaceutical intermediates and raw materials [36] Group 19 - Company Wanhua Chemical announced a technical transformation of its ethylene unit, aiming to diversify raw materials and enhance competitiveness [37] - Company Wanhua Chemical was established in December 1998, focusing on the research, production, and sales of polyurethane and fine chemicals [38] Group 20 - Company ST Houlv received approval for its injectable cephalosporin sodium to pass the consistency evaluation for generic drugs [39] - Company ST Houlv was founded in June 2005, focusing on drug research, production, and sales [40] Group 21 - Company Anka Intelligent announced a targeted reduction of capital for its subsidiary [41] - Company Anka Intelligent was established in May 2004, focusing on the research and development of power system solutions [42] Group 22 - Company Huaming Intelligent announced financial support for its subsidiary [43] - Company Huaming Intelligent was founded in August 2001, focusing on intelligent systems and services [44] Group 23 - Company Foton Motor received a central subsidy of 124 million yuan for promoting new energy vehicles [45] - Company Foton Motor was established in August 1996, focusing on vehicles and mobile equipment [46] Group 24 - Company Guangsheng Tang received a registration certificate for ritonavir tablets, used in HIV treatment [47] - Company Guangsheng Tang was founded in June 2001, focusing on the research and production of antiviral drugs [48] Group 25 - Company Kexing Pharmaceutical received FDA approval for clinical trials of its GB18 injection in the United States [49] - Company Kexing Pharmaceutical was established in August 1997, focusing on the research and production of recombinant protein drugs [50] Group 26 - Company Heng Rui Medicine announced the final price for its H-share public offering at 44.05 HKD per share [51] - Company Heng Rui Medicine was founded in April 1997, focusing on the research, production, and sales of pharmaceuticals [52] Group 27 - Company Wandong Medical elected a new chairman following the resignation of the previous chairman [53] - Company Wandong Medical was established in May 1997, focusing on the research, production, and sales of medical imaging equipment [54] Group 28 - Company Qixia Construction announced a plan to reduce its shareholding by no more than 3% [55] - Company Qixia Construction was founded in December 1999, focusing on real estate development and management [56] Group 29 - Company Dasheng Intelligent signed a contract worth 11.5 million yuan for a high-efficiency machine room project [57] - Company Dasheng Intelligent was established in March 1995, focusing on AIoT intelligent management platforms [58] Group 30 - Company Huashi Technology announced an extension of the detention period for its actual controller [59] - Company Huashi Technology was founded in June 1998, focusing on information system integration and technical services [60] Group 31 - Company Tianzhihang announced plans to increase capital for its subsidiary [61] - Company Tianzhihang was established in October 2010, focusing on orthopedic surgical navigation robots [62] Group 32 - Company Pingzhi Information signed a procurement framework agreement with China Mobile for base station antennas [63] - Company Pingzhi Information was founded in November 2002, focusing on communication equipment and services [64] Group 33 - Company Mengke Pharmaceutical received acceptance for its new drug application for a new antibacterial drug [65] - Company Mengke Pharmaceutical was established in August 2012, focusing on small molecule drug research [66] Group 34 - Company Kede Education announced a change in its actual controller to a state-owned asset supervision committee [67] - Company Kede Education was founded in January 2003, focusing on education services [68] Group 35 - Company Jinlong Automobile elected a new chairman following the board meeting [69] - Company Jinlong Automobile was established in October 1996, focusing on the production and sales of buses [70] Group 36 - Company Jushen Co. received dividends totaling 95.7 million yuan from its subsidiaries [71] - Company Jushen Co. was founded in November 2011, focusing on logistics and warehousing services [72] Group 37 - Company Qingyun Technology announced plans for shareholders to reduce their holdings by up to 4.5% [73] - Company Qingyun Technology was established in April 2012, focusing on cloud computing products and services [74] Group 38 - Company Shengdexintai received a procurement notice from Dongfang Electric for a project worth 234 million yuan [75] - Company Shengdexintai was founded in October 2001, focusing on the production and sales of energy equipment [76] Group 39 - Company Juzhi Technology announced a plan for a director to reduce his holdings by up to 400,000 shares [77] - Company Juzhi Technology was established in November 2007, focusing on machine vision equipment [78] Group 40 - Company Sanrenxing announced plans for shareholders to reduce their holdings by up to 3% [79] - Company Sanrenxing was founded in August 2003, focusing on integrated marketing services [80] Group 41 - Company Transsion Holdings announced plans to increase capital for its subsidiary by 70 million yuan [81] - Company Transsion Holdings was established in August 2013, focusing on smart terminal design and sales [82] Group 42 - Company Jinling Pharmaceutical received approval for its raw material drug for iron deficiency anemia [83] - Company Jinling Pharmaceutical was founded in September 1998, focusing on drug manufacturing and healthcare services [84] Group 43 - Company Xiyu Tourism announced plans for shareholders to reduce their holdings by up to 3% [85] - Company Xiyu Tourism was established in January 2001, focusing on tourism and scenic area management [86]
5月20日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 10:19
宏景科技:签署5.97亿元智算项目服务合同 5月20日晚,宏景科技(301396)发布公告称,公司与Y公司近日签署了《智算项目服务合同》,由公 司按照Y公司要求向Y公司提供服务器、组网配套服务以及对服务器进行必要的改配服务,并提供算力 服务。合同总金额为5.97亿元(含税),合同期限5年。 资料显示,宏景科技成立于1997年3月,主营业务是在智慧民生、城市综合管理、智慧园区领域,为遍 布各行业的客户提供专业和系统的全流程解决方案。 所属行业:计算机–IT服务Ⅱ–IT服务Ⅲ 威孚高科:控股子公司出资2.2亿元设立合资公司 5月20日晚,威孚高科(000581)发布公告称,公司控股子公司南京威孚金宁有限公司与上海保隆汽车 科技股份有限公司的全资子公司上海保隆汽车科技(安徽)有限公司共同投资设立威孚保隆科技有限公 司,注册资本为4亿元,其中威孚金宁出资2.2亿元,占注册资本的55%。 资料显示,威孚高科成立于1988年10月,主营业务是汽车核心零部件产品的研发、生产和销售。 所属行业:汽车–汽车零部件–底盘与发动机系统 中山公用:超短期融资券和中期票据获准注册 5月20日晚,中山公用(000685)发布公告称,公司 ...
周报:后市稀土管制或有放松可能,看涨氛围渐浓-20250519
Huafu Securities· 2025-05-19 08:48
行 有色金属 2025 年 05 月 19 日 业 研 究 有色金属 20250518 周报:后市稀土管制或有放松可能,看 涨氛围渐浓 投资要点: 行 业 定 期 报 告 贵金属:中美关税缓和呈现短期压制,黄金长期配置价值不改。在关 税的不确定性和市场动荡背景下,美国就业增速将有放缓预期。上周末中 美经贸高层会谈在瑞士日内瓦开展,周一中方发布会表示,会谈取得重要 共识。随即中美双方通过再5月12日统一将对彼此关税降至34%,并在6月12 日前继续讨论进一步降低至20%或更低的可能性。关税政策超预期缓和带动 市场风险偏好回暖,贵金属避险属性承压。短期而言,全球贸易政策不确 定性及全球央行购金支撑金价,整体呈现易涨难跌格局;中长期而言,全 球关税政策和地缘政治的不确定性背景下,避险和滞涨交易仍是黄金交易 的核心,长期配置价值不改。个股:黄金建议关注中金黄金、山东黄金、 赤峰黄金,低估弹性关注株冶集团和玉龙股份,其他关注银泰黄金、湖南 黄金及招金矿业;白银建议关注兴业银锡、银泰黄金、盛达资源。 工业金属:供需偏紧格局不改,整体易涨难跌。铜,短期,美联储降 息预期仍在,基本面偏紧格局延续支撑铜价;中长期,随美联储降息 ...
有色金属大宗金属周报:中美关税“降级”催化,成本支撑叠加库存去化,铝价大涨-20250518
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-05-18 13:14
证券研究报告 有色金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 18 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC:S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC:S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC:S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC:S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 联系人 陈轩 板块表现: 中美关税"降级"催化,成本支撑叠加库存去化,铝价大涨 投资评级: 看好(维持) ——有色金属 大宗金属周报(2025/5/12-2025/5/16) 投资要点: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 铜:铜价维持震荡,等待后续宏观催化。本周伦铜/沪铜/美铜涨跌幅分别为 +0.86%/+0.89%/-1.34%,本周一中美发布经贸会谈联合声明,实现对等关税"降级", 受此催化全球商品价格反弹,沪铜一度反弹至 7.9 万元/吨,后续逐步回落至 7.8 万 元/吨。基本 ...
金属、新材料行业周报:金价短期调整后仍偏强,基本金属需求具有韧性-20250517
行 业 及 产 业 有色金属 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 guozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郭中耀 A0230124070003 guozy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 (8621)23297818× guozy@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 2025 年 05 月 17 日 金价短期调整后仍偏强,基本金属 需求具有韧性 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 看好 ——金属&新材料行业周报20250512-20250516 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 证 券 研 究 报 告 ⚫ 一周行情回顾:据 ifind,环比上周 1)上证指数上涨 0.76%,深证成指上涨 0.52%,沪深 300 上涨 1.12%,有色金属(申万)指数上 ...
金属行业2024年报综述:行业利润质量已现质变,板块配置属性显现增强
Dongxing Securities· 2025-05-16 00:50
元_20250113_173521.xlsx 金属行业 2024 年报综述:行业利润质量 已现质变,板块配置属性显现增强 2025 年 5 月 15 日 看好/维持 有色金属 行业报告 | 分析师 | 张天丰 电话:021-25102914 邮箱:zhang_tf@dxzq.net.cn | 执业证书编号:S1480520100001 | | --- | --- | --- | | 研究助理 | 闵泓朴 电话:021-65462553 邮箱:minhp-yjs@dxzq.net.cn | 执业证书编号:S1480124060003 | 投资摘要: 从十年维度观察(2015-2024),有色金属行业利润规模已实现质变。2024 年行业实现总营收 34075 亿元,十年间涨幅达 205%;同年行业 实现归母净利润 1384 亿元,十年间涨幅高达 4691%。其中,2020-2022 年间,全球量化宽松周期开启,库存周期切换叠加流动性助推下, 金属行业归母净利润由 19 年的 157 亿元增至 1818 亿元,涨幅达 1062%,行业利润实现从百亿至千亿级的跨越。至 2024 年,随着全球降 息周期的再次开启,有色 ...
国海证券晨会纪要-20250515
Guohai Securities· 2025-05-15 01:33
2025 年 05 月 15 日 晨会纪要 研究所: 证券分析师: 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2025 年第 80 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 1)2025 年,特斯拉 Optimus 机器人有望开始量产,出货量、性能表现、应用场景或者降本速度或将超市场 预期(特斯拉公开指引出货量数千台级别); 2)2025 年,宇树、华为、智元、小鹏、小米等国产机器人产业链发展或将加速; 3)2026 年,特斯拉人形机器人有望落地月产能万台级别的机器人产线,并正式开启人形机器人的对外交付 (来源:特斯拉官网)。 特斯拉官网开放多个 Optimus 相关岗位,北京亦庄人形机器人半程马拉松成功举办——人形机器人行业 2025 年 4 月月报--行业 PPT 报告 银锡价格上行带动业绩,资源雄厚成长可期--兴业银锡/工业金属(000426/212403) 公司动态研究 2024 年业绩高增,无极品牌出海放量--隆鑫通用/摩托车及其他(603766/212804) 公司点评 国盾量子(688027)公司报告:中国量子科技领军,"一体两翼"布局 ...