Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - The current large basis of stock index futures reflects market hedging demand, which depends on the existence of obvious Alpha returns. The market's focus remains on the consumer and technology sectors. The high - tech manufacturing industry in China is in a capital expenditure expansion cycle, and the consumer sector benefits from policy support. In June, these two sectors are expected to be the main focus of the market. The bond market's focus has returned to changes in the capital side. Although there were concerns about capital tightening in June, after the central bank's operations, the expectation of capital tightening has weakened, and the bond market is expected to oscillate strongly [1]. - The stock index futures are expected to oscillate, and the bond futures are also expected to oscillate [1]. Summary by Directory Research Views - **Stock Index Futures**: The large basis of stock index futures reflects market hedging demand, which depends on Alpha returns. Last week, the market's focus was on consumer and technology sectors. The high - tech manufacturing industry is in a capital expenditure expansion cycle, and the consumer sector benefits from policies. In May, the retail of three major white - goods maintained a high year - on - year growth rate (over 60% each), and passenger car retail remained booming (16% year - on - year). There may be a pulse in overseas demand for textile, clothing, and electronic products due to "rush - to - export" [1]. - **Bond Futures**: On June 10, 2025, the 30 - year bond futures main contract rose 0.35%, the 10 - year main contract rose 0.09%, and the 5 - year and 2 - year main contracts were basically stable. The central bank conducted 173.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations with a stable interest rate of 1.4%, resulting in a net injection of 173.8 billion yuan. Capital interest rates declined slightly. The bond market's focus has returned to the capital side. Due to large maturing pressure of inter - bank certificates of deposit and increased government bond issuance, there were concerns about capital tightening in June, but after the central bank's operations, the expectation of capital tightening has weakened, and the bond market is expected to oscillate strongly [1]. Daily Price Changes - **Stock Index Futures**: On June 9, 2025, compared with June 6, 2025, IH rose 3.0 points (0.11%), IF rose 12.4 points (0.32%), IC rose 41.0 points (0.72%), and IM rose 67.6 points (1.11%) [4]. - **Stock Indexes**: The Shanghai Composite 50 Index fell 2.0 points (- 0.08%), the CSI 300 Index rose 11.3 points (0.29%), the CSI 500 Index rose 43.6 points (0.76%), and the CSI 1000 Index rose 66.1 points (1.07%) [4]. - **Bond Futures**: TS remained unchanged (0.00%), TF fell 0.015 points (- 0.01%), T rose 0.075 points (0.07%), and TL rose 0.36 points (0.30%) [4]. Market News - In May 2025, China's exports denominated in US dollars increased 4.8% year - on - year (previous value: 8.1%), and imports decreased 3.4% year - on - year (previous value: - 0.2%) [5]. - In May 2025, the national consumer price index decreased 0.1% year - on - year. From January to May, the average national consumer price index decreased 0.1% compared with the same period last year [5]. Chart Analysis - **Stock Index Futures**: There are charts showing the trends of IH, IF, IM, IC main contracts and their respective basis trends [7][8][11]. - **Bond Futures**: There are charts showing the trends of bond futures main contracts, bond spot yields, basis, inter - period spreads, cross - variety spreads, and capital interest rates [14][16][18]. - **Exchange Rates**: There are charts showing the central parity rates of the US dollar, euro against the RMB, forward US dollar against the RMB for 1M and 3M, forward euro against the RMB for 1M and 3M, US dollar index, euro against the US dollar, pound against the US dollar, and US dollar against the yen [21][22][25].

沪指6月9日上涨0.43%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有30个，涨幅居前的行业为医药生物、农林牧 渔，涨幅分别为2.30%、1.72%。纺织服饰行业位居今日涨幅榜第三。跌幅居前的行业为食品饮料，跌 幅分别为0.43%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流入35.37亿元，今日有16个行业主力资金净流入，非银金融行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨1.20%，全天净流入资金27.81亿元，其次是医药生物行业，日 涨幅为2.30%，净流入资金为20.27亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有15个，汽车行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金11.08亿元，其次 是计算机行业，净流出资金为11.05亿元，净流出资金较多的还有食品饮料、机械设备、通信等行业。 纺织服饰行业资金流出榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002721 | ST金一 | 1.49 | 4.81 | -10705.17 | | 002345 | 潮宏基 | -0.14 | 6.97 | -2475.30 | | 6 ...

大消费 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 9 日 [T分析师able_A：uthor 罗鹏 ] 执业证书号：S1030523040001 电话：0755-23602217 邮箱：luopeng@csco.com.cn 研究助理：赵靖 电话：0755-23602217 邮箱：zhaojing2@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 黄金珠宝"以旧换新"政策推动消费转型 [Table_ReportType] 大消费行业周报（6 月第 1 周） [Table_Summary] 行业观点： 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] | 一、 市场周度回顾 3 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 二、 行业要闻及重点公司公告 4 | | | | 2.1 4 | 行业要闻 | | | 2.2 5 | 公司公告 | | [Table_Report] [Table_BaseData] 计算机 2019 年 Q3 综合毛利率（%） 9.7 综合净利率（%） 6.9 行业 ROE（%） 25.6 行业 ...

大消费 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 9 日 [T分析师able_A：uthor 罗鹏 ] 执业证书号：S1030523040001 电话：0755-23602217 邮箱：luopeng@csco.com.cn 研究助理：赵靖 电话：0755-23602217 邮箱：zhaojing2@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 证券研究报告 黄金珠宝"以旧换新"政策推动消费转型 [Table_ReportType] 大消费行业周报（6 月第 1 周） [Table_Summary] 行业观点： 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] | 一、 市场周度回顾 3 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 二、 行业要闻及重点公司公告 4 | | | | 2.1 4 | 行业要闻 | | | 2.2 5 | 公司公告 | | [Table_Report] [Table_BaseData] 计算机 2019 年 Q3 综合毛利率（%） 9.7 综合净利率（%） 6.9 行业 ROE（%） 25.6 行业 ...

2025 年 06 月 08 日 震荡偏强，科技板块仍具性价比 金融工程定期报告 证券研究报告 本期要点：震荡偏强，科技板块仍具性价比 正如上周所述，当前市场走势比 2024 年 6 月要强一些，结构上可以 考虑在均衡的基础上偏向低吸科技板块，目前来看基本符合预期。 上周市场表现相对较强，上证则是再度形成了向上一笔，有挑战 5 月 高点的迹象。但在有效突破 5 月高点之前，上证也有可能因存在日线 顶背离的压制而出现调整的可能性。因此，我们当下维持市场震荡偏 强的判断，但将密切关注在前高附近市场是否展现出有效突破的迹 象；而如果一旦确认突破失败，那么后续或将迎来真正的调整。 上周四盘后，我们的四轮驱动模型再次发出 TMT 方向的多个看多信 号。从相对于市场的低频温度计角度看，目前 TMT 板块仍处于相对低 位；而从拥挤度的角度看，TMT 板块在 5 月底下探两年来的低点之后， 又有再度小幅上行的迹象。这两个因素或使得至少未来一两周内 TMT 是一个值得认真关注的方向。 具体而言，行业上，除了电子、计算机、传媒等板块外，还可以关注 非银、食品饮料、纺织服饰、通信、机械、军工等板块的机会。 风险提示：根据历史数据构 ...

主力资金净流出的行业有24个，计算机行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金33.56亿元，其 次是机械设备行业，净流出资金为31.09亿元，净流出资金较多的还有汽车、电子、医药生物等行业。 美容护理行业今日下跌1.70%，全天主力资金净流出1.35亿元，该行业所属的个股共31只，今日上涨的 有7只；下跌的有24只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有6只，净流入资金居首的 是珀莱雅，今日净流入资金3971.12万元，紧随其后的是水羊股份、两面针，净流入资金分别为1833.96 万元、1635.86万元。美容护理行业资金净流出个股中，资金净流出超千万元的有7只，净流出资金居前 的有爱美客、贝泰妮、青松股份，净流出资金分别为3011.31万元、2875.18万元、1992.07万元。（数据 宝） 美容护理行业资金流向排名 沪指6月6日上涨0.04%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有13个，涨幅居前的行业为有色金属、通信，涨 幅分别为1.16%、1.00%。跌幅居前的行业为美容护理、纺织服饰，跌幅分别为1.70%、1.18%。美容护 理行业位居今日跌幅榜首位。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出212. ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations today, with major indices showing mixed results. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.19%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.45% [3] - The Hong Kong stock market saw a slight decline, with the Hang Seng Index closing down by 0.48%. Notably, stocks like SMIC and Trip.com Group saw significant declines [12][13] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector led the gains in the A-share market, with an increase of over 1%. Stocks such as Shengda Resources and Silver Industry reached their daily limit, while several others rose by more than 5% [3] - The communication sector also performed well, with stocks like 263 and Chutian Long hitting their daily limit [4] - Other sectors that showed positive performance included oil and petrochemicals, construction decoration, basic chemicals, and building materials [5] - Conversely, sectors such as beauty care, textiles and apparel, food and beverage, and media showed weak performance, with varying degrees of decline [6] - Concept sectors like glyphosate, nickel metals, shale gas, and lithium mining also saw significant gains [7] Notable Company Events - Longjin Tui (002750.SZ) entered the delisting arrangement period today, with its stock price plummeting by 36.28% and trading volume exceeding 40 million yuan [8][10] - The company received a notice from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange regarding the termination of its stock listing due to financial performance issues, including a negative profit total and revenue below 300 million yuan for the previous fiscal year [11] - In the Hong Kong market, the pharmaceutical company Stone Pharmaceutical Group surged by 12.72% after announcing the approval of its adenosylcobalamin capsule by the National Medical Products Administration, which is expected to enhance its product line in the blood and nervous system treatment areas [13] Commodity Market - In the futures market, domestic silver futures saw a significant increase of over 4%, with prices surpassing 8,800 yuan per kilogram, marking a new high since the contract's inception [15]

| 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600735 | 新华锦 | 9.98 | 12.52 | 5793.81 | | 002763 | 汇洁股份 | 4.80 | 13.69 | 3645.69 | | 000955 | 欣龙控股 | 2.59 | 5.53 | 1343.81 | | 002731 | 萃华珠宝 | -6.85 | 21.67 | 941.13 | | 003041 | 真爱美家 | 2.32 | 2.84 | 906.27 | | 300591 | 万里马 | -0.16 | 7.95 | 785.78 | | 002154 | 报喜鸟 | 0.00 | 1.28 | 729.78 | | 601718 | 际华集团 | 0.00 | 0.73 | 636.84 | | 002563 | 森马服饰 | 0.19 | 0.86 | 622.32 | | 600612 | 老凤祥 | -1.89 | 1.12 | 586.38 | | 002098 | 浔兴股份 | ...

Core Insights - The latest financing balance of the ChiNext stocks is 341.461 billion yuan, with a week-on-week increase of 1.339 billion yuan, indicating a positive trend in financing activities [1] - On June 5, the ChiNext index rose by 1.17%, and the total margin balance for ChiNext stocks reached 342.402 billion yuan, marking a continuous increase over three trading days [1] - Among the 527 ChiNext stocks with increased financing balances, 31 stocks saw an increase of over 10%, with Mankalon leading at a 32.46% increase despite a 14.71% drop in stock price [1][2] Financing Balance Increase - The average increase in stock prices for those with financing balance growth exceeding 10% was 1.42%, with notable gainers including Kangliyuan and Sifang Jichuang, which rose by 11.01% and 10.74% respectively [2] - Major inflows of funds were observed in stocks like Taichengguang and Xice Testing, with net inflows of 146 million yuan and 96.1996 million yuan respectively [2] Financing Balance Decrease - A total of 405 stocks experienced a decrease in financing balance, with 13 stocks seeing a decline of over 10%. Hopu's financing balance dropped by 35.86%, the largest decrease [4] - Other significant declines were noted in Kaili and Aoke stocks, with decreases of 28.00% and 19.94% respectively [4][5]

资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出3.37亿元，今日有11个行业主力资金净流入，电子行业主力资金 净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨2.31%，全天净流入资金48.41亿元，其次是计算机行业，日涨幅为 2.12%，净流入资金为32.14亿元。 | | | 纺织服饰行业资金流出榜 沪指6月5日上涨0.23%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有12个，涨幅居前的行业为通信、电子，涨幅分 别为2.62%、2.31%。跌幅居前的行业为美容护理、纺织服饰，跌幅分别为3.07%、1.81%。纺织服饰行 业位居今日跌幅榜第二。 主力资金净流出的行业有20个，医药生物行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金48.79亿元， 其次是食品饮料行业，净流出资金为12.85亿元，净流出资金较多的还有有色金属、农林牧渔、交通运 输等行业。 纺织服饰行业今日下跌1.81%，全天主力资金净流出8.16亿元，该行业所属的个股共105只，今日上涨的 有20只，涨停的有1只；下跌的有79只，跌停的有3只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的 个股有43只，其中，净流入资金超千万元的有6只，净流入资金居首的是锦泓集团，今日净流入资金 1.18亿元， ...