Group 1 - The core point of the news is that a block trade of 9.6 million shares of Shanying International occurred on September 12, with a transaction amount of 19.104 million yuan and a transaction price of 1.99 yuan, representing a premium of 2.05% over the closing price of the day [2] - In the last three months, Shanying International has recorded a total of five block trades, with a cumulative transaction amount of 22.6232 million yuan [2] - On the same day, Shanying International's closing price was 1.95 yuan, reflecting an increase of 3.17%, with a daily turnover rate of 9.19% and a total transaction amount of 973 million yuan [2] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds for Shanying International on that day was 36.3311 million yuan, while the stock has seen a cumulative increase of 4.28% over the past five days, with a total net outflow of funds amounting to 3.3716 million yuan [2] - The latest margin financing balance for Shanying International is 484 million yuan, which has decreased by 11.0832 million yuan over the past five days, representing a decline of 2.24% [2]

Market Overview - The paper sector experienced a slight decline of 0.13% on September 12, with forest packaging leading the losses [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3883.69, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.38, up 0.13% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the paper sector included: - Qingshan Paper (600103) with a closing price of 4.18, up 10.00% and a trading volume of 1.9754 million shares [1] - Songyang Resources (603863) closed at 22.54, up 7.03% with a trading volume of 169,300 shares [1] - Shanying International (600567) closed at 1.95, up 3.17% with a trading volume of 4.3163 million shares [1] - Conversely, the forest packaging sector saw declines, with Forest Packaging (605500) closing at 10.09, down 2.70% [2] Capital Flow - The paper sector experienced a net outflow of 77.6114 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 65.8791 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors increased their positions [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Key individual stock capital flows included: - Sun Paper (002078) with a net outflow of 43.6162 million yuan from retail investors despite a net inflow of 17.5522 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Songyang Resources (603863) saw a net inflow of 15.5550 million yuan from institutional investors but a net outflow of 2.37837 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Shanying International (600567) had a net inflow of 8.8419 million yuan from institutional investors but a net outflow of 2.11354 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the world's first cultural paper futures options, specifically the胶版印刷纸期货期权, marks a significant milestone in China's paper industry risk management and supports the green and low-carbon transformation of the sector [2]. Group 1: Market Impact - The introduction of胶版印刷纸期货 and期权 is expected to enhance price transparency, continuity, and public accessibility, providing better market references and risk management tools for production companies and end customers [2]. - The new financial derivatives will create a linkage with pulp futures, increasing operational flexibility and cost control for companies within the industry [2]. Group 2: Company Involvement - 建发股份 has actively participated in the initial trading of胶版印刷纸期货 and期权, demonstrating its commitment to the futures market [2]. - The company has established a comprehensive delivery network, with its subsidiaries receiving approval for胶版印刷纸期货 delivery warehouses and delivery factory qualifications [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - 建发股份 aims to maintain a "professional, efficient, and stable" operational philosophy, ensuring the safe, standardized, and efficient operation of delivery services while promoting the prosperity of the pulp and paper futures market [3].

上市公司：晨鸣纸业（000488），凯恩股份（002012），景兴纸业（002067），太阳纸业（002078）， 安妮股份（002235），齐峰新材（002521），青山纸业（600103），民丰特纸（600235），华泰股份 （600308），岳阳林纸（600963），博汇纸业（600966），荣晟环保（603165），仙鹤股份 （603733），松炀资源（603863），五洲特纸（605007），华旺科技（605377），森林包装（605500） 2019年-2025年1-4月全国造纸和纸制品业出口货值统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国造纸行业市场调查研究及发展前景展望报告》 根据国家统计局数据可知：2025年4月全国造纸和纸制品业出口货值为65.4亿元，同比增长1.1%；2025 年1-4月 ...

Group 1 - The stock of Qingshan Paper (600103) reached the daily limit, with a turnover rate of 11.50% and a transaction amount of 9.61 billion yuan, showing a fluctuation of 4.11% [2] - The stock was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange due to a price deviation of 8.49%, with a net sell of 18.12 million yuan from the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect [2] - The top five trading departments accounted for a total transaction of 302 million yuan, with a buying amount of 102 million yuan and a selling amount of 200 million yuan, resulting in a net sell of 98.24 million yuan [2] Group 2 - The main capital outflow for the stock today was 154 million yuan, with a large single outflow of 121 million yuan and a big single outflow of 32.62 million yuan; however, over the past five days, the main capital has net inflowed 135 million yuan [2] - The company's semi-annual report released on August 26 showed that it achieved an operating income of 1.21 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year decrease of 15.27%, while net profit was 56.08 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.74% [2]

Group 1 - The paper industry sector saw an increase of 1.02% on September 11, with Qingshan Paper leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3875.31, up 1.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12979.89, up 3.36% [1] - Qingshan Paper's stock price rose by 10.14% to 3.80, with a trading volume of 2.54 million shares and a transaction value of 9.61 billion [1] Group 2 - The paper sector experienced a net outflow of 317 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 252 million [2] - Among individual stocks, Yibin Paper had a net inflow of 204.37 thousand from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 585.27 thousand from retail investors [3] - The overall trading activity in the paper sector indicated mixed investor sentiment, with some stocks experiencing significant outflows while others attracted retail interest [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the news highlights the performance of certain stocks in the A-share market, with a total of 96 stocks hitting the daily limit up on September 11 [1] - Among the notable performers, real estate stock Suning Universal achieved three consecutive limit-up days, while PCB concept stocks Dongshan Precision and Jingwang Electronics recorded two consecutive limit-up days [1][2] Group 2 - The table lists stocks with consecutive limit-up days, including *ST Weir with five days in the automotive sector, *ST Asia Pacific in the chemical sector, and Qingshan Paper in the paper manufacturing sector, among others [2] - Suning Universal is specifically noted for its three consecutive limit-up days in the real estate sector, indicating strong market interest and potential investment opportunities [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Oils and Fats**: Expected to fluctuate [6] - **Protein Meal**: Expected to fluctuate [6] - **Corn and Starch**: Expected to fluctuate weakly [7] - **Hogs**: Expected to fluctuate [8] - **Natural Rubber and No. 20 Rubber**: Expected to fluctuate strongly in the short - term [9] - **Synthetic Rubber**: Expected to fluctuate [11] - **Cotton**: Expected to fluctuate in the short - term [12] - **Sugar**: Expected to fluctuate weakly in the long - term, and run in the 5500 - 5750 range in the short - term [14] - **Pulp**: Expected to fluctuate [15] - **Double - Glue Paper**: Expected to fluctuate [16] - **Logs**: Expected to stop falling and stabilize [19] 2. Core Views of the Report - **Oils and Fats**: Affected by the relatively bearish MPOB report, the market sentiment is weak, and it may continue to adjust. Pay attention to the effectiveness of the lower technical support [6]. - **Protein Meal**: The market has both long and short factors, and the market will continue to fluctuate narrowly. Hold long positions at 2900 - 2910 and add positions on dips. It is recommended that oil mills sell on rallies, and downstream enterprises buy basis contracts or fix prices on dips [6]. - **Corn and Starch**: Maintain the idea of shorting on rallies in the fourth quarter. There is a short - term tight supply, and a short - term long - term long pattern is expected [7]. - **Hogs**: The expectation of "anti - involution" boosts the market. In the short - term, the supply is abundant, and the cycle is still under supply pressure. In the long - term, if the capacity - reduction policy is implemented, the supply pressure in 2026 will be gradually weakened. Pay attention to the reverse arbitrage strategy [8]. - **Natural Rubber**: After the decline, it stabilizes, and there will still be fluctuations in the short - term. The short - term trend is expected to fluctuate strongly [9]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: It returns to the fluctuating trend. The short - term price of butadiene is expected to rise slightly, and the market may fluctuate strongly [11]. - **Cotton**: The cotton price fluctuates within the range. Try short - term long positions when the price reaches the lower limit of the range [12]. - **Sugar**: In the long - term, the sugar price has a downward driving force due to the expected supply surplus in the new season. In the short - term, it runs in the 5500 - 5750 range, and pay attention to the support at 5500 [14]. - **Pulp**: The pulp futures fluctuate sharply with the listing of double - glue paper. It is expected to fluctuate [15]. - **Double - Glue Paper**: The fundamentals are weak, but the listing price is neutral to low. Consider range operation between 4000 - 4500 [16]. - **Logs**: The market is in a game between weak reality and peak - season expectation. The price may stop falling and stabilize in September [19]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Oils and Fats - **Logic**: Due to the limited expected decline in US soybean yield per unit, combined with the impact of oil - meal arbitrage, US soybeans and soybean oil fell on Tuesday. The MPOB report is bearish, and domestic oils and fats fluctuated and fell yesterday. The US soybean is affected by drought, and the domestic soybean oil inventory may peak. The MPOB report on palm oil is bearish, and the domestic rapeseed oil inventory is slowly falling but still high year - on - year [6]. - **Outlook**: Affected by the bearish MPOB report, the market sentiment is weak and may continue to adjust [6]. 3.2 Protein Meal - **Logic**: Internationally, the Fed's rate cut in September is almost certain. There are factors such as the possible occurrence of La Nina and the expected increase in Brazil's soybean exports. Domestically, the state reserve plans to sell 22,500 tons of imported soybeans, and the soybean import volume is large. The demand for soybean meal may increase steadily [6]. - **Outlook**: Both domestic and international markets will continue to fluctuate within the range. Hold long positions at 2900 - 2910 and add positions on dips [6]. 3.3 Corn and Starch - **Logic**: The domestic corn price shows a differentiated trend. The supply is short - term tight, and the demand has a phased increase. With the approaching of the new grain listing, the selling pressure will gradually appear in the fourth quarter [7]. - **Outlook**: Look for short - selling opportunities on rallies when the new grain is concentratedly listed. Consider reverse arbitrage [7]. 3.4 Hogs - **Logic**: The Ministry of Agriculture plans to hold a symposium on hog production capacity regulation enterprises on September 16. In the short - term, the supply is abundant, and the demand is stable. In the long - term, the "anti - involution" policy may drive the price to strengthen in 2026 [8]. - **Outlook**: The spot price is expected to fluctuate. The futures market is in a pattern of "weak reality + strong expectation", and pay attention to the reverse arbitrage strategy [8]. 3.5 Natural Rubber and No. 20 Rubber - **Logic**: The rubber market stabilizes after a sharp decline. The short - term fundamentals are strong, and there are many speculative themes. The supply increase may be postponed, and the downstream purchasing enthusiasm recovers after the price decline [9]. - **Outlook**: The short - term trend is expected to fluctuate strongly [9]. 3.6 Synthetic Rubber - **Logic**: The BR market stabilizes after a large decline and returns to the fluctuating trend. It follows the natural rubber market, and the cost of raw material butadiene provides support. The supply and demand fundamentals support the market to fluctuate in a narrow range [11]. - **Outlook**: The short - term price of butadiene may rise slightly, and the market may fluctuate strongly [11]. 3.7 Cotton - **Logic**: The domestic cotton market has low inventory and marginal improvement in demand. The new cotton commercial inventory is tight, and the demand is improving but the upward driving force is insufficient. Wait for the new cotton purchase price to give direction [12]. - **Outlook**: Fluctuate in the short - term. Try short - term long positions when the price reaches the lower limit of the range [12]. 3.8 Sugar - **Logic**: In the new season, although the drought in Brazil reduces the sugarcane yield, the sugar production is expected to increase due to the high sugar - making ratio. The supply in Southeast Asia is expected to increase. The domestic supply marginally increases, and the sugar price has a downward driving force [14]. - **Outlook**: In the long - term, the sugar price may decline. In the short - term, it runs in the 5500 - 5750 range, and pay attention to the support at 5500 [14]. 3.9 Pulp - **Logic**: The pulp futures fluctuate sharply with the listing of double - glue paper. The supply and demand change little, and it may be due to emotional speculation. The needle - broadleaf pattern is differentiated, and the price may continue to decline [15]. - **Outlook**: The pulp futures are expected to fluctuate [15]. 3.10 Double - Glue Paper - **Logic**: The fundamentals are bearish, with over - supply in the industry, declining demand, and high inventory. The listing price is neutral to low, and consider range operation between 4000 - 4500. Pay attention to reverse arbitrage in the early stage of listing [16]. - **Outlook**: The fundamentals are weak, but the listing price is neutral to low. Consider range operation [16]. 3.11 Logs - **Logic**: The log market is in a game between weak reality and peak - season expectation. The inventory is decreasing, and the demand is expected to increase. The price may stop falling and stabilize in September [19]. - **Outlook**: The price may stop falling and stabilize in September [19].

Core Viewpoint - The launch of futures and options for newsprint paper, fuel oil, asphalt, and pulp at the Shanghai Futures Exchange marks a significant step in enhancing risk management tools for the paper industry and promoting sustainable development [1][2][3]. Group 1: Industry Significance - The paper industry is a crucial part of China's light industry, with a production and consumption volume of 136 million tons in 2024, maintaining its position as the world's largest producer and consumer for 16 consecutive years [1]. - The introduction of newsprint paper futures and options is timely, providing essential financial instruments for upstream and downstream enterprises, thereby strengthening the industry's risk resilience [1][2]. - The new products are expected to stimulate green transformation in the paper industry and enhance international competitiveness, contributing to the establishment of "China prices" and attracting global resources [1][2]. Group 2: Market Development - The launch of these new futures and options is part of a broader strategy to enrich and improve the multi-layered derivative system in the market, catering to the refined and diversified needs of enterprises [2]. - The futures market has demonstrated effective risk management capabilities during market volatility, indicating a mature investor structure and strong contract continuity [2]. - The addition of newsprint paper and pulp options will further enhance the risk management framework within the paper industry, providing companies with more flexible hedging tools [2][3]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The introduction of newsprint paper futures and options is seen as a milestone in supporting the green and low-carbon transformation of the paper industry, enhancing the risk management level across the pulp and paper supply chain [3]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange aims to continuously expand its product offerings and improve efficiency, thereby supporting high-quality development in the real economy [3].

Report Overview - The report is a pulp morning report released by the Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center on September 11, 2025 [2] SP Main Contract Information - On September 10, 2025, the closing price of the SP main contract was 4996.00, with a 0.52314% increase from the previous day. The converted US dollar price was 612.08. The basis of Shandong Yinxing was 694, and that of Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai Yinxing was 704 [3] Import Pulp Price and Profit - Calculated with a 13% VAT, for Canadian pulp, the CFR price of Golden Lion was 780 US dollars, and the RMB price in Shandong was 6300, with an import profit of -45.57; the CFR price of Lion was 730 US dollars, and the RMB price in Shandong was 5410, with an import profit of -533.29. For Chilean pulp, the CFR L/C 90 - day price of Yinxing was 720 US dollars, and the RMB price in Shandong was 5690, with an import profit of -172.83 [4] Pulp Price Averages - From September 4 to September 10, 2025, the national average prices of softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, natural color pulp, and chemimechanical pulp remained unchanged at 6073.75, 4810.75, 5415.00, and 3686.25 respectively. The average prices in Shandong area also remained unchanged [4] Paper Product Index and Profit Margin - From September 5 to September 10, 2025, the indices of cultural paper (double - offset and double - copper), packaging paper (white card), and tissue paper remained unchanged. The profit margins of double - offset paper, double - copper paper, and tissue paper remained stable, while the profit margin of white card paper increased by 0.6954 from September 5 to September 10 [4] Pulp Price Spreads - From September 4 to September 10, 2025, the spreads between softwood and hardwood pulp, softwood and natural color pulp, softwood and chemimechanical pulp, and softwood and waste paper pulp changed slightly [4]