Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview Coatings and Waterproofing Materials - There are opportunities for price increases in the coatings and waterproofing materials sectors, with coatings showing signs of growth in 2025 and waterproofing expected to follow in 2026. Key companies to focus on include Yuhong, Keshun, and Sankeshu [1][2] Pipe Manufacturing - Companies targeting the C-end market are performing steadily with good cash flow and dividends, making them suitable for conservative investors. Recommended companies include Tubao and Weixing [1][2] Glass Fiber Sector - The demand outlook for the glass fiber sector is positive, with significant price increases in ordinary electronic cloth since the beginning of the year. China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology have considerable growth potential in the high-end electronic cloth market [1][2] Construction Sector - Large companies with low valuations and high dividend yields, such as Tunnel Co. and China State Construction, are worth attention. A recovery in traditional construction demand will benefit upstream material suppliers like Honglu Steel Structure and Jinggong Steel Structure [1][2] Non-Ferrous Metals Industry - The non-ferrous metals sector is currently at a high PB valuation, around the 75th percentile over the last 20 years, but still has upward potential based on PE valuation at approximately the 35th percentile. Gold stocks are valued at 12-13 times earnings, with a potential increase of 50%-70% during a bull market. Energy metals like copper and aluminum also show around 40% upside potential. The gold sector has risen 30% since the beginning of the year and is in the middle of a quarterly uptrend [3][4] Coal Industry Current Fundamentals - The coking coal sector shows strong fundamentals, with a recent increase in the coal index by 1.44%, outperforming the CSI 300 index. Supply-side data is low, with significant inventory reductions. As of January 23, coal inventory was 168 million tons, down 3.3% year-on-year, with coking coal inventory down 12% [5][6] Future Expectations - The coal sector is expected to see significant price increases following policy changes that will affect inventory and production levels. High-quality coking coal companies and high-dividend thermal coal companies are recommended for investment [6] Real Estate Sector Market Trends - The real estate sector is nearing the end of its bottoming phase, with recommendations to accumulate stocks that have improved fundamentals but have not yet realized performance. Jianfa Co. is highlighted, with expected losses of 5.2 to 10 billion yuan in 2025 but a commitment to maintain dividends of at least 0.7 yuan per share [7][8] Company Performance - Jianfa Co. has a stable supply chain business with significant growth in overseas operations, achieving sales of 14 billion USD, a 37% year-on-year increase. Major losses are attributed to its home furnishing business and real estate operations [9][10] Future Performance Expectations - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a low point for Jianfa Co., with a projected rebound in 2026, estimating profits between 3 to 3.5 billion yuan. The company is expected to maintain a stable dividend strategy, supported by strong cash flow [11]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic factors such as monetary policy, macro expectations, geopolitical dynamics, and supply disruptions in influencing metal prices [2] - Precious metals are expected to continue their upward trend due to geopolitical events in North America, concerns over the US dollar and treasury bonds, and increased central bank gold purchases [6] - Copper prices are anticipated to remain strong due to supply disruptions in Chile and expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [6] - Aluminum prices are expected to maintain a strong performance supported by macroeconomic factors and increased production capacity [6] - Energy metals show strong demand with continuous inventory depletion, particularly lithium, despite seasonal production declines [6] Summary by Sections Supply Disruptions and Opportunities - Gold prices have risen significantly, with SHFE gold increasing by 8.00% to 1,115.64 CNY per gram and COMEX gold by 8.44% to 4,983.10 USD per ounce [9] - Silver prices have also surged, with SHFE silver up 10.62% to 24,965 CNY per kilogram and COMEX silver up 16.63% to 103.26 USD per ounce [10] Industry and Stock Performance - The SW non-ferrous metals index increased by 6.03% last week, outperforming major indices [16] - The report highlights that industrial metal prices have shown mixed performance, with copper and aluminum prices increasing while lead and zinc prices have decreased [25] Metal Prices and Inventory - Copper prices rose to 101,340 CNY per ton on SHFE, reflecting a 0.57% increase, while LME copper increased by 2.44% to 13,115 USD per ton [12] - Aluminum prices on SHFE increased by 1.53% to 24,290 CNY per ton, supported by improved production and demand [11] Macro Data Tracking - The report tracks macroeconomic indicators, including CPI and PPI, which are crucial for understanding the broader economic environment affecting metal prices [29][44] Precious Metals - The report notes that low inventory levels and expectations of liquidity easing are driving precious metal prices higher [50] - Central bank gold purchases and ETF holdings are expected to support gold prices in 2026 [6] Copper Market - Supply disruptions in Chile, including strikes at major copper mines, are expected to support copper prices [12] - The report anticipates that copper prices may experience fluctuations based on macroeconomic developments, particularly related to interest rates [65] Energy Metals - Lithium inventory continues to decline, indicating strong demand, while the market is cautious about production disruptions from key mines [13] - The cobalt sector is facing high prices due to tight raw material supply, with companies extending their operations into downstream sectors [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights a bullish trend in precious metals, particularly silver, which has recently surpassed $100 per ounce, suggesting a continuation of the metal bull market [2]. - The report notes that macroeconomic factors, including geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, are influencing metal prices, with a general upward trend observed across various metals [3][4][5][9]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Silver prices have surged, breaking the $100 mark, while gold is approaching $5000 per ounce, driven by increased market risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions [2]. - Key companies to watch include Xinyi Silver, Shengda Resources, and Zijin Mining [2]. Industrial Metals - Copper inventories have increased, with global copper stocks rising by 69,000 tons, indicating a potential supply-demand imbalance [3]. - The report mentions ongoing labor strikes affecting copper production in Chile, which could exacerbate market tensions [3]. - Suggested companies for investment include Zijin Mining and Western Mining [3]. Aluminum - The aluminum market is experiencing short-term price fluctuations due to macroeconomic policies and supply chain issues, with production capacity remaining stable [4]. - Companies to consider include China Hongqiao and Nanshan Aluminum [4]. Nickel - Nickel prices have risen by 4.7% to 148,010 yuan per ton, influenced by supply disruptions in Indonesia and macroeconomic liquidity [5]. - Recommended companies include Huayou Cobalt and Ganfeng Lithium [5][8]. Tin - Tin prices are supported by macroeconomic factors and supply chain bottlenecks, with demand from the electronics sector showing signs of recovery [8]. - Key companies include Hunan Tin and Yunnan Tin [8]. Lithium - Lithium prices continue to rise, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 177,000 yuan per ton, driven by pre-holiday stockpiling and supply disruptions [9]. - Companies to watch include Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium [9]. Cobalt - Cobalt prices have decreased by 3.7% to 437,000 yuan per ton, with supply disruptions easing but demand from downstream sectors weakening [10]. - Suggested companies include Huayou Cobalt and Tianqi Lithium [10].

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a spring rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.84% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.11% [12] - Short-term market focus is on low-position sectors, particularly cyclical Alpha (non-ferrous metals, chemicals) expanding towards cyclical turning points in construction materials, oil, and steel [1][13] - The current profitability in non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and oil is nearing high levels, indicating increasing short-term resistance for cyclical trends [1][14] Group 2 - Global market risk appetite is on the rise, favoring equity assets, with recommendations for tactical overweight in A/H shares, US stocks, and gold, while suggesting underweight in US Treasuries and oil [2][15] - The upcoming economic work conference and the start of the 14th Five-Year Plan in 2026 are expected to lead to more aggressive economic policies and an expansion of the fiscal deficit [2][15] - The anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December and the stable appreciation of the RMB are favorable for China's monetary easing in early 2026 [2][15] Group 3 - The technology sector remains the main focus of the current bull market, driven by the AI wave, with recommendations to pay attention to the application of AI in specific sectors [3][16] - Value sector opportunities are also worth considering, including certain resource products and real estate [3][16] - Consumer services may receive temporary attention as part of the sector allocation strategy [3][16] Group 4 - The market is expected to remain stable with a focus on holding positions through the upcoming holiday, as historical data suggests a less than 50% probability of major index increases in the 20 trading days before the Spring Festival [4][17] - Post-holiday, a new upward momentum is anticipated, with higher probabilities of index increases in the following 20 trading days [4][17] - Key sectors to watch include electronics, power equipment, and non-ferrous metals, with a focus on both growth and defensive styles depending on market conditions [4][17] Group 5 - The spring rally is expected to enter its second phase, with the Shanghai Composite Index nearing 4200 points, reflecting a strong upward trend since late December [5][18] - The market is witnessing a divergence in fund flows, with significant inflows into margin financing while stock-type ETFs are experiencing outflows [5][18] - Attention is needed on macro policy expectations from the upcoming National People's Congress in March and the microeconomic fundamentals from the 2025 annual reports [5][18] Group 6 - The current average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are 16.88 and 53.36, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [8][20] - The market is expected to focus on performance and industry trends, with a likelihood of maintaining a slight upward trend in the Shanghai Composite Index [8][20] - Investment opportunities are suggested in sectors such as photovoltaic equipment, energy metals, batteries, and aerospace [8][20] Group 7 - The market is anticipated to continue its oscillation and consolidation phase, with ETF outflows and a temporary decline in margin financing [9][20] - Despite the market's cooling, overall trading enthusiasm remains, and a slow bull market expectation may lead to fluctuating market sentiments [9][20] - Investment opportunities are highlighted in the TMT sector, robotics, and non-ferrous metals, alongside a focus on banking and insurance due to favorable long-term funding conditions [9][20] Group 8 - The spring rally is expected to persist, with a significant increase in risk appetite in the A-share market, as evidenced by a 17-day consecutive rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [10][21] - The market liquidity environment is improving, supported by favorable external conditions and proactive internal policies [10][21] - Key investment themes include low-valuation high-dividend assets, technology-driven production, and domestic market expansion [10][21] Group 9 - The 2026 economic outlook is positive, with proactive monetary and fiscal policies expected to support stable economic growth and a continued "slow bull" market in A-shares [11][21] - February is anticipated to maintain the momentum of January's focus on technology and non-ferrous sectors, driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" [11][21] - Investment opportunities are identified in sectors related to new productive forces, including AI, aerospace, and agriculture [11][21]

来源：湘财证券股份有限公司 核心要点： 2026 年宏观短周期和中周期有望形成向上共振格局我们预判2026 年宏观中周期和宏观短周期均处于底 部反弹的阶段，有望形成向上共振格局。具体原因有：一是海外方面，中美贸易冲突缓和，有助于减轻 经济下行压力。二是"十五五"规划即将落地，新质生产力依然是重要发展方向，随着人工智能等科技领 域的快速发展，将有效推动我国产业升级。 三是2025 年12 月中央经济工作会议定调2026 年宏观政策为继续实施更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的 货币政策；2026 年1 月以来，人民银行先行推出两方面的八项政策措施，结合此前发改委在"两新"领域 的提前发力以及5000 亿元新型政策性金融工具支持项目在2025 年第四季度落地，预期都将有助于推动 2026 年一季度宏观经济的持续改善。 2026 年2 月市场热点或延续1 月的科技、有色等方向在2017 年至2025 年的2 月份涨幅前10 的二级行业 合计有56 个，相对分散，但出现3 次以上的二级行业只有通信设备、小金属、软件开发、能源金属等四 个行业。这与2026 年1 月份涨幅居前的科技和"反内卷"相关的有色金属板块重叠度较高。且 ...

风险提示：海外超预期衰退，影响国内经济复苏进程；国内政策及经济复苏进度不及预期；宏观经济超 预期扰动；政策超预期变化；国际关系变化带来经济环境变化；海外宏观流动性超预期收紧；海外波动 加剧。 责任编辑：王珂 来源：中原证券股份有限公司 投资要点： A 股市场综述 周五（01 月23 日）A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在4143 点 附近遭遇阻力，随后股指维持震荡，盘中光伏设备、能源金属、电池以及航天航空等行业表现较好；航 空机场、保险、银行以及船舶制造等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡上行的运行特征。创业 板市场周五震荡上扬，创业板成分指数全天表现强于主板市场。 后市研判及投资建议 周五A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在4143 点附近遭遇阻 力，随后股指维持震荡，盘中光伏设备、能源金属、电池以及航天航空等行业表现较好；航空机场、保 险、银行以及船舶制造等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡上行的运行特征。创业板市场周五 震荡上扬，创业板成分指数全天表现强于主板市场。当前上证综指与创业板指数的平均市盈率分别为 16.88 倍、53. ...

——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析：航天通信行业领涨 A 股小幅上 行》 2026-01-22 《市场分析：有色半导体领涨 A 股小幅上行》 2026-01-21 《市场分析：金融地产行业领涨 A 股震荡整 固》 2026-01-20 分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 光伏电池行业领涨 A 股震荡上行 联系人： 李智 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周五（01 月 23 日）A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高 开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在 4143 点附近遭遇阻力，随后股指维持震 荡，盘中光伏设备、能源金属、电池以及航天航空等行业表现较 好；航空机场、保险、银行以及船舶制造等行业表现较弱，沪指全 天基本呈现小幅震荡上行的运行特征。创业板市场周五震荡上扬， 创业板成分指数全天表现强于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判及投资建议 周五 A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高开后震荡上 行，盘中沪指在 4143 点附近遭遇阻力，随后股指维持震荡，盘中光 伏设备、能源金属、电池以及航天航空等行业表现较好；航空机 场、保险、银行以及 ...

Core Insights - The energy metals sector experienced a significant increase of 3.95% on January 23, with Shengxin Lithium Energy leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14439.66, up 0.79% [1] Energy Metals Sector Performance - Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) closed at 41.87, up 7.00% with a trading volume of 826,400 shares and a transaction value of 3.345 billion [1] - Yongxing Materials (002756) closed at 56.13, up 6.91% with a trading volume of 218,700 shares and a transaction value of 1.205 billion [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) closed at 73.87, up 5.76% with a trading volume of 894,600 shares and a transaction value of 6.535 billion [1] - Huayou Cobalt (603799) closed at 78.65, up 5.54% with a trading volume of 784,400 shares and a transaction value of 6.035 billion [1] - Other notable performers include Rongjie Co. (002192) and Yongsan Lithium (603399), with increases of 5.18% and 4.16% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The energy metals sector saw a net inflow of 2.515 billion in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 1.592 billion [2] - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) had a main fund net inflow of 830 million, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 452 million [3] - Huayou Cobalt (603799) recorded a main fund net inflow of 549 million, with retail funds experiencing a net outflow of 581 million [3] - Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) had a main fund net inflow of 353 million, while retail funds saw a net outflow of 278 million [3]

| | 板块名称 涨跌幅(%) 板块资金流向 | | 净流入最大 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 光伏设备 | 9.14 | 88.42亿元 | 隆基绿能 | | 能源金属 | 5.21 | 29.63亿元 | 赣锋锂业 | | 光学光电子 | 2.45 | 27.43亿元 | 乾照光电 | | 航天航空 | 1.32 | 24.75亿元 | 航天电子 | | 软件开发 | 1.85 | 22.79亿元 | 四维图新 | | 风电设备 | 3.07 | 22.30亿元 | 金风科技 | 据交易所数据显示，截至1月23日收盘，大盘主力资金净流出224.99亿元。主力资金流入前十大板块分别为： 光伏设备（88.42亿元）、 能源金属（29.63亿 元）、 光学光电子（27.43亿元）、航天航空（24.75亿元）、 软件开发（22.79亿元）、 风电设备（22.30亿元）、 有色金属（21.76亿元）、电池（18.49亿 元）、文化 传媒（18.24亿元）、小金属（17.79亿元）。 | 有色金属 | 3.74 | 21.76亿元 | 铜陵有色 | | --- | --- | --- | ...

Group 1 - The main market experienced a net outflow of 14.505 billion yuan in principal funds as of January 23 [1] - The top ten sectors with inflows of principal funds include: Photovoltaic Equipment (8.415 billion yuan), Non-ferrous Metals (3.530 billion yuan), Optical and Optoelectronic (2.999 billion yuan), Energy Metals (2.653 billion yuan), Software Development (2.332 billion yuan), Wind Power Equipment (2.120 billion yuan), Aerospace (2.118 billion yuan), Cultural Media (1.844 billion yuan), Batteries (1.797 billion yuan), and Minor Metals (1.418 billion yuan) [1] Group 2 - Non-ferrous Metals sector saw an inflow of 3.530 billion yuan, with Tongling Nonferrous Metals as a notable company [2] - The Optical and Optoelectronic sector had an inflow of 2.999 billion yuan, with Qianzhao Optoelectronics being a key player [2] - The Energy Metals sector attracted 2.653 billion yuan, with Ganfeng Lithium as a significant company [2] - The Software Development sector received 2.332 billion yuan, with Siwei Map as a prominent company [2] - The Wind Power Equipment sector had an inflow of 2.120 billion yuan, with Goldwind Technology as a major company [3] - The Aerospace sector saw 2.118 billion yuan inflow, with Aerospace Electronics being a key company [3] - The Cultural Media sector attracted 1.844 billion yuan, with BlueFocus Communication Group as a notable company [3] - The Battery sector received 1.797 billion yuan, with XianDai Intelligent as a significant player [3] - The Minor Metals sector had an inflow of 1.418 billion yuan, with Yunnan Mingye as a key company [3]