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日本经济财政白皮书:物价工资良性循环趋于稳定
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-29 04:09
Group 1 - The economic fiscal white paper for 2025 indicates that Japan is steadily moving towards escaping deflation, with a stable virtuous cycle of rising wages and prices [2][3] - The white paper highlights that the current economic recovery is characterized as a long-term maturation phase, marking over five years since the low point in May 2020, which is the third longest recovery since World War II [3] - The recovery is primarily driven by the service sector, contrasting with previous recoveries that were led by exports and production [4] Group 2 - The white paper expresses concern over potential downward risks to the Japanese economy due to U.S. tariff measures, indicating a need for vigilance [2][4] - It notes that the impact of reduced production in the passenger car sector could have widespread effects on industries such as steel, transportation, and postal services [4] - Despite improvements in disposable income and financial asset balances, personal consumption recovery remains slow, attributed to consumer pessimism regarding sustainable wage increases and ongoing price rises [4][5] Group 3 - To achieve a robust recovery in personal consumption, stable price increases and faster wage growth are deemed essential [5] - The white paper emphasizes the importance of establishing a sustainable social security system and reducing uncertainties regarding retirement to enhance consumer confidence [5]
中国一流营商环境让跨国公司吃下“定心丸”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-28 18:07
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has introduced measures to encourage foreign investment, aiming to enhance long-term investment from multinational companies despite global challenges such as trade protectionism and unilateralism [1][2]. Group 1: Government Initiatives - The National Development and Reform Commission, along with other ministries, has issued a notification to improve project service guarantees, optimize land allocation, and increase financial support for foreign investment [1]. - The Chinese government is continuously enhancing the rules and regulations to facilitate foreign investment, including reducing the negative list for foreign access from 190 items to 29 nationwide and 27 in free trade zones [3]. Group 2: Investment Trends - In 2022, China saw the establishment of 59,000 new foreign-invested enterprises, a year-on-year increase of 9.9%, with the total number of foreign enterprises exceeding 1.299 million by June 2025 [1]. - The foreign investment return rate in China has been approximately 9%, ranking among the highest globally, with nearly 90% of U.S. companies reporting profitability in the Chinese market [4]. Group 3: Economic Impact - Multinational companies are crucial for China's economic growth, contributing to one-quarter of industrial added value, one-seventh of tax revenue, and creating over 30 million jobs [5]. - The Chinese market's vast infrastructure and complete supply chain systems significantly lower logistics costs and enhance resource coordination efficiency for foreign companies [4].
欧美关税协议达成,国内强预期弱现实
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - Overseas: The US and the EU reached an agreement, with the US imposing a 15% import tariff on most EU goods, half of the previously threatened rate, avoiding an escalation of the trade war. The EU promised to invest about $600 billion in the US and significantly increase purchases of US energy and military products. Sino-US high-level meetings will be held in Stockholm on Monday to extend the August 12 tariff "ceasefire" agreement by 90 days. With the tariff paths of many countries becoming clearer, market risk appetite has slightly increased [2]. - Domestic: The current market is in a stage of "strong expectation, weak reality". The positive sentiment brought by supply - side optimization policies is still evolving. A - shares once broke through the 3600 - point mark, and trading volume and margin trading balances increased. In June, the year - on - year decline in industrial enterprise profits narrowed to - 4.3%, mainly driven by the automotive industry. Short - term attention should be paid to market sentiment, policy outcomes, and tariff negotiations [3]. Summary by Directory Overseas Macro - US 7 - month Manufacturing and Services PMI Differentiation: The US 7 - month Markit manufacturing PMI was 49.5, weaker than expected and below the boom - bust line. The services PMI reached a new high this year at 55.2. Tariffs and high prices were reported to suppress demand [5]. - ECB's July Decision: On July 24, the ECB announced a pause in interest rate cuts after eight consecutive cuts, maintaining the main interest rate at 2.00%. The market's expectation of a September rate cut dropped below 30% [7]. Asset Performance - Equity: Most equity indices showed positive performance. For example, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 4.33% last week, and the Hang Seng Index rose 5.47% [9]. - Bond: Yields of domestic and overseas bonds showed different trends. For example, the 1 - year domestic treasury bond yield rose 3.38 BP last week, while the 5 - year US treasury bond yield fell 1.00 BP [12]. - Commodity: The performance of commodities was mixed. The Nanhua Commodity Index rose 2.73% last week, while WTI crude oil fell 1.48% [14]. - Foreign Exchange: The US dollar index fell 0.80% last week, and the euro - to - RMB exchange rate rose 0.73% [16]. High - Frequency Data Tracking - Domestic: High - frequency data such as the congestion index, subway passenger volume, and real - estate transaction volume are presented through charts [18]. - Overseas: Data on red - book retail sales, unemployment claims, and US treasury bond spreads are shown [22]. This Week's Important Economic Data and Events - A series of economic data and events are scheduled this week, including US GDP, employment data, and euro - zone economic sentiment indices [31].
美国关税谈判喜忧参半,国内呈现反内卷交易
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-28 06:30
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, domestic commodities continued to rise, with both industrial and agricultural products extending their rebound. The main reasons are the clarification of the external environment and the intensification of anti - involution policies, leading to an "anti - involution trading" in the market [3]. - In the overseas market, the US employment market continues to improve, but high - interest rates still suppress housing demand. The eurozone's comprehensive PMI has reached a new high, and the European Central Bank has paused rate cuts. The US has reached trade agreements with multiple countries, and the EU has passed a counter - measure list against the US [3]. - In the domestic market, the LPR remained unchanged in July, but there is a possibility of a decline in the second half of the year. Anti - involution policies are intensifying, causing a rise in the prices of black - series commodities and most industrial products. However, there is a short - term risk of over - heating market sentiment [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs PART ONE: Main Viewpoints - **Impact Factors and Main Logic** - **Review**: Domestic commodities rose, driven by a clearer external environment and anti - involution policies [3]. - **Overseas**: The US employment market improved, with initial jobless claims falling to 217,000. US existing - home sales decreased by 2.7% in June. The eurozone's July composite PMI reached 51. The US reached trade agreements with Japan, the Philippines, and Indonesia, and the EU passed a counter - measure list [3]. - **Domestic**: The 1 - year LPR was 3.0% and the 5 - year LPR was 3.5% in July, remaining unchanged. Anti - involution policies led to an "anti - involution trading" in the market, but there is a short - term risk of over - heating sentiment [3]. - **Commodities Viewpoint**: Although market risk appetite has improved, attention should be paid to Sino - US and Sino - European negotiations. Market sentiment may gradually return to rationality under regulatory guidance [3]. PART TWO: Overseas Situation Analysis - **US Employment**: In the third week of July, the number of initial jobless claims dropped by 4,000 to 217,000, and the increase in continuing jobless claims slowed down [3]. - **US Housing Market**: In June, the annualized total of existing - home sales was 3.93 million, a 2.7% month - on - month decline, the largest in nearly a year [3][9]. - **Eurozone Economy**: The July composite PMI reached 51, a new 11 - month high. The European Central Bank paused rate cuts after 8 consecutive cuts since June 2024 [3][14]. - **Tariff Policy**: The US reached trade agreements with multiple countries, and the EU passed a counter - measure list against the US [3]. PART THREE: Domestic Situation Analysis - **LPR**: The LPR remained unchanged in July, but there may be a decline in the second half of the year if economic downward pressure increases [3][22]. - **Market Situation**: Anti - involution policies led to an "anti - involution trading" in the market, with black - series commodities and most industrial products rising in price [3]. - **Agricultural and Energy Sectors**: The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a symposium on the high - quality development of the pig industry, and the National Energy Administration issued a notice on coal mine production inspections [3]. PART FOUR: High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Industrial开工率**: The PTA开工率 was 80.69% on July 25, and the POY开工率 was 86.8% [36]. - **Automobile Sales**: Data shows the trends of manufacturer wholesale and retail sales and their year - on - year changes [39]. - **Commodity Prices**: The average wholesale prices of vegetables, pork, and fruits, as well as the Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index, are presented [44].
股指周报:国内外宏观密集出炉,市场避险情绪升温-20250728
Zheng Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-28 05:51
Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given text. Core Viewpoints - **Macro**: The US tariff exemption extension is entering its final week, and negotiations with countries like the EU, India, and Mexico are in a tense phase, with uncertainties regarding potential tariff counter - measures. Overseas is in a week of intensive macro - events, including the Fed's interest - rate meeting and key economic data releases. China will hold a Politburo meeting, and attention should be paid to economic work guidance and PMI data to confirm economic recovery. The real estate sales remain at a low level, the service industry is structurally differentiated and has declined due to summer heat, and the manufacturing's rush - to - export phase is ending, posing potential downward pressure on the Q3 economy. However, anti - involution policies are expected to gradually reverse deflation [4]. - **Funds**: Domestic liquidity is generally loose but marginally tightening. Bond market redemptions are flowing into the stock market, providing incremental funds. Overseas financial conditions have improved, with a decline in the real interest rate of US bonds, leading to foreign capital inflows into the domestic stock market. Passive ETF shares are being re - increased, equity financing such as IPOs has cooled, margin trading funds are continuously flowing in, and the pressure of restricted - share unlocks has increased, overall favoring liquidity [4]. - **Valuation**: After a short - term rebound, the valuations of various indices are still at a historically neutral - to - high level. The stock - bond yield spreads at home and abroad have further declined, making the attractiveness of allocation funds average [4]. - **Strategy**: The current valuations of broad - based indices are not cheap, and the foreign - capital risk premium index has dropped to a low level. The pressure of US tariff policies may resurface. Considering that the stock market has prematurely priced in macro - expectations, the market is expected to oscillate, reach a peak, and then correct in the next 1 - 2 weeks when positive factors are realized or fall short of expectations. It is recommended to reduce long positions in stock indices after sharp rallies this week or use out - of - the - money put options to protect against black - swan risks. In terms of style, hold long positions in IC and IM, or conduct an arbitrage strategy of going long on IM and short on IF [4]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review - **Stock Indices**: In the past week, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index led the gains, while the German stock market led the losses. The week - on - week changes of major indices are as follows: the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.67%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose 1.83%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 2.33%, and the ChiNext Index rose 2.76%, among others [8][9]. - **Sectors**: Coal led the gains, and banks led the losses. Coal > Steel > Non - ferrous metals > Building materials... > Electric power and public utilities > Communications > Comprehensive finance > Banks [12]. - **Futures**: The basis rates of the four major stock index futures (IH, IF, IC, and IM) changed by 0.21%, 0.09%, - 0.39%, and - 0.31% respectively, with IH reaching par and the discounts of IC and IM slightly widening. The inter - period spread rates (current and next month) of the four major stock index futures changed by - 0.3%, - 0.25%, - 0.19%, and - 0.25% respectively, and the inter - period discounts of the four major futures began to widen. The inter - period spread rates (next quarter and current month) changed by - 0.21%, - 0.61%, - 1.32%, and - 1.81% respectively, with the long - term discounts of the four major futures widening significantly [19]. 2. Fund Flows - **Margin Trading and Market - Stabilizing Funds**: Last week, margin trading funds flowed in 39.65 billion yuan, reaching a total of 1.94 trillion yuan. The proportion of margin trading balance to the circulating market value of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets remained unchanged at 2.26%. The scale of passive stock ETF funds was 3.17358 trillion yuan, an increase of 74.43 billion yuan from the previous week, and the share was 198.619 billion shares, with a net subscription of 290 million shares from the previous week [22]. - **Industrial Capital**: In July, the cumulative equity financing was 45.49 billion yuan, with 6 cases. Among them, IPO financing was 20.92 billion yuan, private placement was 24.58 billion yuan, and convertible bond financing was 8.79 billion yuan. The market value of stock market unlocks last week was 86.84 billion yuan, a significant increase of 58.38 billion yuan from the previous week [26]. 3. Liquidity - **Monetary Injection**: Last week, the central bank's OMO reverse - repurchase matured at 1.7268 trillion yuan, with a reverse - repurchase injection of 1.6563 trillion yuan, resulting in a net monetary withdrawal of 7.05 billion yuan. The MLF was injected with 400 billion yuan in July and matured at 300 billion yuan, with continuous monthly net injections for 5 months. Overall, the liquidity supply was neutral but marginally tightening [28]. - **Fund Prices**: The DR007, R001, and SHIBOR overnight rates changed by 14.5bp, 6.4bp, and 5.8bp respectively, reaching 1.65%, 1.55%, and 1.52%. The issuance rate of inter - bank certificates of deposit rebounded by 2.1bp, and the CD rate issued by joint - stock banks rebounded by 4.1bp to 1.67%. The fund supply tightened marginally, debt financing demand declined, but the real - economy financing demand recovered, and the fund prices generally rebounded slightly [34]. - **Term Structure**: Last week, the yields of 10 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year Treasury bonds changed by 6.7bp, 6bp, and 5.2bp respectively; the yields of 10 - year, 5 - year, and 2 - year China Development Bank bonds changed by 8.9bp, 9.5bp, and 6.6bp respectively. The yield term structure continued to steepen, and the credit spreads between Treasury bonds and China Development Bank bonds widened at both the long and short ends, indicating a return of broad - credit expectations [38]. - **Sino - US Interest Rate Spread**: As of July 25, the US 10 - year Treasury yield changed by - 4.0bp to 4.40%, the inflation expectation changed by 3.0bp to 2.44%, and the real interest rate changed by - 7.00bp to 1.96%. The Sino - US interest rate spread inversion narrowed by 10.79bp to - 266.61bp, and the offshore RMB appreciated by 0.19% [41]. 4. Macroeconomic Fundamentals - **Real Estate Demand**: As of July 24, the weekly trading area of commercial housing in 30 large - and medium - sized cities was 1.531 million square meters, showing a seasonal improvement from the previous week's 1.372 million square meters but still at a relatively low level compared to the same period. Second - hand housing sales declined seasonally, reaching the lowest level in nearly seven years. The real estate market sales generally returned to a low level, and attention should be paid to whether the Politburo meeting will propose signals to boost the real estate market [44]. - **Service Industry Activities**: As of July 25, the daily average subway passenger volume in 28 large - and medium - sized cities dropped significantly to 81.84 million person - times, a 1.2% decrease from the same period last year but a 21.8% increase from 2021. The Baidu congestion delay index of 100 cities decreased slightly from the previous week, indicating that the service industry's economic activities were cooling down [48]. - **Manufacturing Tracking**: Due to the anti - involution policy, the overall capacity utilization rate of the manufacturing industry declined. The capacity utilization rates of steel mills, asphalt, cement clinker enterprises, and coking enterprises changed by - 0.08%, - 4%, - 0.26%, and 0.44% respectively. The average operating rate of the chemical industry chain related to external demand changed by 0.01% from the previous week. Overall, the domestic and foreign demand trends of the manufacturing industry improved marginally, and it has entered the seasonal peak season [52]. - **Goods Flow**: The goods and people flow remained at a relatively high level. The postal express and civil aviation sectors showed a significant weekly decline, while railway transportation rebounded slightly, which may be related to the rush - to - export. There is a risk of a second seasonal decline from August to September [56]. - **Exports**: As the rush - to - export after the Sino - US trade talks is nearing its end, the port cargo throughput and container throughput have increased significantly. There is a risk of a second decline from August to September when the 90 - day tariff exemption period ends [61]. - **Overseas**: With the US Markit manufacturing PMI preliminary value in July falling back into the contraction range and the US durable goods orders data dropping more than expected, the financial market has revised its expectations for the Fed's interest - rate path. The market expects 2 interest rate cuts in 2025, with a reduction of 25 - 50bp, and the probability of a September rate cut has increased to 61.9% [63]. 5. Other Analyses - **Valuation**: The stock - bond risk premium was 3.07%, a 0.15% decrease from the previous week, at the 58.5% quantile. The foreign - capital risk premium index was 3.99%, a 0.05% decrease from the previous week, at the 21.2% quantile. The valuations of the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices were at the 81.1%, 76.8%, 87.3%, and 71.4% quantiles of the past 5 years respectively, and their relative valuation levels were not low [66][71]. - **Quantitative Diagnosis**: According to seasonal laws, the stock market is in a period of seasonal shock - driven growth and structural differentiation in July. The growth style is relatively dominant, and the cyclical style first rises and then falls. There are opportunities to go long on IC and IM on pullbacks and short on IF and IH on sharp rallies [74]. - **Financial Calendar**: China will release July's manufacturing and service industry PMI and industrial enterprise profits, which will help confirm economic recovery. Overseas, attention should be paid to the US non - farm payroll report, job vacancies, manufacturing PMI, PCE inflation data, and the Fed's interest - rate meeting [76].
中部六省经济半年报出炉,短期存款利率进入0字头 | 财经日日评
吴晓波频道· 2025-07-25 17:03
Group 1: Central Budget Investment - The central budget investment of 735 billion yuan has been largely allocated, focusing on modern industrial systems, infrastructure, new urbanization, rural revitalization, regional development, green development, and social welfare projects [1] - This year's investment direction has been optimized, increasing support for social welfare and reducing the financial burden on local governments [1][2] - The early allocation of central budget investment reflects a proactive fiscal policy in response to economic pressures, particularly in the real estate sector and insufficient domestic demand [1] Group 2: Economic Performance of Central Provinces - The economic performance of six central provinces shows a positive trend, with five provinces exceeding the national growth rate of 5.3% [3] - Hubei province leads with a GDP growth rate of 6.2%, while Henan follows at 5.7%, indicating strong investment, consumption, and export activities [3][4] - The economic disparity among these provinces is notable, with Shanxi facing challenges due to its reliance on coal and a less favorable business environment [4] Group 3: U.S. Manufacturing and Services Sector - The U.S. Markit manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5, indicating contraction, while the services PMI rose to 55.2, reflecting a divergence in economic performance [5][6] - The overall economic growth in the U.S. is uneven, with the services sector supporting growth despite manufacturing challenges [7] Group 4: Bank Deposit Rates - Average interest rates for short-term deposits have dropped significantly, with 3-month deposit rates entering the "0" range [8] - The decline in deposit rates is linked to a broader trend of decreasing loan rates, impacting banks' profitability [9] Group 5: Intel's Financial Performance - Intel reported a second-quarter revenue of $12.9 billion but faced a significant loss of $2.9 billion, a 81% increase in losses year-over-year [10] - The new CEO has shifted the company's strategy away from aggressive expansion, focusing on confirmed customer orders for future investments [10][11] Group 6: Country Garden's Debt Restructuring - Country Garden is expected to complete its overseas debt restructuring by the end of the year, having reached an agreement with bondholders for a $178 million compensation payment [12][13] - The restructuring plan has gained support from over 75% of bondholders, providing the company with a critical opportunity to alleviate its debt burden [13] Group 7: Chinese Companies Listing in the U.S. - There has been a significant increase in Chinese companies listing in the U.S., with 50 companies going public this year, a 78.57% increase from last year [14][15] - Despite the increase in listings, the total fundraising amount has decreased by 57.91%, indicating a shift in the fundraising landscape [14] Group 8: Stock Market Performance - The stock market experienced fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 0.33% amid mixed sector performance [16][17] - The market is showing signs of increased activity, with a notable rise in trading volume and a rotation of sector performance [17]
再拉930亿反制清单,欧盟已在为“谈崩”做准备?
Group 1 - The European Union (EU) has approved a unified retaliation list against the U.S. totaling €93 billion, which will take effect if no satisfactory trade agreement is reached by August 1 [1][2] - The EU's retaliation measures include two previous rounds of tariffs, with the first round targeting U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs amounting to approximately €21 billion, and the second round responding to threats of a 30% tariff on EU goods, valued at around €72 billion [1][2] - Germany's shift towards a more confrontational stance against the U.S. reflects a broader change in the EU's negotiation strategy, indicating a readiness to escalate tensions if necessary [2][3] Group 2 - The EU is considering the use of a "counter-coercion tool," a mechanism that has never been formally activated, which would allow the EU to impose trade and investment restrictions on countries attempting to coerce member states [2] - Recent economic data shows that the Eurozone has shown resilience against the initial impacts of the trade war, with the July PMI rising to 51, indicating growth in manufacturing and services [5] - However, there are concerns about potential supply chain disruptions and the impact on the service sector, particularly in areas heavily reliant on U.S. exports [5]
股指、黄金周度报告-20250725
Xin Ji Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-07-25 11:04
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Views - In the short term, due to the continuous fermentation of the policy expectations of "anti - involution" and eliminating backward production capacity, risk appetite rises, but corporate profits have not significantly improved, so be cautious about the short - term rebound of stock index futures and protect the profits of long positions; the end of the grace period for the US equivalent tariff policy is approaching, and trade agreements have been reached with important trading partners, leading to a significant decline in risk aversion, so gold may continue to adjust after the end of the rebound, and short positions can be attempted. In the medium to long term, the valuation of stock indices is dragged down by the decline in corporate profit growth at the molecular end, and the support at the denominator end comes from the rise in risk appetite, so the stock index maintains a wide - range oscillation; the US may reach more trade agreements, risk aversion declines significantly, and with the approaching of the Fed's July interest rate decision, gold may face a deep adjustment [47] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Domestic and Foreign Macroeconomic Data - From January to June this year, the growth rate of fixed - asset investment continued to decline, the decline in real estate investment widened, and the growth rates of infrastructure and manufacturing investment slowed down. The year - on - year decline in new housing construction area narrowed, while the decline in commercial housing sales area and sales volume widened, indicating that real estate investment will still be restricted [5] 2. Stock Index and Gold Spot Price Trends - Not provided in the content 3. Stock Index Fundamental Data 3.1 Corporate Profit - Driven by the policy expectations of "anti - involution" and eliminating backward production capacity, commodity prices have risen continuously, which helps improve the profits of upstream raw material processing industries. However, downstream enterprises still face great operating pressure and are in the stage of active inventory reduction [20] 3.2 Capital - The balance of margin trading in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets has continued to increase. The central bank conducted 1.6563 trillion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations and 400 billion yuan of MLF operations this week, achieving a net investment of 12.95 billion yuan [24] 4. Gold Fundamental Data 4.1 US Economic Indicators - In June, the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI dropped from 59.2 to 49.5, while the Services PMI rose to 55.2, reaching a new high this year. The number of initial jobless claims has declined for 6 consecutive weeks, indicating that the US manufacturing activity has slowed down, but the labor market remains strong, and the 10 - year US Treasury yield is running at a high level [30][31] 4.2 Gold Inventory - The warehouse receipts and inventory of Shanghai gold futures have increased significantly, while the New York futures inventory has continued to decline, and the market's bullish sentiment has cooled down [45]
IFO:德国经济的好转仍然乏力
news flash· 2025-07-25 08:29
IFO:德国经济的好转仍然乏力 金十数据7月25日讯,德国智库IFO周五公布的一项调查显示,德国企业7月对现阶段经营环境持更积极 看法,但对未来经济前景的担忧依然存在,从而限制了整体信心的回升力度。数据显示,德国商业景气 指数从6月份的88.4升至7月份的88.6,低于市场预期的89。德国智库IFO总裁Clemens Fuest表示:"德国 经济的好转仍然乏力。企业对当前业务的满意度略高,但对未来业务的预期基本保持不变。"此外, IFO数据显示,7月制造业和建筑业指数上升,但服务业和贸易指数下降。 ...
成都上半年经济运行情况公布 GDP达12108.2亿元 同比增长5.8%
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2025-07-25 07:26
Economic Overview - Chengdu's GDP for the first half of the year reached 12,108.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8% at constant prices [1] - The primary industry added value was 186.7 billion yuan, growing by 2.7% [1] - The secondary industry added value was 3,267.4 billion yuan, growing by 5.3% [1] - The tertiary industry added value was 8,654.2 billion yuan, growing by 6.0% [1] Industrial Growth - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises in Chengdu increased by 7.8% year-on-year [2] - Among 37 major industries, 25 experienced positive growth, with non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing, automotive manufacturing, and electronic equipment manufacturing showing significant increases of 41.7%, 23.6%, and 17.3% respectively [2] - High-tech manufacturing added value grew by 12.1% [2] - Key industrial products saw substantial production increases, including new energy vehicles (352.2%), smartwatches (119.2%), and lithium-ion batteries (45.8%) [2] Service Sector Performance - The service sector's added value grew by 6.0% year-on-year [2] - Notable growth was seen in leasing and business services (10.7%), information transmission and software services (10.7%), and transportation and storage (7.4%) [2] - By the end of June, financial institutions reported a 9.8% increase in deposits and a 10.4% increase in loans [2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in Chengdu grew by 6.0% year-on-year [3] - Investment in the primary industry increased by 15.3%, while the secondary industry saw a 40.7% increase, with industrial investment specifically rising by 41.3% [3] - The tertiary industry investment declined by 0.8%, with real estate development investment down by 2.8% [3] - High-tech industry investment surged by 37.4%, with high-tech manufacturing investment growing by 59.1% [3] Consumer Market Insights - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 5,622.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.1% [3] - Urban retail sales amounted to 4,928.6 billion yuan (6.0% growth), while rural retail sales were 693.7 billion yuan (6.6% growth) [3] - Key consumer categories showed varied growth, with telecommunications equipment retail sales increasing by 64.5% and home appliances by 34.5% [3] - New energy vehicles saw a growth of 21.0% within the automotive category [3]