有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/07/01 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/07/01 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 79990 10059 7.97 三月 79680 9878 8.07 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.13 -1666.99 现货出口 1406.63 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/07/01 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22500 2770 8.12 三月 22445 2780 6.17 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.64 -1440.41 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/07/01 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20780 2598 8.00 三月 20495 2599 7.90 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.54 -1404.94 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/07/01 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 119900 15025 7.98 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.23 -2486.93 铅：跨市套利跟踪 2025/07/01 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容的客 ...

近年来，国家外汇局广西壮族自治区分局以外汇改革创新为抓手，持续推进建设面向东盟的金融开放门 户，助力广西加快打造国内国际双循环市场经营便利地，更好服务和融入新发展格局，以高水平开放推 动区域经济高质量发展。2025年1至4月，广西涉外收支规模223.1亿美元，同比增长19%，其中，货物 贸易收支规模187.2亿美元，同比增长21.5%；与东盟的货物贸易收支24.2亿美元，同比增长11.6%，东 盟已连续25年保持广西第一大贸易伙伴。近三年，广西与东盟跨境资金占地区总量的比重从23%升至 28%。 打造外汇改革"直通车" 国家外汇局广西壮族自治区分局以市场需求为导向，积极争取广西获批更多跨境贸易投资高水平开放试 点，以改革创新激发市场活力。稳慎推进私募股权投资基金跨境投资试点，2023年将合格境外有限合伙 人(QFLP)试点由自贸区推广至广西全域。截至2025年4月末，QFLP试点企业注册资本33.77亿美元，为 区域经济注入强劲活力。深入推进兴边富民行动，积极支持边民通过代理企业与东盟国家开展互市贸 易，2024年首创的新型互市贸易代理付汇试点政策成功获国家外汇管理局批准实施。2025年，广西首次 获批全国高 ...

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-07-01 现实及预期供给压力依旧不减 重要数据 现货方面：LME锌现货升水为-0.24 美元/吨。SMM上海锌现货价较前一交易日下跌80元/吨至22490元/吨，SMM上 海锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌35元/吨至80元/吨，SMM广东锌现货价较前一交易日下跌60元/吨至22490元/吨。 SMM广东锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌15元/吨至80元/吨，SMM天津锌现货价较前一交易日下跌70元/吨至 22410元/吨。SMM天津锌现货升贴水较前一交易日下跌25元/吨至0元/吨。 期货方面：2025-06-30沪锌主力合约开于22330元/吨，收于22495元/吨，较前一交易日上涨70元/吨，全天交易日成 交160924手，较前一交易日减少64900手，全天交易日持仓140186手，较前一交易日减少2242手，日内价格震荡， 最高点达到22530元/吨，最低点达到22330元/吨。 库存方面：截至2025-06-30，SMM七地锌锭库存总量为8.06万吨，较上周同期增加0.28万吨。截止2025-06-30，LME 锌库存为117475吨，较上一交易日减少1750吨。 市场分 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Weak US dollar boosts market risk appetite, and base metal prices oscillate upwards. In the short - to - medium term, weak US dollar, low LME inventories, and weakening demand expectations are intertwined, with non - ferrous metals oscillating higher. Pay attention to structural opportunities and short - term long opportunities in copper, aluminum, and tin. In the long term, the demand outlook for base metals remains uncertain, and consider shorting opportunities for some oversupplied or expected - to - be - oversupplied varieties on price rallies [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Copper - **Viewpoint**: The US dollar index declines, and copper prices operate at a high level. - **Information Analysis**: China's June manufacturing PMI is 49.7%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. The 2025 mid - year TC/RC negotiation result between Antofagasta and Chinese smelters is 0.0 dollars/dry ton and 0.0 cents/pound. May electrolytic copper output increased. Spot copper premiums rose, and copper inventories decreased [3]. - **Main Logic**: Macroscopically, expectations of Fed rate cuts drive the US dollar index down, boosting copper prices. Supply - side raw material shortages lead to smelter production cuts. Demand weakens in the off - season, but low inventories support prices. There is also a risk of a short squeeze on the LME [4]. - **Outlook**: Copper supply constraints remain, and low inventories support copper prices. In the short term, copper may show high - level oscillations [4]. Alumina - **Viewpoint**: Warehouse receipt numbers remain low, and the alumina futures market oscillates. - **Information Analysis**: Spot prices in different regions are stable or slightly changed. An overseas transaction price increased. Warehouse receipts on the SHFE were flat [5][6]. - **Main Logic**: In the short - to - medium term, there is no shortage of ore, with rising production capacity and inventories, and a downward - moving spot price center. However, significant warehouse receipt reduction causes concerns. Long - term events have limited impact for now [5]. - **Outlook**: In the long - term, it oscillates weakly. Observe near - month warehouse receipt numbers. Consider shorting cautiously after the far - month contract rises further. Participate in reverse arbitrage if warehouse receipts increase or there is a risk - free arbitrage opportunity in the near - month contract [5]. Aluminum - **Viewpoint**: The sustainability of inventory accumulation needs to be observed, and electrolytic aluminum prices oscillate at a high level. - **Information Analysis**: The average price of SMM AOO aluminum decreased, and inventories increased [7][12]. - **Main Logic**: Short - term geopolitical conflicts ease, the US dollar weakens, and risk appetite recovers. Domestic inventories are accumulating, but the sustainability is uncertain. In the long term, aluminum demand depends on actual consumption [9]. - **Outlook**: In the short term, market sentiment improves, and prices may oscillate strongly. In the long term, consumption is a concern, and consider shorting on price rallies [9]. Aluminum Alloy - **Viewpoint**: Spot trading is light, and the aluminum alloy futures market oscillates. - **Information Analysis**: The price of ADC12 decreased, and there are uncertainties in trade policies [9]. - **Main Logic**: Short - term costs are driven up by aluminum prices, but demand is seasonally weak. In the future, the price difference between ADC12 and A00 may rise [10]. - **Outlook**: In the short term, spot ADC12 and ADC12 - A00 oscillate weakly, and the futures market follows electrolytic aluminum. In the medium term, there is room for price recovery [10]. Zinc - **Viewpoint**: Supply and demand are slightly oversupplied, and pay attention to shorting opportunities at high zinc prices. - **Information Analysis**: Spot premiums vary in different regions, inventories increased, and a mine's production forecast is adjusted [10][13]. - **Main Logic**: Macroscopically, the situation is neutral. Supply is loosening, and smelters are profitable. Demand is in the off - season, and inventories are accumulating. In the long term, supply will increase while demand growth is limited [14]. - **Outlook**: In July, zinc production will increase, demand will weaken, and inventories will accumulate. Zinc prices are expected to oscillate weakly [14]. Lead - **Viewpoint**: Cost support is stable, and lead prices oscillate. - **Information Analysis**: Scrap battery prices are stable, lead ingot prices decreased slightly, and inventories increased slightly [14][15]. - **Main Logic**: On the spot side, premiums are stable. Supply - side production may decrease slightly, and demand - side battery factory operating rates are recovering [15]. - **Outlook**: After tariff cuts, demand recovers, and supply may decrease. Cost support is strong, and lead prices will oscillate [15]. Nickel - **Viewpoint**: Indonesian nickel enterprises' construction accelerates, and nickel prices oscillate widely in the short term. - **Information Analysis**: LME and SHFE nickel inventories changed, and there are multiple industry - related events such as project construction and policy changes [16][17]. - **Main Logic**: Market sentiment dominates the market. The industrial fundamentals are weakening marginally. Raw material supply may loosen, and there is an oversupply of electrolytic nickel with high inventories [20]. - **Outlook**: Market sentiment improves. Long - term positions can be closed. In the short term, nickel prices will oscillate widely [20]. Stainless Steel - **Viewpoint**: Nickel iron prices continue to decline, and the stainless - steel futures market oscillates weakly. - **Information Analysis**: Futures warehouse receipts decreased, spot premiums exist, and there are industry - related events in Indonesia and South Korea's anti - dumping policies [21][23]. - **Main Logic**: Nickel iron and chrome iron prices are weakening, and steel mills are under pressure. Production may decrease, and demand may weaken. Inventory accumulation is limited [26]. - **Outlook**: Cost support weakens, but price drops may lead to production cuts. Pay attention to inventory and cost changes. In the short term, it may maintain range - bound oscillations [26]. Tin - **Viewpoint**: The supply - demand fundamentals are resilient, and tin prices oscillate. - **Information Analysis**: Warehouse receipts on the LME were flat, and those on the SHFE increased. Spot prices decreased [26][27]. - **Main Logic**: Domestic tin ore shortages are intensifying, and Indonesian export license replacement causes supply problems. Supply is expected to decrease, but demand may weaken in the second half of the year [27]. - **Outlook**: Tin prices are supported by tight ore supply. The extent of the transmission of ore shortages to ingot supply will determine the price level in July. Tin prices are expected to oscillate [27].

根据市场公开信息及6月30日披露的机构调研信息，知名私募汐泰投资近期对1家上市公司进行了调研， 相关名单如下： 机构简介： 上海汐泰投资管理有限公司（汐泰投资）是一家中国市场上新兴的私募基金管理人，成立于2014年7月9 日，注册资金为人民币1000万元。专注于2015年3月登记备案成为私募基金管理人：P1009607；2017年 10月成为中国证券投资基金业协会观察会员。汐泰投资专注于股票二级市场投资管理，为不同风险偏好 的投资者提供定制化的产品服务，通过将风险收益比维持在较高的水平，以期为客户带来可观的回报。 汐泰研究团队由一批高素质的员工组成，均毕业于国内外名校，80%研究生学历。核心投资人员来自公 募基金背景，具有长时间的组合投资管理经验，面对各种环境的市场，具备灵活应对的能力和经验。实 践证明，这种能力和经验是经得起穿越牛熊市的考验。同时，团队具有管理大规模资产的历史和能力。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 1）嘉元科技 （汐泰投资参与公司特定对象调研&线上交流） 调研纪要：嘉元科技表示，2025年第一季度实 ...

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：600256 证券简称：广汇能源 公告编号：2025-053 广汇能源股份有限公司 关于转让控股子公司合金投资股权的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ● 广汇能源股份有限公司（简称"公司"）与九洲恒昌物流股份有限公司（简称"九洲恒昌"）签署了《股 份转让协议》，将公司所持新疆合金投资股份有限公司（简称"合金投资"）无限售流通股股份 79,879,575股（简称"标的股份"）予以转让，占合金投资总股本20.74%。经双方协商一致，本次股权转 让交易单价为人民币7.5元/股，交易总价为人民币599,096,812.50元。 ● 本次协议转让完成后，九洲恒昌将持有合金投资79,879,575股股份，占合金投资总股本20.74%，成为 合金投资控股股东；公司不再持有合金投资股份。 ● 本次交易公司旨在立足能源主业长期发展战略，剥离非主营业务资产以提升核心竞争力，九州恒昌旨 在整合物流产业链，联动合金投资协同发展。 ● 本次股权转让事项不存在 ...

目录 【华宝期货】有色金属周报 华宝期货 2025.6.30 01 有色周度行情回顾 02 本周有色行情预判 03 品种数据（铝、锌、锡） 周度行情回顾 | 品种 | | | 期货主力合约收盘价格 | | | 现货价格 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2025.6.27 2025.6.20 | 周变动 | 周涨跌幅 | | | 2025.6.27 2025.6.20 | 周变动 | 周涨跌幅 | | 铜 | CU2508 | 79920 | 77990 | 1930 | 2. 47% | 中国:平均价:铜:上海物贸 | 80160 | 78370 | 1790 | 2. 28% | | 铝 | AL2508 | 20580 | 20465 | 115 | 0. 56% | 中国:平均价:铝(A00):有色市场 | 20940 | 20700 | 240 | 1.16% | | 锌 | ZN2508 | 22410 | 21845 | 565 | 2. 59% | 中国:价 ...

研究局限性和风险提示 | | 20250630申万期货有色金属基差日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 铜： 可能短期区间波动 | | | | 锌： 可能短期宽幅波动 | | | 摘要 | 铝： 可能短期内震荡 | | | | 镍： 可能短期内震荡 | | | 品种 | 观点 | 策略方向 | | | 铜：周末夜盘铜价收平。目前精矿加工费总体低位以及低铜价，考验冶炼产 | | | 铜 | 量。根据国家统计局数据来看，国内下游需求总体稳定向好，电力行业延续 正增长；汽车产销正增长；家电产量增速趋缓；地产持续疲弱。多空因素交 | 可能短期区 | | | 织，铜价可能区间波动。关注美国关税进展，以及美元、铜冶炼和家电产量 | 间波动 | | | 等因素变化。 | | | | 锌：周末夜盘锌价收涨。近期精矿加工费持续回升。由国家统计局数据来 看，国内汽车产销正增长，基建稳定增长，家电产量增速趋缓，地产持续疲 | 可能短期宽 | | 锌 | 弱。市场预期今年精矿供应明显改善，冶炼供应可能恢复。短期锌价可能宽 | 幅波动 | | | 幅波动，关注美国关税进展，以及美元、锌冶炼和家电产量等因素变化。 ...

t》 - 我 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292 2025年6月30日 星期- Z0015979 价格及基差 | | 现值 | 前值 | 日涨跌 | 日涨跌幅 | 車位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SMM 1#电解铜 | 80125 | 78940 | +1185.00 | 1.50% | 元/吨 | | SMM 1#电解铜升贴水 | 110 | ୧୧ | +45.00 | - | 元/吨 | | SMM 广东1#电解铜 | 80070 | 78865 | +1205.00 | 1.53% | 元/吨 | | SMM 广东1#电解铜升贴水 | વેટ | રેર | +40.00 | | 元/吨 | | SMM湿法铜 | 80045 | 78880 | +1165.00 | 1.48% | 元/吨 | | SMM湿法铜升贴水 | 30 | 5 | +25.00 | - | 元/吨 | | 精废价差 | Taes | 1452 | +513.08 | 35.34% | 元/吨 | | LME 0-3 | 240.67 | 319.83 | - ...

文字早评 2025/06/30 星期一 宏观金融类 宏观消息面： 1、央行等六部门：创新适应家庭财富管理需求的金融产品，规范居民投资理财业务， 提高居民财产性收入； 2、央行等六部门发布 19 项举措：支持增强居民消费能力、支持提高消费供应 效率、加强基础金融服务； 3、以色列和伊朗已就"全面彻底停火"达成一致，这场为期 12 天的冲突 于北京时间 24 日结束；4、国泰君安国际获批升级牌照，成为香港首家可提供全面虚拟资产服务的中资 券商，支持加密货币交易等业务；5、美联储理事鲍曼：若通胀持续下降或劳动力市场疲软，7 月可能会 降息。美联储将于 7 月 22 日举办关于银行资本的会议；6、商务部：中美 6 月 9 日至 10 日伦敦经贸会 谈后，近日双方进一步确认了框架细节，中方将依法审批符合条件的管制物项出口申请，美方将相应取 消对华采取的一系列限制性措施。7、沪深交易所：拟将主板风险警示股票涨跌幅限制比例调整为 10%。 期指基差比例： IF 当月/下月/当季/隔季：-0.76%/-1.00%/-1.15%/-1.92%； IC 当月/下月/当季/隔季：-0.63%/-1.26%/-2.02%/-3.96 ...