Core Viewpoints - Global capital allocation is shifting from an over-concentration in US stocks to a more balanced approach, with Hong Kong stocks transitioning from value investment to growth investment [1][7] - The recent easing of US-China tariff tensions has led to a recovery in market risk appetite, with significant reductions in bilateral tariffs [3][17] Focused Commentary - The US and China have made substantial progress in trade negotiations, reducing tariffs by 91% on both sides, which has boosted market confidence and led to a rally in both US and Hong Kong stock markets [3][4] - The easing of tariffs is expected to benefit export-oriented companies, particularly in sectors like consumer electronics and automotive parts [5][6] Equity Market Insights - In the context of tariff reductions, export-oriented companies are likely to see improved performance, with a focus on sectors such as consumer electronics, components, machinery, and automotive parts [5] - The manufacturing sector's dominance in the economy is expected to continue, with a shift towards resource and utility dividend stocks, as well as banks and steel [6][7] - Hong Kong stocks are anticipated to attract more domestic investment, leading to a shift in investment logic towards growth stocks, particularly in the mid-cap and small-cap segments [7] Industry Research - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to experience a dual boost in performance and valuation due to policy optimization and technological innovation, with a focus on innovative drugs and medical devices [12] - The automotive industry is showing signs of recovery, with increased orders and strong performance in the new energy vehicle export sector [14] Macro and Fixed Income - The easing of US-China tariff tensions may lead to a cautious outlook for the bond market, with limited upward movement in long-term interest rates [17] - Continued monetary policy easing is anticipated, which may support the bond market despite a lack of effective financing demand in the real economy [18][19] Asset Allocation - A barbell strategy is recommended for asset allocation, balancing investments in technology and cyclical sectors with long-term dividend stocks, while also considering short-duration bonds due to potential declines in bond yields [21]

Group 1 - The core content of the "Action Plan for Promoting the High-Quality Development of Public Funds" focuses on guiding fund managers to return to the essence of "entrusted by others, managing wealth on behalf of clients," aiming for high-quality development in the public fund industry [1] - The main direction of the plan is to align with investor interests and enhance their sense of gain, emphasizing the importance of products that can track performance benchmarks with low volatility and controllable risks, rather than merely seeking excess returns [1] - Active equity funds with a turnover rate of 5-10 times, balanced stock and industry holdings, and a management scale of 500 million to 5 billion yuan are more likely to outperform performance benchmarks, while products with style drift show poor performance [1] Group 2 - Over half of the public active equity funds in the market use the CSI 300 index as their core benchmark, with 15% using the CSI 800 index, indicating a significant deviation from actual performance, necessitating changes in benchmarks or holdings [2] - The financial sector has a holding return amount of 264.9 billion yuan, accounting for 4.6% of the sector's free float market value, which is significantly higher than other industries, highlighting the need for attention in cyclical high-dividend sectors like coal, oil, and utilities [2] - As of the first quarter of 2025, active equity funds are mainly overweight in technology and manufacturing sectors, while being underweight in finance and infrastructure, with notable continuous overweights in pharmaceuticals and electronics since 2020 [2] Group 3 - Following the release of the plan, funds have begun to modify their performance benchmarks, with nearly 120 funds changing benchmarks this year, including various types such as equity mixed funds and flexible allocation mixed funds [3] - Performance benchmarks are considered an important reference for portfolio construction, with a focus on achieving stable risk-return characteristics over the long term rather than extreme short-term performance [3] - A new batch of floating management fee funds will be launched, adopting a performance benchmark-based fee model that adjusts management fees according to the fund's performance relative to the benchmark during the holding period [3]

特朗普重推"最惠国"药价政策，对医药市场短期影响可 控 20250518 摘要 • 特朗普政府再次提出最惠国待遇政策，但政策细则不明，落地性待验证， 短期内对全球医药市场影响可控，长期来看国内生物医药企业需警惕对美 国市场依赖的风险。 • 2023 年美国医疗卫生支出达 4.87 万亿美元，占 GDP 的 17.6%，其中处 方药支出占比 9.2%。美国处方药价格显著高于其他发达国家，品牌药价 平均高 422%，即使考虑药企回扣后仍高 308%。 • 美国医药定价体系复杂，涉及生产商、经销商、零售商、保险公司等多方 利益。生产商自主定价，通过与经销商谈判确定实际出厂价，零售商在批 发价基础上加价，最终由患者或保险公司支付。 • WAC（标价）与 ASP（平均销售价格）存在差异，通常在 20%-30%之间。 WAC 随上市时间增加而上升，但 ASP 不一定同步上升，因回扣也会提升。 终端售价通常比 WAC 高 40%-50%。 • 艾博维采用高 WAC 和高返利模式，即使专利到期后仍维持较高市占率， 因其每年向 PBM 提供大量折扣。中间商如 PBM 和保险公司在医药流通环 节中占据主导地位，利润分成占比持续提 ...

Group 1: Market Outlook - The capital market reform in China is accelerating, leading to a positive outlook for the A/H stock market, with the Shanghai Composite Index rebounding over 300 points to around 3400 [1] - Investor concerns regarding US-China competition and the government's commitment to supporting the capital market have diminished, indicating a more stable investment environment [1] - The decline in risk-free interest rates and the government's stance on stabilizing and activating the capital market are key drivers for the upward trend in the Chinese stock market [1] Group 2: M&A and Restructuring - The revised regulations for major asset restructuring by the CSRC have introduced a simplified review process, significantly improving transaction efficiency [2] - New mechanisms for payment and regulatory adjustments enhance the adaptability of M&A in the tech sector and state-owned asset integration [2] - The current round of restructuring focuses on industrial logic rather than valuation-driven approaches, aiming to strengthen profitability through industry consolidation [2] Group 3: Sector Analysis - Financial sectors such as brokerage, insurance, and banks are recommended due to declining risk-free rates and increased market entry [3] - Emerging technology sectors are highlighted as growth areas, with recommendations for internet, media, semiconductor, and healthcare industries [3] - The emphasis on domestic consumption and fixed asset investment is rising, with recommendations for sectors like real estate, non-ferrous metals, and consumer goods [3] Group 4: Hong Kong Market Dynamics - Foreign capital remains dominant in the Hong Kong stock market, accounting for over 60% of the market, despite a slight decline in its proportion [6] - The proportion of southbound funds has increased significantly, indicating a growing influence on market pricing [6] - Different types of foreign capital exhibit distinct trading behaviors, with stable foreign capital favoring long-term holdings and flexible foreign capital engaging in short-term speculation [7]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors related to construction, testing, or evaluation[2][4][12] - The report primarily focuses on market trends, fund positioning, and industry dynamics without discussing specific quantitative models or factors[3][24][31] - No formulas, construction processes, or performance metrics for quantitative models or factors are provided in the report[36][40][34]

本周（5月12日至16日），A股市场成交连续5日维持在万亿元规模以上。沪指累计上涨0.76%，深证成指上涨0.52%，创业板指上 涨1.38%，沪深300上涨1.12%。 | | A股主要股指行情表现- | | | --- | --- | --- | | 名标 | 年初至今 (%) | 本周涨跌幅 (%) | | 北证50 | 37.06 | 3.13 | | 中证1000 | 1.85 | -0.23 | | 科创50 | 0.64 | -1.10 | | 上证指数 | 0.47 | 0.76 | | 中证500 | -0.17 | -0.10 | | 沪深300 | -1.16 | 1.12 | | 深证成指 | -2.26 | 0.52 | | 创业板指 | -4.77 | 1.38 | 在31个申万一级行业中，本周有20个上涨。美容护理指数涨幅居首，为3.08%；非银金融、汽车、交通运输等指数紧随其后，周 涨幅均超过2%；跌幅居前的行业有国防军工和计算机，行业指数跌幅均在1%以上。 资金流向方面，本周4个行业获得主力资金净流入，分别为美容护理、医药生物、煤炭和建筑材料，净流入额依次为5.94亿元、 4 ...

2025 年 05 月 18 日 主力资金有效性持续修复，景气预期超额收益开 始抬头 —行业和风格因子跟踪报告 投资要点 ▌ 行业因子最新变动情况 上周 3400 得而复失，回调后仍站上 3350。我们最新推荐 的非银行业收益亮眼。因子角度来看近期市场热点受事件 驱动影响较大，分析师短期预期表现更好，也能抓住非银 的反弹行情。此外市场资金驱动特征明显，主力资金因子 多头的非银、汽车领涨市场。动量反转层面处于反转因子 和短端动量的交接时刻，可以提前关注短期动量有效性的 回升。财报质量因子继续偏向成长口径，景气投资思路有 效性开始小幅回升。 整体看行业轮动因子指向内需成长板块：大盘成交金额持 续在 1.1 万亿以上，主题投资和景气投资均有反弹，主力 资金因子反弹延续，本期主力资金因子行业选择电子、电 力设备及新能源、医药、机械、有色金属、非银行金融。 长期分析师预期非银行金融、建材、交通运输、电力及公 用事业、有色金属，空头无意义。短期分析师预期指向农 林牧渔、消费者服务、非银行金融、机械、有色金属。本 期选择行业继续偏向内需中的成长，继续关注低位消费短 期反弹机会。 ▌ 定量行业推荐 基于权重分配，我们推荐内资 ...

Group 1: Investor Sentiment - Personal investor sentiment continues to decline, while institutional investor sentiment shows a fluctuating upward trend, indicating a potential market consolidation phase[1] - Institutional sentiment is on the verge of turning positive, which could trigger an upward market signal if it continues to recover[1] Group 2: Industry Sentiment - Certain industries, including coal, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and machinery, are showing signs of potential short-term upward movement[1] - Sectors such as power and utilities, steel, and transportation are expected to weaken in the short term, while textiles and agriculture may see slight improvements[1] Group 3: Market Participation - The number of market participants has increased notably in sectors like electric power, military, and pharmaceuticals, while sectors such as home appliances and agriculture have seen a decline in participants[2] - Personal investors are increasingly focusing on transportation, communication, and utilities, with relative attention in these sectors rising significantly[2] Group 4: Market Independence - The correlation between A-shares and other major asset classes has continued to decline, indicating that A-shares are currently in a relatively independent market phase[2]

来源：雪球 以下文章来源于风云君的研究笔记 ，作者专注私募研究的 风云君的研究笔记 . 专注私募研究，洞察私募行业热点，私募策略、单品全面分析解析。更有高端专业的私募圈子-厚雪长 坡俱乐部(严格筛选，永久免费，知己同行) 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 风云君的研究笔记 这个问题可能很多做私募的投资人都没有察觉到，今天风云君就和大家聊聊。 为什么这几年业绩好的主观多头都主做 港股 ？ 还记得19-21年A股那波"核心资产牛"吗？一众主观多头私募风光无限，动不动就3、4倍的收益， 引得众多投资者追捧，比如依靠消费涨近300%的SF： 以及重仓光伏新能源收获近5倍收益的ZY： 但是，在21年后他们却都"不约而同"的携手下山，或将涨幅全部吐回，或业绩近乎腰斩。 这是发生了啥？ 归根结底，做主观策略的管理人，赚的都是公司成长的钱，最厉害的本事是基于基本面的选股和 持股。那三年有明显的产业趋势，消费、医药、新能源等都涨势迅猛，跟着趋势选牛股，相对是 比较容易的。但从22年开始，A股这种明显的产业趋势没了，行业轮动加剧，大小盘风格也频繁 切换。 相比 A股 ， ...

Macro Dynamics - Tianjin Municipal Government issued the "Action Plan for Promoting Artificial Intelligence Innovation and Development (2025-2027)", aiming to leverage the city's complete innovation chain and rich application scenarios to advance R&D, application demonstration, and industrial clustering. By 2027, the plan targets overcoming 100 key core technologies, achieving a revenue of over 100 billion yuan for core AI enterprises, and establishing 3 to 4 characteristic industrial clusters [1] Financial Institutions - Fund manager Bao Wuke resigned from Invesco Great Wall Fund for personal reasons, managing assets of 16.207 billion yuan with a best-term return of 374.61% over nearly 11 years [7] Market Data - US stock indices collectively rose, with the Nasdaq gaining over 7% this week. Notable tech stocks like Tesla and Nvidia saw significant increases, while Apple and Meta experienced slight declines [8] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by 0.52%, with several Chinese concept stocks, including NIO and Bilibili, showing gains [9] Company Dynamics - Charter Communications and Cox Communications announced a merger, valuing Cox at approximately $34.5 billion. The merged entity will retain significant influence from Cox's Atlanta headquarters while being headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut [11] - Guangzhou Pharmaceutical Group's former chairman Li Chuyuan was expelled from the party and transferred for prosecution due to severe violations of discipline and law [10] - Tmall's 618 shopping festival saw over 13,000 brands doubling their sales, with 43 brands surpassing 100 million yuan in sales within the first hour, indicating strong performance across various sectors [12]