Group 1 - The autonomous driving company WeRide has received approval from the UAE government to launch a fully unmanned Robotaxi service in Abu Dhabi, marking a significant milestone as the first city-level L4 autonomous driving commercial license outside the US [1] - This development signifies a breakthrough for Chinese autonomous driving technology in international markets, enhancing confidence in the smart driving sector's technological implementation capabilities [1] - The move is expected to attract more long-term investments in the integration of artificial intelligence and transportation, reflecting a growing global interest in the commercialization of smart mobility [1] Group 2 - Li Auto announced that its cumulative deliveries of extended-range SUVs have surpassed 1.4 million units, with individual models like the Li L6 and L7 each exceeding 330,000 units delivered [2] - This achievement is likely to strengthen investor confidence in the company's product competitiveness and scale effects, providing solid support for its market valuation [2] - The data also boosts the morale of the new energy vehicle sector, highlighting the penetration potential of domestic smart electric vehicles in niche markets [2] Group 3 - Subaru plans to reassess its previously announced 1.5 trillion yen electrification investment and aims to achieve annual cost savings of 200 billion yen by 2030 to offset the impact of US import tariffs [3] - The company intends to reallocate some investments from pure electric vehicles to enhance the development and production of hybrid and internal combustion engine models, reflecting a strategic shift in response to tariff pressures [3] - This adjustment may prompt investors to reconsider the valuation of companies overly reliant on pure electric vehicle strategies while focusing on those with hybrid technology advantages [3] Group 4 - Great Wall Motors has established a new research and development company, Dalian Great Wall Zhike Automotive R&D Co., which will focus on new materials technology, automotive parts development, and new energy vehicle sales [4] - This initiative demonstrates the company's commitment to strengthening its technological research and industry chain integration, potentially boosting investor confidence in its long-term strategy [4] - In the context of the automotive industry's shift towards intelligence, this move may increase market interest in companies with core self-research capabilities in automotive materials and components [4]

Core Insights - The Thai automotive industry is expected to achieve domestic car sales of 600,000 units this year, despite overall weak performance, with electric vehicles (EVs) leading the market [1] - In September, sales of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) surged by 99% year-on-year, accounting for 18.8% of total car sales, surpassing internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles at 18.7%, which saw a 22% decline in sales [1] - The transition to electric vehicles is a key factor in the anticipated increase in domestic car sales, with projections for 2024 set at 572,000 units, although high household debt levels are hindering potential buyers' access to auto loans [1] - Total car sales from January to September increased by 2% year-on-year, reaching 447,969 units compared to 438,659 units in the same period last year [1] - The new government's economic stimulus measures, particularly the "Khon La Khrueng Plus" co-payment scheme, are expected to boost consumer confidence and purchasing power [1] - In September, automotive exports grew by 7.2% year-on-year, totaling 86,056 units, driven primarily by increased sales of pure pickups and pickup-type passenger cars [1] Production Insights - Despite a 10% decline in automotive exports in the first nine months of the year, totaling 689,031 units, September saw a production increase of 4.7%, reaching 128,104 units [2] - The growth in production is largely attributed to manufacturers participating in government EV incentive programs, significantly increasing local production of BEVs to replace imported vehicles [2] - Total automotive production from January to September was 1,075,801 units, a decrease of 4.6% compared to the same period last year [3]

Core Viewpoint - The German government is seeking to adjust the EU's 2035 ban on internal combustion engine vehicles due to the automotive industry's structural challenges and declining profitability, while aiming to maintain a balance between environmental goals and industry needs [1][4][7]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The German automotive industry, contributing approximately 5% to the GDP and employing over 8 million people, is facing a significant crisis with profits plummeting: Audi's after-tax profit dropped by 37.5% to €1.346 billion, Porsche's second-quarter profit fell by 91% to €154 million, and Mercedes-Benz's net profit decreased by 69% to €957 million [2]. - A report from consulting firm EY indicates that the automotive sector is projected to lose about 51,500 jobs from June 2024 to June 2025, representing nearly 7% of total jobs in the industry, making it the most affected industrial sector [2]. Group 2: Factors Contributing to the Crisis - The slow transition to electric vehicles (EVs) is a major factor, with only 17% of new vehicle registrations in Germany being electric, despite nearly 50% of new registrations being from companies and rental agencies [2]. - The aggressive tariff policies from the U.S. have created significant uncertainty for the global automotive industry, particularly impacting German manufacturers [3]. - Domestic political changes, including the cautious stance of the ruling coalition towards green transitions, have also contributed to the industry's challenges [3]. Group 3: Government Response and Industry Consensus - The German government is advocating for a more flexible approach to the EU's 2035 ban, emphasizing the need for hybrid and synthetic fuel technologies as transitional solutions [4][5]. - The automotive industry representatives have welcomed the government's proposal, viewing it as a positive signal that does not solely prioritize electric vehicles [5][6]. - However, there is notable opposition from environmental groups, which argue that diluting the 2035 ban could undermine the push for electric vehicle adoption and climate goals [6]. Group 4: Future Directions - The future of the proposed adjustments to the ban will depend on discussions within the EU, with German leaders planning to raise the issue at the next EU summit [7].

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile (00175) is expected to benefit from its internal combustion engine (ICE) and new energy vehicle (NEV) strategies, which may mitigate potential impacts from electric vehicle subsidy policies [1] Group 1: Market Positioning and Sales Forecast - The company maintains a target price of HKD 23 and a "high conviction outperform" rating [1] - Geely anticipates that its market share for new energy vehicles will exceed 29% this year, with export volume reaching 420,000 units [1] - The firm is entering new markets in Latin America and Europe while launching more NEV models overseas, which supports confidence in achieving its targets [1] Group 2: Sales Projections - Based on strong domestic and international prospects, Geely's Galaxy monthly sales are expected to exceed 150,000 units [1] - Overall sales for Geely this year are projected to surpass the target of 3 million units, with internal combustion engine sales expected to reach at least 1 million units [1]

Group 1 - Geely Automobile's stock rose nearly 4%, closing at HKD 19.77 with a trading volume of HKD 874 million [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments issued the "Automobile Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", targeting annual automobile sales of approximately 32.3 million units by 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 3% [1] - The plan aims for new energy vehicle (NEV) sales to reach around 15.5 million units by 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 20% [1] Group 2 - The report from Citi indicates that Geely benefits from its internal combustion engine (ICE) and NEV layout, which may hedge against potential electric vehicle subsidy policies [1] - Geely expects its market share of new energy vehicles to exceed 29% this year, with an export volume of 420,000 units [1] - The firm is entering new markets in Latin America and Europe while launching more NEV models overseas, which boosts confidence in achieving its targets [1] Group 3 - Citi reaffirms that Geely Galaxy's monthly sales should exceed 150,000 units, with overall sales expected to surpass the target of 3 million units this year [1] - Internal combustion engine sales are projected to reach at least 1 million units [1]

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile's stock has risen nearly 4%, reflecting positive market sentiment following the release of the "Automobile Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments [1] Industry Summary - The "Work Plan" aims for annual automobile sales of approximately 32.3 million units by 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 3%, with new energy vehicle (NEV) sales targeted at around 15.5 million units, a year-on-year increase of about 20% [1] - The plan also emphasizes stable growth in automobile exports and a 6% year-on-year increase in the added value of the automobile manufacturing industry [1] - By 2026, the industry is expected to maintain a stable and positive development trend, with further improvements in scale and quality [1] Company Summary - Geely Automobile is expected to benefit from its internal combustion engine (ICE) and NEV strategies, which may help mitigate potential impacts from electric vehicle subsidy policies [1] - The company anticipates that its market share in the NEV segment will exceed 29% this year, with export volumes reaching 420,000 units [1] - Analysts express confidence in Geely's ability to achieve its targets, supported by its expansion into new markets in Latin America and Europe, along with the introduction of more NEV models overseas [1] - Geely Galaxy's monthly sales are projected to exceed 150,000 units, with overall sales expected to surpass the 3 million unit target for the year, and ICE sales anticipated to reach at least 1 million units [1]

出口方面，吉利预计今年新能源汽车市场份额将超过29%，并对实现目标充满信心，因其正拓展拉丁美 洲和欧洲等新市场，并推出更多海外新能源车型。 基于吉利强劲的国内外前景，里昂重申吉利Galaxy月销量应超15万辆，吉利今年整体销量目标超300万 辆，内燃机销量至少达100万辆。 里昂发布研究报告，维持吉利汽车目标价23港元及"高确信跑赢大市"评级。报告指出，吉利汽车凭借内 燃机和新能源汽车的布局，其市场定位或可对新能源汽车补贴政策。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile benefits from its internal combustion engine (ICE) and new energy vehicle (NEV) strategies, which may mitigate potential risks from electric vehicle subsidy policies [1] Group 1: Market Positioning - The company maintains a target price of HKD 23 and a "high conviction outperform" rating [1] - Geely is expected to achieve a market share of over 29% in the new energy vehicle segment this year, with export volumes reaching 420,000 units [1] Group 2: Growth Prospects - The company is entering new markets in Latin America and Europe while launching more new energy models overseas, which supports confidence in achieving its targets [1] - Monthly sales of the Geely Galaxy are projected to exceed 150,000 units, with overall sales expected to surpass the target of 3 million units for the year, and internal combustion engine sales anticipated to reach at least 1 million units [1]

Core Viewpoint - Major global automakers are adjusting their electrification strategies, reflecting a shift from aggressive timelines for electric vehicle (EV) transitions to a more balanced approach that includes internal combustion engine (ICE) and hybrid models [1][2][3] Group 1: Company Adjustments - Audi has withdrawn its plan to completely stop developing and selling ICE vehicles by 2033, focusing instead on electric models while still launching new ICE and plug-in hybrid models from 2024 to 2026 [1] - Mercedes-Benz has revised its electrification goals, shifting from a full transition to electric vehicles to a strategy where new energy vehicles (including hybrids) will account for up to 50% of sales by 2030 [1][2] - BMW has restarted its range-extended hybrid technology and lowered its sales expectations for electric models by over 20% [1][2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The luxury automotive sector is facing significant challenges, with Audi's global sales down over 10% and electric vehicle sales down 8%, while Mercedes-Benz's electric vehicle sales fell by 23% [2][3] - BMW's total sales decreased by 4%, but its electric vehicle sales grew by 13.5% to 427,000 units, highlighting a mixed performance across the sector [2][3] Group 3: Profitability Challenges - Audi's operating profit fell nearly 40%, with a profit margin dropping to 6%; Mercedes-Benz's EBIT fell over 30%, and net profit declined nearly 30%; BMW's EBIT dropped by 39.2%, with a profit margin of 7.7% [3] - The profitability pressures are prompting traditional luxury automakers to reassess their aggressive electrification timelines, focusing on maintaining financial stability [3][4] Group 4: Broader Industry Trends - The trend of adjusting electrification strategies is not limited to German automakers but extends to the broader automotive industry, including ultra-luxury brands like Ferrari, Porsche, and Maserati, which are also delaying or revising their electric vehicle plans [5][6] - Japanese automakers like Honda are also revising their electrification budgets and sales targets, reflecting a need for adaptability in response to market conditions [6] Group 5: Strategic Insights - Analysts suggest that the adjustments reflect a rational return to industry development norms, acknowledging the complexities of technology maturation, cost control, and consumer acceptance [6][7] - The focus on maintaining profitable ICE and hybrid models is seen as essential for funding electric vehicle development and ensuring financial resilience amid market fluctuations [7]

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve has paused interest rate cuts for four consecutive meetings, maintaining the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.5% [1] - There is a division among Federal Reserve officials regarding future rate cuts, with some supporting two cuts this year while others oppose them [2] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve may restart rate cuts in September, influenced by the impact of tariffs on macroeconomic data [1][2] Group 2: Foreign Investment in China - The profits of foreign-invested industrial enterprises in China are projected to increase from 1.6 trillion yuan to 1.8 trillion yuan from 2019 to 2024, with profit margins leading the national average [3] - High-tech sectors are expected to account for 43.7% of foreign investment in manufacturing by 2024, with foreign enterprises nearing 50% of high-tech product exports [3] - China's policies to stabilize foreign investment are aimed at enhancing confidence and attracting quality resources, which will invigorate domestic economic growth [4] Group 3: National Subsidy Policies - A total of 138 billion yuan in central funding will be distributed in batches in the third and fourth quarters to support consumption upgrades, despite some regions temporarily halting subsidy programs [5] - The "old for new" consumption policy has expanded to include more product categories, with the special national bond funding increasing from 150 billion yuan to 300 billion yuan this year [5] - The suspension of subsidies may lead to a decline in consumer spending, as seen during the "618" shopping festival [6] Group 4: Market Trends and Company Developments - The secondary market for Labubu collectibles has seen a significant price drop, with average transaction prices halving from 2279.7 yuan to 1181.3 yuan due to pre-sale strategies [7] - Texas Instruments announced a historic investment plan of over 60 billion USD to build seven chip factories, focusing on analog and embedded processing chips [9][10] - Audi has reversed its plan to stop developing and selling internal combustion engine vehicles, acknowledging market differences in the transition to electric vehicles [13][14]