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美元走弱推动全球资金回流,新兴市场迎来投资新机遇!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-27 03:14
Group 1 - Barclays recently released its Q3 Emerging Markets Outlook report, indicating that global investors are diversifying their investment allocations away from the US [1] - Rising commodity export prices are positively impacting emerging markets, leading investors to refocus on emerging market assets [1] - Geopolitical disturbances and global economic slowdown impacts on emerging markets are expected to diminish [1] Group 2 - The weakening of the US dollar is a significant positive factor for emerging markets, as investors are diversifying their dollar asset allocations [3] - A shift in capital flow patterns is changing the global investment landscape, with increased demand for hedging against dollar risk potentially leading to more funds flowing into emerging market assets [3] - The foreign exchange market is exhibiting a complex situation, with oil price increases strengthening the dollar against Asian currencies while maintaining weakness against the euro [3] Group 3 - Emerging markets are showing internal performance divergence, with the Asian region's export performance remaining relatively robust [4] - Policy flexibility in Asia, supported by moderate inflation data, provides important backing for economic stability [4] - The Chinese market demonstrates unique resilience, with strong retail sales, robust exports, and favorable GDP data expected to lead to potential incremental fiscal policies in September or October [4]
美元跌跌不休 美银证券唱多新兴市场资产
智通财经网· 2025-06-05 02:23
Group 1 - Bank of America Securities predicts emerging market assets are likely to achieve double-digit returns this year due to expectations of a continued decline in the US dollar [1] - The firm is particularly optimistic about Eastern European currencies and stocks, with Brazil being a preferred choice in fixed income due to its high interest rates and potential for rate cuts by year-end [1] - The US dollar is nearing a two-year low, with major Wall Street banks forecasting further weakness due to potential Fed rate cuts, slowing economic growth, and uncertainties in fiscal and trade policies [1] Group 2 - The MSCI Emerging Markets Index has outperformed the S&P 500 by over 7% this year, ending a seven-year streak of underperformance, driven by stocks in China and India [2] - Despite positive returns in emerging market assets this year, investor holdings remain low, but this may change in the coming months as investors seek sustained upward trends [4] - The rebound in emerging market stocks is attributed to the depreciation of the US dollar [4]