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2026晶圆代工:先进制程受益AI浪潮,成熟制程开启国产替代新周期(附PPT)
材料汇· 2025-12-17 15:57
Group 1 - Advanced process: Demand recovery, AI and mainstream consumption drive high growth [3][30] - Global foundry market revenue is expected to grow YoY by 27% in 2025, driven by GPU/ASIC demand and stable consumer electronics orders [6][30] - The advanced process segment is experiencing a significant increase in wafer consumption due to the complexity of high-end chips [7][9] Group 2 - Mature process: Strong expansion, localization, and specialty processes seek incremental growth [3][30] - Chinese fabs are benefiting from the recovery in consumption, with some wafer manufacturing prices increasing, indicating a shift away from price competition [31][33] - By 2030, China's mature process capacity is expected to exceed half of the global market share [34][41] Group 3 - Key targets and valuations: SMIC is maintaining an aggressive expansion pace, with plans for new factories and increased monthly capacity [55] - The domestic AI chip market in China is projected to grow over 60% by 2026, with local companies increasing their market share significantly [18][20] - The local supply chain is expected to strengthen as international IDM companies collaborate with domestic fabs, enhancing their technological capabilities [42][47]
单签最高赚近40万,沐曦成A股史上“最赚钱新股”
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-17 10:37
在国产GPU赛道,沐曦股份正成为资本市场关注的又一焦点。 今日(12月17日),高性能通用GPU公司沐曦股份正式登陆科创板,继摩尔线程之后,该公司成为"国 产GPU四小龙"中第二家上市的企业。 沐曦股份的上市首日成绩单展现了资本市场对国产GPU赛道的热情。该公司上市首日股价一路狂奔,收 盘时涨幅高达692.95%,按单签500股计算,打新投资者首日盈利规模近36.26万元。若以盘中755.15%的 最大涨幅测算,沐曦股份单签最大盈利达39.52万元。这两项数据助力沐曦股份登顶A股史上最赚钱新 股",成为首日单签盈利、单签最大盈利双纪录创造者。 与此同时,沐曦股份今日(12月17日)股价表现强势,报收于829.9元/股,在超过摩尔线程的同时成功 跻身A股股价排行榜第三名,仅次于贵州茅台、寒武纪两只千元股。 多名业内专家向《科创板日报》记者表示,随着摩尔线程和沐曦股份在科创板的上市相继落地,以及 AI算力需求指数级爆发与算力本土化战略窗口期全面打开,国产GPU行业正迈入上市加速期,技术迭 代与生态建设并行期,国产GPU市场进入 "拼产能、拼生态" 的关键竞争阶段。 国产GPU迎来上市热潮 有业内人士向《科创板日报 ...
2026年晶圆代工行业投资策略(半导体中游系列研究之十):AI进阶与再全球化
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-12-17 02:45
Group 1 - The global Fab market is expected to grow by 27% year-on-year in 2025, driven by demand from GPU/ASIC and consumer electronics orders [3][9][23] - The advanced process is in an expansion phase, significantly boosted by AI demand, with the Chinese high-end AI chip market projected to grow over 60% in 2026 [3][23][26] - Domestic Fab manufacturers are focusing on mature processes, benefiting from the recovery of the domestic market, with a projected share of over 75% in global mature process capacity additions by 2026 [3][46][53] Group 2 - Key companies to watch include SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and Jinghong Integrated Circuit, which are positioned to benefit from local manufacturing and the expansion of production capacity [3][41][71] - The third phase of the National Big Fund has not yet entered large-scale project investments, but it is expected to become a capital expenditure increment for the Fab industry in 2026 [3][39][40] - The domestic supply chain is gradually proving itself, with companies like Cambrian and Huawei leading the way in local AI chip production and supply chain development [3][30][34]
A股又双叒叕“反转了”!说好的“金九银十”呢,还有哪些机会?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 08:08
Market Overview - The market has potential for further upward movement, supported by resilient U.S. economic indicators and a dovish shift in the Federal Reserve's stance, signaling possible rate cuts in September [1] - Domestic economic indicators show a slowdown in July, with consumption, investment, and real estate cooling down, leading to expectations of increased policy support [1] Sector Performance - The top five sectors with net inflows include semiconductors, lithium batteries, new energy vehicles, rare earth materials, and non-ferrous metals [1] - The leading concept sectors with net inflows are domestic chips, state-owned enterprise reform, Huawei supply chain, artificial intelligence, and central enterprise reform [1] - The top ten individual stocks with net inflows include Northern Rare Earth, Hainan Huatie, Huayou Cobalt, Shenghong Technology, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Nanda Optoelectronics, Jiangfeng Electronics, Kingsoft Office, and Jinli Permanent Magnet [1] Hong Kong Market Insights - The Hong Kong stock market is showing signs of stabilization with positive growth in the first half of 2025, particularly in technology, pharmaceuticals, and raw materials sectors [3] - The performance outlook for the second half of 2025 is optimistic, with expectations of a turnaround in sectors that previously underperformed, such as energy and consumer staples [3] Investment Trends - There is a growing interest in resource cycle-related investments, with several resource-themed funds achieving significant gains this year [5] - The semiconductor sector in A-shares is performing strongly, with leading stocks like SMIC reaching historical highs, attracting attention from foreign institutions [5] Technical and Market Sentiment - The short-term trend of the market is weak, with noticeable inflows of incremental capital, indicating a mixed market sentiment [7][11] - The Shanghai Composite Index remains within a consolidation range, with a critical support level at 3750 points [11]
ETF日报:黄金今日延续涨势 建议关注市场对降息的定价可能短暂过度而导致金价回调或震荡
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-23 12:22
Market Overview - The market experienced a rebound after a dip, with the ChiNext index rising by 0.21% while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.18% and the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 0.29% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.49 trillion, an increase of 372.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] AI and Computing Power Sector - The computing hardware sector remains buoyant due to AI, with a commercial closed loop beginning to form [3] - Nvidia and OpenAI announced a partnership involving an investment of up to $100 billion to build a 10GW data center, which is expected to increase demand for Nvidia's chips at a ratio of 1:3.5 [3] - Major cloud service providers like Google Cloud and Amazon AWS reported significant revenue growth, with Google Cloud's revenue at $13.6 billion (up 32% year-on-year) and AWS at $30.9 billion (up 17.5% year-on-year) [3] Domestic Chip Industry - Domestic computing power penetration is expected to rise rapidly due to overseas sanctions and national security considerations, with current penetration estimated at 20-30% and projected to reach over 50% in the coming years [5] - Huawei plans to launch several new chips between Q1 2026 and Q4 2028, indicating ongoing advancements in domestic chip technology [5] Gold Market - Gold prices have continued to rise, supported by factors such as a weakening U.S. economy, global de-dollarization trends, and geopolitical risks [6][11] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut has led to increased expectations for future cuts, which may influence gold prices [8] - Central banks, including China's, have been increasing gold reserves, with China having added gold for ten consecutive months [11] Economic Indicators - The Leading Economic Index for large enterprises in the U.S. fell by 0.5% in August, indicating a slowdown in economic activity [10] - The geopolitical landscape remains tense, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict and escalating tensions in the Gaza region, which could further support gold prices [11]
DeepSeek更新;OpenAI与英伟达合作丨科技风向标
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-23 02:30
Group 1: Partnerships and Collaborations - OpenAI and Nvidia announced a partnership agreement, with Nvidia planning to invest up to $100 billion to support OpenAI's data center and infrastructure development, deploying at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia systems by the second half of 2026 [2] - OpenAI is reportedly collaborating with companies like Luxshare Precision to develop a consumer-grade hardware device, likely utilizing GoerTek's MEMS silicon microphone technology [4] Group 2: Company Leadership Changes - Oracle appointed Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia as co-CEOs, while the current CEO Safra Catz will serve as the executive vice chair of the board [5] Group 3: Product Developments and Innovations - Baidu's Qianfan-VL visual understanding model has been launched and is fully open-sourced, optimized for enterprise-level multimodal applications [6] - Meituan has open-sourced its first self-developed reasoning model, LongCat-Flash-Thinking, achieving over 200% improvement in training speed [8] - Huawei announced its self-developed HBM memory with a maximum capacity of 144GB and bandwidth of 4TB/s, set to be launched in 2026 [12] - The launch of the "Fenghua 3" GPU by ChipMotion, which integrates domestic open-source RISC-V CPU with CUDA-compatible GPU, covering a wide range of applications [16] Group 4: Market Movements and Financial Activities - Baidu's stock performance and the implications of its new model launch on market positioning [6] - The stock of Tianpu Co. surged by 279.73% over 14 consecutive trading days, raising concerns about its valuation relative to fundamentals [14] - Zero Gravity Aircraft Industry completed nearly $14 million in A++ round financing to support the development of new energy aircraft [19]
DeepSeek更新;OpenAI与英伟达合作丨新鲜早科技
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-23 01:58
Group 1: Partnerships and Collaborations - OpenAI and Nvidia announced a partnership agreement, with Nvidia planning to invest up to $100 billion to support OpenAI's data center and infrastructure development, deploying at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia systems by the second half of 2026 [2] - OpenAI is reportedly collaborating with companies like Luxshare Precision to develop consumer hardware, potentially utilizing GoerTek's MEMS silicon microphone technology [4] - WeRide announced a partnership with Grab to launch the Ai.R autonomous driving service in Singapore, initially deploying 11 autonomous vehicles [9] Group 2: Company Leadership Changes - Oracle appointed Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia as co-CEOs, while the current CEO Safra Catz will serve as the executive vice chair of the board [5] Group 3: Product Launches and Innovations - Baidu's Qianfan launched a new open-source visual understanding model, optimized for enterprise-level multimodal applications, with versions of 3B, 8B, and 70B [6] - Meituan released its first self-developed inference model, LongCat-Flash-Thinking, which improves training speed by over 200% and reduces average token consumption by 64.5% in specific benchmarks [8] - Huawei announced its self-developed HBM memory with a maximum capacity of 144GB and a bandwidth of 4TB/s, set to launch in 2026 [12] - Chipmaker MediaTek unveiled the Dimensity 9500, featuring the latest N3P process and advanced CPU and GPU capabilities, aimed at enhancing mobile performance [15] - Chipmaker Xindong Technology launched the Fenghua 3 GPU, integrating open-source RISC-V CPU with CUDA-compatible GPU for diverse applications [16] Group 4: Financial Activities and Market Movements - Baiwei Storage announced plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global strategy and brand image [17] - Daotong Technology plans to transfer 46% of its stake in Shenzhen Saifang Technology for a total of 109 million yuan, focusing on core business development [18] - Zero Gravity Aircraft Industry completed nearly 100 million yuan in A++ round financing to support the development of new energy aircraft [19] Group 5: Industry Trends and Insights - Brain Tiger Technology's founder highlighted that China's brain science research is transitioning from a "follower" to a "leader" stage, emphasizing the need for high-end talent and support for young researchers [11] - The domestic high-end flagship smartphone market is set for a series of new product launches, with OPPO and vivo announcing upcoming flagship models [20]
看好算力芯片全产业链!芯片ETF(159995)上涨2.06%,瑞芯微涨超6%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-22 05:07
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed mixed performance on September 22, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.12%, driven by gains in sectors such as computer hardware, semiconductors, and electronic components, while the restaurant, tourism, and shipping sectors faced declines [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Chip ETF (159995) increased by 2.06% as of 10:30 AM, with notable gains from component stocks such as: - Rockchip up by 6.72% - GigaDevice up by 6.37% - Haiguang Information up by 4.48% - Wingtech Technology up by 4.06% - Lattice Semiconductor up by 4.01% [1] Group 2: Company Developments - Huawei officially launched its computing power super nodes and clusters, having introduced the Ascend 910 CAI chip in Q1 2023, with plans to release the Ascend 950PR in Q1 2026, the Ascend 950DT in Q4 2026, the Ascend 960 in Q4 2027, and the Ascend 970 in Q4 2028 [1] - Huajin Securities highlighted Huawei's release of two reports, "Intelligent World 2035" and "Global Digital Intelligence Index 2025," predicting that general artificial intelligence will be the most transformative technological driver in the next decade, with total computing power expected to grow by up to 100,000 times by 2035 [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - There is a positive outlook on the entire domestic computing power chip industry chain, encompassing design, manufacturing, packaging, testing, and upstream equipment materials, with a recommendation to focus on the full industry chain of domestic chips [1]
华为发布多款AI算力新品;人形机器人产业化多维共振
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-22 00:59
Group 1 - CICC reports that the current A-share market is in a short-term adjustment phase but does not alter the medium-term trend, indicating that this market cycle may possess more "long-term" and "steady" conditions [1] - The growth style has shown signs of diffusion and rotation, expanding from technology growth to sectors such as innovative pharmaceuticals, high-end manufacturing, military industry, and new energy [1] - As the third quarter approaches, investor focus on quarterly earnings reports is expected to gradually increase [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities highlights Huawei's recent announcement of several upcoming AI computing products, including the Ascend 950 series, which will be released between 2026 and 2028, aimed at meeting the growing demand for AI computing power [2] - The report emphasizes the strong demand for AI computing in North America and anticipates a potential recovery in domestic AI computing demand from September to October [2] - Recommendations are made to pay attention to domestic cloud service providers as they are expected to benefit from the evolving AI landscape [2] Group 3 - Minsheng Securities expresses optimism about the humanoid robot industry, predicting significant growth and the potential to reshape the industrial ecosystem over the next 5-10 years, particularly in sectors like industrial manufacturing and medical rehabilitation [3] - The report notes that automotive parts companies possess strong customer expansion and mass production capabilities, giving them a competitive edge in the humanoid robot supply chain [3] - Domestic automotive manufacturers are increasingly entering the humanoid robot market, leveraging their existing customer relationships to quickly integrate into the robot supply chain [3]
研究所日报-20250919
Yintai Securities· 2025-09-19 05:25
Group 1: Technology Innovation and Investment - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's R&D investment is expected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan in 2024, a 48% increase from 2020[2] - R&D intensity is projected to reach 2.68%, surpassing the average level of EU countries[2] - The total number of R&D personnel in China ranks first in the world, indicating a solid foundation for becoming a technology powerhouse[2] Group 2: A-Share Market Developments - In 2025, 780 A-share listed companies announced semi-annual cash dividend plans, totaling 644.6 billion yuan, significantly higher than the previous year[2] - The increase in dividend levels is expected to enhance investor confidence and promote long-term capital market health[2] Group 3: Market Trends and Economic Policies - Multiple cities are implementing cash subsidies and housing fairs to stimulate housing consumption, particularly in second and third-tier cities[3] - The recent signing of a historic technology agreement between the US and UK aims to lead the world in artificial intelligence[3] Group 4: Commodity Market Insights - International precious metal futures saw a decline, with COMEX gold futures down 1.07% to $3678.2 per ounce, and silver futures down 0.12% to $42.1 per ounce[4] - The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and a rebound in the dollar index have pressured gold and silver prices[4] Group 5: Financial Market Indicators - The latest 10-year government bond yield is 1.852%, with a change of 1.52 basis points[5] - The latest value of the USDCNH is 7.1087, reflecting a 0.09% increase[7]