展望2026年，华福证券认为，2025年医药板块行情由创新驱动，H股全年涨幅达57%，其中以CXO为代 表的创新产业链表现尤为突出，最大涨幅超50%。创新药械作为医药中科技属性最强的方向，有望延续 强势表现，产业趋势明确，创新主线逻辑不变。 消息面上，据国家药监局统计，2025年我国已批准上市的创新药达76个，大幅超过2024年全年48个，创 历史新高。此外，2025年我国创新药对外授权交易总金额超过1300亿美元，同比激增超150%，授权交 易数量超过150笔，同样创历史新高。 BD爆发带来的现金流、IPO热潮筹集的研发资金，为行业接下来的发展提供了充足弹药。东海证券表 示，我国医药行业正迈入"创新药大时代"，自2026年起创新药将逐步占据主导地位，医保与商保的互补 有望长期打开支付空间天花板。在此背景下，创新药研发投入持续加码，重磅产品陆续上市，BD交易 活跃，国际影响力不断提升。 规模方面，港股创新药ETF最新规模达234.03亿元。资金流入方面，拉长时间看，近8个交易日内，合 计"吸金"1.21亿元。 港股创新药ETF(513120)，（联接A:019670，联接C:019671）：紧密跟踪中证香港创 ...

消息面上，近日，国家医保局、人力资源社会保障部公布《国家基本医疗保险、生育保险和工伤保险药 品目录（2025年）》和《商业健康保险创新药品目录（2025年）》，将于2026年1月1日起在全国范围内 正式实施。其中，医保目录新增114种药品，含50种一类创新药，总体成功率达88%，较2024年提升12 个百分点；首版商保创新药目录纳入19种药品，标志着"医保+商保"多层次医疗保障体系取得实质性突 破。 国家医保政策持续加码支持真正具备临床价值的创新药发展。万联证券指出，全国医疗保障工作会议明 确"真支持创新、支持真创新"的导向，累计新增纳入医保目录药品达949种，并首次制定《商业健康保 险创新药品目录》，纳入19种高价值创新药，旨在构建多层次支付体系。未来还将通过按病种付费改 革、特例单议评审机制和医保基金即时结算等举措，提升创新药可及性与企业回款效率，为源头创新提 供稳定的支付环境支撑。 此外，中国创新药对外授权（BD）交易持续活跃，已成为行业高质量发展的核心驱动力。江海证券指 出，2025年前三季度中国创新药通过BD出海的交易总额已突破920亿美元，累计达成103笔交易，显示 出国际制药巨头对中国研发成果的 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guangfa Fund has developed a comprehensive index product line since 2008, focusing on ETF products since 2011, covering multiple markets including A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and US stocks [1] Group 1: ETF Competition - Guangfa Fund collaborates with CITIC Securities to participate in the 7th ETF live competition, which started registration on December 1, 2025, and will run until January 31, 2026, with the competition commencing on December 8, 2025 [1] - The competition provides a platform for investors to showcase their practical skills, exchange investment strategies, and compete for substantial rewards [1] Group 2: Featured ETF Products - Guangfa Fund selected four key products to support participants in the competition: 1. Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159262) closely tracks the Hang Seng Stock Connect Technology Index, focusing on the TMT sector, with major weights in Tencent Holdings, Alibaba-W, and Xiaomi Group-W, accounting for nearly 45% of the index [4] 2. Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (513120) tracks the CSI Hong Kong Innovative Drug Index, with a 90% weight in biopharmaceuticals and chemical pharmaceuticals, making it one of the purest innovative drug indices available [4] 3. Growth Enterprise Board ETF Guangfa (159952) tracks the Growth Enterprise Board Index, consisting of 100 stocks with high market capitalization and liquidity, focusing on strategic emerging industries [4] 4. Battery ETF (159755) leads in scale among similar products, tracking the National Index for New Energy Vehicle Batteries, focusing on the battery manufacturing and materials sector, with a solid-state content of nearly 60% [5] Group 3: Future Plans - Guangfa Fund aims to continue deepening its focus on index and ETF sectors, collaborating with partners like CITIC Securities to enhance the index investment ecosystem and help investors share in the long-term growth of the capital market [5]

Communication Sector - The successful maiden flight of the Zhuque-3 rocket and the upcoming launch of the Chang Zheng-12A highlight the rapid development in the satellite communication industry [2] - Huaxi Securities emphasizes the long-term growth potential in the TMT sector, particularly in 6G, domestic substitution, and military applications, which could catalyze market opportunities [2] - The Communication ETF Guangfa (159507) saw a rise of 1.10% today, reflecting positive market sentiment [2] Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing multiple favorable factors, including rising expectations for a Fed rate cut and a tightening of domestic copper smelting capacity, leading to an 8.41% decrease in social inventory of electrolytic copper [3] - The price of cobalt continues to rise due to export quotas in the Democratic Republic of Congo and delays in raw material arrivals [3] - Guokai Securities projects that the price of aluminum may exceed $3,000 per ton in 2026, with domestic aluminum prices potentially reaching 23,000 yuan per ton [3] Media Sector - The media industry is witnessing significant developments, such as OpenAI's launch of GPT-5.1-Codex-Max and ByteDance's new video editing model Vidi2, which enhances video understanding capabilities [4] - Guoxin Securities suggests a positive outlook for the gaming and IP toy sectors, as well as potential improvements in film and television content due to policy shifts [4] - The largest media ETF (512980) has reached a scale of 2.795 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest [4] Banking Sector - Dongguan Securities notes that the migration of funds to the banking sector is driven by the search for safety in a low-interest-rate environment, with continued demand for high-dividend, low-valuation bank stocks [6] - The financial real estate ETF (159940) is gaining attention as it tracks the overall financial and real estate index [6] Hong Kong Innovative Pharmaceuticals - Dongfang Securities highlights the supportive policies from the National Medical Insurance Bureau for the high-quality development of innovative drugs, indicating a positive trend for leading domestic innovative drug companies [7] - The largest Hong Kong innovative drug ETF (513120) has a recent scale of 24.928 billion yuan, with significant net inflows over the past trading days [7]

非银金融 近日，广东省多部门联合印发金融支持产业链整合兼并方案，明确支持保险资金扩大股权投资比例参与并购项目，与险资权益投资上限提升等政策形成合 力，助力非银金融发挥"耐心资本"作用。同时，大摩将中国平安纳入重点关注名单并看好其长期业绩。 有色金属 12月5日市场消息显示，已有三家稀土永磁企业获得通用出口许可证。商务部新闻发言人4日表示，中国政府依法依规开展稀土相关物项出口管制工作。只要 是用于民用用途的、合规的出口申请，中国政府都及时予以了批准。同时，中国政府积极适用通用许可等便利化措施，促进两用物项合规贸易，切实维护全 球产供链安全稳定。 长江期货认为，铜铝等有色金属及新能源材料作为支撑现代化产业体系的重要战略资源，"十五五"期间将继续受益于传统产业的优化提升和新兴产业及未来 产业的蓬勃发展，风电光伏、电力投资、新能源汽车、AI数据中心等产业的科技创新引领和核心技术突破将会继续带动有色新能源产业高质量发展。有色 及新能源品种的产业格局将进一步提质优化，价格走势将受到供需端的更多提振。专注聚焦稀土、锂、磁性材料等稀有金属的稀有金属ETF(159608)备受关 注；全市场唯一跟踪中证全指原材料指数的材料ETF ...

Wind数据显示，截至2025年12月2日A股收盘，石油石化、家用电器、煤炭领涨市场，涨幅分别为0.71%、0.43%、0.21%。 石油石化、家用电器、煤炭 近期多项国家级政策密集出台，为石油石化、煤炭、家用电器板块注入强劲动力。能源保供方面，国家发改委11月召开2025—2026年供暖季保供会议，明确 稳定煤炭生产运输、保障电煤中长期合同高履约率，当前统调电厂存煤达2.2亿吨可用35天，叠加11月动力煤年度长协价上调8元/吨，煤炭板块盈利稳定性持 续增强。 石油石化行业受益于绿电直连政策落地，塔里木油田等绿电直供炼化项目加速推进，既降低用能成本又满足降碳需求，叠加重点行业稳增长方案反对"内卷 式"竞争，行业格局持续优化。 家电领域，上海11月30日印发以旧换新实施细则，补贴范围扩至12类产品，最高补贴2000元，政策红利直接拉动消费需求。 供需格局优化与转型政策共振，三大板块利好持续释放。煤炭行业迎来冬季供暖季补库需求高峰，10月以来日均产量稳定在1200万吨以上，叠加"北煤南 运"核心节点建设提速，供需平衡支撑价格稳健运行。 石油石化领域，国家11月发布新能源消纳指导意见，支持"沙戈荒"基地与产业融合发 ...

Wind数据显示，截至2025年12月1日A股收盘，有色金属、通信、国证芯片领涨市场，涨幅分别为2.85%、2.81%、1.86%。 有色金属 湘财证券统计指出，2025Q3有色行业收入及利润增速自年初以来收窄态势逐步趋稳，中游冶炼及加工业利润增速回升。上市公司层面有色板块营收及业绩 增速上行，板块盈利能力提升态势延续，杠杆率环比中期有所回落，板块现金流增速虽有回落但仍维持改善态势。 国投证券认为，宏观层面，据芝商所FedWatch 工具数据，美联储12月降息25个基点的概率已达86.4%，全球流动性问题解决，风险偏好回升。微观层面，白 银、铜、锡、稀土等品种均出现了不同程度的利好因素，推动价格进一步上涨。持续看好金银铜铝锡稀土锑锂钴钽铀等金属，价格仍有上涨空间，重视股票 端估值修复。专注聚焦稀土、锂、磁性材料等稀有金属的稀有金属ETF(159608)今日收涨1.84%；全市场唯一跟踪中证全指原材料指数的材料ETF(159944)今 日收涨2.02%。 通信 ICV预计全球量子科技产业2024至2030年的年平均增长率（CAGR）将达到76.27%，到2035年量子总产业规模则有望达到9089.1亿美元，其中 ...

Wind数据显示，截至2025年11月28日A股收盘，农林牧渔、有色金属、基础化工领涨市场，涨幅分别为1.59%、1.44%、1.31%。 农林牧渔 近期粮食产业链利好密集释放，政策与科技双轮驱动全链条升级。11月中旬第三届全国粮油和大豆产业博览会落幕，"四良融合" 成果落地叠加中央财政强 农政策，为产业注入强劲动能。全国702个县推进粮油单产提升，大豆种植面积连续三年超1.5亿亩、总产稳超2000 万吨。 中国银河证券认为，在扎实推进新一轮千亿斤粮食产能提升行动的背景下，持续强调单产提升、高标准农田建设、种业振兴等关键要点，叠加首次提出推进 农产品进口多元化，强调贸易和生产相协调，我们要在发挥优势的同时努力补短板，提统筹利用国内外市场，把握农业科技的应用与种业技术变革的核心。 全面覆盖A股市场粮食产业链的粮食ETF广发(159587)今日收涨1.71%。 有色金属 今年来，国家有关部门已采取一系列措施。例如，今年工业和信息化部等部门联合下发铜、氧化铝、黄金等产业高质量发展实施方案（2025-2027），旨在 优化产业结构，遏制低水平重复建设。 截至2025年11月28日A股收盘，港股创新药回调0.87%，药 ...

Group 1: Industry Insights - Multiple innovative pharmaceutical companies have received significant attention from both domestic and foreign institutional investors, with BeiGene receiving inquiries from 88 institutions and Zai Lab from 36 institutions [1] - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry is entering a critical phase characterized by "innovation realization + global layout," supported by population and domestic demand, as well as comprehensive manufacturing capabilities [1] - By 2026, opportunities in innovative commercialization, global breakthroughs, policy optimization, and industry mergers and acquisitions are expected to emerge [1] Group 2: Market Performance - As of November 24, 2025, the CSI Hong Kong Innovative Drug Index rose by 3.05%, with the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (513120) increasing by 2.23% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 4.7 billion [2] - Over the past six months, the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF has accumulated a return of 33.71% [2] - The latest scale of the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF reached 24.102 billion, with continuous net inflows over the past six days totaling 170 million [2] Group 3: Company Developments - Traditional pharmaceutical companies like Heng Rui Medicine and Hansoh Pharmaceutical have successfully completed their innovation transformations, while companies like Bai Li Tianheng have emerged with globally innovative products [1] - Chinese pharmaceutical companies are becoming significant sources of innovation for multinational pharmaceutical firms, with improvements in their global competitiveness [1]

Computer Industry - Alibaba launched the "Qianwen" app, entering the C-end AI assistant market, aiming to build an intelligent platform and expand globally, creating a technology and commercialization loop [2] - The AI ETF on the STAR Market (588760) has seen a net inflow of 530 million yuan over the last 10 trading days, indicating strong interest in the AI sector [2] - The cloud computing ETF (159527) has increased over 108% year-to-date, reflecting growth in China's cloud computing and big data industries [2] Defense and Military Industry - The defense and military sector reported a total net profit of 24.453 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 17.29% [3] - The third quarter alone saw a net profit of 8.927 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year growth of 73.2%, driven by improved downstream demand and increased product deliveries [3] - The military industry is expected to enter a new growth cycle, supported by new equipment construction and accelerated military trade [3] Coal Industry - The coal sector is experiencing investment opportunities due to tightening supply and increasing demand, with thermal coal prices rising from 621 yuan/ton to 699 yuan/ton in the third quarter [4] - The upcoming winter heating season is expected to boost coal demand, particularly as electricity consumption rises [4] - The energy ETF (159945) that tracks the CSI All-Share Energy Index is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity [4] Hong Kong Innovative Drug Sector - The innovative drug sector in Hong Kong is in a rapid sales growth phase, with significant product approvals and inclusion in medical insurance driving revenue [5] - The largest innovative drug ETF in Hong Kong (513120) has a current scale of 25.988 billion yuan, indicating strong market interest [5] Hang Seng Technology Index - The Hang Seng Technology Index is viewed positively, with recommendations to focus on platform-based internet companies and AI ecosystem enterprises [6] - The Hang Seng Technology ETF (513380) has seen a net inflow of 1.357 billion yuan over the last 20 trading days, reflecting strong investor interest [6] Real Estate Market - The secondary real estate market is expected to continue improving, with a 4.7% year-on-year increase in transaction area for second-hand homes from January to October [9] - Major cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen have seen over 10% growth in second-hand home transactions, indicating a recovery in the real estate sector [9]