■ 编者按 公募基金行业进入深化改革、提质增效的新发展阶段，一系列改革掷地有声。立足"十五五"新起点，公 募基金以改革促发展，以服务稳根基。广东作为资本市场活跃度高、开放程度高的前沿阵地，汇聚了多 家头部公募基金公司。中国证券报联合广东证监局今起推出"稳根基·促共赢·向未来 广东公募基金高质 量发展在行动"系列报道，展现广东公募基金行业在提升投资者获得感、服务新质生产力、推动中长期 资金入市、助力养老体系建设等方面的成效，为行业高质量发展提供"广东样本"。 ● 广东证监局 当前，我国公募基金行业正处在从"规模扩张"向"回报引领"转型的关键期，推动公募基金高质量发展已 成为新的时代命题。2025年5月，证监会印发《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》，为公募基金高质 量发展锚定改革基点，明确实践路径。 珠江潮涌风帆劲，奋楫争先正当时。广东资本市场发育早，市场规模大、服务体系全、发展基础稳、开 放程度高。广东辖区（不含深圳）公募基金管理公司数量占全国的3%，管理规模却占全国的12%，形 成"小而精、专而强"的鲜明区域发展特征。立足改革新征程，广东以政策协同为引领、以促进行业功能 发挥和服务投资者为核心、以机构转型为抓 ...

引言： 从1995–2001年的产业变迁，到2013–2015年的改革深化，再到2019–2021年的结构分化，这几轮令人瞩 目的市场活跃期，都发生在经济面临挑战的阶段。这一发现，打破了现场许多投资者的固有认知，也引 出了对市场驱动力的更深层次探讨。 值得关注的是，当前A股市场在政策组合拳的推动下，已展现出强劲的复苏态势。自2024年9月底以 来，上证指数从低位反弹，大盘更是屡创新高。与此同时，权益类基金表现亮眼，超九成基金获得正收 益，部分科技主题基金涨幅巨大，市场赚钱效应显著。 一、打破认知误区：经济增速放缓，市场就没有机会吗？ 不少投资者屡屡错过市场机会，往往源于"经济增速放缓就没有投资机会"的思维定式。活动现场，讲师 从历史维度出发，引导投资者深入理解影响市场的多重因素。历史数据显示，在A股市场历次显著上涨 阶段中，仅2005-2007年的大级别行情发生在经济增速上行期，而多个重要的市场活跃阶段都出现在经 济增速放缓时期： 这些数据表明，经济周期与股市表现很多时候并不同步，多数市场活跃阶段更多与政策面支持、产业转 型等非经济增速因素密切相关。循此逻辑，2024年9月底以来的本轮市场表现，或是政策支持下 ...

Market Outlook - The report emphasizes a preference for large-cap stocks in December, suggesting a potential shift from growth to value investing as the market focuses on the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting and significant domestic meetings at year-end [1][11] - Historical data indicates that from 2015 to 2024, large-cap stocks have shown a higher probability of outperforming small-cap stocks in December, with a 70% success rate for large-cap over small-cap [12][14] Liquidity and Capital Supply - The report anticipates stable net inflows of incremental capital in December, with foreign capital activity expected to increase [3][20] - The People's Bank of China has indicated a supportive monetary policy stance, which is likely to maintain a reasonable liquidity level in the market [20][21] Sector Performance - Defensive sectors such as banking, textiles, and petrochemicals are expected to perform well, while sectors that previously saw significant gains, like technology and automotive, may underperform [2][3] - The report highlights that sectors related to AI and technology are likely to attract new capital due to the issuance of several technology-focused funds in December [11][35] Investment Recommendations - Recommended indices for December include the CSI 300, STAR Market 50, low-volatility dividend indices, and technology indices related to Hong Kong stocks [12][11] - The report suggests that the performance of the CSI 300 and dividend indices is likely to be stronger in the latter half of December, coinciding with the earnings forecast period for listed companies [17][18]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasizes the importance of investor-centric principles in the public fund industry, highlighting the need for financial institutions to focus on the best interests of investors while promoting key areas such as technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance as part of the strategy for building a strong financial nation [1] Group 1: Inclusive Finance - The public fund industry in China has developed diverse products and sales channels, serving over 70 million clients and achieving a total profit of 97.12 billion yuan and dividends of 56.42 billion yuan for investors [2] - The company has actively responded to the fee reform in the public fund industry by lowering management fees for multiple products and initiating pilot projects for floating fee rate products [2] Group 2: Technology Finance - The company believes that technological innovation is essential for high-quality economic development and has increased its investment in technology-related sectors, with technology stocks reaching 83.7 billion yuan, accounting for 48% of its total holdings [4] - The company has expanded its technology research team, increasing the number of technology-focused researchers by 70% since the end of 2020, and currently has 12 fund managers in its technology team [5] - The company manages 40 technology-themed funds with a total scale of 94.37 billion yuan, covering various strategic emerging industries [6] Group 3: Pension Finance - The company has established a dedicated pension and asset allocation department, managing six pension fund of funds (FOF) products with a total scale of 1.731 billion yuan, and has five funds included in the personal pension product catalog [9] Group 4: Green Finance - The company has been involved in ESG-related research and manages six green finance-themed funds with a total scale of 11.02 billion yuan, while also developing a localized ESG rating system [10][11] - The company has been actively engaging in ESG and green finance discussions and collaborations with regulatory bodies and academic institutions [11] Group 5: Digital Transformation - The company has enhanced its information technology team and invested in AI capabilities to improve digital governance and operational efficiency [13] - The company has developed digital platforms for investment and trading, enhancing operational and service levels [13]

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasizes the importance of investor-centric principles in the public fund industry, highlighting the need for financial institutions to focus on the best interests of investors while promoting key areas such as technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance as part of the strategy for building a strong financial nation [1] Group 1: Investor-Centric Approach - The company has served over 70 million clients and achieved a total profit of 97.123 billion yuan for investors, with dividends amounting to 56.416 billion yuan as of June 30 [1] - The company actively responds to the public fund industry's fee reform by lowering management fees for multiple products and initiating trials for floating fee rate products, thereby aligning the interests of management and investors [1][2] Group 2: Technology Finance Development - The company has increased its investment in technology-related sectors, with a focus on new energy, new materials, semiconductors, biotechnology, and clean energy, resulting in a technology stock holding of 83.7 billion yuan, accounting for 48% of its total holdings as of June 30 [3] - The company has expanded its technology research team, increasing the number of technology-focused fund managers by 70% since the end of 2020, to enhance its investment capabilities in the technology sector [3][4] Group 3: Product Innovation - The company manages 40 technology-themed funds with a total scale of 94.372 billion yuan, including actively managed funds focused on new energy and technology innovation [4] - The company has launched various ETFs related to strategic emerging industries, extending its investment tools to include technology-themed bond ETFs [4] Group 4: Pension Finance Initiatives - The company has established a dedicated pension and asset allocation department, managing six pension target funds with a total scale of 1.731 billion yuan as of September 30 [7] - The company emphasizes pension education through community outreach and educational initiatives to enhance public understanding of personal pension planning [7] Group 5: Green Finance Commitment - The company manages six green finance-themed funds with a total scale of 11.022 billion yuan, focusing on ESG-related investments since 2008 [8] - The company has developed a localized ESG rating system covering all A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, integrating international standards with local characteristics [8] Group 6: Digital Transformation - The company has strengthened its information technology team and enhanced AI capabilities to improve digital governance and operational efficiency [9] - The company has implemented digital platforms for investment research and trading, improving lifecycle management of investment instructions [9]

A股 - Minmetals Capital's announcement of a related party transaction has drawn industry attention, with its subsidiary Minmetals Trust planning to jointly invest in a joint venture with Minmetals Real Estate, injecting 300 million yuan in cash and an asset package valued at 16.29 billion yuan [2] - The results of the subscription for Moer Thread, known as the "first domestic GPU stock," were announced, with public funds, social security funds, and pension funds acquiring approximately 38.59 million shares, accounting for 98.44% of the offline final issuance [2] - Yunnan Aluminum announced plans to acquire stakes in three aluminum companies from Yunnan Metallurgical Group, while AVIC Helicopter's subsidiary plans to merge with another wholly-owned subsidiary [2] 港股 - The Hong Kong IPO market is experiencing a surge, surpassing the NYSE and NASDAQ, aiming to become the top global fundraising market for new stocks by 2025, with 81 new listings raising a total of 215.98 billion HKD in the first ten months of the year [3] - More than half of the fundraising amount in Hong Kong has come from 14 A-share companies, with notable price discrepancies between A-shares and H-shares, exemplified by CATL's H-share price being over 14% higher than its A-share price [3] 理财 - In November, nine dividend-themed funds were established, raising a total of 6.615 billion yuan, marking a new monthly high for the year, with significant contributions from several funds launched on November 25 [4] - Major state-owned banks and some joint-stock banks have begun to withdraw 5-year large-denomination time deposits, focusing on shorter-term products, with a broad impact across various banks [4] - Sixteen technology-themed funds have been approved, including several ETFs focused on artificial intelligence and semiconductor sectors, with some products receiving approval on the same day they were submitted [4] 个人养老金 - As the year-end personal pension contribution window approaches, banks are intensifying promotional efforts, offering exclusive benefits to attract customers to open accounts and contribute funds, with potential subsidies of around 600 yuan for maximum contributions [5] 债务 - The issuance of new local special bonds in November is expected to reach 492.2 billion yuan, an increase of over 200 billion yuan from the previous month, alongside a significant rise in refinancing bonds [5] 其他 - From January to October, profits of large-scale industrial enterprises in China totaled 595.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing being the main profit growth drivers [6] - China remains the world's largest market for industrial robots, with significant improvements in performance and quality, and a projected increase in domestic multi-joint robot sales [6] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a new credit repair management method, effective from April 1, 2026, allowing credit subjects to apply for credit repair under certain conditions [6] - China's foreign direct investment reached 1,033.23 billion yuan in the first ten months, a year-on-year increase of 7%, with investments made in 9553 overseas enterprises across 152 countries and regions [7] - The Chinese medical device market is expected to reach 1.22 trillion yuan by 2025, driven by innovation, with a record number of approved innovative medical devices [7]

Core Insights - The public fund industry in China is undergoing a significant transformation, focusing on high-quality development and investor returns rather than just scale [1][2] - Shenzhen is leading the reform efforts, with strong market vitality and innovation capabilities, contributing to the construction of a financial powerhouse [1] Group 1: Reform and Development - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has initiated an action plan to promote high-quality development in the public fund industry, with Shenzhen's regulatory body actively driving comprehensive reforms [1] - As of the end of September, Shenzhen public fund companies have issued 14 floating-rate products with a total scale of 14.872 billion yuan, and the self-purchased stock of these companies reached 21.981 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Market Performance and Growth - The scale of pension products managed by Shenzhen public fund companies exceeded 2 trillion yuan, marking a growth of over 10% compared to the end of last year [2] - As of September, the scale of equity funds in Shenzhen reached 21.3 trillion yuan, growing by 23% this year, while index funds saw a remarkable growth of 31% this year and 267% since the end of 2020 [2] Group 3: Focus on Innovation - Shenzhen public fund companies are directing funds towards key sectors, particularly technology innovation, with 495 technology-themed funds totaling 506.09 billion yuan, a 60.94% increase since the second quarter [2] - The first batch of sci-tech bond ETFs raised over 11 billion yuan, effectively supporting technological innovation and industrial upgrading [2]

Group 1: Government Bonds and Fiscal Policy - The issuance of government bonds has entered a concentrated phase, with the Ministry of Finance auctioning 97 billion yuan of coupon bonds and 60 billion yuan of discount bonds on November 24, and two short-term bonds scheduled for November 26. This reflects the ongoing implementation of proactive fiscal policies [1] - Experts anticipate that the trend of active fiscal policy will continue, emphasizing the effective use of special bonds and project bonds, as well as strengthening the supervision and assessment of bond funds to ensure the full release of policy effectiveness [1] Group 2: Low-altitude Economy - The low-altitude economy market in China is projected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025 and is expected to exceed 2 trillion yuan by 2030, indicating a strong growth trend in the industry [2] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - The trend of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) this year has focused on promoting strategic collaboration and enhancing industrial chains. As of November 23, 151 companies have disclosed M&A activities, significantly surpassing the same period last year, with deep M&A driven by industrial integration becoming mainstream [3] - Future M&A activities are expected to remain active, driven by leading enterprises and "chain masters" in the industry, with a focus on horizontal collaboration and vertical extension [3] Group 4: Stock Market and Fund Activity - In response to recent market volatility, over 60 companies in the Shanghai Stock Exchange have announced share buybacks and positive operational updates, signaling confidence from leading companies [4] - A total of 16 technology-themed funds were approved on November 21, indicating an influx of capital into the hard technology sector, despite discussions about potential overheating in the AI industry [5] - The A-share market has experienced adjustments, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3900 points. However, the fundamental factors supporting the current market uptrend remain unchanged, suggesting potential opportunities for investors to position themselves for the upcoming spring market [6] Group 5: Fund Issuance and Performance - The new fund issuance in China has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for the seventh consecutive year, with 1,340 new funds established by November 23, totaling 1,044.598 billion yuan [7] - Active equity products, particularly stock and mixed funds, have become the dominant force in the new fund market, contributing to over half of the new issuance scale [8] Group 6: ETF Investment Trends - Despite market corrections, over 700 billion yuan has flowed into ETFs as investors increase their positions in a declining market. Major ETFs have seen significant net inflows, indicating continued interest in the Chinese asset market [9] Group 7: Core Index Funds - More than 1,800 funds are now investing in A-share core indices, with significant performance and scale differentiation among different fund products. Core indices have shown substantial gains since the "9.24" market rally, with average increases exceeding 50% [10] Group 8: Securities Industry Trends - The securities industry has seen a net outflow of 6,872 personnel this year, although the rate of outflow has slowed compared to previous years. Conversely, the number of investment advisors has significantly increased [11] Group 9: Satellite IoT Business - The commercial trial of satellite IoT business has officially started, marking a transition from technology validation to large-scale commercialization, which is expected to inject new momentum into emerging industries such as commercial aerospace and the low-altitude economy [12] Group 10: Sustainable Forest Management - Positive progress has been reported in sustainable forest management trials, with significant improvements in forest quality and biodiversity, indicating effective management practices [13]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent trend of multiple funds issuing scale warnings due to increased redemption pressure from investors seeking to lock in profits amid market volatility and declining sentiment [1][2]. Fund Scale Warnings - Several public funds have issued warnings regarding potential contract termination due to asset scale falling below required thresholds. For instance, a fund in Shanghai may face termination if its net asset value remains below 50 million yuan for 50 consecutive working days by December 2, 2025 [3]. - A fund in Beijing has already seen its net asset value below 50 million yuan for 45 consecutive working days, with a risk of termination if it continues for another 5 days or if the number of fund holders drops below 200 [3]. - A fund in Shenzhen has also reported a continuous low asset value for 30 working days, indicating a potential for liquidation if the situation persists [3]. Performance of Funds - Notably, the funds at risk of termination have still achieved positive returns. For example, a fund in Beijing has reported a year-to-date return of approximately 44%, significantly outperforming the average return of similar products at around 25% and the CSI 300 index at 16% [4]. - Despite strong performance, these funds have struggled to attract new investments, leading to prolonged low asset scales. A pharmaceutical-themed fund, for instance, has a year-to-date return exceeding 90% but an asset scale of less than 50 million yuan [4]. Investor Behavior and Market Sentiment - The year-end redemption pressure is attributed to investors' desire to secure profits, especially as many high-yield funds have experienced significant drawdowns, leaving minimal returns [6]. - Recent data indicates that as investor sentiment has cooled, the demand for conservative strategies has increased, with many active equity funds suffering losses in the past month [6]. - A technology-themed fund that initially saw a peak return of nearly 50% has since dropped to below 10% due to market downturns, prompting significant redemptions from investors seeking to lock in profits [7]. Market Outlook and Strategy - Despite cautious sentiment among fund holders, several fund companies believe there are still opportunities in low-positioned sectors within the broader technology market. They suggest focusing on quality stocks that may rebound [9]. - Analysts predict that the macroeconomic environment may lead to a GDP slowdown in Q4, but overall market volatility is expected to remain moderate, with no significant catalysts for large price swings [9][10]. - A fund manager emphasizes that while the AI and technology sectors remain strong, investors should be cautious of high-positioned stocks due to potential increased volatility [10].

Group 1 - The article highlights that several funds have issued scale warnings due to market sentiment decline and increased investor demand for locking in profits as year-end approaches [1][2] - Many equity funds have experienced significant performance fluctuations, with some high-yield funds facing losses recently, indicating that the current market adjustment has pressured fund net values [1][4] - The article notes that despite some funds showing positive returns, they have struggled to attract new investments, leading to asset sizes falling below contractual thresholds [3][4] Group 2 - Recent warnings from public funds indicate that several equity funds may trigger contract termination due to asset net values falling below 50 million yuan for consecutive working days [2][3] - Specific funds, despite achieving high annual returns (e.g., a fund with a 44% return compared to a 25% average for similar products), have not attracted sufficient capital, resulting in low asset sizes [3][4] - The article discusses the trend of investors redeeming shares to secure profits, particularly in light of recent market downturns affecting fund performance [4][5] Group 3 - The article mentions that fund managers are currently cautious but see opportunities in low-position sectors within the technology space, suggesting a focus on quality stocks for potential rebounds [6][7] - It is noted that the overall market is lacking new catalysts, with expectations of a stable economic growth rate around 4.5% to 4.7% for the fourth quarter, indicating a potential for market fluctuations rather than drastic adjustments [6][7] - The article emphasizes that while high-position sectors may still have strong fundamentals, investors should be wary of increased volatility and short-term adjustment risks [7]