在国内61家铜杆企业中，有19家选择国庆期间不停工。与这些忙碌车间形成鲜明对比的是， 2025年国庆期间，国内精铜杆企业平均放假4.05天，较2023年的3.95天进一步延长。部分企 业因库存积压、提货缓慢，因而安排了5天以上的检修。 产业链的"冷热分化"背后，是铜价波动与政策扰动的双重博弈。 国庆前夕，受印尼Grasberg铜矿事故停产及供应中断影响，全球铜价大幅上涨。不仅如此，以9月25日 为例，A股市场上，整个有色板块也呈现强势状态，多个铜企股价触及涨停。 往更早回溯，2025年以来，铜价平均值已高于2024年水平，但终端订单仍未恢复至旺季水平。 江西鹰潭一家铜杆企业的生产车间里，机械轰鸣声贯穿了整个国庆假期。 这家企业的主要业务是将电解铜（阴极铜）加工成铜杆。其连铸连轧生产线以每分钟1250米的速度将电 解铜转化为直径8毫米的光亮铜杆，工人们三班轮流值守，确保设备24小时不间断运转。 该企业负责生产的主管张汉中说："我们必须满负荷生产才能跟上订单需求。"他的声音在机器的轰鸣中 时断时续，"假期前我们备了1000多吨再生铜原料，但部分规格的铜杆还是供不应求。" 这种忙碌并非个例。 据Mysteel调研， ...

在国内61家铜杆企业中，有19家选择国庆期间不停工。与这 些忙碌车间形成鲜明对比的是，2025年国庆期间，国内精铜 杆企业平均放假4.05天，较2023年的3.95天进一步延长。部 分企业因库存积压、提货缓慢，因而安排了5天以上的检修。 作者： 王雅洁 封图：图虫创意 江西鹰潭一家铜杆企业的生产车间里，机械轰鸣声贯穿了整个国庆假期。 这家企业的主要业务是将电解铜（阴极铜）加工成铜杆。其连铸连轧生产线以每分钟1250米的速 度将电解铜转化为直径8毫米的光亮铜杆，工人们三班轮流值守，确保设备24小时不间断运转。 该企业负责生产的主管张汉中说："我们必须满负荷生产才能跟上订单需求。"他的声音在机器的轰 鸣中时断时续，"假期前我们备了1000多吨再生铜原料，但部分规格的铜杆还是供不应求。" 这种忙碌并非个例。 据Mysteel调研， 在国内61家铜杆企业中，有19家选择国庆期间不停工 ，其中包括16家再生铜杆 企业和3家精铜杆（将电解铜加工成精铜杆）企业，这些企业合计产能达279.5万吨。 另一家江西再生铜杆企业（原材料是废铜，通过回收、预处理和冶炼加工将废铜转化为再生铜，再 加工成再生铜杆）的人士透露："手中待交订 ...

Core Viewpoint - The copper industry is experiencing a dichotomy in production and demand, with some companies maintaining high production levels while others face significant slowdowns due to high copper prices and reduced downstream orders [4][28][34]. Group 1: Production Dynamics - A copper rod company in Jiangxi has been operating at full capacity to meet order demands, producing over 1,000 tons of recycled copper raw materials before the National Day holiday [2][5]. - According to Mysteel's survey, 19 out of 61 surveyed copper rod companies chose to continue production during the holiday, indicating strong demand in certain segments [2][4]. - In contrast, some companies, particularly in the refined copper rod sector, have extended their holiday breaks due to high inventory levels and slow order pickups, with an average holiday duration of 4.05 days in 2025 compared to 3.95 days in 2023 [3][4]. Group 2: Market Conditions - The copper price surged due to supply disruptions from the Grasberg copper mine incident, leading to a cautious approach among downstream buyers [4][34]. - The average copper price in 2025 has been higher than in 2024, yet end-user orders have not returned to peak levels, reflecting a cautious market sentiment [4][34]. - High copper prices have resulted in increased production costs for refined copper rod companies, with some reporting a 30% decrease in orders compared to the previous year [28][33]. Group 3: Inventory Management - Companies are adopting varied inventory strategies, with 30% of firms maintaining current stock levels while another 30% are delaying production due to unclear policies and weak demand [7][28]. - The need for careful inventory management is emphasized, as companies must balance production with financial pressures and market uncertainties [7][34]. - Some companies are facing significant financial strain due to high inventory levels, with one firm reporting a stock of over 2,000 tons, double the normal level, leading to increased financial costs [26][33]. Group 4: Demand for Lithium Battery Copper Foil - The demand for lithium battery copper foil has surged, with one company reporting a 40% increase in urgent orders compared to the previous year [14][20]. - During the National Day holiday, many copper foil companies maintained over 80% operating rates, significantly higher than the typical 50% [22]. - The growth in the lithium battery sector is driving production decisions, with companies adjusting their output to meet urgent customer demands [16][20]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The copper market is expected to face a supply surplus in 2025, transitioning to a shortage in 2026, primarily due to tightening supply conditions [37][40]. - The Chinese government has set clear growth targets for the recycled metals sector, which may influence production strategies in the coming years [40][41]. - Analysts predict that while short-term price fluctuations may occur, the long-term outlook for copper prices remains positive due to structural demand growth in sectors like renewable energy and electric vehicles [34][41].

集团在回顾年内营业额约为578,819,000港元，较去年同期约为795,700,000港元减少27.3%；按业务划分 而言，电线及电缆营业额约为187,092,000港元，较去年同期约为248,137,000港元减少24.6%，占集团总 营业额32.3%；铜杆业务营业额约为376,936,000港元，较去年同期约为537,061,000港元减少29.8%，占 集团总营业额65.1%；收租业务营业额约为14,791,000港元，较去年同期约为10,502,000港元增加 40.8%，占集团总营业额2.6%。 格隆汇9月29日丨星凯控股(01166.HK)宣布，截至2025年6月30日止年度，集团录得总营业额约5.79亿港 元，较去年同期约7.96亿港元减少27.3%。回顾年内，公司拥有人应占亏损约为1.42亿港元，而去年同 期之公司拥有人应占亏损约为8851.6万港元。回顾年的每股亏损约为1.20港元(2023╱2024年度每股亏 损：0.75港元)。 ...

北京时间9月15日，伦敦金属交易所(LME)铜期货价格延续涨势，今日开盘报10072.5美元/吨，现报每吨 10095美元/吨，涨幅0.30%，盘中最高触及10097.5美元/吨，最低下探10051.5美元/吨。 更新时间： LME铜期货行情回顾： 9月12日伦敦金属交易所(LME)铜期货行情 9月12日，根据调研国内31家铜杆生产企业（含精铜杆、再生铜杆企业，涉及年产能601万吨）和6家贸 易商反馈，当日铜杆订单量为1.87万吨，较上一交易日增加0.74万吨，环比增幅65.03%。 品种 开盘价 最高价 最低价 收盘价 LME铜 10070.0 10126.0 10053.0 10064.5 0.07% 【铜市场消息速递】 9月12日，上期所铜期货仓单25560吨，环比上个交易日增加5532吨。 9月12日，伦敦金属交易所（LME）：铜注册仓单133225吨；注销仓单20725吨，减少125吨；铜库存 153950吨，减少225吨。 ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 256.96 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a decrease of 4.94% year-on-year [1] - Net profit reached 4.18 billion yuan, an increase of 15.42% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Production and Operations - The company achieved differentiated growth in core product areas, with cathode copper production at 1.20 million tons, up 1.74% year-on-year [1] - Silver production was 703.71 tons, an increase of 11.14% year-on-year [1] - Sulfuric acid production reached 3.46 million tons, up 8.10% year-on-year [1] - Copper processing products production was 956.5 thousand tons, an increase of 9.72% year-on-year, with copper rod production at 841.4 thousand tons, up 6.63% year-on-year [1] - Gold production decreased to 49.97 tons, down 30.66% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Resource Expansion and Investments - The company signed a share purchase agreement with SolGold in Canada, becoming the largest shareholder, enhancing resource reserves [2] - Ongoing projects include the completion of the Silver Mountain Mining tailings dam expansion, which supports a daily production capacity of 13,000 tons [2] - The successful production launch of the Bakuta tungsten mine in Kazakhstan and the expansion of the 500KV high-voltage cross-linked cable project in Jiangxi [2] Group 4: Technological Innovation and Environmental Initiatives - The company participated in two research projects nominated for the National Science and Technology Progress Award, focusing on key technology development [3] - A total of 986 patents have been authorized, including 233 invention patents [3] - The company is advancing safety production initiatives and creating a digital platform for safety and environmental management [3] Group 5: Dividend Proposal - The board proposed a dividend of 0.40 yuan per share (before tax), totaling approximately 1.38 billion yuan, which accounts for 33.08% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of the year [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The decline in copper production in Zambia's second quarter poses risks to the goal of increasing copper production to 1 million tons this year. The domestic copper smelting plant's maintenance capacity may decrease month - on - month in August, and the domestic electrolytic copper social inventory has decreased month - on - month. The inflation rebound at the US port end reduces the expected number of Fed rate cuts, but the decrease in scrap copper anode plates and domestic electrolytic copper social inventory may cause the Shanghai copper price to fluctuate. It is recommended that investors wait and see [1][2][4] Summary by Related Contents Copper Market Data - On August 15, 2025, the closing price of the active contract of Shanghai copper futures was 79,060, with an increase of 110 compared to the previous day. The trading volume was 50,116 lots, a decrease of 1,618 lots. The open interest was 152,557 lots, an increase of 216 lots. The inventory was 24,560 tons, an increase of 126 tons [2] - The average price of SMM 1 electrolytic copper was 79,180, a decrease of 255 compared to the previous day. The Shanghai copper basis difference was 120, a decrease of 365 [2] - The LME 3 - month copper futures closing price (electronic trading) was 9,760, a decrease of 17 compared to the previous day. The total inventory of registered and cancelled warrants was 0, a decrease of 155,800 [2] - The closing price of the active contract of COMEX copper futures was 4.489, a decrease of 0.01 compared to the previous day. The total inventory weight was 267,195, an increase of 400 [2] Zambia Copper Production - Zambia is the second - largest copper producer in Africa. In 2025, the first - quarter copper production was about 224,000 tons. The copper production in the first six months was 439,644 tons. Assuming no revision in the first - quarter production, the second - quarter production was about 215,644 tons, a month - on - month decrease of about 4% [2] - Four producers, Sino Metals Leach, First Quantum Minerals, Mimbula, and Sino Xinyuan, affected the second - quarter production. Sino Metals Leach was forced to close due to tailings dam failure and acid leakage [2] - Zambia produced about 820,000 tons of copper last year. The first - half production increased by about 18% year - on - year. To reach the 1 - million - ton target this year, the second - half production needs to increase by about 27% [2] Industry Projects - Jiangxi Heli Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. (formerly Jiangxi Jinhui Copper Industry Co., Ltd.) plans to invest 1.9766065 billion yuan in the industrial park of Qianshan County, Jiangxi to relocate and upgrade the existing project, building an annual 200,000 - ton recycled electrolytic copper project [3] - On August 14, 2025, the environmental impact assessment of Jiangxi Hefan Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd.'s annual 200,000 - ton recycled electrolytic copper project was publicly announced for acceptance, with a publicity period from August 14 to August 27 [5] - Jiangxi Linghao New Material Technology Co., Ltd. plans to build a project in De'an County for annual processing of 500,000 tons of steelmaking furnace charge and 200,000 tons of copper - aluminum recycling, with a total investment of 200 million yuan and environmental protection investment of 1.31 million yuan [3] Copper Product Industry - The daily processing fee of refined copper rods for power and enameled wires in East China increased compared to last week, leading to an increase (decrease) in the capacity utilization rate of China's refined copper rods (recycled copper rods). The raw material (finished product) inventory of refined copper rod enterprises decreased (increased) compared to last week [4] - The capacity utilization rate of copper product industries may change. For example, the capacity utilization rate of copper foil in some fields may increase, while that of copper wires and cables, copper enameled wires, and copper tubes may decrease [4] Investment Strategy - It is recommended that investors wait and see. Pay attention to the support and pressure levels of Shanghai copper, London copper, and US copper [4]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The weakening US job market has increased expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, the traditional domestic consumption off - season has suppressed downstream demand, and the inventory of electrolytic copper at home and abroad fluctuates, suggesting that the Shanghai copper price may still have room to fall. It is recommended that investors hold their previous short positions cautiously and pay attention to the support and resistance levels of Shanghai copper, London copper, and US copper [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Market Data - **Shanghai Copper Futures**: On August 5, 2025, the closing price of the active contract was 78,580, up 250 from the previous day; the trading volume was 42,792 lots, a decrease of 19,597 lots; the open interest was 159,866 lots, a decrease of 3,692 lots; the inventory was 18,767 tons, a decrease of 1,581 tons. The SMM 1 electrolytic copper average price was 78,615, up 195 [2]. - **London Copper**: The LME 3 - month copper futures closing price (electronic trading) on August 5, 2025, was 9,634.5, down 74 from the previous day; the total inventory of registered and cancelled warrants was 0, a decrease of 153,850; the LME copper futures 0 - 3 - month contract spread was - 67.32, down 14.59; the 3 - 15 - month contract spread was - 142.61, down 3.38 [2]. - **COMEX Copper**: On August 5, 2025, the closing price of the active copper futures contract was 4.3795, down 0.06; the total inventory weight was 262,190, an increase of 2,509 [2]. News and Information - **Company News**: Zangge Mining's Julong Copper Mine Phase II project is expected to be completed and put into production by the end of 2025, with an annual copper output of about 300,000 - 350,000 tons. Codelco, the world's largest copper miner, has stopped the mining operation of its flagship El Teniente copper mine due to an accident and postponed its quarterly earnings release [2]. - **Trade News**: Affected by US tariffs on copper semi - finished products, domestic copper processing exports to the US are under pressure. A copper tube enterprise's goods arriving in the US on August 5 were subject to an additional 50% tariff, with a comprehensive tariff of 97% [2]. - **Industry News**: Japan's Mitsubishi Materials may partially shut down its refinery due to falling copper concentrate processing and smelting fees (TC/RCs), while Chinese smelters maintain record - high production [2]. Industry Operation - The daily processing fee of refined copper rods for power and enameled wire in East China has increased compared to last week, leading to an increase in the operating rate of China's refined copper (recycled copper rod) production capacity. The raw material and finished - product inventory of refined copper rod enterprises has increased, while that of recycled copper rod enterprises has decreased. The operating rate of China's copper wire and cable production capacity has decreased, and the raw material and finished - product inventory has increased. The operating rate and order volume of China's copper enameled wire have increased, and the raw material and finished - product inventory days have decreased. The operating rate and production volume of China's copper strip have increased, and the raw material and finished - product inventory days have decreased. The operating rate of China's copper tube has decreased, and the raw material and finished - product inventory days have remained flat. The operating rate of China's brass rod has decreased, and the raw material and finished - product inventory days have decreased [2]. - In August, the operating rate of domestic copper processing enterprises may be affected by the easing of Sino - US tariffs and the traditional consumption off - season. The operating rates of electrolytic copper rod, copper strip, and brass rod may increase month - on - month, while those of recycled copper rod, copper wire and cable, copper enameled wire, copper foil, and copper tube may decrease [2]. Trading Strategy It is recommended that investors hold their previous short positions cautiously and pay attention to the support and resistance levels: Shanghai copper at 74,000 - 76,000 and 80,000 - 81,000; London copper at 9,300 - 9,500 and 10,000 - 10,200; US copper at 4.0 - 4.2 and 4.6 - 5.0 [2].

Market Review - On Monday, the main copper futures in Shanghai experienced narrow fluctuations, while London copper fell below the $9,600 mark before rebounding, with the domestic near-month structure shifting to flat [1] Fundamental Summary - As of August 4, the bonded copper inventory in Shanghai and Guangdong reached a total of 81,200 tons, an increase of 500 tons compared to July 31. Shanghai's bonded inventory was 75,500 tons, up by 500 tons, while Guangdong's remained unchanged at 5,700 tons. The inventory continues to show a slight accumulation trend, with a small amount of supply from smelters being delivered to the warehouses [2] - On August 4, the daily transaction volume of electrolytic copper among 53 surveyed domestic trading enterprises was 27,600 tons, a decrease of 4,200 tons or 13.29% from the previous trading day [2] - The order volume for copper rods on August 4 was reported at 10,800 tons from 31 surveyed copper rod production enterprises and 6 traders, down by 2,800 tons or 20.73% compared to the previous trading day [2] Institutional Perspectives - Zhengxin Futures noted that domestic copper positions remain low, and the recent sharp decline in COMEX copper has led many positions to exit. The current price level sees limited aggressive trading, with more focus on LME copper variables. The recommendation is to increase long-term put option positions on dips, as copper prices may face pressure in the important time window of August to September, with attention on inventory and capital direction changes [3] - Guantong Futures stated that following the implementation of copper tariffs, the market is returning to fundamentals. The increase in U.S. non-farm payroll data raises expectations for a rate cut in September, with a weaker dollar supporting copper prices. However, with domestic inventories at low levels, the downside potential appears limited, maintaining an overall weak outlook with a focus on the support level of 78,000 yuan/ton [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company Jingyi Co., Ltd. (002295.SZ) faced regulatory scrutiny from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and the Guangdong Securities Regulatory Bureau due to the chairman's lack of qualifications and failure to disclose his status as a dishonest executor, leading to his resignation shortly after the announcement [2][3][4]. Group 1: Regulatory Issues - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange issued a regulatory letter highlighting that the chairman Huang Yuhui failed to disclose his status as a dishonest executor, which is a violation of the company's disclosure obligations [2][3]. - Huang Yuhui's status as a dishonest executor disqualifies him from serving as a director or senior executive under the Company Law of the People's Republic of China [3]. - The Guangdong Securities Regulatory Bureau mandated corrective measures for the company and issued warning letters to Huang Yuhui, the general manager Wei Guo, and the board secretary Yang Xiangrui [4]. Group 2: Company Background and Performance - Jingyi Co., Ltd. was established in July 1999 and successfully listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in September 2009, recognized as a top private enterprise in Guangdong [7]. - The company specializes in copper processing and digital carbon services, with a comprehensive new materials industry cluster that includes copper pipes, rods, wires, and busbars, serving various sectors such as telecommunications and electric vehicles [8]. - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 3.754 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 27.71 million yuan, up 15.57% [8]. Group 3: Stock Market Performance - As of June 27, the stock price of Jingyi Co., Ltd. has increased by over 30% since the beginning of the year, indicating strong market performance despite the recent regulatory issues [9].