8 服 热 导发 E 户网 站 100 - 100 la pa www.itf.com.cn 400-8888-598 ts No 180 14/1 | | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】 31号 | | ITC国贸期货 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | 蜈致 据 日报 期货从业号:F305427 | | | | | | 能源化工研究中心 陈一凡 | 投资咨询证号:Z0015946 | 2025/07/11 | | 指标 | | 2025/07/09 | 2025/07/10 | 涨跌值 | 行情评述 | | | 晋城大烟煤 | 900. 00 | 900. 00 | 0. 00 | | | | 内蒙动力煤 | 630. 00 | 630. 00 | 0.00 | | | 77 74 | 川渝液化气 | 4350.00 | 4350. 00 | 0. 00 | | | | 国际大然气 | 11.64 | 11.72 | 0. 09 | | | | 太仓 | 2375.00 | 2380.00 | 5.00 | 昨 ...

| | | 甲醇日评20250710: 择机做多MTO利润 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 变化值 指标 单位 2025/7/9 2025/7/8 | | | | | 变化值 | | | | | | | | (绝对值) | (相对值) | | | | MA01 | 元/吨 | 2434.00 | 2420.00 | 14.00 | 0.58% | | | 甲醇期货价格 | MA05 | 元/吨 | 2360.00 | 2347.00 | 13.00 | 0.55% | | | (收盘价) | MA09 | 元/吨 | 2372.00 | 2373.00 | -1.00 | -0.04% | | | | 太せ | 元/吨 | 2380.00 | 2405.00 | -25.00 | -1.04% | | | | 山东 | 元/吨 | 2275.00 | 2275.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | | 期现价格 | | 广东 | 元/吨 | 2400.00 | 2415.00 | -15.00 | -0. ...

8 服 热 导发 E 户网 站 100 - 100 la pa www.itf.com.cn 400-8888-598 ts No 180 14/1 | | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | ITG国贸期货 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 蜈致据日报 | | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | 期货从业号:F305427 | 2025/07/07 | | | | | 能源化工研究中心 陈一凡 | 投资咨询证号:Z0015946 | | | 指标 | | 2025/07/03 | 2025/07/04 | 涨跌值 | 行情评述 | | | 晋城无烟煤 | 900. 00 | 900. 00 | 0. 00 | | | | 内蒙动力煤 | 630. 00 | 630. 00 | 0.00 | | | | 川渝液化气 | 4360.00 | 4360. 00 | 0. 00 | | | | 国际大然气 | 11.23 | 1.35 | 0. 13 | | | | 太仓 | 2450.00 | 2430.00 | -20. ...

免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正，研究方法专业审慎，分析结论合理，但公司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证，也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会 发生任何变化。且全部分析及建议内容仅供参考，不构成对您的任何投资建议及入市依据，客户应当自主做出期货交易决策，独立承担期货交 易后果，凡据此入市者，我公司不承担任何责任。未经公司授权，不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全 | LPG早报 | 研究中心能化团队 2025/07/01 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | L P G | 丙烷CFR华 | 丙烷CIF日 | MB丙烷 ...

部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输 或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等，我们均不承担任何责任。 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正，研究方法专业审慎，分析结论合理，但公司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证，也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会 发生任何变化。且全部分析及建议内容仅供参考，不构成对您的任何投资建议及入市依据，客户应当自主做出期货交易决策，独立承担期货交 易后果，凡据此入市者，我公司不承担任何责任。未经公司授权，不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全 | LPG早报 | 研究中心能化团队 2025/06/30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | - ...

免责声明: | LPG早报 | 研究中心能化团队 2025/06/27 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | L P G | 丙烷CFR华 | 丙烷CIF日 | MB丙烷 | CP预测合 | 华东液化 | 纸面进口 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 日期 | 华南液化气 | 山东液化气 | 山东醚后碳四 山东烷基化油 | 主力基差 | 气 | 南 | 本 | 现货 | 同价 | 利润 | 2025/06/2 | 4660 | 4657 | 4630 | 616 | 602 | 82 | 610 | 5040 | 7900 | -410 | 110 | | | 0 | 2025/06/2 | 4695 | 4623 | 481 ...

2025 年 6 月 24 日 关税冲击下的全球贸易再平衡 ---2025 年 LPG 期货半年度行情展望 陈鑫超 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020238 chenxinchao@gtht.com 报告导读： 货 研 究 关税扰动以及随之带来的贸易再平衡成为 2025 年上半年 LPG 市场主旋律，下半年伴随中东、美国新增产能集中投放，叠加 国内化工需求增长乏力，供需转向宽松。 风险提示：地缘政治风险、中美贸易冲突 国 泰 君 安 期 所 XXXXXXXXXXX@gtht.com 二 〇 二 三 年 度 | 1. 2025 年上半年 | LPG 行情回顾 | 3 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2. 2025 年下半年 | LPG 运行逻辑 | 3 | | 2.1 LPG 进口格局展望 4 | | | | 2.1.1 关税 | 1.0 5 | | | 2.1.2 中东 | LPG 供应 6 | | | 2.1.3 美国 | LPG 供应 8 | | | 2.2 国内 | LPG 供给展望 | 11 | | 2.3 国内 | LPG 需求展望 | 14 | | 2.3.1 PDH 14 | | | ...

免责声明: | LPG早报 | 研究中心能化团队 2025/06/24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | L P G | 丙烷CFR华 | 丙烷CIF日 | MB丙烷 | CP预测合 | 华东液化 | 纸面进口 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 日期 | 华南液化气 | 山东液化气 | 山东醚后碳四 山东烷基化油 | 主力基差 | 气 | 南 | 本 | 现货 | 同价 | 利润 | 2025/06/1 | 4690 | 4677 | 4610 | 611 | 596 | 82 | 588 | 4960 | 7800 | -344 | 308 | | | 7 | 2025/06/1 | 4660 | 4677 | 457 ...

Group 1 - The company aims to enhance operational capabilities by upgrading existing assets and processing isooctane and MTBE into finished gasoline to mitigate the negative impact of consumption tax [1] - The first phase of the project is expected to achieve 50% capacity utilization in its first full accounting year, generating revenue of 1.106 billion yuan and a net profit of 15 million yuan [1] - Upon full capacity, the project is projected to generate 2.213 billion yuan in revenue and a net profit of 35 million yuan [1] Group 2 - As of the end of 2024, the company's construction in progress amounts to 637 million yuan, an increase of 28.14% from the previous year [2] - The total budget for significant construction projects is 1.761 billion yuan, with a remaining balance of 558 million yuan [2] - Some projects have exceeded 100% completion but have not yet been transferred to fixed assets [2] Group 3 - The company has identified reasons for underutilization of capacity in major projects, including downstream demand, competition, and core product competitiveness [2][3] - Specific measures are being developed to improve capacity utilization, including price adjustments and enhancing product quality [2] - The company is actively exploring new markets, particularly in Africa, to boost sales [2] Group 4 - The company has a liquidity surplus after meeting operational and project funding needs, indicating no liquidity risk [9] - The company plans to optimize its organizational structure and focus on core business areas to improve its capital structure [9] Group 5 - The company acquired a 55% stake in Guan Zhen Technology for 60 million yuan, with performance commitments for net profits from 2022 to 2024 [10] - Guan Zhen Technology's actual net profits fell short of commitments, leading to a compensation obligation of 60 million yuan [10] - The company plans to transfer its stake in Guan Zhen Technology while ensuring compensation payments are made according to the agreed schedule [12] Group 6 - The company has reallocated goodwill among three asset groups, including Guan Zhen Technology, due to significant changes in the industry [15][19] - The reallocation of goodwill is in compliance with accounting standards and reflects the company's strategic adjustments [17][19]

期货交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1285号 华联期货液化气周报 ——库存继续回落 20250622 黎照锋 交易咨询号：Z0000088 从业资格号：F0210135 0769-22110802 审核：陈小国 交易咨询号：Z0021111 1 主要观点 2 期现市场 3 库存端 4 供给端 5 需求端 周度观点 u 上游：中东局势升级提振油价大幅反弹。基本面OPEC+实际产量低于其声称的声量。货币贬值之下黄金强势以及地缘局 势复杂仍为油价带来支撑。 u 供应：关税降低后，预料国内将积极补库；市场此前对于美国市场缺口也在积极寻求第三方的进口替代，也增加了潜在 供应。国产商品量边际走低，仍低于去年水平。竞品LNG价格与LPG基本持平。海运费低位反弹。 u 库存：库存继续回落，港口库容率回落至近年区间低位。炼厂库容率处于多年同期最低位置，加气站库容率相对偏高； 库存量：港口库存量回落。 u 需求：宏观需求偏弱。燃烧需求处于淡季，汽油消费量处于近四年低位，餐饮消费尚可但近月将面临禁止公费吃喝增量 政策的影响。化工需求反弹，PDH周度产能利用率继续反弹但仍然处于多年区间最低，毛利再度回落；烷基化产能利用 率反 ...