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余鹏鲲:雅江水电站,为何会出现大量谣言带节奏?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 06:40
Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is seen as a significant strategic move that could alter geopolitical dynamics and boost local economic development and tourism [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project involves the construction of five tiered power stations with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan [1][2]. - The project was first mentioned in the "14th Five-Year Plan" and received government approval in December 2024, with construction starting less than eight months later [2][4]. - The project aims to primarily supply electricity for external consumption while also addressing local energy needs in Tibet [1][2]. Group 2: Strategic Importance - The project is expected to have significant strategic implications, potentially reshaping regional power dynamics and addressing energy demands in the context of climate change [1][2][4]. - The rapid progression of the project is partly attributed to the completion of essential infrastructure, such as the upgraded Zhamo-Motu road, which facilitates material transport [21][22]. Group 3: Technical Challenges - The construction site presents unique geological challenges, including extreme weather conditions and seismic activity, which necessitate careful planning and execution [5][9][10]. - The project will utilize a tunnel diversion method to mitigate risks associated with the region's geological instability, a technique previously validated by similar projects [25][34]. Group 4: Economic Impact - The hydropower project is projected to significantly enhance China's renewable energy capacity, potentially adding 50 to 60 million kilowatts to the national grid, which is over 10% of the current hydropower capacity [55][59]. - The project is expected to stimulate local economic growth, with the GDP of the region projected to increase significantly as a result of improved infrastructure and energy availability [14][60]. Group 5: Environmental Considerations - The Chinese government has committed to preserving the original ecological system while developing the project, aiming to minimize adverse impacts on downstream areas [4][22]. - The project is designed to complement other renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind, contributing to a more stable and sustainable energy grid [59][61].
“立秋奶茶大战”在即,美团、饿了么、京东集体声明
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 04:48
Group 1 - Multiple platforms including Meituan, Taobao, Ele.me, and JD have issued statements committing to "regulating promotions" and implementing measures to limit subsidy behaviors [1][6] - The platforms have pledged to enhance services and promote healthy competition, with Meituan emphasizing "prospering the industry ecosystem" and resisting disorderly competition [1][6] - Following a recent regulatory meeting, platforms have shown varying degrees of marketing contraction, yet large subsidies like zero-yuan purchases and one-cent purchases continue, with merchants bearing about 70% of the subsidy costs [6][10] Group 2 - Recent commentary from major media outlets highlights that the ongoing price war in the food delivery sector is a "stock game" that fails to generate new consumer demand, leading to profit difficulties for platforms and merchants [6][10] - The upcoming "Liqiu War" (立秋大战) is anticipated to be a significant promotional period for milk tea deliveries, with platforms collectively emphasizing anti-involution policies ahead of this event [6][10] - Following the platforms' statements, the stock market reacted positively, with Meituan's stock rising by 2.22%, Alibaba's by 2.33%, and JD's by 1.38% [10]
美学者哀叹:到底怎么输给中国的,回看60年就知道了
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 04:22
Core Insights - China's goods trade import and export value reached a historical high of 21.79 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, with electric vehicles, lithium-ion batteries, and solar cells becoming key export products [1] - The export value of electromechanical products was 7.8 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, accounting for 60% of total exports [1] - The growth of high-end equipment related to new productivity exceeded 20%, while the "new three items" products grew by 12.7% [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - U.S. media expressed complex emotions regarding China's dominance in clean energy technologies, which originated in the U.S. but are now led by China [1] - Experts attribute China's success to stable policies and strong promotion of new technology applications [1][2] - The U.S. has struggled with policy inconsistency, while China has maintained stable policies that have allowed it to surpass the U.S. in these sectors [1] Group 2: Electric Vehicles - The U.S. began large-scale electrification of vehicles in the 1930s, but the existing gasoline distribution network favored gasoline engines [4] - California's regulations in the 1990s briefly promoted electric vehicles, but the focus shifted back to traditional fuel vehicles [4][5] - China invested heavily in electric vehicles, with approximately $231 billion spent on promoting electric vehicle adoption, resulting in a significant increase in sales from 1,000 units in 2010 to 6.4 million units last year [5] Group 3: Lithium-Ion Batteries - The first functional lithium-ion battery was invented in the 1970s in the U.S., but the lack of market support led to the failure of early U.S. battery companies [7] - China invested heavily in battery technology and supply chain stability, leading to a significant increase in production capacity [8] - Currently, China holds 85% of global battery cell production capacity, with 94% of the market share in lithium iron phosphate batteries [8] Group 4: Solar Cells - The U.S. was a pioneer in solar cell technology but retreated from the market in the 1980s due to policy shifts favoring traditional energy sources [11][12] - China capitalized on the demand for solar cells in the early 2000s, investing $50 billion in solar power production capacity [13] - Currently, eight of the top ten solar panel manufacturers are based in China, reflecting its dominance in the global solar supply chain [13] Group 5: Export Performance - The "new three items" have become a new hallmark of China's foreign trade, with exports showing remarkable resilience despite trade tensions [16] - In the first four months of 2025, the total import and export value of the "new three items" reached $49.35 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [16] - The export proportions of lithium-ion batteries, electric vehicles, and solar cells were 45.1%, 36.7%, and 18.2%, respectively, with lithium-ion batteries and electric vehicles seeing increases in their export shares [17]
梦百合、左右家居跨界开酒店,醉翁之意还是“卖货”?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 04:20
Core Viewpoint - Several soft furniture companies are exploring the hotel industry as a means to expand into downstream sectors amid an overall industry downturn [1][4]. Group 1: Company Initiatives - Left Home has opened its first hotel, "Left Home Happiness Hotel," in Shenzhen, featuring 156 rooms priced between 300-500 RMB, positioning itself in the mid-range hotel market [1]. - Dream Lily has launched its first hotel, "Dream Lily Zero Pressure Hotel," in Shanghai, with 119 rooms equipped with its signature zero-pressure smart beds, emphasizing a deep sleep concept [1][3]. - Both companies are transitioning from product manufacturers to lifestyle service providers, marking a significant shift in their business models [1][3]. Group 2: Business Strategy - Dream Lily aims to open 2,000 hotels, integrating hotel functions with product experience and sales, effectively turning each hotel into a showroom for its products [3]. - Left Home's hotel also allows guests to purchase furniture directly from their rooms, utilizing technology to collect user sleep data for product development [3][4]. - The core strategy for both companies remains focused on selling products, despite the hotel industry's emphasis on service operations [4]. Group 3: Industry Context - Historically, soft furniture companies like Dream Lily and Left Home have collaborated with hotel chains, indicating a trend of moving from suppliers to direct competitors in the hotel space [5]. - Dream Lily previously partnered with major hotel groups and has recently taken legal action against them, highlighting the competitive dynamics in the industry [6]. - The hotel business for both companies is still in its early stages, and it remains uncertain whether this will become a significant growth area for them [6][7].
电信移动联通统一外呼营销号码规范电话营销
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 03:47
三家基础电信企业唯一官方外呼营销号码分别是:中国电信10001、中国移动10085、中国联通10016。 如果接到其他号码要你办卡办套餐,可以肯定不是正规渠道。 【#电信移动联通规范外呼营销电话# 】据央视新闻消息,不少消费者都接到过各种营销电话,有的营 销电话还是用普通电话号码打过来的,让人防不胜防。为落实"信息通信暖心服务实事",解决用户反映 突出的通信业务电话营销虚假宣传、诱导消费等问题,三家基础电信企业今天集体发布规范电话营销举 措,统一外呼营销号码。 三家基础电信企业要求,如果用户明确拒绝电话营销的业务,就不能再继续呼叫打扰用户;电话营销必 须全面准确介绍营销内容,不虚假宣传、诱导消费,不隐瞒资费标准、适用场景、有效期限、限制性条 件等关键信息,所有向用户推介的资费方案都要在网络营业厅和官方App公示。 外呼营销要全程录音、全量复查,以严格标准实施全流程质检,确保诚信合规、清晰透明。征得用户同 意后,工作人员要向用户发送请求业务办理确认短信,说明业务必要信息,用户短信回复确认后办理业 务。办理成功后,要及时发送告知短信。 在这里提醒用户认清企业官方外呼营销号码,不要通过任何非官方号码办理业务,不要向 ...
香港稳定币今日开闸,“5年左右将逐渐取代SWIFT”
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 03:42
【文/观察者网 陶立烽】 今天(8月1日),全球第一个针对法币稳定币的全面监管框架——香港《稳定币条例》正式实施,相关 机构可以开始申请牌照。 就在不久前,美国总统特朗普也签署了三个加密货币法案。相比于美国,香港的稳定币法案更加简洁明 了,也更加严厉:2500万港元准入门槛、100%资产抵押、1日内赎回保障。 一位从事10年稳定币相关业务的行业人士邵星认为,未来稳定币发行后,需要寻找渠道和流量平台来承 接,要有大量的应用场景来落地。邵星也预计,之后五年左右,以合规稳定币为基础的点对点支付方式 逐渐代替SWIFT(国际资金清算系统),整个金融体系会发生重大变化。 稳定币是什么? 到今年6月下旬,加密资产的总市值已经超过3万亿美元,超过法国去年GDP,其中稳定币的规模达到 2600亿美元左右,较2020年增长超40倍。 稳定币自2014年诞生,最初并未受到广泛关注。当时加密货币市场尚处于早期阶段,用户仍可用传统货 币直接买卖加密资产,稳定币作为中间介质的需求有限。随着越来越多国家对法币与加密货币之间的兑 换实施限制或禁令,稳定币逐渐成为加密资产市场内部交易的重要媒介,并在全球范围内流行起来。 而这一轮的热潮开始于 ...
香港稳定币今日开闸,业内人士:5年左右将逐渐取代SWIFT
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 03:29
Group 1: Regulatory Framework - Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Ordinance" officially implemented on August 1, allowing institutions to apply for licenses [1] - The ordinance requires a minimum capital of 25 million HKD and mandates 100% asset backing for stablecoins [1][10] - Issuers must ensure that stablecoins are redeemable at face value within one working day, addressing investor protection concerns [10] Group 2: Market Dynamics - As of June 2023, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies exceeded 3 trillion USD, with stablecoins reaching approximately 260 billion USD, a growth of over 40 times since 2020 [2] - Stablecoins have become essential for internal transactions in the cryptocurrency market due to restrictions on fiat and crypto exchanges [2] - The demand for stablecoins is expected to grow significantly, particularly in cross-border payments and gaming sectors [5][19] Group 3: Technological and Operational Aspects - Stablecoins are built on public blockchain technology, with Ethereum and TRON being the most prominent platforms [3] - Financial institutions like JPMorgan and major credit card companies have already integrated stablecoin solutions into their operations [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - Industry expert predicts that within five years, compliant stablecoins will gradually replace SWIFT for peer-to-peer payments, leading to significant changes in the financial system [19] - The development of stablecoins is seen as a strategy to bolster the dominance of the US dollar in the global economy [17][18]
美国很少讨论一个问题:如果中国也推出稳定币会怎样?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 02:25
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of stablecoins, particularly in the context of China's regulatory framework and the implications for global financial systems, highlighting the strategic competition between countries in the digital currency space [1][2][4]. Group 1: Development of Stablecoins - The Hong Kong "Stablecoin Regulation" has officially come into effect, marking a significant step in digital asset governance [1]. - The development of digital currencies can follow two paths: top-down (central bank digital currencies) and bottom-up (cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin) [2][4]. - Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are easier to integrate with existing financial systems and offer regulatory advantages, but lack the market-driven demand seen in cryptocurrencies [2][4]. Group 2: International Competition and Strategy - The differences in digital currency approaches among countries, particularly between China and the U.S., stem from varying levels of recognition and emphasis on digital currencies [4][5]. - The competition in digital currencies is viewed as a form of currency warfare, with emerging powers seeking to establish their currencies while traditional powers respond with stablecoins [5][7]. - The U.S. is pushing for stablecoins to enhance demand for U.S. Treasury bonds, particularly short-term bonds, while the long-term bond market faces challenges [8][9]. Group 3: Implications for Monetary Sovereignty - The rise of stablecoins poses significant challenges to national monetary sovereignty, as they could lead to a loss of control over domestic currencies [18][19]. - The development of a global stablecoin market could undermine traditional monetary policies and create a scenario where countries lose their ability to manage their currencies effectively [18][19]. - The article suggests that the emergence of stablecoins could lead to a unified global currency market, further complicating the monetary sovereignty of smaller nations [19][20]. Group 4: China's Response and Future Outlook - China is encouraged to adopt a dual strategy of promoting both CBDCs and stablecoins to counter the influence of U.S. stablecoins [33][34]. - The potential for a Chinese stablecoin is seen as a strategic move to provide an alternative to the dollar and enhance the internationalization of the renminbi [41][42]. - The article emphasizes the importance of international cooperation and rule-setting in the digital currency space to ensure that China can effectively navigate the challenges posed by stablecoins [31][32].
中方代表:美国只许自己放火,不许他人点灯
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 01:04
据中国常驻联合国代表团网站消息,7月31日,中国常驻联合国副代表耿爽7月31日在安理会审议向乌克 兰提供武器问题时发言,驳斥美国代表对中国的指责。 首先,我要祝贺巴基斯坦即将圆满完成本月安理会轮值主席的工作,赞赏你和你的同事过去一个月里所 作的努力。我也要祝巴拿马担任下月轮值主席一切顺利。 近期俄乌双方举行多轮直接谈判,就交换战俘等人道问题达成不少共识、取得积极进展。与此同时,危 机还在延宕,战争没有停息迹象,大量武器弹药仍在持续流入战场,造成新的人员伤亡和基础设施损 毁。令人担忧的是,流入战场武器的品种和范围不断扩大,致命性和杀伤性不断加强。近期有报道称, 双方均向战场投入了作战机器人,这进一步表明,俄乌冲突日益成为新式武器的试验场,战争的形态有 可能会发生危险变化。 我愿重申,武器可能会赢得战争,但却无法赢得持久和平。不计后果地向战场输送武器,只会加剧冲 突、延长战火,带来扩散风险,给冲突双方乃至更广大地区的人民带来更多伤亡和苦难。当务之急是冲 突双方共同努力推动战场局势早日降温。双方保持和谈势头,持续积累共识,最终达成一份全面、持 久、有约束力的和平协议。 主席, 自战争爆发的第一天起,中方就积极倡导以 ...
英伟达回应被约谈;我国大模型个人用户注册超31亿;微软市值破4万亿美元
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-01 01:03
Group 1: Trade and Tariffs - On July 31, President Trump signed an executive order establishing "reciprocal tariffs" ranging from 10% to 41% for various countries and regions, with Syria facing the highest rate at 41% and Brazil and the UK the lowest at 10% [1] - The order specifies that countries not listed will uniformly face a 10% tariff, and goods rerouted through third countries to evade tariffs will incur a 40% transshipment tax [1] Group 2: Technology and Security - Nvidia was recently called in for a meeting by China's National Internet Information Office regarding serious security issues with its computing chips, specifically the H20 model, which has been reported to have potential backdoor vulnerabilities [1][2] - Nvidia responded by asserting that its chips do not contain backdoors and that network security is a top priority for the company [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - Microsoft became the second company globally to surpass a market capitalization of $4 trillion, following a strong fourth-quarter performance with revenues of $76.44 billion, up 18% year-over-year, and a net profit of $27.2 billion, up 24% [2] - Apple reported third-quarter earnings with revenues of $94.04 billion, a 9.6% increase year-over-year, and a net profit of $23.43 billion, reflecting a 9% growth [3] Group 4: AI and Market Growth - OpenAI's annual revenue reached $12 billion, prompting an upward revision of its cash burn forecast for 2025 to approximately $8 billion [4] - In China, the number of registered individual users for large model applications has exceeded 3.1 billion, with API call users surpassing 159 million [4] Group 5: Infrastructure Development - In the first half of the year, China's electric vehicle charging infrastructure saw a 99.2% year-over-year increase, with a total of 3.282 million new charging points added [6] - The domestic sales of new energy vehicles reached 5.878 million units, indicating a strong correlation between the growth of charging infrastructure and the rapid development of electric vehicles [6]