二、中国人民财产保险股份有限公司应按照有关规定及时办理变更及许可证换领事宜。 2025年12月31日，安康金融监管分局发布批复称，《关于中国人民财产保险股份有限公司安康市分公司 江南营销服务部变更营业场所的请示》(安人保财险发〔2025〕98号)收悉。经审核，现批复如下： 一、同意中国人民财产保险股份有限公司安康市分公司江南营销服务部将营业场所变更为：陕西省安康 市汉滨区育才路72号。 ...

摘要周三(1月7日)欧洲时段，现货黄金震荡下行，日内跌约0.85%，现交投于4455美元附近。市场消化 美国对委内瑞拉军事行动后，风险偏好升温引发大宗商品获利回吐。但特朗普吞并格陵兰岛威胁及对哥 伦比亚、墨西哥的对抗言论，令地缘风险持续发酵，限制金价跌幅。美联储降息预期升温致美元未能延 续涨势，支撑无息资产黄金。交易商观望，等待周五非农等关键数据指引方向。 周三(1月7日)欧洲时段，现货黄金震荡下行，日内跌约0.85%，现交投于4455美元附近。市场消化美国 对委内瑞拉军事行动后，风险偏好升温引发大宗商品获利回吐。但特朗普吞并格陵兰岛威胁及对哥伦比 亚、墨西哥的对抗言论，令地缘风险持续发酵，限制金价跌幅。美联储降息预期升温致美元未能延续涨 势，支撑无息资产黄金。交易商观望，等待周五非农等关键数据指引方向。 【要闻速递】 美方对委内瑞拉采取军事行动并逮捕总统马杜罗，引发全球关注。周一马杜罗在纽约联邦法院否认指 控，称自己合法当选;美方称将暂时"管理"委局势，新任总统罗德里格斯则释放缓和信号，愿在框架下 合作。对峙与对话交织，令市场风险判断陷入模糊。在此不确定性下，资金未撤离黄金市场，反而将其 视为避险触发点。黄 ...

Group 1: Gold and Silver Market - Spot gold maintained its upward trend, nearing the $4500 mark, closing up 1.04% at $4495.09, but has since slightly declined to around $4462 [1] - Spot silver surpassed the $81 mark, closing up 6.06% at $81.25, reaching its highest level since December 29 of the previous year [2] Group 2: U.S. Federal Reserve Policy Signals - U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 reaching all-time highs. The Dow rose by 484.90 points (0.99%) to 49462.08, while the Nasdaq increased by 151.35 points (0.65%) to 23547.17, and the S&P 500 gained 42.77 points (0.62%) to 6944.82 [3] - Federal Reserve officials indicated a strong policy signal, with expectations for interest rate cuts exceeding 100 basis points this year, as core inflation approaches the Fed's target [4][5] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is highlighted as a significant risk event that will influence the Fed's short-term policy direction [6] Group 3: Employment and Interest Rate Projections - Analysts predict that if the U.S. unemployment rate rises to 4.7% in December, the Fed is likely to lower the policy rate by 25 basis points this month [7][8] - Current probabilities for a 25 basis point rate cut in January stand at 18.3%, with an 81.7% chance of maintaining the current rate. By March, the cumulative probability for a 25 basis point cut rises to 40.7% [8] Group 4: Chinese Stock Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs has issued a bullish signal for Chinese assets, recommending an "overweight" position in Chinese stocks, predicting a robust bull market in 2026 and 2027 with annual gains of 15% to 20% driven by earnings growth and valuation recovery [9] - The expected profit growth rates for Chinese companies are projected at 14% and 12% for 2026 and 2027, respectively, alongside a 10% valuation uplift [9] Group 5: U.S. Oil Market Developments - The U.S. government announced that Venezuela's interim government will transfer 30 to 50 million barrels of oil to the U.S., with proceeds being monitored to benefit both Venezuelan and American people [10][11] - The oil will be sold at market prices and transported directly to U.S. unloading docks [11]

Group 1 - The meeting was chaired by the Governor of Fujian Province, Zhao Long, focusing on discussions with leaders from 19 major local enterprises, including Ningde Times, Fuyao Glass, and Yuhui Supermarket, regarding economic development and business environment [1] - Baima Tea, as the only invited company from the tea industry, highlighted its position as the leading brand in China's tea chain stores and plans to go public in Hong Kong by 2025, aiming to become the "first high-end Chinese tea stock" [1] - The company has consistently ranked first in tax contributions among tea enterprises in key production areas such as Anxi and Wuyishan [1] Group 2 - Governor Zhao encouraged entrepreneurs to focus on their core businesses, strengthen real industries, innovate, and adhere to green and low-carbon development [1] - He emphasized the importance of fair competition and the need for businesses to embody patriotism, legal compliance, innovation, and social responsibility to contribute to high-quality development and common prosperity [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the future trajectory of the U.S. labor market will directly influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustment path this year, with multiple employment data releases expected to provide insights into the overall labor market condition [2] - The ADP National Employment Report is set to be released, with market consensus predicting an addition of 47,000 jobs in December, rebounding from a negative forecast of 32,000 jobs in November [2] - The chief U.S. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics suggests that if the average weekly job growth of 11,500 jobs in the four weeks ending December 6 is maintained, the monthly increase could reach 45,000 jobs [2] Group 2 - The current London gold price is trading above $4,455.54 per ounce, with a reported price of $4,464.68 per ounce, reflecting a decrease of 0.65% [1] - The gold price has shown a bullish short-term trend, with a recent high of $4,499.89 per ounce and a low of $4,441.09 per ounce [1] - The four-hour cycle of gold prices displays a standard upward wave structure, indicating a strong upward momentum in the current wave [3] - The moving average system shows a perfect bullish arrangement, with the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 60-day moving averages all diverging upwards, indicating strong short-term trend stability [3] - The first resistance zone for gold is identified between $4,526 and $4,531, with a core resistance at $4,550 per ounce, which, if broken, could open further upward potential towards the $4,588-$4,600 range [4]

Group 1 - The standard warehouse receipt for polypropylene futures can be transferred across months but is subject to a validity period limitation [1] - The validity of the polypropylene standard warehouse receipt is until the last trading day of March each year, meaning all receipts must be canceled by that date [1] - As long as the receipt has not been canceled, it can theoretically be transferred between different months [1] Group 2 - Transfers must be handled through a member, and clients cannot operate independently [2] - Two settlement methods are available: exchange settlement, which requires a transfer fee, and self-settlement, which does not incur fees but requires the buyer to handle payment and invoicing [2] - The trading cycle for warehouse receipts is from the registration date to the fifth trading day before the receipt is about to expire, meaning no transactions can occur within the last five trading days before expiration [2] Group 3 - Cross-month transfer in futures refers to the process where traders transfer their futures contracts from the current month to the next delivery month before expiration [2] - The primary purpose of this operation is to maintain the continuity of positions, as futures contracts have fixed expiration dates [2] - For example, when the main contract (the one with the highest trading volume) approaches expiration, investors will shift their positions to a later month contract to avoid delivery or contract expiration interruptions [2]

今天焦煤焦炭价格迎来一波猛涨，甚至焦煤主力合约直接封死涨停，焦炭也跟着涨了不少，说白了这波上涨就 是"供给端缺货、需求端补货、资金端推波、情绪端造势"这几股力量凑到一起的结果，用大白话讲就是想买的 人多了、能买到的货少了，再加上市场资金和各种利好消息添把火，价格自然就上去了。 先说说供给这边的情况，现在市场上能买到的焦煤焦炭明显变少了。一方面临近年底，主产区的安全检查和超 产核查管得特别严，不少煤矿已经完成了今年的生产任务，干脆就提前停工了，而且再过一个多月就要过年， 煤矿们也会陆续安排放假，接下来这段时间的产量肯定会跟着往下走，这种"越往后货越少"的预期一出来，大 家就都开始重视起来了。另一方面，像主焦煤这种品质好、适用性强的优质煤种本来就稀缺，最近这段时间成 交也明显好转，好货更抢手，这也让价格有了往上走的底气。 再看需求端，现在下游企业的采购需求正在慢慢升温。眼下已经到了冬天，下游的焦化厂和钢厂都要开始准备 冬储补库了，就像家里冬天囤白菜一样，这些企业也得提前囤够焦煤焦炭，避免过年期间停工缺货，所以最近 对焦煤的刚需采购明显变多了。而且元旦之后，中东部地区气温比往年偏低一两度，供暖需求也跟着增加了， 这 ...

摘要周三（1月7日）贵金属市场整体呈现冲高回落态势，尤其是午后外盘大幅跳水，带动内盘承压走低。现货黄金一度失守4450美元/盎司关口，日内跌超 1%，现货白银跌破79美元/盎司，日内跌幅扩大至3.00%。截至北京时间17:13，现货黄金最新报4464.49美元/盎司，跌幅0.65%，现货白银最新报79.31美元/ 盎司，跌幅2.35%。 12月"小非农"ADP就业人数与11月JOLTs职位空缺将于北京时间今晚21:15、23:00先后公布。同样将公布的还有ISM服务业数据。不过，本周市场的关键焦点 仍是周五发布的美国非农就业报告。若进一步显现劳动力市场走弱迹象，可能促使市场提前预期下一次降息的时间。LSEG数据显示，市场目前对3月降息的 定价概率约为五五开，但直到6月才完全计入一次降息。 中国央行数据显示，中国黄金（600916）储备规模在12月底达到3194.5亿美元，高于11月底的3106.5亿美元；中国12月末黄金储备报7415万盎司（约 2306.323吨），环比增加3万盎司（约0.93吨），为连续第14个月增持黄金。 （来源：国家外汇管理局） 据外媒报道，受过去一年金价暴涨和各国央行积极购入的推动， ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold is expected to surpass U.S. Treasury bonds as the largest asset class in global official reserves outside the U.S., driven by significant price increases over the past year and continued active purchases by central banks [1] Group 1: Gold Reserves - As of the end of November, global official gold reserves outside the U.S. exceeded 900 million troy ounces, valued at approximately $3.82 trillion based on gold prices on November 30 [1] - In comparison, the total value of U.S. Treasury bonds held by foreign officials was nearly $3.88 trillion as of October [1] - If the scale of central bank gold reserves remains unchanged by year-end, their value could reach $3.93 trillion, indicating that gold reserves may surpass the value of foreign-held U.S. Treasury bonds [1] Group 2: Current Gold Price - As of January 7, the spot price of gold was reported at $4,469.68 per ounce, reflecting a decline of 0.54% [1]

市场反应显示，地缘风险引发的避险资金流入具有持续性。1月7日美元指数上涨0.32%至98.579，但黄 金依然抗跌，出现"美元与黄金同涨"格局，表明地缘风险主导市场。 在政策层面，美联储2026年降息预期持续发酵，机构普遍预测全年或降息2-3次。里奇蒙联储主席称货 币政策需精细调整，平衡失业与通胀风险，强化降息预期。美债收益率整体处于近三个月相对低位，长 端稳定为黄金提供利率支撑。本周将公布的美国12月非农、ADP就业及ISM非制造业PMI等数据，将为 利率路径提供线索，若数据不及预期，降息预期将进一步升温。 摘要北京时间周三(1月7日)欧洲时段，美元指数先涨后跌，交投于98.628附近，金价目前交投于4462.56 美元/盎司，跌幅0.69%，最高触及4499.89美元/盎司，最低触及4441.09美元/盎司。不过，从整体表现来 看，回调幅度相对有限，显示多头结构尚未出现明显破坏。尽管纳斯达克等主要指数继续刷新历史高 点，市场情绪表面趋于乐观，但地缘不确定性并未明显缓解。 北京时间周三(1月7日)欧洲时段，美元指数先涨后跌，交投于98.628附近，金价目前交投于4462.56美元/ 盎司，跌幅0.69%，最 ...