法律专家认为，贩毒和帮派暴力被视为犯罪活动，并没有达到公认可以发动武装冲突的国际标准，因此 没有理由采取军事行动。哥伦比亚大学专门研究国家安全法的法学教授Matthew Waxman称："仅凭一项 刑事起诉本身，并不足以授权动用军事力量推翻一个外国政府，而政府很可能也会把这一点归因于自卫 理论。" 从技术面来看，本周两次试探4300，两次反弹4400，属于大跌后结构性的调整。周三，周五这波黄金在 底部已经有头肩底形态，站稳4400后，多头会再次爆发，上看4500，4550并且大趋势下不猜顶，但没有 站稳4400，则属于大跌后的低位震荡，所以，下周大概率也是如此看法，目前收盘在4330附近，另外， 要注意的是，如果下周有意外消息面的影响，破坏了目前的头肩底形态，黄金的降温行为可能要到4200 附近，这一点需要注意谨慎对待。 日内图表上的技术指标表现积极。4小时移动平均趋同背离(MACD)向上转动，增强了看涨动能。相对 强弱指数(RSI)位于52.85，处于中性，略微偏向多头。 阻力位在12月30日高点附近4400美元，前方是12月23日和24日的低点，位于4445美元区域和已破裂的趋 势线支撑，现约在4500美 ...

节前最后一个交易日，硅铁期货主力合约弱势震荡，最低下探至5656.00元。截止收盘，硅铁主力合约 报5672.00元，跌幅1.12%。 东证期货：预计全年铁合金价格或维持偏弱运行态势 总体来看，铁合金行业产能过剩格局依然延续，且在2026年仍有新增产能计划投放，行业供给弹性充 足，利润一旦修复将刺激供应释放。硅锰方面，锰矿成本仍具一定支撑；硅铁方面，金属镁需求虽形成 边际拉动，但整体支撑力度有限。叠加2026年电价预计仍有下调空间，成本支撑整体趋弱，预计全年铁 合金价格或维持偏弱运行态势。 银河期货：硅铁预计在高低成本区间之间波动为主 供应端产能利用率维持低位,同时仍有部分新增产能投放计划,因此产能整体充裕情况进一步加剧,预计实 际产量将跟随粗钢需求波动。需求端,预计粗钢内需稳中有进,出口在政策调控下有所承压,整体粗钢需求 表现平稳。成本端,煤矿市场面临反内卷、查超产、碳达峰、能源安全等多目标相互制约。不同供需形 势和价格下的政策取向有不同侧重,预计煤炭价格整体平稳,低点较2025年有所抬高。硅铁基本面呈现弱 平衡,价格预计在高低成本区间之间波动为主。 光大期货 预计短期硅铁坚挺震荡运行为主 东证期货 预计全 ...

消息面 截至2025年12月29日，江苏苯乙烯港口库存量13.88万吨，较上周期减0.05万吨。 紫金天风期货： 上周苯乙烯市场在意外检修和出口消息刺激下上涨，苯乙烯估值不高下边际利好因素影响力增强，主要不利因素在于上游纯苯过剩，建议关注装 置和出口变化情况。 瑞达期货（002961）： 受近期装置突发检修影响，短期国内苯乙烯供需紧平衡预计持续，显性库存或维持去化趋势。成本方面，短期美委、俄乌地缘局势暂无恶化迹 象，国际原油现实端供应压力仍存，油价预计上行空间有限；纯苯端供需宽松、支撑有限。短期EB2602预计震荡走势，日度区间预计在6710- 6920附近。 现货方面，本周苯乙烯市场价格继续上涨，价格运行区间为6680-6900元/吨，截止12月31日江苏苯乙烯收6880元/吨，较上周四6555元/吨的均价上 涨4.96%。 上周宝来35万吨装置重启，天津渤化45万吨装置故障停车，前期重启装置影响扩大，苯乙烯产量、产能利用率环比上升。 机构观点 ...

Group 1 - On the last trading day before the holiday, the main copper futures contract in Shanghai rose slightly by 0.84%, closing at 98,240.00 CNY per ton [1] - On December 31, the domestic electrolytic copper trading volume was 13,600 tons, a decrease of 860 tons from the previous trading day, representing a 38.83% decrease on a month-over-month basis [2] - Chile's copper production in November fell by 7.18% year-on-year to 451,815 tons, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline [2] Group 2 - According to Guoguang Futures, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes indicated that dovish officials believe a shift to a more neutral policy stance would help prevent further deterioration in the job market, with expectations of over 200 billion USD in reserve management bond purchases in the next 12 months to ease liquidity demands [4] - Copper prices have been rising recently, but profit margins for copper products are being squeezed, leading to a slowdown in production rates due to various factors including raw material prices and demand [4] - The inventory of cathode copper on the Shanghai Futures Exchange has been increasing, indicating a decline in downstream purchasing capacity, while the overall strong upward trend in copper prices remains unchanged despite recent high prices causing resistance from downstream buyers [4]

罗森博格预计，美国失业率将很快突破5%大关，并在"年底前很可能测试6%关口"。这一预测是基于当 前已显现裂痕的劳动力市场数据，而2025年的政府长期停摆导致部分官方数据存在缺口。 基于对就业市场将剧烈收缩的判断，罗森博格认为这将严重削弱美国经济前景，并可能迫使美联储在 2026年采取戏剧性的激进降息行动以应对可能的经济困境 【最新黄金t+d行情解析】 摘要今日周日(1月4日)休市。上海黄金t+d收报974.21美元/盎司，下跌7.99美元/元或0.81%，日内最高上 探989.50美元/盎司，最低触及960.75美元/盎司。 今日周日(1月4日)休市。上海黄金t+d收报974.21美元/盎司，下跌7.99美元/元或0.81%，日内最高上探 989.50美元/盎司，最低触及960.75美元/盎司。 【要闻速递】 有"华尔街预言家"之称的前美林证券首席经济学家大卫.罗森博格近日警告，美国经济在2026年正面临 困境，劳动力市场可能并非降温，而是面临萎缩风险。他指出，去年10月美国裁员率已升至1.2%的一 年高位，同时招聘率正"如热刀切黄油般骤降"。 黄金T+D价格近期呈现震荡下行态势，最新报价约974元/克，短期 ...

Group 1 - COMEX silver closed at $72.09 per ounce, up 1.57%, with a high of $74.21 and a low of $70.52, indicating strong demand in the metal market from both industrial and retail sectors [1] - Analysts noted that the silver market is showing signs of a bearish "buying exhaustion pattern," with price significantly retreating after reaching highs, and a notable bearish "key reversal pattern" appearing on the daily chart [2] - The next price target for bulls is to push the closing price above the key resistance level of $82.67 per ounce, while bears aim to drive the price below the key support level of $67.50 per ounce [2] Group 2 - The first resistance level is at the overnight high of $74.21, with further resistance at $75.00; the first support level is at $72.00, with additional support at the overnight low of $70.515 [2]

今日周日(1月4日)由于假期白银休市，白银期货周三收于17074元/千克，下跌5.88%，最高触及18875元/ 千克，最低下探16870元/千克。机构策略师预计，未来两周内，纽约商品交易所白银市场可能有多达 13%的总持仓被抛售，这将导致价格显著重估并走低。 不过，罗德里格斯随后在委内瑞拉国家电视台的讲话中强调，马杜罗仍是该国唯一总统，并要求美国提 供其"生命证明"。特朗普对此回应称，鲁比奥正在直接处理此事，并暗示罗德里格斯别无选择，只能合 作。同时，美国国会事先未获行动通报，鲁比奥解释称此类任务不适合提前通知国会。 【最新白银期货行情解析】 沪银周三价格大幅下跌，市场波动性已显著加剧，预计周一延续避险买盘，可能小幅冲高后震荡，沪银 溢价收敛至1340元/克，国内情绪依旧高涨。沪银主力合约参考运行区间17100-19300区间。 【要闻速递】 特朗普总统明确宣布，美国将暂时负责委内瑞拉的国家治理，直至实现一个"安全、适当且审慎的领导 层过渡"。他表示，美国将与一个团体合作管理国家，并指定相关人员参与，但未透露具体细节。这种 安排旨在防止权力真空导致进一步混乱，确保委内瑞拉人民的利益得到保护。 至于过渡安排， ...

Group 1: Silver Market Overview - International silver closed at $72.62 per ounce, up 1.91%, with a high of $74.54 and a low of $71.27 [1] - Analysts believe that silver could see significant price increases due to supply tightness in key regions, potentially leading to price shocks by 2026 [1] Group 2: Recent Developments in Venezuela - The U.S. launched a surprise military operation against Venezuela, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores [2] - The U.S. Department of Justice unsealed a new indictment against Maduro, accusing him of drug trafficking and other serious crimes [2] - President Trump stated that Maduro has long engaged in violent and subversive activities that threaten U.S. security and regional stability [2] Group 3: Silver Price Projections - Maintaining above short-term moving averages could keep upward targets in focus, potentially leading to resistance near $80.00 [3] - A breakout from the current channel could help silver prices approach the historical high of $85.87 set on December 29 [3] - On the downside, silver may test immediate support at $71.54, followed by the lower boundary of the ascending channel around $70.00 [3]

Core Insights - Jietu Automobile achieved a significant milestone by selling 62,259 vehicles in 2025, marking a 9.5% year-on-year growth and surpassing the 600,000 sales mark for the first time [1][2] - The company has sold over 2.15 million vehicles globally, covering 100 countries and regions, and ranks first among Chinese SUV brands in 16 countries [1][2] Group 1: Sales Performance - In December 2025, Jietu Automobile sold 48,851 new vehicles, contributing to a total annual sales of 622,590 vehicles [1] - The Jietu X70 series, a foundational model for the brand, has achieved over 1 million cumulative sales globally in 87 months [5] - The Jietu X70L, a new luxury seven-seat SUV, continues to build on the brand's success, establishing a new benchmark for value in Chinese family SUVs [5] Group 2: Strategic Development - Jietu's "Travel+" strategy has proven effective in navigating industry changes, leading to high-quality growth and establishing the brand as a mainstream player [2] - The company is the only Chinese automotive brand to achieve cumulative sales of 2 million vehicles in 7 years, highlighting its rapid growth [7] - Jietu's electric hybrid model, the Jietu Shanhai, has also seen significant success, with annual sales surpassing 100,000 units, a 14.3% increase year-on-year [11] Group 3: Product Innovation and User Engagement - Jietu has developed a comprehensive product matrix that caters to various travel needs, including family and off-road travel [13] - The company has created a "Travel+" ecosystem that includes thousands of ecological products, high-quality camping sites, and global rest stations to meet diverse user demands [13] - Jietu has successfully organized user experience events such as the "Travel+ Conference" and "Box Conference," enhancing user engagement and brand value [17] Group 4: Future Outlook - Looking ahead to 2026, Jietu plans to deepen its "Travel+" strategy and accelerate its global expansion, aiming to promote the "Travel+" lifestyle on a broader stage [20]

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