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英法德对伊朗发出最后通牒:月底前还不谈判,就恢复制裁!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-13 04:17
Group 1 - The E3 countries (France, Germany, and the UK) have informed the UN that they are prepared to trigger the restoration of sanctions against Iran unless negotiations regarding its nuclear program are resumed with the US and the international community [2][3] - The E3 has proposed an extension of the deadline to avoid the automatic restoration of sanctions, stating that if Iran does not reach a diplomatic solution by August 2025, they are ready to initiate the "snapback" mechanism [2][3] - The E3 foreign ministers emphasized that the legal basis for re-imposing sanctions is clear, as Iran has deliberately deviated from its commitments under the nuclear agreement since 2019 [3] Group 2 - Iran has not responded to the E3's proposal for an extension, and the E3 believes that a limited extension would provide more time for negotiations aimed at reaching a new nuclear agreement while retaining the ability to re-impose sanctions to prevent nuclear proliferation [3] - Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian has stated that there is no reason to negotiate with the European countries if they cannot lift sanctions, indicating a hardened stance following recent conflicts with Israel [4] - Iran announced a suspension of cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) after a conflict with Israel, which raises concerns about the future of nuclear oversight and negotiations [4]
专家警告:历史最差月份+散户离场,美股9月“绞杀”恐至!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-13 03:31
处理着超过三分之一美国零售股票交易的城堡证券公司在上周的一份客户报告中表示,散户在过去三个 月里一直保持着持续的看涨情绪。 散户交易者们度过了一个火爆的夏天,一些人的表现甚至超过了专业的基金经理,并让一些对冲基金遭 受重创,但这种主导地位可能是短暂的。 如果历史趋势重演,散户活动的季节性回落可能会与9月份的波动性激增相撞,从而威胁到他们曾帮助 推动的市场反弹。 尽管没有什么能比得上2021年的模因股狂热,但散户交易者们一直在享受一个繁忙且利润丰厚的夏天。 据这家总部位于迈阿密的交易巨头的股票及股票衍生品策略主管Scott Rubner称,自4月份以来的16周 中,散户有14周在净买入股票,而期权购买也已连续14周看涨。 他们的乐观得到了回报。自6月份以来,标普500指数已上涨8%,自4月初的低点以来上涨了近30%。纳 斯达克指数的表现甚至更好。而且,推动涨势的不仅仅是与人工智能相关的公司,散户交易者还引领了 一轮所谓"垃圾股"的反弹,这些股票的商业前景存疑,例如实体零售商科尔士(Kohl's)、美国鹰 (American Eagle)和Krispy Kreme。 相比之下,许多专业的基金经理都踏空了这轮股市反 ...
OpenAI挺进脑机接口赛道,奥尔特曼与马斯克上演新一轮对决
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-13 03:24
Group 1 - OpenAI and its co-founder Sam Altman are backing a new company, Merge Labs, which aims to compete directly with Elon Musk's Neuralink in the brain-computer interface space [1][2] - Merge Labs is raising funds at a valuation of $850 million, with expectations that most of the funding will come from OpenAI's venture capital team [1][2] - Altman will co-found Merge Labs but will not be involved in day-to-day management, while Alex Blania, who leads the digital identity project World, will also be involved [1][2] Group 2 - The project is positioned to leverage recent breakthroughs in artificial intelligence to create more efficient and practical brain-machine interfaces [1][3] - Neuralink, founded by Musk in 2016, is currently leading the brain-machine interface sector and is conducting clinical trials for severely paralyzed patients [2] - Neuralink recently completed a $650 million funding round at a valuation of $9 billion, with investors including Sequoia Capital and Thrive Capital [2] Group 3 - Altman has previously speculated that the concept of "merging" human and machine could become a reality as early as 2025, with recent technological advancements suggesting that high-bandwidth brain-machine interfaces may soon be achievable [2][3] - The emergence of companies like Merge Labs and existing players like Neuralink could potentially revolutionize human-technology interaction and may even lead humanity towards a "singularity" [3]
A股盘前市场要闻速递(2025-08-13)
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-13 02:47
Group 1: Government Policies - The Ministry of Finance and eight other departments announced that service industry operators can enjoy interest subsidies on loans up to 1 million yuan, with a subsidy rate of 1% for a maximum of one year [1] - The Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China, and the Financial Regulatory Bureau issued a plan for fiscal interest subsidies on personal consumption loans, covering various categories including household vehicles and education [1] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration clarified that income from express delivery services will be subject to VAT as "collection and delivery services" [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - A closed-door meeting of key dry-process lithium battery separator manufacturers reached several agreements to address issues like price competition and overcapacity, emphasizing price discipline and industry cooperation [2] - The Ministry of Commerce announced a preliminary ruling on anti-dumping investigations into imported canola seeds from Canada, confirming that dumping has caused substantial harm to the domestic canola industry [3] Group 3: Company News - Guizhou Moutai reported a net profit of 45.403 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, an increase of 8.89% year-on-year, with revenue rising by 9.10% to 89.389 billion yuan [3] - Cambrian Technology refuted rumors regarding large orders and revenue forecasts, urging investors to rely on official announcements [4] - Shangwei New Materials disclosed that its major shareholder reduced its stake to 5% by selling 1.5844 million shares [5] - China Shipbuilding announced a buyback price of 30.02 yuan per share for dissenting shareholders, with the stock closing at 38.50 yuan, indicating a premium of 28.25% [6] - Hengxin Oriental is under investigation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for alleged information disclosure violations [7] - Quzhou Development plans to acquire 95.46% of Xian Dao Electric Science and Technology, with the stock set to resume trading [8] - ST Shengtun will change its stock name to Shengtun Mining and remove risk warnings, allowing for a 10% trading limit [9] - Grand Microelectronics acquired 100% of LUCEDA NV to expand into silicon photonics technology [10] - Sifang Precision plans to reduce its stake by up to 2.25% due to shareholder funding needs [11] - Shaanxi Huada intends to purchase 100% of Huajing Microelectronics through a share issuance [12] - Hailanxin plans to acquire 100% of Hailan Huanyu for 1.051 billion yuan, constituting a major asset restructuring [12] - Ganfeng Lithium is collaborating with LAR to develop a lithium product production line with an annual capacity of 150,000 tons [13] - Yuhua Tian clarified that a minor stake acquisition by Zhiyuan Innovation does not significantly impact its operations [14]
白宫为“特普会”降温:与普京会晤是“倾听之旅”
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-13 01:54
AI播客:换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 白宫新闻秘书莱维特表示,美国总统特朗普与俄罗斯总统普京的会晤将是一次"倾听之旅",华盛顿方面 无法预测任何特定的结果。 白宫已淡化外界对美俄总统周五峰会达成和平协议的期望,并表示任何协议都必须有乌克兰的参与。 "这次会议的目标是,在会议结束后能更好地理解我们如何才能结束这场冲突,"她说。"这次双边会晤 是这场两方冲突中,(美国与)一方之间的双边会晤,对吧?你需要两个国家都同意一项协议,"莱维 特补充道。 她确认,特朗普将前往阿拉斯加最大的城市安克雷奇,美国总统将与普京举行"一对一"会晤,但未提供 峰会的更多细节。 两名白宫官员表示,这是自2021年以来的首次美俄峰会,具体会面地点将是阿拉斯加安克雷奇的埃尔门 多夫空军基地。 白宫发表此番评论之际,正值乌克兰和整个欧洲普遍担忧,特朗普会按照俄罗斯的条件达成一项基辅无 法接受的协议。 周二,在峰会之前,俄罗斯军队正向煤矿重镇多布罗皮利亚附近推进,这是普京全面控制乌克兰顿涅茨 克地区行动的一部分。乌克兰军方派遣了预备役部队,称他们正在与俄罗斯士兵进行艰难的战斗。 当被问及俄罗斯有兴趣将谈判扩大到关于缓和与美国 ...
美联储主席热门人选布拉德:关税不会导致通胀,已和贝森特交谈
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-13 00:54
AI播客:换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 "仍然完全没有任何由关税引发的通胀的证据,"白宫经济顾问委员会主席米兰说。"很多曾预期……前 景黯淡的人,他们的预测就是没有成为现实,并且继续没有成为现实。" 音频由扣子空间生成 前圣路易斯联储主席布拉德周二表示,他上周已就白宫物色新任美联储主席一事与美国财政部长贝森特 进行了交谈,并告诉贝森特他"乐于以他们希望的任何方式推进。" 美国总统特朗普是美联储主席鲍威尔的坦率批评者,后者的任期将持续到明年5月中旬。特朗普希望挑 选一位同意美联储应该降息观点的继任者。 贝森特正在建立一份候选人名单,其中还包括国家经济委员会主任哈塞特、前美联储理事沃什、现任美 联储理事沃勒,以及前总统小布什的经济顾问马克·萨默林。 布拉德表达了自己对降低利率的支持,他在接受采访时表示,关税不会导致通胀,但似乎确实在今年减 缓了经济,并预测美联储将接受这一观点。 他还表示,他不会对货币政策"教条化",并指出在2022年和2023年通胀急剧上升时,他也是主张大幅提 高利率的人之一。 布拉德表示,"如果我们能为成功做好准备,我就会接受这份工作:如果我们能保护美元的价值……那 将随着时间的推移给我们带来更 ...
金十数据全球财经早餐 | 2025年8月13日
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-12 23:06
Group 1: Economic Indicators - The total amount of U.S. debt has exceeded $37 trillion for the first time [8] - The U.S. July CPI year-on-year remained flat at 2.7%, while the core CPI year-on-year rose to a five-month high of 3.1% [8] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary suggested the Federal Reserve should consider a 50 basis point rate cut in September [8] Group 2: Corporate News - China Evergrande Group announced it will cancel its listing status starting from August 25 [14] - Guizhou Moutai reported a net profit of 45.403 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.89% [14] - Cambrian reported that rumors regarding large orders for substrates from a certain manufacturer are untrue [14] Group 3: Market Performance - WTI crude oil fell by 1.3% to $62.45 per barrel, while Brent crude oil decreased by 0.85% to $65.70 per barrel [3][5] - Major U.S. stock indices rose, with the Dow Jones up 1.10%, S&P 500 up 1.13%, and Nasdaq up 1.39% [3][5] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed up 0.25%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.38% [4]
“黄金关税”风波落幕,金价将安心开启新一轮涨势?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-12 14:46
Group 1 - The U.S. President Trump confirmed that gold will receive a new tariff exemption, leading market observers to predict a new surge in gold prices [1] - Following the announcement, gold futures reached a historical high, with BNP Paribas Fortis' chief strategist Philippe Gijsels stating that gold prices could exceed $4000 per ounce [1] - UBS forecasts that the spot gold price will rise to $3500 per ounce by the end of the year, representing an increase of approximately 4.5% from current levels [1] Group 2 - Recent disputes over the classification of gold imports indicate potential confusion within the Trump administration regarding tariff declarations and their execution [2] - Despite the clarification on tariff exemptions, the prior confusion may have lasting effects on investor sentiment towards gold [2] - Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh noted that the market had already anticipated the tariff exemption, as evidenced by the narrowing of the EFP (Exchange for Physical) spread between New York futures and London spot prices [2][3]
特朗普再催鲍威尔降息,还威胁诉讼追责!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-12 14:32
Core Viewpoint - Former President Trump is calling for immediate interest rate cuts and criticizing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for being slow in monetary policy decisions, claiming it has caused "immeasurable damage" [1][5]. Group 1: Criticism of the Federal Reserve - Trump labeled Powell as "Too Late" and suggested that the Federal Reserve's management of a construction project cost $3 billion instead of the estimated $50 million for renovations [2][4]. - Trump has indicated he is considering a major lawsuit against Powell related to mismanagement of the Federal Reserve's construction projects [2][4]. - Despite his criticisms, Trump claims the economy is strong enough to have "overcome Powell and the complacent committee" [5]. Group 2: Economic Commentary - Trump argues that tariffs have not led to inflation and that consumers are not bearing the costs, stating that tariffs have brought in trillions of dollars in revenue [6]. - He criticized top Wall Street banks for their pessimistic forecasts regarding the impact of tariffs, specifically targeting Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon [6]. - The recent U.S. CPI report showed mixed results, with overall CPI growth lower than expected, but indicators of potential inflation rising at the fastest annual rate in five months [5]. Group 3: Federal Reserve's Future Actions - Analysts generally believe that the recent inflation increase may not be sufficient to prevent the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates in the upcoming September meeting [5]. - Trump's recent nominee for the Federal Reserve Board, Milan, expressed optimism about future inflation performance [7].
美联储不信数据操纵阴谋论,降息已经箭在弦上?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-12 13:20
Core Viewpoint - The recent employment report, which indicated signs of labor market weakness, has become a significant reason for the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut, aligning with President Trump's desire for lower interest rates to reduce debt costs [2][3]. Group 1: Employment Data and Economic Indicators - The July employment report has been interpreted as evidence of economic slowdown, with concerns raised about the labor market's vitality [2]. - Recent comments from policymakers indicate a shift in their assessment of economic risks due to the slowdown in employment growth observed in May, June, and July [3]. - The probability of a rate cut during the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting is perceived to be over 85%, contingent on forthcoming economic data [3]. Group 2: Labor Statistics Bureau (BLS) and Data Integrity - The appointment of E.J. Antoni as the new BLS director has raised concerns regarding the credibility of data that influences interest rates and stock prices [4]. - Despite recent criticisms of the BLS, the Federal Reserve maintains a cautious approach and has mechanisms to cross-verify data from various sources [5][6]. - The Federal Reserve utilizes alternative data sources, including private data and surveys, to assess economic conditions, ensuring a comprehensive understanding beyond BLS data [6][7]. Group 3: Federal Reserve's Data Collection and Analysis - The Federal Reserve has its own channels for data collection, including surveys of corporate executives and informal interviews, which contribute to its economic assessments [7]. - The Minneapolis Fed President emphasized that any attempts to manipulate BLS data would ultimately be ineffective, as real economic conditions will be felt by the public [7].