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预计中际旭创2027年净利润250亿元遭质疑 国盛证券分析师怒怼买方大佬
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 06:24
近期,买方大佬、荒原投资董事长凌鹏因质疑市场预测"中际旭创2027年的利润超过250亿元",遭到国盛证券研究所一名通信行业分析师怒怼"买你的白酒去 吧",引发广泛关注。 9月7日,国盛证券通信行业分析师团队给出了中际旭创2025年度半年报的最新点评。报告中,该团队进一步上调了中际旭创的盈利预测,预计2025-2027年 归母净利润依次为95.1亿元、154.9亿元、198.2亿元,对应PE依次为47.5倍、29.2倍、22.8倍,维持"买入"评级。 9月8日,凌鹏再发文《君子固穷》。他表示,就我个人而言,经历了"目瞪口呆—患得患失—痛苦煎熬—冷眼旁观"的过程。最后得出结论,君子固穷,只按 照自己的本心和本分做事,做正确的事大概率会有好结果,但做正确的事不是单纯为了好结果,而是本应如此。 公开信息显示,凌鹏在买方和卖方都有丰富的任职经历。2006年至2013年,他曾在申银万国担任策略主管、首席策略分析师,并三次获评《新财富》策略分 析师第一名;2013年至2015年,任职于东吴基金,担任研究部副总经理、专户投资部副总经理以及基金经理等职务;2015年至2016年,任职于兴业全球基 金,担任研究部副总经理、投资专 ...
腾讯比游戏厂商,更需要游戏大模型
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 05:46
Group 1: AI Tool Launch - Tencent Games has launched an AI creation tool called VISVISE, aimed at enhancing the efficiency of game art production across four major pipelines: animation production, 3D model production, intelligent NPCs, and digital asset management [2] - The tool significantly improves efficiency in various stages of game creation, such as skin binding, which can be reduced from 1-3.5 days per item to over 8 times faster with VISVISE [2] - The core value of VISVISE is to balance quality and efficiency in game production, addressing the industry's need for cost reduction and efficiency improvement [2] Group 2: Revenue Challenges - Tencent's flagship game, Honor of Kings, has experienced a revenue decline, with June's income dropping to $143 million, a nearly 25% decrease month-over-month [3] - Despite maintaining a daily active user count of over 100 million, the game's revenue growth shows significant uncertainty, with no substantial increase in user scale since November 2020 [4] - The revenue for Honor of Kings fell from $2.22 billion in 2022 to $1.48 billion in 2023, with a slight recovery projected for 2024 at $1.87 billion, indicating volatility in earnings [5] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Tencent faces increasing competition from emerging companies like miHoYo and Eagle Dynamics, which have successfully launched popular titles such as Genshin Impact and Arknights, respectively [6][7] - The contrasting strategies between Tencent's established titles and the innovative approaches of competitors highlight a potential stagnation in Tencent's game development capabilities [8] - miHoYo's Genshin Impact generated $4 billion in revenue in 2023, showcasing the effectiveness of its global content strategy, while Tencent's reliance on traditional revenue models is under scrutiny [9] Group 4: International Expansion - Tencent has invested approximately 978.67 billion yuan in 33 overseas game companies since 2012, indicating a strategy to bolster its game business through international partnerships [9] - The company has successfully acquired rights to popular games like CrossFire and Dungeon & Fighter, which have contributed significantly to its portfolio [9] - However, there are concerns that relying heavily on acquisitions may lead to a lack of focus and potential inefficiencies in Tencent's international strategy [10][11] Group 5: Future Considerations - Tencent must reconsider its dependency on social and channel strategies as it introduces VISVISE to the market, aiming to break free from past reliance [12] - The company faces a critical decision on whether to adapt to changing market dynamics or risk becoming a stable yet unremarkable cash cow [12]
因信披违规收到警示函,华英农业回应:正积极整改、力求杜绝类似问题再次发生
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 05:42
Core Viewpoint - Huaying Agriculture has received administrative regulatory measures from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) for two violations of information disclosure [2][4]. Group 1: Violations of Information Disclosure - The first violation involves the delayed review and disclosure of an asset transfer agreement signed on January 15, 2020, between Huaying Agriculture's subsidiary and another company, which was only reviewed and disclosed on April 15, 2022 [3]. - The second violation pertains to the failure to follow the review process and disclose the abandonment of the right of first refusal for a 49% equity transfer in a subsidiary, which occurred in March 2023 [4]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The CSRC's Henan Regulatory Bureau has mandated Huaying Agriculture to correct these violations and issued warning letters to several individuals, requiring a written rectification report within 30 days [4]. Group 3: Company Background and Previous Violations - Huaying Agriculture, established in 1991, is a comprehensive food processing and down production enterprise, listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since December 16, 2009 [4]. - This is not the first instance of violations; the company received a notice for false records in its 2020 annual report in November 2022 and faced regulatory measures for inaccurate performance forecasts in August 2023 [4]. Group 4: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Huaying Agriculture reported a revenue of 2.071 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 4.89%, and a net loss of 20.63 million yuan, indicating a shift from profit to loss [5]. - The decline in performance is attributed to intensified competition and weak consumer demand in the meat duck industry, leading to lower market prices and pressure on gross margins, as well as a significant drop in investment income from the poultry seedling market [5]. Group 5: Strategic Responses - The company is actively implementing corrective measures and optimizing operational strategies to achieve annual business goals [6]. - Huaying Agriculture aims to enhance its market presence by increasing overseas shipments by 61.53% year-on-year and focusing on high-end and innovative functional down products to mitigate price fluctuations [6]. - In the food business, the company is transitioning from scale expansion to high value-added transformation, emphasizing internal growth, external exploration through partnerships or acquisitions, and focusing on high-margin product categories [6][7].
9月16日早间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 04:12
Group 1 - Wuzhou Transportation's controlling shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company by investing between 85 million and 170 million yuan [1] - Blue Dai Technology received approval from the Anhui State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission for a change in control [1] - Delin Hai's director plans to reduce his holdings by up to 505,600 shares, representing no more than 0.4474% of the total share capital [1] Group 2 - Rihua Chemical's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 1.29% of the total share capital, equating to 5,996,900 shares [2] - Haili Wind Power's general manager intends to reduce holdings by up to 200,000 shares, representing 0.92% of the total share capital [3] Group 3 - China Merchants Shekou elected Zhu Wenkai as the new chairman following the resignation of Jiang Tiefeng [4] - Jingwei Hengrun's director plans to reduce holdings by up to 1 million shares, which is 0.8336% of the total share capital [6] Group 4 - Shanghai Construction clarified that recent media reports regarding the Koka gold mine are based on previously disclosed information [7] - Puran Technology is planning to acquire a controlling stake in a semiconductor company, enhancing its product offerings [8] Group 5 - Zhongchuang Environmental Protection's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 2% of the total share capital, equating to 7,709,800 shares [10] - Yantian Port announced a cash dividend of 0.88 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 458 million yuan [11] Group 6 - Aishida's controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 3% of the total share capital, equating to 10,219,200 shares [13] - Huaguang New Materials' shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 2.9972% of the total share capital, equating to 2.7 million shares [14] Group 7 - Yantian Port's wholly-owned subsidiary is introducing a strategic investor through a capital increase of 132.3275 million yuan [15] - Longpan Technology's subsidiary signed a procurement agreement with CATL for lithium iron phosphate cathode materials, with a total sales value exceeding 6 billion yuan [16] Group 8 - China Pacific Insurance announced a transfer of state-owned equity involving 55.59 million shares, representing 0.58% of the total share capital [17][18] - Longxing Technology's major shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 1% of the total share capital, equating to 5,032,800 shares [18] Group 9 - Guangda Tongchuang's shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 1% of the total share capital, equating to 106,750 shares [19] - Qusleep Technology's multiple shareholders plan to collectively reduce holdings by up to 4.88% of the total share capital [19]
9.16犀牛财经早报:上半年非货币基金保有规模首破10万亿 部分民营银行大额存单利率超2%
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 01:51
Group 1: Fund Distribution and Sales Fee Reform - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has solicited opinions on the draft regulations for managing sales fees of publicly offered securities investment funds, which may impact commercial banks' role in fund distribution [1] - Banks are expected to prefer large fund managers and equity funds that demonstrate stable performance and sound management due to the focus on personal customer service and encouragement of long-term investment in the draft [1] - The reform aims to enhance banks' professional service capabilities and promote the healthy development of the public fund industry [1] Group 2: Fund Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, the total scale of non-monetary funds held by the top 100 fund distribution institutions exceeded 10 trillion yuan, reaching 10.2 trillion yuan, a 6.95% increase from the previous half [1] - The combined scale of equity funds held by these institutions was 5.14 trillion yuan, reflecting a 5.89% quarter-on-quarter growth [1] - Ant Group continues to lead in equity fund holdings, with significant growth in non-monetary funds and stock index funds, while major brokerages dominate the index product sector [1] Group 3: Interest Rates on Large Deposits - Several private banks have launched large-denomination certificates of deposit with interest rates exceeding 2%, contrasting with state-owned and joint-stock banks where rates are generally in the "1" range [2] - These high-rate products are often limited in availability and sell out quickly, indicating a strategy for customer acquisition by private banks [2] - Industry insiders suggest that this approach is a temporary measure and may not be sustainable in the long term [2] Group 4: New Energy Vehicle Insurance - The high growth and high claims phenomenon in new energy vehicle insurance is changing, with leading insurers moving towards profitability while improving the claims ratio [2] - The new energy vehicle insurance market is expected to remain a key growth area for the auto insurance sector, although achieving overall profitability will take time [2] Group 5: AI Chip Market Dynamics - Domestic chip manufacturers are seizing the market opportunity created by the instability of Nvidia's chip supply, with significant investments from companies like Alibaba and Baidu [2] - The development prospects for domestic AI inference chips are considered promising, although ongoing efforts in ecosystem development are necessary [2] Group 6: Cloud Infrastructure and AI Demand - Oracle's recent performance, highlighted by a 359% year-on-year increase in remaining performance obligations (RPO) to $455 billion, signals strong demand for AI inference computing [3] - Nearly 60% of this growth is attributed to a $300 billion contract with OpenAI, indicating a clear signal of the industry's need for computing power [3] - The substantial order enhances confidence across the industry to invest in AI and cloud sectors [3] Group 7: Construction Industry Performance - The construction sector experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, with revenues down 5.66% and net profits down 8.89% year-on-year [4] - Despite the downturn, many institutions are optimistic about potential recovery opportunities in the second half of the year [4] Group 8: Tencent's Bond Issuance - Tencent is promoting its first bond issuance in four years, seeking to issue offshore RMB-denominated notes with maturities of 5, 10, and 30 years at initial guidance rates of 2.6%, 3%, and 3.6% respectively [4] Group 9: AI Chip Efficiency - A new optical chip developed by American scientists can perform AI tasks with energy efficiency improvements of 10 to 100 times compared to traditional chips, potentially alleviating the high energy demands of AI applications [4] Group 10: Financial Transactions and Corporate Actions - Yunfeng Financial plans to issue 1.91 billion new shares at a price of HKD 6.1 per share, aiming to raise approximately HKD 11.7 billion [5] - Dongcheng Pharmaceutical is planning to spin off its subsidiary for a public listing in Hong Kong, with no substantial legal obstacles identified [6] - The company Biyuan Quantum has initiated IPO counseling for its A-share listing, focusing on quantum computing technology [7] - United Precision intends to acquire a 51% stake in Chengdu Mite Aviation Manufacturing for no more than 380 million yuan, aiming to expand its presence in the aerospace defense sector [8]
抖音生活服务组织调整 涂晴接管市场与达人运营
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 11:00
原北部大区负责人涂晴现转任抖音生活服务市场部与达人运营负责人,全面统筹市场策略与创作者生态 建设。公开信息显示,涂晴于2015年加入今日头条,曾任全国直营分公司总经理、巨量引擎渠道副总裁 等职务。 据多家媒体报道,近日,抖音生活服务完成了一次重要组织架构调整,涉及多个核心业务部门的高层人 事变动。此次调整于内部全员会议上正式宣布,主要涉及北部大区、市场部及达人运营三大业务板块。 旭凯将接任北部大区负责人的职务,直接向浦燕子汇报工作。原市场部负责人苏怡然卸任,其职务由涂 晴兼管。 值得关注的是,达人运营负责人黄毅的汇报线发生了调整,未来将向涂晴汇报。公开资料显示,黄毅本 科就读于电子科技大学,最早公开经历是加入人人网,担任资深产品经理。 ...
9月15日晚间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 10:34
Group 1 - Yihau New Materials plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 1% of the company's total shares, amounting to 165,500 shares, due to personal funding needs [1] - Fuxing Pharmaceutical's subsidiary has received approval for a new indication for its drug, which is used in the treatment of certain types of breast cancer [1][2] - Shantui Co. has submitted its H-share issuance application to the China Securities Regulatory Commission, which has been accepted [3] Group 2 - Sierte's chairman plans to increase his shareholding by an amount between 3 million to 6 million yuan [4] - Borui Pharmaceutical's BGM0504 tablet has received approval for clinical trials in overweight and obese adults [5] - Ganyue Expressway reported vehicle toll service revenue of 349 million yuan for August [6] Group 3 - Chip Microelectronics has submitted its H-share issuance application to the China Securities Regulatory Commission, which has been accepted [7] - Lingrui Pharmaceutical's director plans to reduce his shareholding by up to 200,000 shares, representing 0.0353% of the total shares [8] - Jiahu Energy has adjusted its share repurchase price limit to 11.63 yuan per share [10] Group 4 - Spring Airlines reported a year-on-year increase of 12.23% in passenger turnover for August [11] - Kaida has received an invention patent for a self-calibrating sensor technology [12] - Chuanheng Co. has obtained a new utility model patent aimed at improving industrial waste utilization [14] Group 5 - Huashi Technology received a government subsidy of 2.21 million yuan, accounting for 22.71% of its latest audited net profit [15] - Shanghai Pharmaceuticals' controlling shareholder plans to increase its H-share holdings by up to 74 million shares [16] - Hongrun Construction has won a bid for a significant segment of the Shanghai Metro Line 21 project, valued at 126 million yuan [18] Group 6 - Sanfangxiang plans to invest 100 million yuan to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary focused on green technology [19] - Lao Fengxiang's subsidiaries plan to jointly invest in luxury goods sales and gold refining companies [20][21] - China Eastern Airlines reported an 8.72% year-on-year increase in passenger turnover for August [22] Group 7 - Inner Mongolia First Machinery has signed a railway freight car procurement contract worth 186 million yuan [22] - Jiuqiang Bio has received five invention patents related to diagnostic reagents [24] - Longmag Technology plans to invest 210 million yuan in its second phase project in Vietnam [25] Group 8 - Galaxy Magnetics plans to acquire 100% equity of Kyoto Longtai, with its stock suspended for trading [26] - Jinlong Co.'s controlling shareholder will have 30 million shares auctioned [27] - Haishi Co.'s controlling shareholder has released the pledge on 29.97 million shares [28] Group 9 - Qiu Tianwei plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 1.17% of the total shares [29] - Xiaocheng Technology's directors plan to reduce their shareholding by a total of 0.08% [30] - Victory Co. reported that Sunshine Life Insurance has reduced its shareholding by 4.4 million shares [31] Group 10 - Xindong Technology plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.156 yuan per share [32] - Huaqin Technology plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.13 yuan per share [33] - Kexing Pharmaceutical's controlling shareholder intends to transfer 5% of the company's shares [35] Group 11 - Guojin Securities has completed the repayment of its second short-term financing bond for 1.0205 billion yuan [38] - Chunhui Intelligent Control's application for asset acquisition has been accepted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [39] - Chaohongji has submitted its H-share issuance application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [40] Group 12 - Tianyue Advanced has fully exercised its over-allotment option, involving 716,180 H-shares [40] - Chengfeng Technology's vice president has resigned due to internal adjustments [41] - Yingpais plans to establish a 100 million yuan technology sports industry investment fund [43]
当规模光环褪色,价值银行时代来临
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 09:09
Core Insights - The banking industry is facing common pressures such as narrowing net interest margins, weak asset growth, and rising credit costs, leading to a shift from scale expansion to quality and efficiency-focused growth [1][2] - Beijing Bank exemplifies this trend by focusing on differentiated and specialized business development, transitioning from scale expansion to quality dividends [1][2] Industry Overview - The banking sector is maintaining a stable operation with key indicators such as non-performing loan ratios, provision coverage ratios, and capital adequacy ratios showing overall stability and improvement [2] - Regulatory requirements emphasize the need for banks to maintain sound operations, making high-quality development the future focus of the industry [2] Beijing Bank's Transformation - Beijing Bank is transitioning its business structure from a company-centric model to a balanced approach between corporate and retail banking, aiming to establish a "second growth curve" [2] - As of mid-2025, Beijing Bank's retail revenue reached 11.081 billion yuan, with retail funds exceeding 1.3 trillion yuan, growing at a rate of 7.28% since the beginning of the year [2] Asset Quality Management - Beijing Bank emphasizes a balanced approach to credit management, optimizing credit structure and enhancing the quality of non-performing loan resolution [3] - As of mid-2025, the non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.30%, a decrease of 0.01 percentage points since the beginning of the year, indicating strong asset quality [3] Strategic Focus Areas - The bank is pursuing a strategy of "five distinctive banks," integrating stable management principles into specialized areas such as children's finance, elderly finance, and technology finance [4] - This strategy aims to create competitive barriers while injecting new momentum into stable operations, achieving a balance between stability and innovation [4] Innovative Financial Services - Beijing Bank is developing a comprehensive financial service system for children, hosting 30,000 events in the first half of 2025 and collaborating with local organizations to enhance child-friendly city initiatives [5] - The bank offers a full spectrum of services for individuals and enterprises, including tailored financial solutions for different life stages and business needs [5] Talent and AI Integration - The bank is building an integrated talent financial service system, providing services to governments and educational institutions, with over 24,000 "Talent Cards" issued and nearly 1.6 billion yuan in loans disbursed [6] - Beijing Bank is also advancing its AI strategy, establishing a robust AI framework to drive digital transformation and enhance financial services [6] Dividend Policy - Beijing Bank has a strong track record of dividend payments, with a total cash dividend of 71.533 billion yuan since its listing in 2007, reflecting management's confidence in the company's future [6] Conclusion - The banking industry is undergoing significant transformation, with differentiation and specialization being key to high-quality development [7] - Beijing Bank's focus on the "five distinctive banks" strategy, along with its commitment to asset quality and risk control, positions it well for future growth and serves as a model for industry transformation [7]
9月15日早间重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 05:03
Group 1 - Dashi Intelligent signed a contract worth 23.86 million yuan for the Xiaomi Wuhan Phase II smart project, providing a comprehensive smart space solution [1] - ST Tian Sheng's subsidiary passed the consistency evaluation for sodium bicarbonate injection, used for treating metabolic acidosis and certain drug poisonings [1] - Yongyue Technology's actual controller Chen Xiang was released on bail due to allegations of information disclosure violations, while the company's operations remain normal [2] Group 2 - Jushen Co. experienced a stock price fluctuation with a cumulative increase of over 20% over three trading days, while also planning to reduce repurchased shares [2][3] - Shanghai Airport reported a 6.9% year-on-year increase in passenger throughput at Pudong International Airport, totaling 7.9471 million passengers in August [3][4] - Jianlong Micro-Nano announced plans for shareholders to reduce up to 3% of company shares due to fund expiration and exit arrangements [5][6] Group 3 - Yunyong Technology's shareholders plan to reduce up to 2.99% of company shares due to personal funding needs [6] - Zitian Tui's stock entered a delisting arrangement period, expected to last 15 trading days [7] - Pruis's shareholders plan to reduce up to 3% of company shares for personal funding needs [9] Group 4 - Dayilong's shareholders plan to reduce up to 3% of company shares for personal financial arrangements [10] - Yihua New Materials' shareholders plan to reduce up to 1% of company shares for personal funding needs [12] - Huibo Yuntong's controlling shareholder's affiliates plan to acquire a controlling stake in Baode Computer [13] Group 5 - Wanda Information's shareholders plan to reduce up to 3% of company shares for operational needs [14] - Jiafa Education's shareholders plan to reduce up to 3% of company shares for personal funding needs [15] - Guangkang Biochemical's shareholders plan to reduce up to 1.8% of company shares for personal funding needs [16] Group 6 - Yingxin Development's shareholders plan to reduce up to 0.67% of company shares due to bankruptcy asset disposal [18] - Weiye Co.'s shareholders plan to reduce a total of up to 2% of company shares [19] - Kelin Electric plans to raise up to 1.5 billion yuan through a private placement to supplement working capital [20]
9.15犀牛财经早报:科创主题基金成上涨“领头羊” “退市不免责”常态化执法格局成型
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 01:37
Group 1 - The performance of science and technology innovation theme funds has significantly increased, with an average net value growth of nearly 100% over the past year, particularly in the chip sector [1] - Regulatory authorities are intensifying their crackdown on financial fraud, with multiple companies receiving heavy fines, including cases exceeding 100 million yuan, indicating a strong stance against market misconduct [2] - The China Automobile Industry Association has issued a payment standard initiative for automotive suppliers, stipulating a maximum payment period of 60 days post-delivery and acceptance [3] Group 2 - The tourism market is experiencing a surge in demand as the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day approach, with significant increases in short-distance and charter travel bookings [3] - Solid-state battery technology is advancing, with semi-solid batteries already in use, but material cost control remains a key challenge for mass production [3] - A breakthrough in microchip manufacturing has been achieved by an international team, developing new materials and processes for producing smaller, faster, and lower-cost high-performance chips [3] Group 3 - The iPhone 17 series has seen significant price reductions on platforms like Pinduoduo, with discounts of nearly 1,000 yuan compared to Apple's official pricing [4] - Xi Bei has confirmed the payment of 60 million yuan in consulting fees to Hua Yu Hua for ten years of service, amidst ongoing discussions about the company's strategy [4] - Zhongyou Securities' Xinjiang branch has received a warning letter for failing to report internal disciplinary actions, reflecting compliance issues within the firm [5] Group 4 - CIFI Group has been served with a civil lawsuit for 812 million yuan related to its subsidiary's failure to complete land development as agreed [6] - Shanghai Botai Internet Technology has submitted post-hearing documents for its IPO application in Hong Kong, indicating approval from the exchange [6] - Qianjin Pharmaceutical has received regulatory approval for the acquisition of stakes in two subsidiaries, enhancing resource integration and control [7][8] Group 5 - Colin Electric plans to raise up to 1.5 billion yuan through a private placement to supplement its working capital [9] - U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with the S&P 500 down 0.05% and the Nasdaq up 0.44%, as investors remain cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting [10] - Tesla shares surged approximately 7.4%, marking its largest daily gain in nearly three months, while other stocks in the vaccine sector experienced significant declines [10]