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【库存指数】2025年10月中国汽车经销商库存预警指数为52.6%
乘联分会· 2025-11-05 08:35
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive market shows signs of improvement in October 2025, with the Vehicle Inventory Alert Index at 52.6%, indicating a better industry outlook despite some ongoing challenges for dealers [2][4]. Market Performance - October 2025 continued the peak season trend, driven by local subsidy policies, the National Day auto show, and year-end promotions, leading to a significant year-on-year increase in order volume in the first half of the month [4]. - Post-National Day, market demand experienced a cyclical pullback, with new orders slightly declining compared to late September, but the market remains resilient due to the impending expiration of the new energy vehicle purchase tax exemption [4]. - The overall market is expected to maintain a "golden September and silver October" pattern, supported by the release of fourth batch subsidy funds and various year-end benefits [4]. Dealer Conditions - Despite increased foot traffic and order volume, the operational conditions for dealers have not improved significantly, with some manufacturers raising sales targets for dealers, leading to inventory buildup and tight liquidity [4]. - The sub-indices for inventory, workforce, and operational conditions decreased month-on-month, while market demand and average daily sales indices increased [4]. Regional Analysis - The national index stands at 52.6%, with regional indices showing variability: North at 51.3%, East at 51.2%, West at 48.3%, and South at 56.0% [6]. Brand Performance - The index for luxury and imported brands, as well as joint venture brands, decreased month-on-month, while the index for domestic brands increased [7]. Future Market Outlook - Entering November, automakers and dealers are in a push to meet annual targets, with the "Double 11" shopping season, the Guangzhou Auto Show, and continued subsidies expected to enhance terminal demand [8]. - The impending end of the new energy vehicle purchase tax exemption is likely to encourage consumers to make purchases earlier, boosting fourth-quarter sales [8]. - The China Automobile Dealers Association advises dealers to rationally estimate actual market demand and enhance promotion of "trade-in and scrapping" policies to boost consumer confidence [8].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年11月4日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-04 08:43
Domestic News - Guangdong government offers one-time subsidies for personal consumers purchasing new energy passenger vehicles during the "Yue Enjoy Warm Winter" consumption season from November 2025 to March 2026 [6] - Geely and Renault Group sign a strategic cooperation agreement in Brazil, with Geely acquiring 26.4% of Renault Brazil, enhancing market access for electric vehicles in Latin America [7] - GAC Toyota launches new policies to address battery degradation, promising quick battery testing and replacement services, and sets high standards for battery performance [8] - Lynk & Co introduces a cross-year purchase tax subsidy plan, offering up to 15,000 yuan for customers affected by delivery delays [9][10] - Audi E5 Sportback announces a similar cross-year purchase tax subsidy plan, providing up to 15,000 yuan for delayed deliveries [11] - Autohome launches a new e-commerce platform, integrating various automotive services and addressing transparency issues in the car buying process [12] - BMW's geothermal energy project in China becomes operational, expected to reduce carbon emissions by 18,000 tons annually [13] - Amap announces the international version of AutoSDK, supporting navigation services for Chinese car brands in over 170 countries [14][15] International News - Japan aims to deploy 10,000 L4 autonomous vehicles by the fiscal year 2030, marking a significant push for advanced automotive technology [16] - Hyundai plans to establish a clean mobility hub in Malaysia, focusing on renewable energy projects [17] - Mazda showcases a new technology that can recycle up to 20% of vehicle emissions, aiming for net negative carbon emissions [18] - Honda announces plans to produce a new electric SUV in India by 2027, targeting cost competitiveness in the global market [20] Commercial Vehicles - Jiangsu Province's innovation center for new energy commercial vehicle power and control systems receives approval, focusing on key technological advancements [21] - A new 4MW ultra-fast charging solution is launched, enabling heavy trucks to charge in just 10 minutes, achieving "oil-electric same speed" [22] - Chery Commercial Vehicle's Zero Meter light truck achieves the highest market share in Shanghai [23] - Kaiwo Group and Hyundai unveil the first 8.5-meter hydrogen fuel cell bus, marking a significant step in zero-carbon transportation [24]
【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年10月29日-11月4日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-04 08:43
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the growth in China's electricity market transactions and the performance of the cultural and related industries, indicating a positive trend in revenue and market activity despite some challenges in manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors [2][5][12]. Electricity Market Transactions - In September 2025, the total electricity market transaction volume reached 573.2 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 9.8%. The provincial transactions accounted for 430.3 billion kilowatt-hours, growing by 7.2%, while inter-provincial transactions rose by 18.5% to 142.9 billion kilowatt-hours [3]. - From January to September 2025, the cumulative electricity market transaction volume was 49,239 billion kilowatt-hours, up 7.2% year-on-year, representing 63.4% of the total electricity consumption, an increase of 1.4 percentage points compared to the previous year [3]. - The long-term transaction volume was 47,234 billion kilowatt-hours, while spot transaction volume was 2,005 billion kilowatt-hours. Green electricity transactions reached 2,348 billion kilowatt-hours, marking a 40.6% increase [3]. Cultural and Related Industries - In the first three quarters of 2025, the revenue of large-scale cultural and related enterprises grew by 7.9% year-on-year, totaling 1,095.89 billion yuan, which is 0.5 percentage points faster than the growth rate in the first half of the year [6][7]. - The profit of cultural enterprises reached 90.93 billion yuan, reflecting a 14.2% increase, with a profit margin of 8.30%, up by 0.45 percentage points from the previous year [8]. - The cultural manufacturing sector generated 30,766 billion yuan, growing by 2.3%, while the cultural service sector saw a more significant increase of 11.9%, totaling 60,626 billion yuan [7][8]. - The eastern region's cultural enterprises reported revenues of 87,561 billion yuan, an 8.2% increase, while the central and western regions also experienced growth rates of 6.4% and 8.7%, respectively [8]. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - In October 2025, the manufacturing PMI was recorded at 49.0%, indicating a decline of 0.8 percentage points, suggesting a slowdown in manufacturing activity [12]. - The non-manufacturing business activity index was at 50.1%, showing a slight increase, indicating expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [17]. - The comprehensive PMI output index stood at 50.0%, reflecting stability in overall production and business activities [20].
【新能源】2025年10月新能源乘用车厂商批发销量快讯
乘联分会· 2025-11-04 08:43
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strong growth in the sales of new energy passenger vehicles in October, driven by favorable market conditions and the introduction of new electric models by major manufacturers [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - Despite having only 18 working days in October, the wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles still saw a slight month-on-month increase [1]. - October is traditionally a peak sales season, and the combination of the National Day holiday and expectations regarding the adjustment of the new energy vehicle purchase tax exemption policy has stimulated consumer demand [1]. - The overall wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles are projected to reach 1.61 million units in October, representing a year-on-year growth of 16% and a month-on-month growth of 7% [2]. Group 2: Manufacturer Performance - Major manufacturers such as Geely, Changan, and NIO achieved record high wholesale sales of new energy vehicles in October, contributing to a significant increase in overall market performance [2]. - The data indicates that manufacturers with wholesale sales exceeding 10,000 units accounted for 93.8% of the total new energy passenger vehicle sales in September [2]. - The cumulative wholesale sales from January to October are estimated to be 12.054 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30% [2]. Group 3: Sales Data - The top manufacturers in October included Xiaomu Auto with 40,000 units, SAIC Passenger Cars with 37,288 units, and Li Auto with 31,767 units, among others [6]. - The overall performance of second-tier manufacturers has also been notably strong, contributing to the upward trend in new energy vehicle sales [2].
【新能源周报】新能源汽车行业信息周报(2025年10月27日-11月2日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-04 08:43
Industry Information - The term "semi-solid battery" is proposed to be renamed as "solid-liquid battery" to avoid confusion with solid-state batteries, which are seen as the future direction due to their higher safety, energy density, lifespan, and faster charging capabilities [9] - Shanghai's Haitong International Automobile Terminal has achieved a record high automobile export volume of 1.109 million units in the first three quarters of this year [10] - The commercial insurance premium income for new energy vehicles exceeded 100 billion yuan, reaching 108.79 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 36.6% [11] - Anhui province ranked first in the country with an automobile production of 2.4044 million units in the first three quarters, significantly outpacing Guangdong [12] - The profit of the automobile manufacturing industry increased by 3.4% year-on-year from January to September [13] - The establishment of 10 measurement talent training centers has been approved, including those focused on new energy vehicles [13] - Huawei's HarmonyOS has delivered over 1 million units in just 43 months [13] - A new project for producing 1.6 million sets of chassis components has officially commenced [13] - The first automotive chip standard verification platform in China has been put into operation [16] - The demand for energy storage has significantly boosted the performance of the lithium battery industry in the third quarter [21] Policy Information - The National Energy Administration has released several important standards related to electric vehicle charging infrastructure [26] - Shenzhen's vehicle replacement subsidy policy will cease after October 28, 2025, due to budget constraints [30] - Guizhou province has implemented a management plan for electric vehicle charging infrastructure construction [30] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is promoting the development of green industries, including new energy vehicles [20] Company Information - Seres Group plans to go public in Hong Kong with a maximum issue price of 131.50 HKD per share, aiming for a total issuance scale of approximately 17 billion USD [43] - Nio has achieved over 90 million battery swaps, with an average daily swap volume exceeding 100,000 [43] - Xpeng Motors has entered the Baltic states and Cambodia markets [43] - BYD's new car registrations in Europe increased nearly fourfold in September [43] - The establishment of Zhejiang Li Auto Battery Co., Ltd. has been completed with a registered capital of 70 million yuan [24]
【行业政策】一周要闻回顾(2025年10月27日-11月2日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-03 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implementation of new national standards for electric vehicles and related components, emphasizing the importance of compliance for manufacturers and the timeline for enforcement of these standards [1][3][4]. Group 1: New Standards for Electric Vehicles - New inspection items have been added for electric vehicles, including energy consumption limits for passenger cars and safety requirements for battery swapping in commercial vehicles, with specific enforcement dates set for 2025 and 2026 [1][3]. - The standards for fuel consumption limits for heavy-duty commercial vehicles and passenger cars will be enforced starting from July 2025 and January 2026 respectively, with existing models required to comply by 2027 and 2028 [3][4]. Group 2: Safety and Testing Requirements - New standards for electric vehicle battery safety and crash protection have been established, requiring compliance from 2026 for new models and 2028 for existing models [4][5]. - The standards also include requirements for remote service and management systems for electric vehicles, ensuring comprehensive testing and compliance for manufacturers [4][5]. Group 3: Electromagnetic Compatibility Standards - The article highlights the importance of electromagnetic compatibility standards for vehicles, particularly in light of increasing electronic systems in modern vehicles, which are susceptible to electromagnetic interference [10][14]. - New standards are being proposed to address the electromagnetic environment and lightning effects on vehicles, with a focus on enhancing vehicle safety and performance in adverse conditions [10][14][13]. Group 4: Electronic Stability Control Systems - The article outlines the development of mandatory national standards for electronic stability control systems in light and heavy vehicles, detailing performance requirements and testing methods [17][19]. - These standards aim to improve vehicle safety by ensuring that electronic stability control systems effectively monitor and adjust vehicle dynamics in real-time [18][20].
【联合发布】新能源商用车周报(2025年10月第5周)
乘联分会· 2025-11-03 08:46
Core Insights - The article discusses the latest developments in the new energy commercial vehicle market, highlighting key trends, regulatory updates, and competitive dynamics among major players in the industry. Policy and Regulations - The Ministry of Transport is accelerating the application of artificial intelligence in the transportation sector, focusing on four key areas: strengthening technological research, deepening application scenarios, optimizing the industrial ecosystem, and enhancing digital intelligence levels [6][8]. - A new regulation on urban public transport service standards will be implemented on November 1, 2025, emphasizing the integration of bus and rail services for improved passenger convenience [11][12]. Market Insights - In the first nine months of 2025, SAIC-GM-Wuling led the new energy VAN market with sales of 45,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 27.8%, although its market share decreased by 0.9% [19][21]. - The competition in the new energy VAN market is intensifying, with the launch of new models and significant sales growth from competitors like the Farizon Star Enjoy V7E, which saw a remarkable year-on-year increase of 877.8% in September 2025 [21][29]. - The article notes that the Farizon Star Enjoy V6E has become a popular product in the market, with sales of 23,000 units in the first nine months of 2025, driven by its competitive pricing and performance [33]. Company Monitoring - Dongfeng Motor Corporation launched the Ruida V8E model, targeting multifunctional uses in urban logistics, with a promotional price of 86,800 yuan [35][40]. - BYD introduced the T35 pure electric mini truck, specifically designed for the Japanese market, showcasing the company's commitment to expanding its product offerings internationally [40].
【乘联分会论坛】2025年9月乘用车区域市场流向分析
乘联分会· 2025-11-03 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the structural changes in the Chinese automotive market, highlighting the strong growth in the northern regions compared to the southern regions, driven by government policies and consumer preferences for economical and electric vehicles [2][5]. Group 1: Regional Market Trends - The automotive market is characterized by a "strong north, weak south" trend, with northern markets showing significant growth, particularly in Northeast and Central regions [3][5]. - In September 2025, the northern market's share increased by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous year, and by 5.7 percentage points compared to 2022 [4][5]. - The Northeast region has shown continuous growth, maintaining a high market share of 6.4% in September 2025 [4][5]. Group 2: Policy Impact on Market Structure - Government subsidies have encouraged the growth of low-end and economical vehicles, particularly benefiting A00 and A0 class electric vehicles in northern regions [2][5]. - The "Two New" subsidy policy has been effective in promoting the adoption of small electric vehicles, reflecting the policy's fairness [2][5]. Group 3: Vehicle Category Market Structure Changes - The SUV segment has seen strong growth, especially in the central and western regions, while the eastern regions show weaker demand for SUVs [8][9]. - The demand for traditional fuel vehicles remains high in the northern and central regions, with fuel vehicles accounting for about 60% of the market [9][10]. Group 4: New Energy Vehicle Structure Analysis - New energy vehicles, particularly pure electric and plug-in hybrids, have shown strong performance, with significant growth in the northern regions [9][10]. - In regions like Hainan and Guangxi, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles has reached around 60%, indicating robust growth [10][11]. Group 5: Economic Vehicle Structure Changes - The article notes that the majority of regions benefit from subsidies for economical vehicles, which have become the mainstay of the market due to their affordability [11][12]. - The structure of vehicle categories is shifting towards more economical options, with a notable increase in the share of A0 and A class vehicles [11][12].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年11月3日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-03 08:46
Domestic News - Hainan Province has adjusted the 2025 automobile scrapping and renewal subsidy policy, requiring both the registration location of the scrapped old vehicle and the new vehicle to be in Hainan Province starting from November 4, 2025 [4] - The first batch of L4-level autonomous driving Robotaxi pilot projects has been launched in Shenzhen, with plans to expand the service area and create new job roles in the smart mobility sector [5] - The "Yue Che Nan Xia" policy for Hong Kong has been announced, allowing vehicles from four cities to enter Hong Kong, with specific timelines for parking and entry into the city [6][7][8] - XPeng Motors has released the X9 model featuring the Kunpeng Super Range Extender technology, achieving a comprehensive range of 1602 kilometers, making it the longest-range seven-seater vehicle globally [9] - GAC Group has introduced a cross-year vehicle purchase tax subsidy plan for its brands, offering up to 15,000 yuan in subsidies for eligible vehicles [10] - The new MG4 model has launched a purchase tax cross-year subsidy, providing up to 27,000 yuan in benefits for customers who lock in orders by November 30 [11] - Zeekr has also announced a cross-year purchase tax subsidy plan, covering the tax difference for customers whose vehicles are delayed into 2026, with a maximum subsidy of 15,000 yuan [12] - A strategic partnership has been formed between Gaode and HERE Technologies to provide seamless navigation and ADAS functions for over 30 Chinese automotive brands [13] International News - Hyundai Motor has strengthened its collaboration with NVIDIA to develop mobile solutions and AI capabilities for smart factories, planning to integrate 50,000 Blackwell GPUs for AI model training [14] - Mazda is enhancing its partnership with Nippon Steel to optimize vehicle development and supply chain management, addressing challenges such as rising raw material costs [15] - Honda has unveiled the Honda 0 α, a new pure electric SUV concept, which is expected to launch in 2027 targeting markets in Japan and India [17] - Volkswagen has secured a credit line of 4.25 billion USD from Brazil's national development bank to support the development of hybrid vehicles [18] Commercial Vehicles - A new national standard for the safety of commercial electric vehicle battery swapping has been implemented, promoting the safe and reliable operation of electric commercial vehicles [20] - Shell and FAW Jiefang have introduced an innovative immersion cooling technology for commercial vehicle batteries, enhancing safety and reliability [21] - The Euman Galaxy new energy heavy truck has been launched in Shijiazhuang, achieving strong market response with 115 strategic contracts signed [22] - Suzhou King Long has been recognized as a "National Manufacturing Single Champion Enterprise," highlighting its expertise in high-end public buses and extensive market coverage [23]
【联合发布】一周新车快讯(2025年10月25日-10月31日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-31 08:39
Core Insights - The article provides a comprehensive overview of new vehicle launches scheduled for late October 2025, highlighting various manufacturers, models, and specifications [2][5][10]. Group 1: Manufacturer and Model Details - GAC Motor is set to launch the Trumpchi GS4 Yingsu on October 27, 2025, categorized as an AO SUV with a price range of 79,800 to 99,800 CNY [10]. - Zeekr Automotive will introduce the Zeekr 7X on October 28, 2025, classified as a B SUV, with prices ranging from 229,800 to 269,800 CNY [18]. - Avita Technology plans to release the Avita 12 on October 28, 2025, in the C NB segment, with prices between 269,900 and 429,900 CNY [26]. - BYD will launch the Tengshi N8L on October 28, 2025, a D SUV priced from 299,800 to 329,800 CNY [34]. - BAIC New Energy is set to release the ARCFOX Alpha T5 on October 28, 2025, a B SUV with a price range of 113,800 to 158,800 CNY [40]. - Smart will introduce the Smart 5 on October 28, 2025, also a B SUV, with prices from 189,900 to 239,900 CNY [48]. Group 2: Technical Specifications - The Trumpchi GS4 Yingsu features a 1.5T engine with a DCT7 transmission, producing 130 kW and 270 N·m of torque [10]. - The Zeekr 7X offers a pure electric powertrain with a maximum output of 370 kW and torque of 585 N·m, with battery capacities of 75 kWh and 103 kWh [18]. - The Avita 12 includes a 1.5T range extender and pure electric options, with power outputs of 115 kW for the engine and up to 402 kW for the electric motor [26]. - The Tengshi N8L features a 2.0T plug-in hybrid engine, delivering 152 kW and 325 N·m from the engine and 560 N·m from the electric motor [34]. - The ARCFOX Alpha T5 has a 1.5L range extender and pure electric options, with power outputs of 77 kW for the engine and up to 200 kW for the electric motor [40]. - The Smart 5 is equipped with a 1.5T plug-in hybrid engine, providing 120 kW and 255 N·m of torque [48]. Group 3: Market Positioning - The new models are positioned across various segments, including AO SUV, B SUV, C NB, and D SUV, indicating a broad market strategy to cater to different consumer preferences [2][5][10]. - The pricing strategy reflects a competitive approach, with models like the Zeekr 7X and Avita 12 targeting the premium segment, while models like the Trumpchi GS4 Yingsu aim for more budget-conscious consumers [10][18][26].