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【乘联分会论坛】2025年9月乘用车区域市场流向分析
乘联分会· 2025-11-03 08:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the structural changes in the Chinese automotive market, highlighting the strong growth in the northern regions compared to the southern regions, driven by government policies and consumer preferences for economical and electric vehicles [2][5]. Group 1: Regional Market Trends - The automotive market is characterized by a "strong north, weak south" trend, with northern markets showing significant growth, particularly in Northeast and Central regions [3][5]. - In September 2025, the northern market's share increased by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous year, and by 5.7 percentage points compared to 2022 [4][5]. - The Northeast region has shown continuous growth, maintaining a high market share of 6.4% in September 2025 [4][5]. Group 2: Policy Impact on Market Structure - Government subsidies have encouraged the growth of low-end and economical vehicles, particularly benefiting A00 and A0 class electric vehicles in northern regions [2][5]. - The "Two New" subsidy policy has been effective in promoting the adoption of small electric vehicles, reflecting the policy's fairness [2][5]. Group 3: Vehicle Category Market Structure Changes - The SUV segment has seen strong growth, especially in the central and western regions, while the eastern regions show weaker demand for SUVs [8][9]. - The demand for traditional fuel vehicles remains high in the northern and central regions, with fuel vehicles accounting for about 60% of the market [9][10]. Group 4: New Energy Vehicle Structure Analysis - New energy vehicles, particularly pure electric and plug-in hybrids, have shown strong performance, with significant growth in the northern regions [9][10]. - In regions like Hainan and Guangxi, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles has reached around 60%, indicating robust growth [10][11]. Group 5: Economic Vehicle Structure Changes - The article notes that the majority of regions benefit from subsidies for economical vehicles, which have become the mainstay of the market due to their affordability [11][12]. - The structure of vehicle categories is shifting towards more economical options, with a notable increase in the share of A0 and A class vehicles [11][12].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年11月3日)
乘联分会· 2025-11-03 08:46
Domestic News - Hainan Province has adjusted the 2025 automobile scrapping and renewal subsidy policy, requiring both the registration location of the scrapped old vehicle and the new vehicle to be in Hainan Province starting from November 4, 2025 [4] - The first batch of L4-level autonomous driving Robotaxi pilot projects has been launched in Shenzhen, with plans to expand the service area and create new job roles in the smart mobility sector [5] - The "Yue Che Nan Xia" policy for Hong Kong has been announced, allowing vehicles from four cities to enter Hong Kong, with specific timelines for parking and entry into the city [6][7][8] - XPeng Motors has released the X9 model featuring the Kunpeng Super Range Extender technology, achieving a comprehensive range of 1602 kilometers, making it the longest-range seven-seater vehicle globally [9] - GAC Group has introduced a cross-year vehicle purchase tax subsidy plan for its brands, offering up to 15,000 yuan in subsidies for eligible vehicles [10] - The new MG4 model has launched a purchase tax cross-year subsidy, providing up to 27,000 yuan in benefits for customers who lock in orders by November 30 [11] - Zeekr has also announced a cross-year purchase tax subsidy plan, covering the tax difference for customers whose vehicles are delayed into 2026, with a maximum subsidy of 15,000 yuan [12] - A strategic partnership has been formed between Gaode and HERE Technologies to provide seamless navigation and ADAS functions for over 30 Chinese automotive brands [13] International News - Hyundai Motor has strengthened its collaboration with NVIDIA to develop mobile solutions and AI capabilities for smart factories, planning to integrate 50,000 Blackwell GPUs for AI model training [14] - Mazda is enhancing its partnership with Nippon Steel to optimize vehicle development and supply chain management, addressing challenges such as rising raw material costs [15] - Honda has unveiled the Honda 0 α, a new pure electric SUV concept, which is expected to launch in 2027 targeting markets in Japan and India [17] - Volkswagen has secured a credit line of 4.25 billion USD from Brazil's national development bank to support the development of hybrid vehicles [18] Commercial Vehicles - A new national standard for the safety of commercial electric vehicle battery swapping has been implemented, promoting the safe and reliable operation of electric commercial vehicles [20] - Shell and FAW Jiefang have introduced an innovative immersion cooling technology for commercial vehicle batteries, enhancing safety and reliability [21] - The Euman Galaxy new energy heavy truck has been launched in Shijiazhuang, achieving strong market response with 115 strategic contracts signed [22] - Suzhou King Long has been recognized as a "National Manufacturing Single Champion Enterprise," highlighting its expertise in high-end public buses and extensive market coverage [23]
【联合发布】一周新车快讯(2025年10月25日-10月31日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-31 08:39
Core Insights - The article provides a comprehensive overview of new vehicle launches scheduled for late October 2025, highlighting various manufacturers, models, and specifications [2][5][10]. Group 1: Manufacturer and Model Details - GAC Motor is set to launch the Trumpchi GS4 Yingsu on October 27, 2025, categorized as an AO SUV with a price range of 79,800 to 99,800 CNY [10]. - Zeekr Automotive will introduce the Zeekr 7X on October 28, 2025, classified as a B SUV, with prices ranging from 229,800 to 269,800 CNY [18]. - Avita Technology plans to release the Avita 12 on October 28, 2025, in the C NB segment, with prices between 269,900 and 429,900 CNY [26]. - BYD will launch the Tengshi N8L on October 28, 2025, a D SUV priced from 299,800 to 329,800 CNY [34]. - BAIC New Energy is set to release the ARCFOX Alpha T5 on October 28, 2025, a B SUV with a price range of 113,800 to 158,800 CNY [40]. - Smart will introduce the Smart 5 on October 28, 2025, also a B SUV, with prices from 189,900 to 239,900 CNY [48]. Group 2: Technical Specifications - The Trumpchi GS4 Yingsu features a 1.5T engine with a DCT7 transmission, producing 130 kW and 270 N·m of torque [10]. - The Zeekr 7X offers a pure electric powertrain with a maximum output of 370 kW and torque of 585 N·m, with battery capacities of 75 kWh and 103 kWh [18]. - The Avita 12 includes a 1.5T range extender and pure electric options, with power outputs of 115 kW for the engine and up to 402 kW for the electric motor [26]. - The Tengshi N8L features a 2.0T plug-in hybrid engine, delivering 152 kW and 325 N·m from the engine and 560 N·m from the electric motor [34]. - The ARCFOX Alpha T5 has a 1.5L range extender and pure electric options, with power outputs of 77 kW for the engine and up to 200 kW for the electric motor [40]. - The Smart 5 is equipped with a 1.5T plug-in hybrid engine, providing 120 kW and 255 N·m of torque [48]. Group 3: Market Positioning - The new models are positioned across various segments, including AO SUV, B SUV, C NB, and D SUV, indicating a broad market strategy to cater to different consumer preferences [2][5][10]. - The pricing strategy reflects a competitive approach, with models like the Zeekr 7X and Avita 12 targeting the premium segment, while models like the Trumpchi GS4 Yingsu aim for more budget-conscious consumers [10][18][26].
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年10月31日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-31 08:39
Domestic News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is promoting the transformation of the entire green industry chain, focusing on the development of new energy vehicles and energy-saving equipment. Key initiatives include green design, building green factories, creating green supply chains, and promoting green industrial parks, with a target for green factory output to reach 40% by 2030 [5]. - The "14th Five-Year" industrial collaboration development initiative for the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has been released, aiming to build a modern industrial system centered on advanced manufacturing and accelerate the development of seven national-level advanced manufacturing clusters [6]. - FAW-Volkswagen plans to achieve Level 3 autonomous driving by 2027-2030, with the introduction of Level 2 driving assistance in 2026 [7]. - FAW Bestune has increased its registered capital to approximately 5.17 billion RMB, marking a 107% increase [8]. - The Guoxuan High-Tech battery factory in Slovakia has officially opened, with plans for trial production in 2026 and a capacity of 20 GWh [10]. - The autonomous driving company "萝卜快跑" has received approval for cross-district testing in Hong Kong, marking its fourth expansion of testing areas this year [11]. - The Deep Blue G318 has been launched in Colombia, indicating the company's expansion into the South American market [12]. - Li Auto has established a new battery company in Zhejiang with a registered capital of 70 million RMB, focusing on battery manufacturing and electric vehicle charging infrastructure [13]. International News - Samsung SDI has partnered with BMW Group and Solid Power to develop a solid-state battery validation project, aiming to enhance battery performance for future vehicles [14]. - Ford is planning to invest approximately 3.7 billion USD in India to produce new engines, with an annual capacity exceeding 200,000 units [15]. - Lucid Motors is set to launch a mid-sized electric vehicle equipped with NVIDIA chips, marking a significant step towards Level 4 autonomous driving technology [16]. - Nissan has confirmed the introduction of the Patrol SUV to the Japanese market in the first half of the 2027 fiscal year, marking its return to this segment [17]. Commercial Vehicles - Suzhou has launched a subsidy program for the scrapping and updating of old commercial vehicles, with an initial fund of 30 million RMB [18]. - SAIC Commercial Vehicle has opened its first nationwide store in Tianjin, marking a strategic integration of its brands [19]. - Hanma Technology has unveiled the first range-extended heavy truck in Southeast Asia, targeting the green logistics market [20]. - The Xiangtan base of Yuan Cheng has received the highest level certification for intelligent manufacturing in the new energy commercial vehicle sector, indicating its advanced capabilities [21][22].
【联合发布】2025年9月乘用车智能化指数为36.1
乘联分会· 2025-10-31 08:39
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the development of the passenger car market's intelligence index in China, highlighting the growth trends and future expectations for smart vehicles, driven by policy support and market demand [4][13]. Summary by Sections Smart Car Intelligence Index - The passenger car intelligence index for September 2025 is reported at 36.1, marking a month-on-month increase of 0.4 units, reaching a historical high [13]. - The index consists of three sub-indices: smart cockpit index (38.5), smart driving index (40.1), and external smart index (18.5) [8][10]. Market Performance - In September 2025, the retail sales of passenger cars reached 2.243 million units, showing a year-on-year growth of 6.4% and a month-on-month increase of 11.2% [13]. - The retail sales of new energy vehicles amounted to 1.299 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 15.7% and a month-on-month increase of 16.5% [13]. Factors Influencing Growth - The increase in the intelligence index is attributed to multiple factors, including policy incentives (such as trade-in programs and subsidies), market demand during the traditional peak season, and the launch of new models [13]. - The article anticipates that the intelligence index will continue to rise in the fourth quarter of 2025 due to the fading off-season, ongoing policy support, and accelerated technological iterations [13]. Index Calculation and Structure - The intelligence index is calculated using a weighted formula that incorporates the smart cockpit index, smart driving index, and external smart index [14]. - The smart cockpit index is weighted at 47.5%, the smart driving index at 37.5%, and the external smart index at 15.0%, reflecting their respective impacts on the industry [17][18][19]. Definitions and Evaluation Criteria - Smart cockpit evaluation focuses on hardware configuration, software ecosystem, user interaction, safety, comfort, and intelligence levels [16]. - Smart driving evaluation emphasizes hardware configuration, functionality, safety, comfort, and intelligence levels [16]. - External smart evaluation centers on vehicle interaction with external entities, enhancing safety and user experience [16].
【乘联分会论坛】前三季度MPV市场走势与启示
乘联分会· 2025-10-31 08:39
Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid growth and increasing market acceptance of high-end MPVs in China, driven by their comfort, spaciousness, and suitability for various travel needs [2][14] - The domestic MPV market has shown significant growth, with a total of 878,597 units sold in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.3% [3][14] Market Overview - In the first three quarters of 2025, the cumulative sales of domestic MPVs reached 879,000 units, with a year-on-year growth of 26.3%, and exports accounted for 57,000 units, up 16.7% [2][3] - The top 15 MPV models accounted for 78.5% of the market share, indicating a trend towards market concentration [3][4] Top Models Performance - The top-selling model, SAIC-GM Wuling Hongguang, achieved sales of 98,820 units, a staggering increase of 163.6% year-on-year [4][5] - Buick GL8 ranked second with sales of 88,239 units, reflecting a growth of 104.4% [4][6] - BYD's Tengshi D9, ranked third, sold 81,760 units, marking a modest increase of 2.9% [4][7] - The newly launched BYD Xia, positioned below Tengshi D9, sold 61,834 units, showcasing strong market entry [4][8] Emerging Trends - The article notes a shift towards hybrid and electric models, with the Buick GL8's PHEV sales surpassing those of traditional fuel vehicles, indicating a successful transition to new energy vehicles [6][7] - The increasing popularity of high-end MPVs is attributed to changing consumer preferences, particularly among younger families seeking comfort and versatility [14] Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of established brands and new entrants, with companies like GAC Toyota and Lantu Automotive also making significant strides in the MPV segment [9][10][11] - BYD is expanding its product lineup with models like the M9, aimed at international markets, further enhancing its competitive position [12] Future Outlook - The article concludes that the high-end MPV market is poised for rapid growth, driven by consumer demand for quality travel experiences and the increasing availability of new energy models [14]
【乘联分会论坛】2025年9月皮卡市场分析
乘联分会· 2025-10-30 08:38
Core Insights - The overall pickup market in China is experiencing a mixed performance, with a slight decline in September 2025 sales compared to the previous year, but a notable increase compared to the previous month [4][6][8] - The leading position of Great Wall Motors in the pickup segment remains strong, with significant contributions from exports and stable domestic performance [4][6][21] - The demand for pickups is primarily concentrated in the southwestern and northwestern regions of China, which account for 44.4% of total demand [4][15][29] Pickup Market Overview - In September 2025, the pickup market sold 46,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 2% but a month-on-month increase of 15%, maintaining a mid-to-high level compared to the past five years [4][6] - From January to September 2025, total sales reached 415,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6% [4][6] - The pickup market is influenced by seasonal factors, with sales typically increasing after the Spring Festival [4][6] Export Performance - The pickup export market is robust, with a cumulative export of 224,000 units in 2024, marking an 85% increase [8][21] - In September 2025, exports reached 26,000 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 3% and a month-on-month increase of 22% [8][21] - The export share of pickups has risen significantly, with 56% of total sales in September 2025 attributed to exports [8][21] New Energy Pickup Trends - The new energy pickup segment is rapidly growing, with September 2025 sales of 4,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 104% and a month-on-month increase of 31% [2][12] - Cumulative sales from January to September 2025 reached 54,000 units, reflecting a staggering growth of 440% [2][12] - The market for new energy pickups is expected to expand further as consumer interest increases and more models are introduced [2][12] Regional Market Dynamics - The primary demand for pickups is concentrated in the southwestern and northwestern regions, with these areas showing strong performance in September 2025 [15][29] - The market in eastern regions is experiencing a decline, while the central and northern regions are not seeing significant growth [15][29] - The county and township markets are becoming increasingly important, with a notable recovery in demand from these areas [15][29] Competitive Landscape - Great Wall Motors continues to dominate the domestic pickup market, holding nearly 50% of the market share, with strong performances from Jiangling Motors and Zhengzhou Nissan [21][23] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with traditional manufacturers maintaining strong positions while new entrants like Radar and Changan are also gaining traction [21][23] - The overall market is characterized by a "one strong, three strong" dynamic, with Great Wall Motors leading and other brands like Jiangling, Zhengzhou Nissan, and Jianghuai maintaining competitive positions [21][23]
【快讯】每日快讯(2025年10月30日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-30 08:38
Domestic News - The Ministry of Commerce and four other departments have issued a notice to rectify "involution-style" competition, aiming to establish a fair and innovative business environment [7] - The Ministry of Transport is accelerating the large-scale innovative application of artificial intelligence in the transportation sector, with a systematic implementation plan in place [8] - The first national-level automotive chip standard verification platform has been launched in Shenzhen, enhancing the quality verification capabilities for automotive-grade chips [9] - Beijing Hyundai plans to launch 20 new products over the next 4-5 years, focusing on the iteration of new energy vehicles [10] - Smart has introduced a cross-year purchase tax subsidy plan, offering up to 15,000 yuan in subsidies for eligible vehicle purchases [11][12] - BYD has unveiled its first K-Car model, Racco, specifically designed for the Japanese market, with pre-sales expected to start in summer 2026 [13] - FAW has established an energy technology company in Changchun, focusing on the exploration of AI and energy innovation models [14] - Xinwangda Power has launched a polymer all-solid-state battery with an energy density of 400Wh/kg, marking a significant milestone in lithium battery technology [15] International News - Boston is proposing a regulation requiring human operators in autonomous vehicles, aiming to assess the impact of autonomous driving technology on existing ride-hailing drivers [16] - Honda has unveiled the Super-ONE electric small car prototype, designed to provide a unique driving experience, with plans for mass production in 2026 [17] - NVIDIA has partnered with Uber to expand the global L4 autonomous driving network, aiming to scale up to 100,000 vehicles by 2027 [18] - Toyota's 2023 electric vehicles in the U.S. will support Apple Maps for EV routing, enhancing the convenience of electric travel [19] Commercial Vehicles - Volvo's electric trucks have accumulated over 250 million kilometers since their launch in 2019, maintaining a leading position in the industry [20] - The first batch of heavy trucks developed by Xinjiang Kunlun Automotive has successfully rolled off the production line, addressing compliance challenges for exports to Russia [21] - Jiangling's new Baotian model was globally launched in Saudi Arabia, showcasing the brand's strategic expansion [22] - BYD's pure electric small truck T35 made its global debut at the Tokyo Motor Show, with plans for a 2026 launch in Japan and a starting price of 800,000 yen [23]
【联合发布】2025年9月价格/优惠指数走势报告
乘联分会· 2025-10-30 08:38
Core Insights - The overall passenger car market price index for September 2025 shows a slight increase in transaction prices, while the sedan market continues to experience a decline in prices [4][5] - The SUV market has seen a price increase, contrasting with the declining trend in the sedan market [4][9] - The MPV market has shown a decrease in discount levels, indicating a potential shift in consumer purchasing behavior [8][12] Group 1: Overall Market Trends - The overall market price change index for September 2025 is -2.64, with an average transaction price of 154,400 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1,131 yuan or 0.74% [4] - The sedan market price index is -6.91, with an average transaction price of 124,300 yuan, indicating a continuous decline [3][4] - The SUV market price index is 1.07, with an average transaction price of 174,000 yuan, showing a month-on-month increase of 4,118 yuan or 2.42% [9] Group 2: Discounts and Promotions - The overall market discount change index for September 2025 is -0.5, with an average discount of 27,000 yuan, which has increased by 428 yuan or 1.61% month-on-month [4] - The MPV market has seen a decrease in discount levels, with the discount index at 1.74 and an average discount of 25,100 yuan, down by 2,374 yuan or 8.65% [8] - The sedan market has experienced an increase in discounts, with a discount index of 0.25 and an average discount of 28,300 yuan, up by 1,071 yuan or 3.93% [6][9] Group 3: Segment Analysis - In the sedan market, the A00 segment has seen the largest price drop of 4.51%, while the B and C segments have shown slight increases [5] - The MPV market has shown a significant increase in sales share for models priced above 300,000 yuan, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [8] - The overall new energy vehicle market price index is -4.96, with an average transaction price of 154,900 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month decrease [9][10]
【周度分析】车市扫描(2025年10月20日-10月26日)
乘联分会· 2025-10-29 10:15
Group 1: Market Overview - From October 1 to 26, the national passenger car market retail sales reached 1.613 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 7% compared to the same period last year, and a month-on-month decrease of 4%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 18.621 million units, a year-on-year increase of 8% [2][6] - During the same period, wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 1.871 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 1% and a month-on-month decrease of 5%. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 22.718 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12% [2][10] - The retail penetration rate for new energy vehicles (NEVs) was 55.9%, while the wholesale penetration rate was 55.2% [3] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Performance - Retail sales of NEVs from October 1 to 26 reached 901,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 0% and a month-on-month decrease of 8%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 9.771 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22% [2][3] - Wholesale sales of NEVs during the same period reached 1.034 million units, a year-on-year increase of 4% and a month-on-month decrease of 5%. Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 11.48 million units, a year-on-year increase of 29% [2][3] Group 3: Monthly Sales Trends - Daily average retail sales for the first week of October were 44,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 18% and a month-on-month decrease of 5%. The second week saw an increase to 85,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 7% and a month-on-month increase of 38% [5][9] - The third week recorded daily average retail sales of 63,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 3% and a month-on-month decrease of 2%. The fourth week saw 69,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 9% and a month-on-month decrease of 22% [6][10] Group 4: Inventory and Production Insights - As of September 2025, the inventory of the national passenger car industry was 3.28 million units, an increase of 120,000 units from the previous month and 260,000 units from the same month last year [11] - The production of pure fuel light vehicles from October 1 to 26 was 827,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 4% but a month-on-month decrease of 9%. The production of hybrid and plug-in hybrid vehicles was 516,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 7% but a month-on-month increase of 10% [3][10] Group 5: Export Performance - From January to September 2025, China exported 5.71 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 21%. In September alone, exports reached 763,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 26% [12][15] - The export of NEVs during the same period reached 2.32 million units, a year-on-year increase of 52%, significantly higher than the 22% growth rate in the same period of 2024 [12][15]