Market Overview - In September 2025, the equity market continued its upward trend, but the growth rate slowed compared to August, with a notable structural market characterized by strong performance in technology growth sectors [5][11] - The bond market faced pressure due to the stronger equity market, leading to a volatile environment [6][11] Equity Market Insights - The leading sectors in September included electric equipment and new energy, non-ferrous metals, and electronics, with respective gains of 18.64%, 12.64%, and 10.28%. Conversely, sectors like comprehensive finance, banking, and national defense saw declines of -8.04%, -6.64%, and -6.62% [5][10] - The market experienced significant fluctuations around the military parade, followed by a rebound in AI-related stocks due to better-than-expected earnings from overseas AI leaders [5][10] Fund Performance - All major equity fund indices recorded gains, with the Wind Active Equity Fund Index, Wind Mixed Equity Fund Index, and Wind Ordinary Stock Fund Index rising by 6.67%, 5.52%, and 5.43% respectively [5][10] - The fund performance review indicated a general uptrend in fund style indices, with growth and small-cap styles continuing to dominate [7] Bond Market Insights - The bond market continued to experience fluctuations, with the equity market's strength exerting pressure on bond yields [6][11] - Key events included a meeting between the Ministry of Finance and the central bank, which raised expectations for the resumption of bond buying, followed by concerns over fund redemption due to new regulations [6][11] Fund Strategy Adjustments - The active equity fund selection strategy focuses on sectors with high short-term prosperity, emphasizing the need for sustained industry momentum amid prolonged market differentiation [11] - Adjustments to the pure bond fund selection strategy were made to enhance returns by incorporating credit bonds and strategies adept at wave trading [17][18] Thematic Fund Performance - Thematic funds showed varied performance, with sectors benefiting from overseas demand for energy storage and breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology leading the gains [8][10] - Financial and real estate thematic funds lagged, reflecting a shift in market sentiment as risk appetite increased [8][10] Future Outlook - The bond market is expected to continue its volatile trend, with potential for moderate recovery amid a cooling stock market and macroeconomic data [18] - The focus on domestic demand remains crucial, with expectations for sectors like aviation and liquor to gain traction as consumer infrastructure initiatives are implemented [13][14]

股基增强策略 > 海外权益策略> 常青低波策略 A股方面，在经历前期的强势表现后，上证指数逐渐逼近4000点，市场已经积累较多盈利，在上行压力加大、止盈情绪抬升以及风险事件 加大不确定性，整体对市场形成一定短期压制。综合考虑中长期市场环境以及政策导向，市场有望保持向上的趋势，即使短期有所阻力， 回调空间也较为有限，市场高位震荡整固后有望重新开启上行趋势。当前处在关键阻力点位以及利好空窗期等多重因素交叠的时间区间， 市场或在当前点位区间震荡，策略上可采取逢低逐步吸纳筹码，布局整固后有望开启的上升空间。在A股权益基金策略内部，更具弹性的 股基增强组合依旧在当前时点有相对更大空间，在本轮上行行情中，股基增强策略表现持续优于常青低波策略。常青低波策略可作为打底 配置，优化组合波动特征，同时银行等防御风格板块在经历调整后性价比提升，长期配置价值提升。 海外方面，回顾近期动态，美股从计价关税预期缓解，再到与多数国家和地区达成贸易协议，市场持续减弱对于风险的计价，叠加近期的 部分科技公司强劲财报和降息预期升温的作用，美股持续上行。近期，美国政府停摆、关税担忧再起等风险因素扰动，美股呈现高位震荡 格局。中长期来看美股基本面和 ...

分析师：孙书娜 登记编号： S0890523070001 分析师：宋逸菲 登记编号：S0890524080003 投资要点 权益市场回顾： 上周（2025.10.13-2025.10.17），A股波动相对较大，主要指数均收跌，创业板指领跌，录 得5.71%的跌幅，沪深300录得了2.22%的跌幅，上证指数录得1.47%的跌幅。分版块而言，仅银行、煤炭为代 表的红利和价值板块出现逆势上涨，电子、传媒、通信等科技成长板块出现较大回调。 公募基金市场动态： 2025年内超315亿资金入场，公募参与定增同比增超五成。 主动权益基金指数表现跟踪： 主动股基优选指数：上周收跌3.91%，成立以来累计录得13.56%的超额收益。 科技股基优选指数：上周收跌5.53%，成立以来累计录得21.77%的超额收益 。 高端制造股基优选指数：上周收跌6.30%，成立以来累计录得-5.59%的超额收益 。 周期股基优选指数：上周收跌1.11%，成立以来累计录得-2.38%的超额收益。 风险提示： 基金的过往业绩及基金经理管理其他产品的历史业绩不代表未来表现；本报告根据历史公开数据及 定期报告整理，存在失效风险，不代表对基金未来资产配置 ...

Market Overview - The bond market sentiment improved last week (2025.10.13-2025.10.17), with yields fluctuating. The 1-year government bond yield rose by 5.93 basis points to 1.44%, while the 10-year yield fell by 1.4 basis points to 1.82%, and the 30-year yield decreased by 7 basis points to 2.20%. The overall weak stock market and the central bank's release of liquidity contributed to the rebound of long-term bonds, leading the bond market [3][14]. - The U.S. Treasury yields also declined last week, with the 1-year yield down by 4 basis points to 3.56%, the 2-year yield down by 6 basis points to 3.46%, and the 10-year yield down by 3 basis points to 4.02%. The decline was influenced by dovish comments from the Federal Reserve Chairman and concerns about the U.S. regional banking system [14]. Public Fund Market Dynamics - On October 14, the CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park closed-end infrastructure securities investment fund (referred to as "Shenyang International Software Park REIT") successfully completed its fundraising, marking the first public REIT project successfully issued in Northeast China. The initial assets of the Shenyang International Software Park REIT consist of 13 industrial buildings in Shenyang, with a total property area of 201,200 square meters, primarily focused on research and development office space [17][16]. Fund Index Performance Tracking - The Money Enhanced Index rose by 0.03% last week, with a cumulative return of 4.19% since inception [4][19]. - The Short-term Bond Fund Index increased by 0.05%, with a cumulative return of 4.32% since inception [5][19]. - The Medium to Long-term Bond Fund Index rose by 0.16%, with a cumulative return of 6.23% since inception [6][19]. - The Low Volatility Fixed Income + Fund Index fell by 0.06%, with a cumulative return of 3.93% since inception [7][19]. - The Medium Volatility Fixed Income + Fund Index decreased by 0.85%, with a cumulative return of 4.69% since inception [8][19]. - The High Volatility Fixed Income + Fund Index dropped by 1.00%, with a cumulative return of 6.70% since inception [9][19]. - The Convertible Bond Fund Index fell by 2.61%, with a cumulative return of 19.80% since inception [10][19]. - The QDII Bond Fund Index rose by 0.18%, with a cumulative return of 10.57% since inception [11][19]. - The REITs Fund Index decreased by 2.43%, with a cumulative return of 31.01% since inception [12][19].

Key Points Summary Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent economic indicators and government measures, highlighting the stability of the consumer market and the implications of China's export control on rare earths, as well as the overall financing scale in the economy. Group 1: Important Events Review - The Ministry of Commerce announced that the recent rare earth export control measures are a normal action to improve China's export control system, not targeting specific countries or regions, and compliant export applications for civilian use will be approved [2]. - As of September 2025, the total social financing scale was 437.08 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 8.7%. The balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 267.03 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6.4% [2]. - In September, the consumer market remained stable, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 0.1% month-on-month and falling 0.3% year-on-year. The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 1.0% year-on-year, marking the first return to a 1% increase in nearly 19 months [2]. Group 2: Weekly Market Review - The central bank conducted a 600 billion yuan six-month reverse repurchase operation, providing liquidity support and maintaining a loose overall funding environment, with funding prices remaining low [4]. - The A-share market experienced an overall pullback, indicating a "bond-stock" effect where sentiment in the bond market fluctuated alongside stock market movements [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent developments in the banking wealth management sector in September, highlighting regulatory changes, market trends, and innovative product offerings by various banks and wealth management companies [3][4][5]. Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - In September, significant regulatory changes were introduced, including new public fund sales fee regulations, which are expected to impact both the asset and liability sides of bank wealth management [3][8]. - The issuance of gold-linked wealth management products surged due to rising gold prices, with several banks actively launching these products to meet investor demand [4][9]. - Several banks in Sichuan province are collaborating to apply for wealth management company licenses, which could serve as a model for small and medium-sized banks [9][10]. Performance and Market Trends - The total market size of wealth management products in September was 30.80 trillion yuan, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.48% month-on-month but a year-on-year increase of 6.30% [5][12]. - The annualized yield for cash management products decreased to 1.30%, while pure fixed-income products saw a yield of 1.27%, down by 0.50 percentage points [5][12]. - The market's net value decline rate rose to 5.32%, indicating a continued upward trend in this metric [5][12]. Product Innovations - Wealth management companies are increasingly focusing on index-based products and actively participating in the investment of science and technology bonds ETFs, employing a dual strategy of expanding product offerings and enhancing research capabilities [3][4][10]. - Notable innovations include the launch of self-developed asset allocation indices by various banks, such as the "Bay Area Global Asset Selection Index" by 招银理财 and the "Technology Five Forces Model" by 浦银理财 [4][10][11]. - The trend of wealth management companies engaging in IPO investments has gained momentum, with 中邮理财 participating in significant IPOs like "禾赛科技" and "奇瑞汽车" [9][10]. Market Structure and Product Characteristics - The new wealth management products launched in September predominantly featured fixed-income and closed-end products, maintaining a consistent structure with a focus on solid returns [5][12]. - The performance benchmarks for many newly issued products have been adjusted downward, reflecting a consensus among wealth management companies regarding the long-term low interest rate environment [5][12]. - The closed-end product compliance rate reached 86.09%, while the open-ended product compliance rate was 54.35%, indicating varying levels of performance across product types [6][12].

分析师：蔡梦苑 登记编号：S0890521120001 分析师：周佳卉 登记编号：S0890525040001 投资要点 监管和行业动态： 1、兴银理财"大额"增资，彰显长期稳健发展决心。兴业银行全资子公司兴银 理财近日获监管批准，以未分配利润转增注册资本50亿元，注册资本由此增至100亿元，传递长 期稳健发展理念的信号。今年以来，杭银理财、高盛工银理财等多家机构相继启动增资，理财 公司密集"补血"背后，是多重现实需求与战略考量的驱动。2、9月末银行理财存量规模较8月减 少1284.71亿元，降至30.82万亿元，符合季末银行理财规模季节性下行的规律。此次规模下 降，是季节性回表、股债市场分化与假期资金需求三重因素叠加的结果。展望四季度，银行理 财规模有望重回稳步扩张通道。 同业创新动态： 徽银理财创新推出多次申购型理财产品——"惠盈存款存单（多次申购）。该产 品针对投资者"资金分批到账"与"希望参与封闭式理财"之间的匹配难题，对传统封闭式产品结 构进行了实用性优化。 收益率表现： 上周（2025.10.6-2025.10.12，下同）现金管理类产品近7日年化收益率录得 1.35%，环比上升4BP；同期货币型 ...

分析师： 蔡梦苑 登记编号：S0890521120001 分析师：郝一凡 登记编号：S0890524080002 分析师：刘 芳 登记编号：S0890524100002 | | 就业市场持续降温，中美关税博弈增加 | | --- | --- | | | > 就业市场持续降温,通胀符合预期 | | | ◆ 劳动力市场持续降温。美国8月非农就业仪增2.2万人、远低于预期及7月修正值（7.9万）。6月数据下修至减少1.3万、失业率升 | | 海外宏观 | 至4.3%,反映劳动力市场压力加剧。美国8月0P1同比上涨2.9%,环比上涨0.4%,显示出通胀温和回升的态势。 | | | > 中美近期关税博弈增加 | | | ◆ 美国总统特朗普10月10日在社交媒体威胁从11月1日起对华加征100%关税。其背后有两方面原因:一来、随着美联储进入降息周期 | | | 特朗普认为具备了更多应对潜在经济冲击的政策底气:二来,当前突陈关税税率未达其预期,也为其继续加码创造了条件。 | | | ◆ 考虑到全面实施100%关税将在执行层面面临巨大阻力,该政策最终完全落地的可能性有限。 | | | 经济运行承压,政策加码可能性上升,关注中 ...

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the potential of the Saudi ETF (159329.SZ) as Saudi Arabia aims to diversify its economy away from oil dependency through its "Vision 2030" plan, which includes 96 strategic goals such as increasing the non-oil GDP contribution from 16% to at least 50% and elevating its global economic ranking from 19th to 15th [3][4] - As of October 13, the Saudi ETF's underlying holdings reflect this economic transformation, with over 40% in the financial sector and more than 20% in consumer and technology sectors, while traditional fossil fuels account for only about 10% [3][4] - A recent report indicates that the Saudi Capital Market Authority (CMA) is considering a significant amendment to allow foreign ownership in Saudi listed companies to exceed 50%, which could attract more foreign investment into the Saudi capital market [4] Group 2 - The article discusses the Tourism ETF (159766.SZ) and highlights the Chinese government's initiatives to boost domestic tourism consumption, including measures such as the "Hundred Cities, Hundred Districts" tourism consumption action plan and various policies to enhance travel experiences [6][7] - During the 2025 National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, over 29,000 cultural and tourism activities were held, with more than 4.8 billion yuan in consumption subsidies distributed, leading to 888 million domestic trips, an increase of 123 million trips year-on-year, and total domestic spending of 809 billion yuan, up by 108.2 billion yuan [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent fluctuations in the equity market, particularly influenced by trade tensions and changing investor sentiment, with a focus on resource stocks and sector rotation [4][14][17] - The article notes that the recent trade conflict, particularly the threat of increased tariffs from the U.S., has led to significant declines in risk assets, indicating a continuation of the global tariff war that began in April [4][14] - It emphasizes the potential for style rotation in the market, where the performance of cyclical stocks may depend on specific triggers such as economic policy adjustments or geopolitical factors [17] Group 2 - The article provides a review of the equity market performance during the holiday period, noting that the market reached new highs but faced challenges in sustaining upward momentum due to weaker funding support [3][14] - It discusses the performance of various active equity fund indices, with the active stock fund index declining by 1.63% last week but achieving a cumulative excess return of 13.38% since inception [5][19] - The article outlines the positioning and performance of different fund categories, including value, balanced, growth, and sector-specific indices, highlighting their respective excess returns since inception [6][8][10][11][12]