Market Overview - The bond market experienced fluctuations and an upward trend during the week of June 30 to July 4, 2025, with the China Bond Composite Wealth Index (CBA00201) rising by 0.17% and the China Bond Composite Full Price Index (CBA00203) increasing by 0.14% [2][12] - Short-term interest rates showed strong performance, with key yield spreads widening, while credit bond yields generally declined, leading to a narrowing of credit spreads [2][12] - The liquidity in the market improved post-quarter, supporting the bond market's strength, and the demand for coupon assets returned to stability [2][12][13] US Market Dynamics - Strong US non-farm payroll data reduced expectations for interest rate cuts, leading to an upward trend in US Treasury yields [14] - The Federal Reserve's cautious stance and the unexpected strength in employment data contributed to a shift in market sentiment regarding future monetary policy [14] REITs Market Activity - The REITs secondary market saw fluctuations but ultimately rose, with the CSI REITs Total Return Index increasing by 0.66% [15] - Despite some adjustments in the market, the overall trading activity remained robust, indicating a healthy development trend [15] Public Fund Market Developments - The first batch of 10 Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission on July 2, 2025, which is expected to provide new credit base options for investors amid a low-interest-rate environment [16][17] Fund Performance Tracking - Short-term bond funds rose by 0.08% last week, with a cumulative return of 4.02% since inception [3] - Medium to long-term bond funds increased by 0.19%, achieving a cumulative return of 6.69% since inception [4] - Low-volatility fixed income plus funds rose by 0.31%, with a cumulative return of 2.79% since inception [5] - Medium-volatility fixed income plus funds increased by 0.54%, with a cumulative return of 2.33% since inception [6] - High-volatility fixed income plus funds rose by 0.40%, achieving a cumulative return of 3.40% since inception [7] - Convertible bond funds increased by 0.74%, with a cumulative return of 10.79% since inception [8] - QDII bond funds decreased by 0.08%, with a cumulative return of 7.87% since inception [9] - REITs funds rose by 1.00%, achieving a cumulative return of 40.41% since inception [10]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a volatile increase last week, with the CSI 300 rising by 1.54% and the CSI 1000 increasing by 0.56% [2][15] - The central economic committee's sixth meeting emphasized the need to govern "involution" competition, leading to a rally in traditional cyclical industries such as steel, coal, and building materials [3][15] Policy Insights - The "anti-involution" policy aims to reduce ineffective supply and promote industrial upgrades, shifting from total stimulus to managing supply [3][16] - The focus on "anti-involution" is expected to create a macro environment conducive to technological and industrial upgrades, although related policies have yet to be fully implemented [3][16] Sector Analysis - Deep-sea technology is highlighted as a multidisciplinary industry that may see repeated catalysts as policies are released [4][17] - Recent easing of semiconductor restrictions by the U.S. government may enhance domestic EDA tool replacement rates, with a focus on building a complete industrial chain [4][17] Fund Market Dynamics - The Beijing Stock Exchange launched the "Specialized and New" index on June 30, which includes the top 50 companies in strategic emerging industries, potentially increasing trading activity on the exchange [4][18] Fund Performance Tracking - The Active Equity Fund Index rose by 0.46% last week, with a cumulative excess return of 11.29% since inception [5][19] - The Value Equity Fund Index increased by 0.56%, with a cumulative excess return of -5.87% since inception [6][19] - The Balanced Equity Fund Index saw a rise of 1.85%, with a cumulative excess return of 4.91% since inception [7][19] - The Growth Equity Fund Index increased by 1.15%, with a cumulative excess return of 15.96% since inception [8][19] - The Pharmaceutical Equity Fund Index rose by 6.88%, with a cumulative excess return of 21.94% since inception [9][19] - The Consumer Equity Fund Index increased by 0.57%, with a cumulative excess return of 15.46% since inception [10][19] - The Technology Equity Fund Index rose by 0.46%, with a cumulative excess return of 15.71% since inception [11][19] - The High-end Manufacturing Equity Fund Index increased by 1.73%, with a cumulative excess return of -3.19% since inception [12][19] - The Cyclical Equity Fund Index rose by 1.11%, with a cumulative excess return of 3.73% since inception [13][19]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China Financial Products Annual Report titled "Ecological Leap" emphasizes the transformation of the wealth and asset management industry towards a service-oriented model, highlighting the need for industry-wide collaboration and the reconstruction of the wealth ecosystem [2][3]. Group 1: Insights on Wealth Ecosystem - The report reflects on the past year’s efforts and anticipates future explorations, marking the 14th consecutive year of publication [1][2]. - The concept of "ecological leap" signifies a comprehensive and profound transformation within the industry, requiring collective progress rather than isolated actions from individual institutions [2][3]. - The value of research services is underscored as essential for identifying trends and guiding industry transformation [2]. Group 2: Financial Product Overview - The report includes a detailed directory covering various financial products and market insights, such as the performance of bank wealth management, public funds, ETFs, trust markets, and private equity funds [3][4][5]. - Key topics include the challenges of net value fixed income products, the impact of structured products, and the evolution of private equity strategies [3][4][5][6]. Group 3: Future Directions - The report outlines the necessity for a buyer-centric perspective in research, aiming for a synergistic evolution of the financial ecosystem [3][6]. - It discusses the importance of adapting to new market conditions and the potential for innovative financial products to emerge in response to changing investor needs [4][5][6].

2、7月1日，国家医保局、国家卫生健康委联合印发了《支持创新药高质量发展的若干 措施》，提出加大创新药研发支持力度，鼓励商业健康保险公司通过创新药投资基金等 多种方式，为创新药研发提供稳定的长期投资，培育支持创新药的耐心资本。 2、美国总统特朗普7月2日宣布，美国将对越南出口商品征收20%关税，任何从第三国 通过越南转运的商品将面临40%的关税。他并称，越南将对美国产品征收零关税。 01 重要事件回顾 1、6月份，中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)为49.7%，比上月上升0.2个百分点，中美关 税降级影响仍在逐渐显现，修复速度略有放缓。6月制造业PMI分项普遍修复，生产、订 单、进口、价格等普遍修复，但就业指标小幅回落。 3、美国6月非农就业人数大幅超预期。美国6月季调后非农就业人口录得14.7万人，预 期为11万人，高于5月修正后的14.4万人。美国6月失业率录得4.1%，为2月份以来的最 低水平，低于预期4.3%。数据公布后，目前市场对九月份美联储降息的概率约为80%。 4、7月1日参议院通过《大而美丽法案》。7月3日美国众议院以218:214通过修改后的 《大而美丽法案》。白宫表示，美国总统特朗普将于当地 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China Financial Products Annual Report titled "Ecological Leap" emphasizes the transformation of the wealth and asset management industry towards a service-oriented model, highlighting the need for industry-wide collaboration and the reconstruction of the wealth ecosystem [2][3]. Group 1: Insights on Wealth Ecosystem - The report reflects on the past year’s efforts and anticipates future explorations, noting that the industry has made significant strides towards service-oriented transformation [2]. - The concept of "Ecological Leap" is introduced as a comprehensive and profound transformation that requires collaboration across the industry [2][3]. - The value of research services is highlighted as essential for understanding trends and guiding industry transformation [2]. Group 2: Financial Products Overview - The report includes a detailed directory covering various financial products and their market outlooks, including insights on deposit replacement products, fixed-income products, and the impact of structured products [3][4]. - It discusses the challenges in client acceptance of net value-based fixed-income products and the implications of market trends on investment strategies [3][4]. - The report also examines the evolution of private equity strategies and the new opportunities arising in the asset management sector [5][6]. Group 3: Future Directions - The report outlines the necessity for a buyer-centric approach in research, emphasizing that true transformation is a result of the collaborative evolution of the ecosystem [3][6]. - It presents a comparative analysis of cross-market financial products and the importance of adopting a scientific approach to fund investment through strategy indices [6]. - The report discusses the role of large models in reshaping wealth management services and the potential for expanding household service capabilities [6].

分析师： 蔡梦苑 登记编号：S0890521120001 分析师：郝一凡 登记编号：S0890524080002 分析师：刘 芳 登记编号：S0890524100002 | | 宏观主线梳理 | | --- | --- | | 海外宏观 | 美国经济初代防名自边际趋弱,大而美法案将加剧财政示字压力 | | | > 劳动力市场韧性仍存,通胀风险相对可控 | | | ◆ 6月新增非农就业13.9万人持产预期,不过结构性风险显现。5月美国通胀显示关税带来的价格风险相对可控,不过居民可选消费 | | | 需求下降。预计6月开始,关税对价格的冲击可能会有所体现。但程度或低于市场预期。我们预计芳经济数据不出现巨大的变化, | | | 9月之前美联储仍将按兵不动。 | | | > 在美国关税暂缓期7月到期后，美国大概率与多数国家达成部分贸易协议或延期，对少数国家实施关税 | | | ◆ 参议院通过的法案版本带来更高的财政赤字,可能进一步推动国债收益率上行。 | | | ◆ 7月9日关税豁免到期后,美国大概率将对大部分国家延长协议或达成部分贸易协议,可能会对少数国家实施关税。 上半年经济总量韧性较强,政策或处于观察窗期 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and strategies of ETF and index products, highlighting their market trends and investment opportunities in the current financial landscape [4]. Group 1: ETF and Index Products Performance - The report provides insights into the recent performance of ETF and index products, indicating a significant increase in trading volumes and investor interest [4]. - It notes that the market for ETFs has expanded, with a notable rise in assets under management, reflecting a growing trend among investors towards passive investment strategies [4]. Group 2: Market Trends and Strategies - The article emphasizes the importance of grid strategies in ETF and index product investments, suggesting that these strategies can enhance returns in volatile markets [4]. - It outlines various market conditions that could impact ETF performance, including economic indicators and investor sentiment, which are crucial for making informed investment decisions [4].

分析师：柏逸凡 登记编号：S0890524100001 分析师：程秉哲 登记编号：S0890522110001 投资要点 本报告统计时间为2025.06.23-2025.06.27。 指数层面，沪指冲上3400短期内指数方面或需震荡整固确认支撑，短期以结构性机会为主。前期 上涨较多的大金融板块动能有所减弱，不过银行板块的调整或主因季末部分风格漂移的基金进行 调仓，导致短期抛压上升，但跨月后有望扭转，仍然可视作布局机会。此外，市场情绪和活跃度 回升后，预计主题方向短期有望迎来机会，美股科技近期强势，指向科技股业绩前景仍然向好， 叠加前期成交占比回落，TMT、AI、算力、半导体、游戏等方向近期性价比上升。 权益市场， 上周，小盘成长风格重回优势；市场波动方面，大小盘风格波动下降，价值成长风格 波动略有上升。市场结构方面，上周，行业指数超额收益离散度略有上升，成分股上涨比例大幅 提高，行业轮动速度下降；交易集中度方面，前100个股成交集中度较上期持平，前5行业成交额 占比上升。市场活跃度方面，上周，市场波动率上升，市场换手率大幅增加。 商品市场方面 ，上周，商品市场方面，除农产品外，其余板块趋势强度均有所下降；基差 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China Financial Products Annual Report titled "Ecological Leap" emphasizes the transformation of the wealth and asset management industry towards a service-oriented model, highlighting the need for industry-wide collaboration and the reconstruction of the wealth ecosystem [2][3]. Group 1: Insights on Wealth Ecosystem - The report reflects on the past year's efforts and anticipates future explorations, marking the 14th consecutive year of publication [1][2]. - The concept of "ecological leap" signifies a comprehensive and profound transformation within the industry, requiring collective progress rather than isolated actions from individual institutions [2][3]. - The value of research services is underscored as essential for identifying trends and guiding industry transformation [2]. Group 2: Financial Product Overview - The report includes a detailed directory covering various financial products and their market outlooks, such as bank wealth management, public funds, ETFs, trust markets, and private equity funds [3][4][5]. - It addresses key topics like the challenges of net value fixed-income products, the impact of structured products, and the evolution of private equity strategies [3][4][5][6]. Group 3: Future Directions - The report outlines the necessity for a buyer-centric perspective in research, aiming for a synergistic evolution of the financial ecosystem [3][6]. - It discusses the importance of adapting to new market conditions and the potential for innovative financial products to emerge in response to changing investor needs [4][5][6].

Regulatory and Industry Dynamics - On June 24, the People's Bank of China and six other departments issued guidelines to support consumption, emphasizing the need for innovative financial products that meet household wealth management needs and enhance residents' property income [2][5] - As of May 2025, there are 164 public fund management institutions in China, managing a total net asset value of 33.74 trillion yuan, an increase of 6.26 billion yuan from April [6] Yield Performance - For the week of June 23-29, 2025, cash management products recorded an annualized yield of 1.42%, up 1 basis point, while money market funds reported a yield of 1.32%, up 2 basis points [3][8] - The yield of pure fixed income and fixed income + products generally declined, influenced by factors such as the stock-bond seesaw effect and seasonal liquidity [9][10] Product Innovation and Market Trends - ICBC Wealth Management and China Post Wealth Management participated as cornerstone investors in the IPO of Sanhua Intelligent Control, each acquiring a stake of 20 million USD [7] - The ongoing valuation rectification in bank wealth management is expected to limit product yield potential, as companies shift focus towards low-volatility, high-liquidity assets [10][14]