小熊跑的快
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美股进入垃圾股时间
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-17 22:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of VIX futures ETFs, highlighting a divergence in market behavior where high-quality U.S. stocks are declining while lower-quality stocks are rising, potentially influenced by global interest rate expectations [1]. Group 1: VIX Futures ETFs - Both 2x long VIX futures ETF (UVIX) and 1x short VIX futures ETF (SVIX) are experiencing gains, indicating increased volatility in the market [1]. - There is a noted discrepancy in the performance of UVIX, which is reported to be declining despite the overall trend of VIX ETFs rising, suggesting potential issues with market data [1]. Group 2: Stock Market Trends - High-quality core U.S. assets such as NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Microsoft are stagnant or declining, while lower-quality stocks like Tesla are seeing gains, indicating a shift in market sentiment [1]. - This trend has persisted for three days, possibly linked to global expectations regarding interest rate cuts, with speculation on a 25 to 50 basis point reduction [1]. Group 3: Gold Market - Gold has also seen a decline over the past three days, suggesting that investors may be cashing out in anticipation of changes in monetary policy [1].
关于恒生科技
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-17 06:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant rise of the Hang Seng Tech Index, outperforming all industry indices in the A-share market, indicating strong market sentiment and potential investment opportunities in tech stocks [1] - There is a growing discussion among local communities and brokers in Hong Kong regarding specific stocks, suggesting increased interest and speculation in the market [2] - The article outlines a strategy for capitalizing on stock unlocks and market entry, emphasizing the use of offshore accounts for large purchases before the stocks are available for trading in the Hong Kong market [4] Group 2 - The strategy involves buying stocks at low prices before they are unlocked and then selling them through a Hong Kong stock account to realize significant profits, effectively allowing capital to exit legally [4] - There is a recognition that this strategy is becoming widely known, indicating a potential increase in competition among investors looking to exploit similar opportunities [5]
各种散打
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-17 00:24
Group 1 - The article highlights a recent trend in the market where various sectors, including self-developed chips and innovative pharmaceuticals, are experiencing increased liquidity and investment activity [1][2] - There is a comparison made to the market behavior observed in November-December of the previous year, indicating a familiar pattern of investment strategies emerging [2] - The focus is on the diversification of investments across different asset classes, including large and small companies, as well as robotics, suggesting a broadening of investment opportunities [2]
开始进入另一种资产交易
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-15 22:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the market's reaction to potential interest rate changes and the performance of various assets, particularly highlighting the movements in the stock of Circle Internet and the broader implications for the market [1][4]. Group 1: Company Analysis - Circle Internet (CRCL.N) has a current stock price of 134.190 with a trading volume of 12.52 million shares and a market capitalization of 130.9 billion [2]. - The company has a negative price-to-earnings ratio of -90, indicating potential challenges in profitability [2]. - The stock has shown a slight decline of 0.16% in after-hours trading, reflecting market volatility [2]. Group 2: Market Trends - The market is anticipating a confirmation of interest rate cuts on the 18th, with current trading reflecting a 50 basis point adjustment [4]. - There is a notable increase in the prices of various commodities, including gold and other "junk assets," suggesting a shift in investor sentiment towards these assets amid interest rate speculation [4].
万芯大战
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-15 00:32
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that after three years, the competition in the model arena has not escalated as expected, and the models have started to converge, indicating that the first round of eliminations globally has concluded [1] Group 2 - Currently, the industry is experiencing a "battle of chips," with various companies involved in the production of general-purpose GPUs, including Nvidia, AMD, and others, as well as ASICs from companies like Google, Meta, ByteDance, OpenAI, AWS, Microsoft, Alibaba, and Baidu [2] Group 3 - In the domestic market, there are still dozens of well-known and lesser-known companies producing general-purpose GPUs and custom ASICs, with TSMC being highlighted as the best in this space [3]
码农汇聚一堂
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-13 08:35
Group 1 - The gathering of various programmers from different companies indicates a significant presence of tech professionals in the industry [1] - There is a consensus among programmers that the future of the profession appears bleak, with new graduates facing challenges in employment [2] - Experienced programmers feel their skills are undervalued, as newer AI technologies can perform tasks that previously required human expertise [2] Group 2 - The sentiment among programmers suggests a decline in the industry, with some believing it is nearing its end [2] - The rapid advancement of AI technologies is leading to a situation where even senior programmers feel outmatched by AI capabilities [2] - The perception of job security and value in the programming profession is diminishing, particularly for front-end developers [2]
阿里的可转债
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-12 08:12
Group 1 - Alibaba announced a $3.2 billion convertible bond financing [1] - 80% of the funds will be used for cloud infrastructure [2] - The market perceives large companies investing as a positive signal, which differs from the analysis in the US stock market [3] Group 2 - Last night, companies like GDS and CenturyLink saw significant stock price increases, but today, A-share data center stocks opened high and then fell [4] - The average capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue for the three major North American cloud providers and Meta is noted [7] - Meta's capital expenditure is expected to exceed 25.7% this year and surpass 50% next year [8] - Alibaba's current capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue is 15.6% [9] - There is a significant overseas revenue share for Alibaba, indicating room for growth in the domestic market [10]
今晚circle和aidc
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-11 14:20
Group 1 - Nasdaq has introduced two trading models to meet diverse investor needs: traditional digital ownership and tokenized trading based on blockchain technology [1] - Investors can specify their preference for tokenized transactions when submitting orders, which will then be processed by the Depository Trust Company (DTC) [1] - This initiative aligns with the trend of traditional financial institutions entering the digital asset space and responds to regulatory changes in the crypto asset sector [1] Group 2 - The USDC has a competitive advantage as it is commonly listed as a default trading pair on many exchanges, and the US government is expected to support its transparency and security [1] - There has been a notable increase in interest in AIDC, suggesting potential new orders from major companies [3]
猛哭了——甲骨文
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-10 23:34
Group 1 - The article highlights a significant surge in a company's market value, approaching $1 trillion, with a notable increase of 26% after hours and 27% in night trading, indicating a strong market reaction [1] - The company is positioned as a leader in AI computing power, with 23 firms heavily investing in AI, contrasting with slower adoption from giants like Amazon and Apple, which saw declines of 3.3% and 3.2% respectively [3] - There is skepticism regarding the company's reported $300 billion in new orders, with analysts questioning the sources of these orders, suggesting that actual commercial enterprises may not account for such a large figure [3] Group 2 - The company's CEO disclosed a potential increase of $63 billion in orders for the fourth quarter, which appears more feasible when considering existing clients like OpenAI and major internet firms in Asia-Pacific [3] - The article notes that Google Cloud has reported a quarter-over-quarter growth of $16 billion in orders, indicating competitive dynamics in the cloud services market [3]
甲骨文和nebius
小熊跑的快· 2025-09-09 23:33
Core Viewpoint - Oracle's cloud business has shown exceptional growth, with a significant increase in remaining performance obligations (RPO), leading to a positive market response despite overall revenue falling short of expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue for the quarter reached $14.9 billion, slightly below the expected $15 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 12% in USD and 11% at constant currency [1]. - Adjusted net income grew by 8% to $4.3 billion, slightly exceeding analyst expectations [1]. - Cloud computing revenue surged by 28% to $7.2 billion, while software sales declined by 1% to $5.7 billion [1]. Group 2: Cloud Infrastructure and AI Business - The remaining performance obligations (RPO) surged to $455 billion, a 359% increase from $138 billion three months prior, driven by several multi-billion dollar contracts [2]. - Major clients, including OpenAI, have signed significant contracts, indicating strong demand for Oracle's cloud infrastructure [4]. - Oracle's cloud infrastructure revenue is projected to grow by 77% this fiscal year, reaching $18 billion, with most revenue already secured in the current RPO figures [5]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Oracle plans to invest over $25 billion in capital expenditures next year, which is significantly lower than competitors like Microsoft, which is expected to invest $120 billion [3][4]. - Major tech companies, including Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta, are projected to spend over $350 billion on data centers and AI infrastructure this year, with expectations to exceed $500 billion by 2026 [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company anticipates more multi-billion dollar deals in the coming months, potentially pushing the order backlog beyond $500 billion by year-end [5]. - Future revenue projections indicate growth to $32 billion next year, $73 billion the following year, and reaching $114 billion by the third year [7].