Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed a strong performance today, with all three major indices closing higher, indicating a positive market sentiment and potential investment opportunities in the technology sector [2][4]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.69% to close at 3917.36 points, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.47% to 13332.73 points, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.23% to 3191.98 points. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 186.19 billion yuan, an increase of 136 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2][4]. - The market's core performance was concentrated in the technology sector, with notable individual stock performances including Zhongji Xuchuang up 8.01%, Xinyi Sheng up 6.61% reaching a historical high of 466.66 yuan per share, and Tianfu Communication up 4.19% [4][5]. Sector Analysis - The semiconductor sector showed strong gains, with stocks like SMIC up 6.06%, Hua Hong Semiconductor up 4.49%, and SenseTime up 8.15%. These stocks also provided significant support to the Hang Seng Index, which rose by 0.43% [5]. - The trading volume of the Hang Seng Index was 169.7 billion Hong Kong dollars, reflecting a strong correlation with the A-share market. Leading sectors included communication equipment (up 2.38%), semiconductors (up 2.39%), and consumer electronics (up 1.24%), while sectors like consumer goods and banking (excluding Agricultural Bank) showed weaker performance [5][6]. Individual Stock Movements - A total of 2885 stocks rose while 2151 stocks fell by the market close. The afternoon session saw a reversal, with 480 stocks changing from gain to loss, indicating increased selling pressure [6]. - China Shenhua announced a restructuring plan involving a significant acquisition worth 133.5 billion yuan, which initially led to a drop in stock price but later recovered to close up 0.71%. This transaction is expected to influence market dynamics and the valuation of other state-owned enterprises [7].

Market Overview - A-shares saw a collective rise in the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.36% closing at 3890.45 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.66% at 13140.21 points, and the ChiNext Index up 0.49% at 3122.24 points [3][4] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.7259 trillion yuan, an increase of 70.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day [3][5] Market Characteristics - The market exhibited a clear upward trend with approximately 4290 stocks rising and only 869 declining, resulting in a median increase of 1.19% across all stocks [4] - Key characteristics of the market included: - A broad-based rally with most stocks performing steadily [6] - Significant rebound in previously underperforming sectors, particularly in consumer-related fields such as real estate services, commercial retail, food and beverage, packaging materials, textiles, and light industry [6] - Micro-cap stocks showed strong performance, with an average increase of about 2.5% today, contributing to market enthusiasm [6] Sector Performance - Financial stocks showed lackluster performance, with the securities sector up 0.48%, banks down 0.11%, and insurance remaining flat [7] - Technology stocks continued to decline, with notable drops in semiconductors (down 0.76%), electronic chemicals (down 0.49%), and precious metals (down 0.72%) [7] - Some high-profile stocks experienced significant volatility, with notable declines in stocks like Moller Thread (down approximately 5.8%) and Muxi Co. (down about 9.08%) [7] International Market Influence - Following the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike, the Nikkei index rose by 1.03%, while South Korean indices increased by 0.65%. The Hang Seng Index also saw a rise of 0.75%, marking three consecutive days of gains [7]

水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 兵不厌诈 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日走势分化，截止收盘，沪指涨0.16%，收报3876.37点；深证成指跌 1.29%，收报13053.97点；创业板指跌2.17%，收报3107.06点。 沪深两市成交额16555 亿，较昨日缩量1557亿。 老水看盘 今天 市场成交量为 1.65 万亿，较昨 天 明显缩量，主力资金再度净流出超 400 亿元。 科技股是 今天 杀跌的核心力量，无论是 " 易中天 " 还是 " 纪联 海 " ，均出现大幅走低。 其中， "易中天" 对深成指影响较大，导致 今天 深成指跌幅达 1.27% 左右。相比之下，沪 指受 "农 伟达 " 奋力拉抬影响，不仅未跌，反而上涨 0.1 6 % 。 科技股走弱主要受纳斯达克大跌的传导影响。以标志性个股为例，甲骨文股价从高点至今已腰 斩，英伟达股价从 212 美元 / 股 跌至当前 170 美元 / 股 左右，跌幅接近 20% 。这意味 着人工智能领域的炒作热潮正明显降温，进而影响到 A 股科技股的走势。 同期，恒生科技指数盘中最大跌幅也超过 1.6% 。 支撑 今天 盘面的核心力量，除了微盘股反弹外，便是大 ...

水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 浑水摸鱼 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日集体走强，截止收盘，沪指涨1.19%，收报3870.28点；深证成指涨 2.40%，收报13224.51点；创业板指涨3.39%，收报3175.91点。 沪深两市成交额达到 18111亿，较昨日放量870亿。 老水看盘 峰回路转，绝处逢生 。 关键点位能够扭转乾坤的莫过于券商板块。下午 1 点 38 分起，券商板块强势拉升，成功化 解了上证指数随时下破 3800 点整数关口的风险，不仅将指数推至 今天的 高点，更有效激发 了市场人气，个股随之全线上涨。 午盘时，个股 下跌 与 上涨 比例约为 2:1 ，到收盘时这一比例完成逆转，上涨个股数量占据 优势；午盘时个股中位数跌幅为 0.75% ，收盘时中位数涨幅转为 0.6% 。龙头股表现亮 眼，中信证券平地起跳，最高涨幅达 2.38% ，带动券商板块指数从下跌 0.9% 一路冲高至 最高 2.1% ，尾盘略有回落，最终板块整体上涨 1.32% 。 其中，华泰证券一度冲击涨停，尾盘虽有回落，但仍收涨约 6% ，不过其 H 股 今天 涨幅相 对有限，仅超 2% 。 券商板块此番异动，据媒体报道 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.11% to close at 3824.81 points, the Shenzhen Component down by 1.51% to 12914.67 points, and the ChiNext Index dropping by 2.10% to 3071.76 points [2][3] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.72 trillion yuan, a decrease of 49.3 billion yuan compared to the previous day [2][3] Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new closing low of 3824 points, marking the lowest point in the current adjustment phase [3] - A total of 888 stocks rose while 4294 stocks fell, indicating a significant imbalance in market performance [3] - The median decline for all stocks was approximately 1.8%, with 46 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 36 stocks hitting the limit down [3] Sector Analysis - The consumer sector showed relative resilience, with sectors such as liquor, commercial retail, tourism, food and beverage, and beauty services experiencing smaller declines [4] - Real estate services, automotive services, and banking and securities sectors also demonstrated limited declines despite not closing in the green [4] Capital Flow - Major capital outflows were concentrated in the technology sector, particularly in CPU, communication equipment, semiconductors, and consumer electronics [5] - The new energy and non-ferrous metals sectors also faced adjustments today [5] External Influences - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant downturn, impacting the A-share market, particularly in technology stocks [5][6] - Concerns over the AI bubble have intensified, with a recent storm causing delays in data center construction, leading to a reevaluation of valuations for related operators [6] - The tightening liquidity in the market and the upcoming interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan on December 19 are expected to have a pronounced effect on the Hong Kong stock market, which could further influence A-share market expectations [6]

水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 勉为其难 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日集体回调，截止收盘，沪指跌0.55%，收报3867.92点；深证成指跌 1.10%，收报13112.09点；创业板指跌1.77%，收报3137.80点。 沪深两市成交额17734 亿，较上一交易日缩量3188亿。 老水看盘 逆势而上。 恒生科技指数方面，阿里巴巴盘中大跌约 3.5% ，腾讯控股亦表现疲软。 小米股价跌幅超 2% 。创新药板块中， A 股一品红 今天 开盘即跌停（跌幅 20% ），直接带动恒瑞医药、 药明系个股同步回落，跌幅均在 3% 左右。 周末影响市场的主要利空因素之一是万科，其三项展期方案均未获通过。尽管万科仍有五天宽 限期，且可再次召开债权人大会商议，但无论展期方案最终是否通过，核心仍取决于房地产市 场能否回暖、资金能否顺利回笼，唯有如此才能化解债务压力，否则仍面临实际违约风险。 今 天 万科股价盘中下跌约 3% ，基本回吐了前两天的涨停 的阳线 涨幅。 此前周末，我们已对 今天 及本周市场走势进行详细分析，感兴趣的投资者加入 水皮私享会后 查阅内部周 评 。 （本文数据来自：choice数据） 一句话点评：勉为 ...

盘面消息 A股三大指数今日集体上涨，截止收盘，沪指涨0.41%，收报3889.35点；深证成指涨 0.84%，收报13258.33点；创业板指涨0.97%，收报3194.36点。 沪深两市成交额达到 20922亿，较昨日放量2351亿。 水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 借力打力 老水看盘 中国平安再度创下新高。 今天盘中，平安最高价达 64.09 元/股，收盘价为 63.91 元 /股 ，不仅盘中创新高，收盘 价亦刷新纪录，涨幅约 2.2%。其稳健上涨直接带动保险板块走强，保险板块今天在金融板块 中表现最佳，涨幅达 1.55%，位居涨幅榜前列。值得关注的是，中国平安对上证指数的拉动 作用显著，一度成为上证指数的最大贡献股。事实上，上周五中国平安就已表现亮眼，直接推 动上证指数走出大幅反弹行情，连续两周助力指数走强，其表现值得关注。 中国平安之所以能有如此表现，主要有三方面原因：其一，行业获投行看好，某机构上周专门 发布研报予以肯定；其二，金融监管总局下调保险资金投资大蓝筹的风险因子，这为保险资金 入市提供了有力支撑，也让市场对保险公司的业绩增长抱有期待；其三，中国平安在保险板块 中今年涨幅不大，当前存 ...

水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 功败垂成 盘面消息 今天 摩尔线程再度暴涨，收盘报 941.08 元 /股 ，创全天最高价，涨幅达 28.04%，总市 值已升至 4423 亿元。相较于上市后556 元 /股 的最低价，当前股价近乎翻倍；若对比 114 元 /股 的发行价，涨幅更为惊人。 作为仍处于亏损状态的个股，摩尔线程为何能遭到爆炒？核心原因有三： 其一， 2025 年科技股炒作中涌现 "市标率" 新概念。所谓 " 市标率 " ，是将国内相关科技 股与美国同类标的对标，核心并非比较估值，而是 比较市值 ， 所以出现了 "市标率" 这一概 念 。 既然寒武纪可与英伟达对标， 为什么 摩尔线程与寒武纪 不能做对比呢？所以，这实际 是 "市标率" 在国内同类股票之中的一个应用。 今天 寒武纪下跌 2.73%，收盘价 1382 元 /股 ，市值 5828 亿元，摩尔线程与寒武纪的市 值差距并非遥不可及，甚至存在超越可能。 其二，国产 GPU "四小龙" 相关标的上市进程持续推进。其中，沐曦股份预计下周上市，有 望吸引炒新资金聚焦；后续还有燧原科技、璧仞科技等公司排队上市，意味着相关概念题材的 炒作尚未进入尾 ...

" 醉里挑灯看剑，梦回吹角连营 " ， 观 今天 盘面， 水皮 脑中不禁浮现辛弃疾《破阵子》中的这两句。 股市如战场，多空双方博弈厮杀、你来我往，胜败往往在转 念 之间。而 今天 力挽狂澜、挽救大盘的，出人意料竟是房地产板块。 午后 13 点 13 分，万科率先启动拉升，不过初期并未扭转盘面颓势，大盘仍在持续探底。直至 13 点 25 分，万科发起第三波拉升时，中信 证券与东方财富同步发力，带动整个券商板块集体走强，进而联动房地产板块协同向上。两大板块交替发力，共同将指数推向相对高点。 水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 力不从心 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日涨跌不一，截止收盘，沪指跌0.23%，收报3900.50点；深证成指涨0.29%，收报13316.42点；创业板指跌0.02%，收 报3209.00点。 沪深两市成交额17785亿，较昨日缩量1254亿。 老水看盘 房地产板块盘中一度下跌 0.75% ，随后最高冲高至 2.2% ，日内震荡幅度接近 3% ，最终收盘涨幅回落至 1.5% 左右；券商板块盘中最低 下跌约 0.25% ，之后快速拉升至 0.76% ，收盘回落至 0.58% 。作为此次行情的始 ...

水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 吹灯拔蜡 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日涨跌不一，截止收盘，沪指跌0.37%，收报3909.52点；深证成指跌 0.39%，收报13277.36点；创业板指涨0.61%，收报3209.60点。 沪深两市成交额达到 19040亿，较昨日缩量1327亿。 老水看盘 一颗红心两手准备。 什么是两手准备？所谓两手准备就是打得赢就打，打不赢就跑。 今天 市场高点出现在上午 10 点 04 分，此为科技股 " 八大金刚 " 第一波拉升的目标位。 市场所指的 " 八大金刚 " ，在深市的核心标的为 "易中天胜" ，在沪市则是 " 纪 联 海中 " 。彼时深成指涨幅一度达到 0.5% ，而上证指数表现逊色不少，全天高点仅触及 3923.90 点，未能回补跳空缺口，也未实现翻红。 金融股 今天 再度承担护盘职责。 10 点前，中信证券率先被拉升，股价从 28.52 元 / 股 快速冲高至 28.83 元 / 股 ，盘中拉升幅度接近 1% ，但尾盘回落至 28.52 元 / 股 ，最 终全天录得 0.59% 的跌幅；证券板块整体跌幅更大，达到 1.4% 左右。 10 点至 10 点半这半小时内 ...