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为什么现在洪水、暴雨、干旱越来越多了?
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-29 13:36
以下文章来源于知识分子 ,作者袁烨 知识分子 . 知识分子由非营利公益组织北京市海淀区智识前沿科技促进中心主办,以传播科学知识、弘扬科学精 神、促进科学文化为使命,致力于关注科学、人文、思想。我们将兼容并包,时刻为渴望知识、独立思 考的人努力,共享人类知识、共析现代思想、共建智趣中国。 本文来自微信公众号: 知识分子 ,作者:袁烨,注:本文首发于2024年12月13日,头图来自:AI生 成 备受中国游客喜爱的旅游名城泰国清迈近期遭洪水侵袭。10月初,因连日暴雨导致河水水位上涨, 五十年以来最大的一次洪水涌入这座泰北城市,古城角落、居民区、多个旅游景点被淹没,造成游客 被困和人员伤亡。不只清迈,季风季以来,泰国已有至少23个省份受灾。 对于临近海洋的泰国而言,季风暴雨带来的洪涝灾害并不陌生。但让许多本地居民困惑的是,2024 年的降雨量与往年相比并不突出,却发生了严重洪水。泰国本地媒体《曼谷时报》认为,清迈省内因 农业用地扩张而引发的毀林等现象让当地在暴雨面前变得更加脆弱,"光秃秃的山体更容易发生山 洪"。 近年来,从国内汛期频繁发生的洪涝灾害到清迈刚刚遭遇的严重洪水,与水有关的灾害越来越多。根 据世界气象组织 ...
释永信翻车,关键并不在于财色破戒
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-29 13:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the expulsion of Shaolin Temple's abbot Shi Yongxin due to serious violations of Buddhist precepts, including alleged criminal activities and inappropriate relationships, highlighting the clash between personal conduct and societal expectations of monastic life [1]. Group 1: Background on Shaolin Temple and Shi Yongxin - Shaolin Temple is part of the Caodong sect of Zen Buddhism, where monks in Japan can marry and manage temple assets as family businesses, contrasting with the Chinese model where temples are public entities [1][7]. - Shi Yongxin has transformed Shaolin Temple into a significant commercial brand over the past 40 years, creating a vast business empire worth billions, which has led to scrutiny over the temple's management practices [9][10]. Group 2: Comparison with Japanese Buddhist Practices - The article references the case of Hashimoto Hideki, who reformed a temple in Japan by abolishing traditional donation systems and implementing transparent pricing for services, resulting in a significant increase in revenue and community engagement [2][3]. - Hashimoto's approach emphasizes the need for modern management practices in religious institutions, contrasting with the opaque financial operations often seen in Chinese temples [10][12]. Group 3: Implications of Management Practices - The lack of transparency in Shaolin Temple's operations raises concerns about potential corruption and mismanagement, as the abbot's power and benefits are not personally owned but rather tied to the temple's public assets [12]. - The article suggests that the core issue is not merely Shi Yongxin's personal failings but the outdated and non-transparent operational model of Shaolin Temple, which could lead to similar issues in the future if not addressed [12].
蒋凡再造一个“美团”?
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-29 09:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the intense competition between Meituan and Alibaba's Taobao Flash Purchase, highlighting the strategic maneuvers and market dynamics at play in the food delivery and instant retail sectors [3][58]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The fierce competition in the food delivery market has led to significant financial investments, with Meituan's core business operator Wang Puzhong calling for a "ceasefire" after a 25 billion yuan battle [3][5]. - Despite the cessation of reckless subsidies, promotional activities continue, with users still able to access substantial discounts on delivery apps [5][23]. - Instant retail is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan in scale this year, with a forecast of surpassing 2 trillion yuan in the next five years, driven by major players like Meituan, JD.com, and Douyin [14][15]. Group 2: Strategic Moves - Alibaba's strategy appears to focus on defensive maneuvers rather than directly surpassing Meituan, aiming to protect its e-commerce base from encroachment [8][9]. - The launch of Taobao Flash Purchase is seen as a way to preemptively counter Meituan's expansion into e-commerce, with Alibaba emphasizing a unique branding strategy to capture user attention [18][19]. - Meituan's response to Alibaba's aggressive moves includes a "bloodletting plan," utilizing high-value coupons and promotions to maintain its market position [45][49]. Group 3: User Engagement and Experience - User engagement metrics have surged across platforms, with JD.com reporting an increase of 20.73 million daily active users, and Taobao surpassing 200 million daily active users [23]. - The article notes that while Taobao Flash Purchase has seen rapid order growth, it struggles with user experience issues, such as limited merchant recommendations and a less flexible interface compared to Meituan [28][32]. - The sustainability of high order volumes driven by subsidies is questioned, as the influx of "bargain hunters" may not translate into long-term customer loyalty [37][56]. Group 4: Financial Implications - The financial implications of the subsidy wars are significant, with Alibaba reportedly spending 231.8 billion yuan on subsidies in a short period [49][50]. - The article suggests that while high order volumes can be achieved through aggressive marketing, the long-term profitability of such strategies remains uncertain, especially as operational costs rise [36][56]. - Meituan's ability to maintain a competitive edge may hinge on its operational efficiency and technological infrastructure, which are currently under strain from the high volume of orders [53][54].
百镜大战,终于不再乱打了
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-29 09:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state and future prospects of the AI and AR glasses industry, highlighting the mixed consumer reactions and the competitive landscape shaped by major tech companies entering the market [5][15]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The AI glasses market is experiencing a surge in interest, particularly during events like the World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC), where products are available for hands-on experience [3]. - There is a notable emotional divide among consumers regarding AI glasses, with some expressing disappointment and others being pleasantly surprised by the technology [5][7]. - The industry is expected to face a challenge in aligning hardware capabilities with software advancements over the next decade, as consumer expectations evolve [7]. Group 2: Product Development - The success of Ray-Ban Meta glasses has significantly influenced the development of AI glasses, with a reported global shipment of 1.5 million units, setting a benchmark for other manufacturers [8]. - Many new AI glasses products lack logical positioning, with some focusing excessively on features like photography without a clear integration with social media platforms [9]. - Companies are beginning to refine their product positioning, with some like Halliday focusing on display capabilities rather than traditional features [10][12]. Group 3: Major Players and Competition - Xiaomi and Alibaba have recently entered the AI glasses market, showcasing the competitive pressure on smaller startups [16][18]. - Alibaba's Quark AI glasses are expected to leverage the company's extensive software ecosystem, offering features like real-time translation and integration with various services [18]. - The industry is likely to see a convergence of hardware specifications and core functionalities, leading to a more stratified competitive landscape where smaller firms focus on niche markets while larger companies dominate the mainstream [18].
全球第一:中国最快高铁,要来了
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-29 09:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the development and economic implications of China's fastest high-speed rail, the Chengdu-Chongqing line, which will operate at speeds of up to 400 km/h, marking a shift from the current standard of 200 km/h and 350 km/h [3][8]. Group 1: Economic Impact of High-Speed Rail - The Chengdu-Chongqing high-speed rail will reduce travel time between the two cities from over 1 hour to approximately 50 minutes, enhancing connectivity [8]. - The overall travel time from Shanghai to Chengdu could decrease from 10 hours to around 6 hours with the full implementation of the Yangtze River high-speed rail [12]. - The economic significance of reducing travel time by 4 hours is substantial, as the Yangtze River high-speed rail connects major economic hubs in one of China's most densely populated and economically active regions [13]. Group 2: Future of High-Speed Rail - The article highlights the ambitious goal of achieving "city-to-city" high-speed rail connections at 400 km/h, although current infrastructure primarily supports speeds of 200-250 km/h [27][28]. - The existing high-speed rail network is nearing saturation, making large-scale expansion less likely, and the focus may shift to upgrading or constructing new lines [27][29]. - The article suggests that while "city-to-city" connections at 400 km/h may not be widely achievable, there remains a strong demand for high-speed rail and magnetic levitation trains between major urban centers [32]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The article mentions the introduction of the CR450 train, which can reach speeds of 450 km/h, representing the fastest high-speed rail technology globally [3][4]. - High-speed magnetic levitation trains, with a design speed of 600 km/h, are in development and could revolutionize intercity travel, significantly reducing travel times between major cities [15][17]. - The potential for high-speed magnetic levitation to connect major urban areas within 2-3 hours poses a competitive threat to both high-speed rail and air travel [17][18].
Steam对成人内容“动手”,是因为无奈?
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-29 09:23
Core Viewpoint - Valve's recent tightening of adult content regulations on Steam has raised concerns among players and developers about the platform's future content policies and the influence of payment processors [2][10][12]. Summary by Sections Recent Changes in Regulations - Valve updated the Steamworks developer platform documentation, adding a new rule that prohibits content that may violate payment processors' standards, particularly regarding adult content [2][4]. - Over 100 games were marked as "Retired" within two days of the announcement, many of which contained adult themes [4][10]. Payment Processor Influence - The primary reason for the new restrictions stems from pressure from payment processors like Visa and Mastercard, which have been increasingly cautious about servicing adult content-related businesses [7][10]. - Valve's actions are seen as a passive response to the risk of losing payment processing services if they do not comply with these pressures [10][12]. Implications for Content Ownership - The situation highlights the fragility of digital content ownership, as players may lose access to games they have purchased if the developers decide to remove them from the platform [15][16]. - The user agreement on Steam indicates that players do not own the games they purchase, raising concerns about the implications of such policies on digital rights [16][17]. Broader Trends in Content Regulation - The tightening of content regulations is not limited to Steam; similar pressures have been observed on platforms like OnlyFans and Patreon, where payment processors have influenced content policies [20][21]. - The trend suggests that payment processors may increasingly dictate what content can be sold on various platforms, leading to greater uncertainty for developers and players alike [24][25].
冯仑:关于非洲房地产考察的几点思考
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-29 00:05
Group 1: Real Estate Insights - The trip to Africa provided a new perspective on the real estate industry, emphasizing the importance of understanding different economic stages rather than applying a uniform standard across markets [4][6] - There is a notable opportunity in developing high-quality residential properties that cater to local needs, especially during the early stages of urbanization [5][6] - The success of real estate projects in Africa is heavily influenced by land tenure systems, with issues such as unclear property rights and complex approval processes posing significant challenges [6][7] - Real estate development is viewed as a long-term investment, where patience and strategic location selection can yield substantial returns over time [7][8] Group 2: Entrepreneurship Observations - Entrepreneurship is characterized as a personal journey that cannot be taught but is developed through real-world experiences and challenges [10][11] - Successful entrepreneurs in Africa often have backgrounds in state-owned enterprises, which provide them with valuable local knowledge and management skills [11] - A strong professional background is crucial for competitiveness, as demonstrated by entrepreneurs with expertise in construction and design [11] Group 3: Perspectives on Africa - The economic development of Africa is significantly influenced by historical and institutional choices, with many countries experiencing shifts between socialist and market-oriented systems [14][15] - Despite some improvements in urban development, Africa's economic growth remains slow compared to regions like China and Southeast Asia, with many countries still in the early stages of industrialization [15][16] - The current economic landscape in Africa presents opportunities primarily in traditional industries rather than innovative sectors, indicating a mismatch in development stages [16][19]
“大贬值”已经在路上了
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-29 00:05
以下文章来源于妙投APP ,作者丁萍 妙投APP . 出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 丁萍 头图 | AI生图 一场系统性的"大贬值",正以前所未有的规模席卷全球,而它的风暴眼,就在华盛顿的美联储。 这个曾经被视为全球金融稳定器的机构,如今正悖论般地,沦为这场大贬值的加速器。它所承受的,远非寻常的压 力—— 左侧是通胀复燃的深渊,右侧是经济衰退的悬崖,而它的脖子上,还架着一把来自白宫的利刃 。 这幅内外交困的狼狈景象,与多年前一本名为《大贬值》的著作中的预言,精准地重合了。当经济学家丹尼尔·巴 拉塔在这本书中写下"债务炸弹"与"危机周期"的预言时,市场一笑置之,视其为又一次危言耸听。 但到了今天我们才惊骇地发现,那并非预言,而是早已写好的剧本。 美元资产大规模贬值的核心,实际上就是规则制定者权威的崩塌,制度功能的失灵,而这又会波及到每一个普通人 的钱包。 那么,在这场"大贬值"中,我们该如何保住自己的筹码? 购买力的侵蚀 虎嗅旗下二级市场投研服务品牌,为您提供精选上市公司价值拆解,热门赛道产业链梳理 本文播客版由豆包AI播客功能自动生成 我们正处在一场由美元主导的体系性"大贬值"中,而顽固的通胀,就是这场贬值 ...
早报 | 北京强降雨已致30人死亡;中美经贸会谈在瑞典开始举行;居然智家董事长汪林朋不幸身故;苹果首次在中国关停直营店
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-29 00:05
Group 1 - Beijing has experienced extreme rainfall leading to significant casualties and damage, with 30 reported deaths and over 80,000 people evacuated [2][3] - The rainfall has caused severe infrastructure damage, including 31 road disruptions and power outages affecting 136 villages [2][3] - The government has activated emergency response measures and is coordinating rescue and recovery efforts [4] Group 2 - The Chinese government has announced a new childcare subsidy program, providing 3,600 yuan per child per year until the child reaches three years old, starting from January 1, 2025 [6][7] - The subsidy is applicable to all children regardless of the number of children in the family, and parents can apply through an online system [7][8] Group 3 - Longfor Group is in discussions to invite strategic investors from mainland China to join a port trading consortium, indicating ongoing negotiations despite the expiration of an exclusive negotiation period [22] - The company has emphasized that no transactions will occur until all necessary regulatory approvals are obtained [22] Group 4 - Samsung Electronics has signed a semiconductor supply agreement valued at approximately $16.5 billion, with speculation that the client is Tesla [25][28] - Following the announcement, Samsung's stock price rose by 3.5%, marking its largest intraday gain in four weeks [26] Group 5 - The CEO of Ideal Auto has publicly denied making derogatory comments about technology, seeking to clarify his position on the company's focus on valuable technology [33] - Xiaopeng Motors' vice president has refuted rumors regarding the reintroduction of LiDAR technology, asserting the company's commitment to a vision-based approach [34]
每孩每年3600元,你生吗?
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-28 13:47
Core Viewpoint - The newly introduced childcare subsidy policy aims to provide financial support for families with children under three years old, with a current annual subsidy of 3600 yuan per child, which many perceive as insufficient given the high costs of raising children in China [4][5][24]. Group 1: Subsidy Details - Starting from January 1, 2025, the government will issue subsidies for children under three years old, with a basic standard of 3600 yuan per child per year [4][5]. - Some regions, like Hohhot, offer additional one-time subsidies, making the total support for a first child up to 20800 yuan [8]. - The expectation is that the subsidy amount may increase in the future, potentially reaching 10000 yuan or more per year [8]. Group 2: Cost of Raising Children - The average cost of raising a child in China from 0 to 17 years is approximately 538,312 yuan, with urban areas like Shanghai and Beijing having even higher costs of 101,000 yuan and 93,600 yuan respectively [20][21]. - The breakdown of costs shows that raising a child involves significant expenses at various stages, with the largest portion incurred during the ages of 6-14 years [23]. - The high cost of child-rearing in China is highlighted by the fact that it is 6.3 times the per capita GDP, which is among the highest globally [21]. Group 3: Societal Attitudes Towards Childbirth - There is a growing sentiment among the public that the current subsidy is inadequate, with many individuals expressing that they would not consider having children for such a small financial incentive [5][6][9]. - The article notes that societal attitudes towards childbirth are influenced by various factors, including economic conditions and personal aspirations, leading to a decline in birth rates [30][31][35]. - The disparity in birth rates between wealthier and poorer populations is evident, with lower-income families often having a higher birth rate compared to their wealthier counterparts [35][49]. Group 4: Policy Implications and Recommendations - The government’s intention behind the subsidy is to provide a safety net for families who wish to have children, rather than to encourage high-income families to have more children [24][27]. - Suggestions for improving the situation include creating a more supportive environment for families, such as enhancing childcare services, providing parental leave, and ensuring access to quality education [67][68]. - The article argues against punitive measures like taxing single individuals, emphasizing the need for positive incentives rather than moral coercion [62][68].