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伊朗走投无路
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-17 09:36
一个游走于资本市场与佛祖之间的浪子。我可以生,可以死,我大笑,由天决定! 以下文章来源于格隆 ,作者万连山 本文来自微信公众号: 格隆 (ID:guru-lama) ,作者:万连山,头图来自:视觉中国 天天说美元收割全世界,伊朗今天告诉你,什么才叫收割。 截至2025年9月底,美元兑伊朗里亚尔在自由市场的汇率,已达到1:1150000。 格隆 . 然而今年年初时,还是80万里亚尔兑1美元,2010年时还是1万里亚尔兑1美元。 但是,实际的购买力没变。 对此,伊朗议会现任议员侯赛因·萨姆萨米公开嘲讽:"一国货币的声誉无法通过取消四个零来恢复。 相反,只有通过增强货币的实际价值才能达到这一目的。" 就算去掉4个0,实际物价依然在飞涨,钞票的实际购买力依然在下降。 在这种环境中,民间不得不自发"去0",用"土曼"作为计价单位,方便交易。 但官方与民间的计价割裂,也导致货币功能接近崩溃。 所以在经历长达8年的挣扎后,月初,伊朗议会不得不批准对货币制度全面改革。 改革的核心就是, 在未来几年,将里亚尔的面值抹去4个0。 官方给出的解释很体面:这是一次应对恶性通胀的"技术性修复",一场旨在"简化交易"的账本大扫 除。 简 ...
百亿诈骗帝国,为何越打越狂?
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-17 09:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the alarming growth and evolution of global cybercrime networks, particularly focusing on investment scams like "pig butchering," which have become increasingly sophisticated and widespread, posing significant threats to individuals and economies worldwide [5][6][9]. Group 1: Cybercrime Expansion - The U.S. Treasury recently sanctioned a major crime syndicate in Cambodia, targeting 146 individuals and entities involved in extensive fraud operations [5]. - Cybercriminals have stolen over $16.6 billion from U.S. citizens in recent years, with Southeast Asian scams alone causing losses exceeding $10 billion in 2024, marking a 66% year-on-year increase [6]. - The crime network has expanded operations to locations like Dubai, with insiders predicting 2025 will be a peak year for cybercrime [6][8]. Group 2: Evolution of Crime Models - Cybercrime has transformed into a decentralized, modular, and replicable global business model, moving away from traditional organized crime [13][14]. - The emergence of "scam-as-a-service" platforms has lowered the barriers to entry for aspiring criminals, allowing them to easily access tools and resources for conducting scams [15][17]. - Criminal organizations now operate with the efficiency of tech companies, offering standardized training and AI-generated tools for scams [8][18]. Group 3: Globalization and Labor Exploitation - Many workers in scam factories are lured by promises of high-paying jobs but end up trapped in exploitative conditions, losing their freedom and being forced to work long hours [19][20]. - The structure of these operations resembles a modern form of slavery, where the production of trust is commodified and exploited for financial gain [19][20]. Group 4: Challenges in Law Enforcement - Traditional law enforcement methods are ineffective against the adaptive and global nature of cybercrime networks, leading to a "whack-a-mole" effect where efforts to dismantle one operation result in the emergence of others [25][26]. - The disparity in governance and enforcement capabilities between nations complicates the fight against these networks, as they often operate across multiple jurisdictions [29][30]. - The rapid advancement of technology, such as cryptocurrencies and AI, has outpaced regulatory frameworks, enabling criminals to exploit these tools for illicit activities [33][34]. Group 5: Societal Impact and Trust Erosion - The proliferation of scams not only results in financial losses but also erodes societal trust, creating a "global trust deficit" that affects interpersonal relationships and economic interactions [38][41]. - The commodification of emotions and trust in scams leads to a societal environment where genuine connections are viewed with suspicion, ultimately harming future opportunities for collaboration and growth [39][41]. Group 6: Strategic Recommendations - A shift in strategy is necessary, focusing on dismantling the networks rather than just targeting individual leaders [45]. - Law enforcement should leverage technology to trace and freeze illicit funds, while also establishing a more effective international cooperation framework for combating cybercrime [50][51]. - Addressing the root causes of crime through economic development and job creation in vulnerable regions is essential for reducing the appeal of participating in cybercrime [52][53].
年轻正当多穷游
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-17 09:36
Group 1: Core Insights - The article highlights the significant increase in travel during the recent National Day holiday, with 2.432 billion trips taken, marking a historical high, and domestic travel spending reaching 809 billion yuan, an increase of 108.2 billion yuan compared to the previous year [3][4] - Despite the increase in travel volume, the average daily spending per person decreased by 12.98% to 113.88 yuan, indicating a trend of "more quantity, less price" in tourism consumption [4][5] - The post-95 generation has emerged as the main force in travel, with a notable trend of budget travel methods, such as renting tents instead of staying in hotels, and seeking low-cost dining options [5][21] Group 2: Travel Trends and Behavior - The article discusses the characteristics of budget travel, emphasizing that young travelers are increasingly adopting non-traditional methods to save costs, leading to a rise in what is termed "frugal travel" [5][20] - The narrative contrasts the current travel behaviors of young people with past societal norms, suggesting a shift in values where budget travel is no longer stigmatized but rather embraced [20][21] - The author reflects on personal experiences of budget travel, illustrating that meaningful travel experiences do not necessarily require significant financial expenditure [6][10] Group 3: Societal Implications - The article argues that the trend of budget travel among young people reflects broader societal changes, including a shift in attitudes towards wealth and consumption, and a growing confidence in cultural identity [20][24] - It emphasizes the importance of travel experiences for young people in understanding society and developing a well-rounded worldview, which is often lacking in traditional educational settings [21][22] - The author calls for societal support for young travelers, advocating for more accessible travel opportunities, such as increased discounts for students [24]
当AI与老人相爱,谁来为“爱”买单?
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-17 09:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid development of AI companionship robots, highlighting both their market potential and the ethical dilemmas they present, particularly in the context of an aging population and the emotional needs of elderly individuals [4][21]. Market Potential - The global market for AI companionship applications is projected to reach $120 million by the end of 2025, with a cumulative consumer spending of $221 million, reflecting a 64% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [7]. - In China, the potential user base for AI companionship robots exceeds 100 million, driven by approximately 44 million disabled or semi-disabled elderly individuals, 37.29 million living alone, and around 16.99 million suffering from Alzheimer's disease [10]. - The AI companionship robot market is expected to grow from $21.2 million in 2024 to $3.19 billion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 48% [13]. Product Development - AI companionship robots have evolved from simple emotional chatting to multi-dimensional support, integrating health monitoring and safety alerts [11]. - The functionality of these robots is expanding to include emotional recognition, health metrics monitoring, and entertainment, thus enhancing user engagement and market value [11]. Trends in AI Companionship Robots - The development of AI companionship robots is moving towards emotional intelligence, multi-modal interaction, and specialized application scenarios [15]. - Future AI systems are expected to create stable, customizable personalities and long-term memory for users, enhancing the depth of interaction [15]. - The market for service robots is projected to approach $196 billion by 2035, indicating a significant growth opportunity for physical companionship robots [16]. Ethical Considerations - The rise of AI companionship robots raises ethical concerns regarding emotional authenticity, data privacy, and responsibility allocation [19]. - The emotional responses generated by AI are based on algorithms and do not possess genuine human emotional foundations, potentially leading to a decline in users' real-life social interactions [19]. - Data privacy issues are significant, as AI companionship robots collect sensitive personal information, raising concerns about misuse and the need for clear legal frameworks to address responsibility in case of harm [20].
早报|小米成都事故后雷军公开露面演讲;蔚来回应被指控收入虚增;苹果计划推出触控屏Mac电脑;外卖应对无堂食商家加专属标识
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-17 00:09
Group 1: Apple Inc. - Apple is preparing to launch a new MacBook Pro with a touch screen, featuring an OLED display and M6 series chips, expected to be released in late 2026 or early 2027, with a price increase of several hundred dollars compared to current models [2] - Apple CEO Tim Cook emphasized the company's commitment to deepening cooperation in China and highlighted the importance of good economic relations for global stability during a meeting with China's Minister of Commerce [4][5] Group 2: U.S.-Russia Relations - U.S. President Trump announced a productive phone call with Russian President Putin, discussing the Ukraine conflict and potential trade issues post-conflict, with plans for a meeting in Budapest [3] Group 3: Google Services - Google launched two new services for Microsoft 365 users to address service interruptions, including automatic email and file synchronization and a complete migration solution to Google’s ecosystem [7][8] Group 4: Nestlé - Nestlé reported a sales figure of 65.87 billion Swiss francs with an internal growth rate of 0.6%, and announced plans to cut approximately 16,000 jobs globally over the next two years to achieve annual cost savings of 1 billion Swiss francs by 2027 [18] Group 5: Food Safety Regulations - The State Administration for Market Regulation in China is seeking public opinion on new regulations aimed at enhancing food safety in online food delivery services, focusing on accountability and risk prevention [9][10] Group 6: Corporate Leadership Changes - Fuyao Glass announced that its founder, Cao Dewang, resigned as chairman to optimize corporate governance, with Cao Hui elected as the new chairman [11][12][14] - The founder and CEO of Fengchao, Xu Yubin, resigned due to health reasons, having been with the company since its inception [16][17] Group 7: Audit Issues - The Hong Kong Institute of Certified Public Accountants fined PwC and two partners a total of 1.6 million HKD for audit deficiencies related to revenue recognition for a listed company [15] Group 8: E-commerce and Refund Policies - Xianyu announced improvements to its refund mechanism, requiring seller confirmation for refund requests to address transaction vulnerabilities [31][32]
6天前,全球又见证了一场“郁金香泡沫”的破裂
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-17 00:09
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent collapse of the USDe stablecoin, highlighting the inherent risks and vulnerabilities associated with algorithmic stablecoins, particularly in volatile market conditions [2][3][15]. Group 1: USDe's Collapse - On October 11, 2023, USDe, the third-largest stablecoin, experienced a sudden drop from approximately $1 to $0.65 on Binance, leading to a significant loss of market value [2][6]. - The initial appeal of USDe was its promise of high yields, which attracted substantial investment, but this very feature contributed to its instability during market turbulence [4][5][10]. - The collapse was triggered by external market factors, including a significant drop in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices due to geopolitical tensions, resulting in a broader sell-off in the crypto market [11][12]. Group 2: Mechanism of USDe - USDe operates on a decentralized model, relying on collateralization with assets like ETH and utilizing derivatives for hedging, which theoretically maintains its peg to the dollar [9][10]. - The stability of USDe is contingent upon market liquidity and the effectiveness of its hedging mechanisms; however, during extreme market conditions, these mechanisms can fail, leading to significant price deviations [12][15]. - The incident primarily occurred on Binance, where high leverage and trading volume exacerbated the price drop, contrasting with other exchanges where USDe remained more stable [13][14]. Group 3: Broader Implications for Stablecoins - The event raises questions about the reliability of algorithmic stablecoins compared to traditional stablecoins like USDT and USDC, which are backed by fiat reserves [17][21]. - The article emphasizes that the concept of stablecoins is not new and has historical roots in systems like the gold standard, where trust in the backing asset was crucial for stability [18][20]. - Trust remains the fundamental element for the stability of any currency, including stablecoins, and the recent events highlight the fragility of this trust in the absence of robust backing [24][25].
“凑热闹的人”正在杀死文旅消费?
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-17 00:09
以下文章来源于劲旅网 ,作者陈杰tigereat 劲旅网 . 劲旅网-文旅新经济增量价值发现平台。我们以理性、严谨、客观、专业、务实的视角,为中国文旅业 界和关注文旅产业的金融界、科技界、产业界、学界等领域的精英们,实时输出有深度、有态度、高品 质的原创内容,以及产业社群服务。 本文来自微信公众号: 劲旅网 ,作者:陈杰tigereat,编辑:壮壮,题图来自:AI生成 这两天国内多地马拉松被取消的消息铺天盖地,其中劲旅君看到一个有趣的评论: 这样也好,可以让那些"凑热闹的人"被刷掉,让真正热爱马拉松的人得偿所愿。 无独有偶,前几天网上探讨博物馆热时,有声音开始呼吁"博物院要适当收门票"。 为什么呢? 因为在这些观点看来,完全免费的博物馆吸引了太多"凑热闹的人",导致一群根本不爱逛博物馆的人 把真正爱逛博物馆的人挤走。 其实最近这两年,文旅业抱怨"凑热闹的人"太多近乎成为行业趋势。 而这一抱怨在今年十一达到巅峰。 长达8天的假期里,尽管国内出游人次依然在增加,但人均旅游消费却持续下降。一边是热门旅游目 的地摩肩接踵,人满为患;一边却是很多景区、酒店、餐饮、娱乐场所门可罗雀。 这种巨大的反差让当地诸多文旅从业者烦 ...
美的、长江商学院、CCV专家领衔评审:谁在用AI帮客户多卖一单?| F&M抢先看
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-16 13:23
Core Insights - The AI industry is shifting from a technology competition to a focus on ROI, with a consensus among participants that the real value lies in measurable outcomes rather than just capabilities [6][12][13] Investment Trends - Global investment in the AI sector continues to rise, but the number of projects is declining, indicating a shift from broad investment strategies to more targeted ones [6] - The upcoming "2025大鲸榜·GenAI最强落地公司" aims to highlight companies that effectively integrate AI into their operations to drive performance [6][13] Evaluation Framework - The evaluation system for the 2025大鲸榜 has been upgraded to include a diverse panel of judges, including CIOs, academic experts, and investors, ensuring a comprehensive assessment of AI applications [7] - Companies must submit real, complete, and recent case studies to be considered, enhancing the credibility of the evaluation process [7] Challenges in AI Implementation - Six common challenges have been identified for AI deployment in 2025, including the need for industry-specific understanding, data security, and the ability to scale successful projects [10][11] - Experts emphasize that the true test of AI's effectiveness lies in its ability to deliver quantifiable cost reductions and efficiency improvements [11] Future Outlook - The future of AI applications is not just about creating new tools but about transforming production relationships and integrating AI into workflows [12] - Companies that can demonstrate tangible value and ROI will be the ones that succeed in the evolving AI landscape [13]
满屏都在羡慕日本,中国的爆发期即将到来
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-16 13:23
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent political instability in Japan, highlighting the frequent changes in prime ministers and the challenges faced by political leaders, particularly the resignation of Shigeru Ishiba after just one year in office [6][7]. - The potential emergence of a new opposition candidate for prime minister is noted, with the Constitutional Democratic Party's leader, Yoshihiko Noda, planning to meet with other opposition parties to discuss a candidate [7][8]. - The article emphasizes Japan's recent achievements in science, particularly the Nobel Prize wins in 2025, showcasing the country's strong performance in natural sciences over the past 25 years [8][9]. Group 2 - The article explores why Japan has been successful in winning Nobel Prizes, attributing it to a combination of factors including a focus on basic research and a supportive academic environment [10][26]. - Japan's investment in basic research is highlighted, with 14.6% of total R&D spending allocated to it, compared to China's 6.9% in 2024, indicating a significant difference in research funding priorities [26][38]. - The establishment of academic freedom in Japan is discussed as a crucial factor for its success in science, allowing researchers to pursue innovative and original work without excessive constraints [22][29]. Group 3 - The article suggests that China is on a path similar to Japan's two decades ago, recognizing the importance of basic research and the need for improvements in its research environment [34][35]. - Predictions are made regarding China's potential to achieve a significant number of Nobel Prizes by 2035, with a model indicating that economic thresholds must be met for such achievements [42][43]. - The article concludes with a call for sustained effort and focus on foundational research to realize the potential for future Nobel Prize successes in China [45].
我国北方资源枯竭报告:哪个省是最惨的?
虎嗅APP· 2025-10-16 13:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the plight of resource-depleted cities in Northern China, particularly focusing on 21 cities in North China and Northwest China, highlighting their struggles and survival strategies in the face of resource exhaustion [4][5]. Group 1: Coal Cities - Among the 21 cities, 16 are coal-depleted, with coal being the predominant resource, while 3 are depleting non-ferrous metals and 2 are oil-depleted [6][7]. - The coal resources in North and Northwest China are significantly more abundant than in Northeast China, which only accounts for less than 2% of the national coal resources [9][10]. - The six coal-producing regions north of the Kunlun-Qinling-Dabie Mountain line produce nearly half of the world's raw coal and contain over 90% of China's coal reserves [12][14]. - The cities of Shizuishan and Wuhai, known as the "twin coal cities," have been heavily impacted by mining activities, leading to severe ecological degradation [20][21]. - Shizuishan has a strong chemical industry base, producing 85% of the world's cyanamide, and is also a notable agricultural area [21]. - Wuhai, on the other hand, is focusing on coal chemical production and aims to become the global leader in BDO production, with potential to generate over 100 billion in coal chemical output [22][25]. Group 2: Shanxi Province - Shanxi Province is heavily reliant on coal, producing nearly one-seventh of the world's coal with significant economic implications [28]. - The province experienced a GDP growth of 28% in 2021 due to soaring coal prices, but faced a decline of 2.14% in 2024 as coal prices fell [30]. - The over-reliance on coal has led to environmental issues and a lack of diversification in the economy, making it difficult for the province to transition away from coal dependency [31][34]. Group 3: Oil Cities - The article contrasts the fortunes of coal cities with oil cities, highlighting the different trajectories of Puyang and Yumen, both of which are experiencing oil depletion [35][40]. - Puyang has adapted by processing imported oil and developing a petrochemical industry, maintaining its economic viability despite declining local oil production [41]. - In stark contrast, Yumen has faced severe decline, with its once-thriving oil industry collapsing and the city now largely abandoned, serving as a cautionary tale for resource-dependent cities [42][47]. Group 4: Overall Trends - The resource-depleted cities in Northern China exhibit a stark divide, with some cities managing to adapt and thrive while others face dire consequences [50]. - The future of these cities hinges on their ability to either deepen their reliance on resource extraction or pivot towards new economic models [51].