以下文章来源于冷杉RECORD ，作者東昇 冷杉RECORD . 凤凰周刊出品。让讲述更有生命力。 本文来自微信公众号： 冷杉RECORD ，作者：東昇，编辑：雪梨王，题图来自：视觉中国 留给这届中年人的时间，向后宽限了三年。 1月14日，2026年度国考笔试放榜。这个决定命运的数字跳出来之前，38岁的张琪决定先用钱买下一 点赢面。傍晚六点半，他顺着下班的人流走到街边，解锁了一辆共享单车，骑向市中心的考公培训机 构。他要去上一对一的面试课，每小时700元。他已经预交了1.1万元的学费——这笔钱相当于他两个 月的底薪，够交三个月的房贷。 一个多月前，张琪刚走出国考考场。彼时在一张张满是胶原蛋白的脸庞中，他的出现显得突兀。那天 他穿着笔挺整洁的衬衫，鬓角的白发有些扎眼。他在人群中努力寻找，偶尔才能发现几个和自己年龄 相仿的考生。 和年轻人的轻松自如相比，他们显得格外局促。 "年轻人可以等笔试成绩出来再准备面试。我这个年纪，耗不起了。"坐在培训教室的角落里，张琪在 笔记本上密密麻麻写满了答题框架。 这曾是一扇被焊死了30年的门。自1994年以来，"35岁"就像一道无形的屏障，将无数中年人挡在体 制的红线外。但在20 ...

Core Insights - Anthropic's recent report titled "AI Job Displacement Report" highlights the complex relationship between AI and human labor, suggesting that higher education levels correlate with greater job displacement risk due to AI [2][3][6] Group 1: AI Efficiency and Task Complexity - AI demonstrates remarkable efficiency in complex tasks, with Claude increasing work speed by 9 times for tasks requiring only a high school education [8] - For tasks that require a university degree, the acceleration factor rises to 12 times, indicating that AI is most effective in high-intelligence fields like programming and financial analysis [10][13] - The report emphasizes that AI's efficiency gains in complex tasks can outweigh the costs of its occasional errors, making it indispensable in high-skill jobs [10] Group 2: Human-AI Collaboration - The report reveals that AI's "task horizons" can extend significantly when humans are involved, with Claude achieving over 50% success in tasks that would typically take humans 19 hours [17][18] - This suggests a shift towards a collaborative work model where humans guide AI through complex projects, enhancing overall productivity [19] Group 3: Global Disparities in AI Adoption - The report identifies a "adoption curve" where developed countries utilize AI for productivity, while developing nations primarily use it for educational purposes [21][23] - This disparity highlights a technological gap, with Anthropic collaborating with the Rwandan government to help transition from basic learning to broader applications of AI [25] Group 4: Deskilling Concerns - The report raises alarms about "deskilling," indicating that AI is systematically removing high-skill components from jobs, with tasks covered by Claude requiring an average of 14.4 years of education [26] - This trend could lead to a reduction in the value of human labor, as AI takes over complex analytical tasks, leaving humans with less meaningful work [28] Group 5: Productivity Projections - Anthropic revises its productivity growth forecast for the U.S., estimating AI will contribute to a 1.0% to 1.2% annual increase over the next decade, down from a previous estimate of 1.8% [36][38] - Despite the reduction, this growth rate is significant, potentially bringing productivity levels back to those seen during the late 1990s tech boom [38] Group 6: Conclusion - The report emphasizes the rapid adaptation of humans to AI, marking a transition from "passive automation" to "active enhancement" [40] - It suggests that the most valuable human skills will shift towards defining problems rather than merely finding answers in an era of abundant computational power [42]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the strengthening Chinese yuan on the tourism and hospitality industry, highlighting the challenges faced by domestic hotels and the shift in consumer behavior towards outbound travel due to favorable exchange rates [4][10][18]. Group 1: Current Industry Situation - Domestic tourist traffic has decreased by 30% compared to 2024, but inbound tourism is recovering, particularly with high-net-worth visitors from South Korea [4][5]. - The appreciation of the yuan has made it more expensive for foreign tourists to visit China, leading to a decline in hotel bookings and a cautious approach from foreign clients [9][12]. - The recent increase in the yuan's value to 6.85 against the dollar means that foreign tourists can buy fewer services in China, while Chinese tourists find their money goes further abroad [10][12][18]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The demand for outbound travel has surged, with a reported 80.2% increase in flight bookings to popular destinations during the 2026 Spring Festival [14]. - The competition for the Chinese tourism industry is shifting from domestic regions to international destinations with favorable exchange rates [17][18]. - The hospitality sector is experiencing a dual pressure: a decline in inbound tourists and a loss of high-net-worth domestic travelers who prefer cheaper options abroad [30][32]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The article predicts a K-shaped market differentiation in 2026, where businesses engaged in cross-border travel and high-end customized tours will thrive, while mid-tier hotels and travel agencies may face significant challenges [34][35][39]. - The lower segment of the market, focusing on extreme cost-effectiveness in domestic tourism, will remain resilient as budget-conscious travelers seek affordable options [38]. - The middle tier, characterized by overpriced services without unique offerings, is at risk of being severely impacted as consumers shift their preferences [39][44]. Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - To survive the changing landscape, companies must pivot from relying on price advantages to enhancing unique experiences and service quality [45][49]. - The focus should be on creating emotional connections and providing distinctive cultural experiences that cannot be easily replicated abroad [50][51]. - The industry must adapt to a new reality where value is defined by experience rather than cost, necessitating a shift in operational strategies [52][53].

以下文章来源于格隆 ，作者万连山 格隆 . 一个游走于资本市场与佛祖之间的浪子。我可以生，可以死，我大笑，由天决定！ 本文来自微信公众号： 格隆 ，作者：万连山，头图来自：视觉中国 Siri马上要换脑子了。 1月12日，谷歌和苹果发布联合声明：下一代苹果基础模型将直接基于谷歌的Gemini模型和云技术构 建。 后者每年支付给前者10亿美元，相当于"租金"。 对此，有人急了。 马斯克直接发推开炮：考虑到Google已经拥有Android和Chrome，这似乎是一种不合理的权力集 中。 你们两家居然联合？其他人还怎么玩？这不是垄断是什么？ （为什么不用gork？！） …… 也有人将之解读为"高傲的苹果向谷歌低头"，仿佛看到了昔日封闭生态王者向曾经的对手、现在如日 中天的AI巨头俯首称臣的戏码。 | Elon Musk @ ~ @elonmusk · 6h | | | --- | --- | | Replying to @NewsFromGoogle | | | This seems like an unreasonable concentration of power for Google, | | | give ...

编辑、题图 | 渣渣郡 以下文章来源于那个NG ，作者阿珂可 那个NG . 用关注决定视界｜复杂世界的策展人 出品 | 虎嗅青年文化组 作者 | 阿珂可 "小时候的我性格又很内向，没有朋友。只有她给我温暖的胸膛，温柔地听我说话。" 乍一看，这里的"她"指的是母亲，但让作者@阴暗爬行动物发出感叹的，是她家的老母鸡。 你可能会觉得，像依赖母亲一样依赖生蛋的母鸡，这只是小众爱好。但 眷恋母鸡的远远不止是她一 个人。 本文首发于虎嗅年轻内容公众号"那個NG"（ID：huxiu4youth）。在这里，我们呈现当下年轻人的面 貌、故事和态度。 2026年，互联网终于有了它该有的样子：任何生物都可以在网上发布自己的生活，即使是黄鼠狼。 这里的黄鼠狼并非体型娇小的哺乳动物，而是指那些钟爱母鸡的人。 为了摸上一把新鲜的，热乎乎的鸡，他们已经开始琢磨怎么在家养母鸡了。 如果说养小鸡是全部中国人共享的童年回忆，小鸡之死所带来的痛可以说是最严重的集体创伤之一。 所以我相信，每个人小时候总会爱上一次这种生物，要么是在自然科学课的实验课上，要么是跟着爸 妈在超市买菜的时候。 因此，当媒体们称Z世代把2016年誉为最美好的年份之时，中文互 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the decline of content creators in the face of advancing AI technology, which is rapidly replacing traditional roles and diminishing the competitive advantages of skilled creators [2][6][9]. Group 1: Impact of AI on Content Creation - AI is expected to weaken the competitive edge of content creators, as it can quickly replicate the skills and efficiencies that creators have developed over time [5][8]. - The ability of AI to generate high-quality content and analyze data means that even those without prior experience can produce compelling material, leveling the playing field [6][9]. - As AI tools become more sophisticated, they will increasingly dominate the content creation landscape, making it difficult for traditional creators to maintain their relevance [9][10]. Group 2: Platform Dominance - The relationship between content creators and platforms has shifted, with platforms now exerting significant control over content distribution and monetization [13][15]. - Initially, platforms incentivized creators to produce content by sharing revenue, but as platforms have grown, they have become the primary beneficiaries of the content ecosystem [14][16]. - Content creators are now seen as participants in a game controlled by platforms, which can easily replace them if they do not align with the platform's interests [15][16]. Group 3: Future Industry Dynamics - The article highlights two case studies that illustrate the changing dynamics of content creation and platform interaction, emphasizing the role of AI and platform algorithms in shaping content visibility [18][20]. - The increasing complexity of content supply and the reliance on algorithms for content distribution suggest that creators will need to adapt to a more competitive and less predictable environment [18][19]. - The ability of platforms to curate and promote content based on engagement metrics means that creators must continuously innovate to capture audience attention [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the shift in consumer preferences in the Chinese dining industry, highlighting the rise of affordable self-service meals and the decline of high-end dining experiences, reflecting a broader trend towards value for money and practicality in consumer behavior [4][10]. Group 1: Rise of Affordable Dining - The emergence of "box lunch self-service" meals priced under 20 yuan has become a popular choice among workers, serving as a "lifeline" for many [5][12]. - By May 2025, the number of self-service restaurants in China is projected to reach 66,000, with a net increase of over 10,000 locations compared to the previous year, driven primarily by affordable fast-casual dining options [5]. - The appeal of these self-service meals lies in their variety, affordability, and the ability to satisfy hunger without breaking the bank, contrasting sharply with the struggles of high-end dining establishments [9][15]. Group 2: Decline of High-End Dining - High-end restaurants are facing significant challenges, with notable closures including Opera BOMBANA and L'Atelier 18, indicating a downturn in the luxury dining sector [6][7]. - The closure of establishments like the Michelin-starred Ultraviolet by Paul Pairet, which charged 6,800 yuan per meal, underscores the shift in consumer spending away from luxury dining experiences [7]. Group 3: Changing Consumer Behavior - The trend towards value-driven dining reflects a broader change in consumer attitudes, with a focus on practicality and cost-effectiveness becoming paramount [10][18]. - The rise of brands like Mixue Ice City and the popularity of low-cost meal options illustrate a market shift where consumers prioritize affordability over brand prestige [19][22]. - Data indicates that while the Engel coefficient for Chinese households is decreasing, indicating a rise in living standards, consumer spending is becoming more cautious and value-oriented [19][22]. Group 4: Generational Shifts in Consumption - The Z generation, characterized by their strong sense of national identity and skepticism towards brand premiums, is driving a new wave of consumption focused on cost-effectiveness [28][30]. - Over 85% of the Z generation prioritize value for money, leading to a culture where frugality is celebrated and luxury is scrutinized [28][30]. - This generation's consumption patterns reflect a strategic retreat from traditional markers of success, opting instead for practical spending in the face of economic pressures [30][34]. Group 5: The Complexity of Modern Consumption - The article posits that the current consumer landscape is marked by a duality of frugality and indulgence, where consumers are both budget-conscious and willing to splurge on experiences that matter to them [41][42]. - The popularity of affordable self-service meals serves as a reflection of a broader societal trend towards finding balance between survival and dignity in consumption choices [36][40].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent phenomenon of AI-generated bikini images on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), highlighting how the AI tool Grok has been used to create explicit content, reflecting societal issues around consent and the misuse of technology [5][12][77]. Group 1: AI and Content Generation - Grok has become a tool for generating explicit images, with users requesting AI to dress individuals in revealing outfits, leading to a surge in such requests [12][131]. - The trend of "bikini requests" began in late December 2025 and quickly escalated, with Grok reportedly receiving up to 6000 requests per hour related to this content [17][132]. - The AI's ability to generate these images without user consent raises significant ethical concerns, particularly regarding the portrayal of women and the potential for deepfake technology to create harmful content [138][144]. Group 2: Societal Implications - The article notes that the majority of deepfake content is created without consent, predominantly affecting women, which highlights a troubling trend in the misuse of AI technology [164]. - There is a growing concern about the normalization of such explicit content on social media platforms, with users expressing discomfort about the prevalence of sexualized imagery [168][192]. - The response from regulatory bodies has been mixed, with some countries taking action against Grok for its role in generating non-consensual explicit content, while others debate the implications for free speech [150][152]. Group 3: User Behavior and Reactions - Users on X have engaged in both serious and humorous interactions with Grok, often pushing the boundaries of acceptable content, which reflects a broader cultural attitude towards explicit material [31][97]. - The article describes how some users have taken to mocking the AI's responses, showcasing a blend of humor and critique regarding the platform's handling of explicit content [60][118]. - The backlash against Grok's capabilities has led to calls for stricter regulations and a reevaluation of how AI tools are used in social media contexts [162][175].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the severe waste management crisis in India, particularly in urban areas, where massive garbage mountains pose environmental and health risks. The situation is exacerbated by inadequate infrastructure and corruption, leading to a significant portion of waste remaining unprocessed [4][25]. Group 1: Garbage Mountains and Urban Waste - In New Delhi, the Ghazipur Landfill stands 60 meters high, close to key government areas, indicating the critical state of waste management in the capital [5][6]. - Other major cities like Mumbai and Bangalore also have similar garbage mountains, with the Diona landfill in Mumbai dating back to 1927 and reaching 13 stories high [8]. - India generates approximately 1.7 million tons of waste annually, with New Delhi producing over 10,000 tons daily, reflecting a per capita waste generation of around 500 grams [9][11]. Group 2: Waste Management Infrastructure - India lacks modern landfill facilities, with only half of the planned 1,244 landfills operational, many of which are outdated and overloaded [15][17]. - The country faces a "triple shortage" of funds, land, and skilled labor, hindering the establishment of effective waste management systems [17][18]. Group 3: Waste Incineration Challenges - India has 14 waste-to-energy incineration plants, but many are non-operational due to poor waste quality, with a high moisture content that makes burning ineffective [21][22]. - Corruption in project management has led to poorly constructed incineration facilities that do not adequately address pollution, resulting in harmful emissions [22][25]. Group 4: Rural Waste Management Issues - The rural population, exceeding 900 million, contributes to waste problems with minimal waste management capabilities, leading to pollution of water sources like the Ganges River [27][28]. - Despite government initiatives to improve sanitation and waste management, many rural areas still lack basic facilities, and the effectiveness of these initiatives is often overstated [28][30]. Group 5: Broader Implications - The pervasive waste issue in India reflects deeper societal challenges, including a lack of respect for public health and environmental standards, which complicates efforts for sustainable waste management [32].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in sales for traditional luxury car brands (BBA: BMW, Benz, Audi) in China in 2025, highlighting their reliance on marketing language to mask underlying issues [4][7]. Sales Performance - In 2025, the sales figures for BBA in China were as follows: BMW (including MINI) sold 625,500 units, down 12.5%; Audi (including FAW and SAIC) sold approximately 617,000 units, down 5%; and Mercedes-Benz (including commercial vehicles) sold 575,000 units, down 19% [5][7]. - All three brands saw their annual sales drop below 700,000 units, ending a five-year period of stable high sales [4]. Market Dynamics - The decline in BBA sales is attributed to a structural loss in the face of the rising tide of new energy vehicles (NEVs), with NEV penetration in China approaching 60% and domestic brands capturing 65% of the market share [8]. - The retail sales of fuel vehicles dropped by 30% year-on-year, indicating a significant shift in consumer preferences [8]. Consumer Sentiment - BBA's customer loyalty has fallen below 18%, meaning that out of 100 previous BBA customers, fewer than 18 intend to repurchase from the same brand [14]. - In contrast, new energy brands like AITO, Li Auto, Tesla, and Xiaomi have a high percentage of potential customers coming from BBA, with figures of 36.81%, 27.22%, 24.21%, and 19.15% respectively [14]. Strategic Responses - Audi plans to launch new models like the A6L e-tron and E7X in 2026 to address its technological shortcomings [15]. - Mercedes-Benz aims to introduce 15 new models in 2026, including a locally produced GLC, to enhance its market position [15]. - BMW's new generation iX3 is set to launch in late 2026, featuring advanced technology and local AI capabilities, with pricing being a critical factor for its success in the NEV market [16].