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学历资产化的时代结束了
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-19 09:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the devaluation of intelligence and education in the context of AI transformation, suggesting that traditional educational qualifications may lose their value as AI becomes more prevalent in the workforce [4]. Group 1: Intelligence as a Service - The concept of "Intelligence as a Service" (IaaS) indicates that intelligence is no longer a privilege of human brains but can be accessed on demand, similar to utilities like electricity [6]. - AI's ability to perform tasks traditionally done by highly educated individuals leads to a significant devaluation of traditional educational qualifications, as knowledge becomes a common commodity [6][7]. - The demand for traditional white-collar jobs is declining, with a reported 22% decrease in positions that typically require higher education, particularly in finance, human resources, and administrative roles [7]. Group 2: Educational Inflation and Devaluation - In 2024, China's higher education gross enrollment rate reached 60.8%, with nearly 47 million students enrolled, indicating a saturation of the education market [10]. - The average starting salary for new graduates in first-tier cities is around 6,000 to 7,000 yuan, which is lower than many vocational roles, highlighting the "high investment, low return" phenomenon of education [11]. - The competition for higher education has intensified, with graduate school acceptance rates around 3.5:1 to 4:1, leading to an oversupply of graduates [12]. Group 3: Shifts in Employment Landscape - The trend of graduates from prestigious universities applying for lower-tier jobs reflects a shift in the value of education, where job stability and benefits are prioritized over traditional career paths [15][16]. - The increasing appeal of stable government jobs and lower-tier positions among elite graduates indicates a desire for job security in an uncertain economic environment [17]. - The phenomenon of highly educated individuals taking on low-skilled jobs illustrates the disconnect between educational qualifications and available high-value positions in the market [18]. Group 4: The Future of Education and Skills - The article posits that viewing education as a one-time investment is misguided; instead, it should be seen as a temporary ticket that requires continuous skill development beyond formal education [19]. - The rapid evolution of knowledge due to AI means that the shelf life of a degree has significantly shortened, with many skills becoming obsolete within 18 months [21]. - The focus should shift from what one knows to how one adapts to unknown situations, emphasizing the importance of practical skills over formal qualifications in the AI era [21].
中国人喝牛奶,究竟在“挑”什么?
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-19 09:56
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese dairy industry is experiencing a significant shift in consumer behavior, with a growing emphasis on product selection based on nutritional parameters and health benefits, akin to skincare product choices [2][5][7]. Industry Trends - By 2025, consumers are expected to become increasingly discerning, with diverse demands emerging, such as low-fat, high-protein options for fitness enthusiasts and sugar-free products for health-conscious individuals [5][9]. - The market is witnessing a decline in the share of ambient milk, which dropped nearly 3%, while low-temperature yogurt and milk have seen an increase of over 1% each, indicating a trend towards fresh dairy products [9]. Company Strategies - Dairy companies are focusing on structural upgrades to meet evolving consumer needs, moving from a "drink enough" mentality to a "drink the right" approach, emphasizing the need for products to demonstrate their value [11][19]. - Companies like Bright Dairy are developing a clear product matrix to cater to increasingly segmented consumer demands, launching products that address specific health needs such as sleep improvement and gut health [12][14]. Consumer Engagement - Bright Dairy has established a robust supply chain and cold chain logistics to ensure product freshness, which is crucial for meeting consumer expectations [19][21]. - The company has also engaged in experiential marketing by allowing consumers to visit dairy farms and understand the production process, thereby building trust and emotional connections with the brand [23][25]. Competitive Landscape - The competition in the dairy industry is shifting towards providing unique value propositions that resonate with consumer needs, as evidenced by the low per capita dairy consumption in China, which is significantly below global averages [18][19]. - The ultimate competition lies in winning consumer trust and loyalty, which requires long-term engagement and understanding of consumer preferences [26].
突破美国垄断,浙江小城跑出一只黑马
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 23:54
Core Viewpoint - Eagle Semiconductor is positioned as a leading player in the VCSEL (Vertical-Cavity Surface-Emitting Laser) market, having achieved significant milestones in high-end optical communication technology, particularly with the production of 100G VCSEL chips, breaking the monopoly of American companies in this field [5][11][12]. Group 1: Company Overview - Eagle Semiconductor, founded by Bian Difei, has over 50% of its workforce dedicated to R&D and is the only company in China capable of mass-producing 100G VCSEL chips for optical communication [5][11]. - The company has recently completed a B+ round financing of 700 million yuan, setting a record for domestic companies in this sector, with participation from major investors including CITIC Jinshi and Guoxin Fund [6][29]. - The founder's previous experience in the semiconductor industry, particularly in LED chips, has informed the company's strategy to adopt an IDM (Integrated Device Manufacturer) model, which is capital-intensive but necessary for long-term success [7][21]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The VCSEL market is expected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.2% in the optical communication sector from 2022 to 2027, driven by increasing demand for data centers and AI computing [11][12]. - The company strategically chose to enter the challenging optical communication market rather than the more accessible consumer electronics market, believing that tackling the hardest challenges first would provide a competitive advantage [32][33]. - The demand for optical interconnects is rising due to the increasing number of GPUs in data centers, which necessitates high-speed communication solutions [6][8]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Prior to Eagle Semiconductor's entry, the VCSEL market was dominated by American companies like Coherent and Lumentum, which held nearly 80% of the market share [11]. - The company aims to fill the gap in the domestic market for high-end VCSELs, which has been largely absent, and is focused on building a complete ecosystem for optical communication in China [28][41]. - Despite a 1-2 year technological gap compared to the U.S., the company is confident in its ability to catch up quickly due to the unique demands of the Chinese market [41][42]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The founder envisions a future where every household may have access to mini supernodes, with VCSEL technology playing a crucial role in the intelligent era of data processing and transmission [13][14]. - The company is also exploring opportunities in related fields such as laser radar and 3D sensing, indicating a broader vision for growth beyond just optical communication [43].
AI转型,其实是一个当代恐怖故事
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 23:54
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the core logic of AI transformation for companies is cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a significant shift towards AI-generated outputs over human labor [4][5]. Group 1: AI Cost Dynamics - The cost of AI tokens has drastically decreased, with prices as low as $0.028 per million tokens, leading to an explosion in consumption despite lower unit costs [5]. - Predictions indicate that by 2025, average monthly AI spending for enterprises will increase by 36%, while the cost of using AI is expected to drop by 90% annually [5]. Group 2: Workforce Implications - The rise of AI is leading to a significant reduction in the necessity of human labor, as companies can achieve the same output with fewer employees [6][7]. - The translation industry has seen a near-total replacement of basic translation tasks by AI, resulting in a loss of long-term contracts for many translators [8][9]. Group 3: Professional Landscape Changes - AI is causing a devaluation of skills, as traditional roles become redundant and the need for entry-level positions diminishes, impacting career progression [9][10]. - The legal profession has faced challenges with AI, as seen in a case where a lawyer faced penalties for relying on AI-generated false legal precedents [15][16][17]. Group 4: Employee Experience and AI Integration - Employees initially benefiting from AI tools often find themselves facing increased workloads or job losses as companies leverage AI for efficiency [20][21][22]. - The introduction of AI in HR processes has led to a reduction in the need for human resources personnel, as AI systems take over recruitment and management tasks [30][31][32]. Group 5: Future of Work - The article suggests that the future workplace will see a significant shift in power dynamics, with AI taking over many decision-making processes traditionally held by humans [34][35]. - The concept of "one-person businesses" is highlighted as a potential success model, but it is noted that this is not easily replicable for the average worker [36][38]. Group 6: Philosophical Considerations - The article concludes with a reflection on the potential of AI to surpass human intelligence, raising concerns about the implications for human roles in society [40][41][42].
早报 | 苹果大幅降低日本“苹果税”,中国被区别对待;王毅分别同柬埔寨、泰国外长通电话;康师傅换帅;国盾量子董事长意外离世
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 23:54
昨夜今晨 大家早上好!这里是今天的早报,每天早上,我都会在这里跟你聊聊昨夜今晨发生了哪些大事儿。 【国盾量子董事长离世,警方通报:已排除案件】 国盾量子12月18日公告,公司董事长吕品先生不幸逝世。吕品先生于2025年5月起担任公司董事长,并担任战 略与投资委员会主任委员、薪酬与考核委员会委员。公司及公司董事会对吕品先生的逝世表示沉痛哀悼并向其 家属表达深切慰问。截至本公告披露日,吕品先生不持有公司股票,亦不存在应当履行而未履行的股份锁定承 诺。吕品先生的逝世不会导致公司董事会成员人数低于法定人数,不会影响公司董事会的正常运作。公司将根 据有关法律法规和《公司章程》的规定,尽快完成董事补选及董事长选举的相关工作,并及时履行信息披露义 务。 当晚,合肥高新公安分局晚间发布了警情通报:2025年12月18日13时许,我局接报警称,吕某(男,46岁)在 望江西路与孔雀台路交口某公司一办公室内失去意识。接警后,民警立即到场处置。经120现场确认,吕某已 无生命体征。经公安机关勘查调查,已排除案件。 【苹果宣布:大幅降低日本"苹果税"】 12月17日,苹果在官网宣布,为遵守日本《特定智能手机软件竞争促进法》,已在日本市 ...
李蓓“等风来”
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 13:57
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the response of Li Bei, founder of Hanxia Investment, to a critical piece published by Huxiu, highlighting the strong influence and rapid engagement of her rebuttal in the private equity circle [2][3]. Group 1: Market Risks and Asset Allocation - Li Bei identifies significant risks in current asset allocation, noting that high-net-worth individuals and wealth institutions are heavily concentrated in four main strategies: quantitative enhancement, sci-tech funds, all-weather strategies, and overseas assets, all of which carry notable risk factors [4]. - The risks associated with these strategies include the impact of small-cap factors and non-linear factors on quantitative enhancement, as well as potential downturns in the sci-tech sector due to rising domestic interest rates and the bursting of the AI bubble [4]. - Li Bei's observations on the concentration of wealth management strategies have sparked new discussions in the market, emphasizing the dangers of asset crowding and the potential for significant price volatility if common risk triggers occur [8]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Hanxia Investment's current portfolio is characterized by a "deep value" approach, focusing on industry leaders with an average PE of 8 times, PB of 0.8 times, and a dividend yield of 5%, with 80% of holdings exhibiting strong cyclical properties [5][6]. - The portfolio also includes strategies to steepen the yield curve by buying medium- to short-term government bonds while shorting long-term bonds, which is expected to mitigate losses during prolonged deflation [7]. - Li Bei categorizes future economic scenarios into two: one where deflation reverses, leading to significant gains for Hanxia Investment, and another where deflation persists, resulting in minor losses or small gains for Hanxia while mainstream strategies continue to rise [7]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The article notes that the current market dynamics may not simply follow a "this or that" pattern, as both technology and cyclical sectors could perform well under certain conditions, depending on economic recovery and risk appetite [9]. - The performance of the AI sector, despite recent adjustments, is expected to rebound significantly in the latter half of 2024, indicating that the current asset crowding may not necessarily lead to a market style shift [8][9]. - Li Bei's strategy of waiting for the right economic conditions to capitalize on performance recovery reflects a confident stance, although it requires enduring pressure in a competitive fundraising environment [12].
国企差旅黄金时代,结束了
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 13:57
以下文章来源于旅界 ,作者theodore熙少 他是某央企东三省地区部门负责人,算是个把控实权的中层。 吃饭时,他本来兴致挺高,中途拿出手机想订个下周沈阳酒店,结果划拉了两下,眉头突然皱成了"川"字,整个人愁眉苦脸起来。 我问他,都老司机了,怎么订个房这么费劲? 老周叹了口气说,"现在订酒店太麻烦了,希尔顿欢朋都不能住。" 旅界 . 跟踪时代浪潮,讲述文旅商业好故事。 本文来自微信公众号: 旅界 ,作者:theodore熙少,头图来自:AI生成 审计风暴下,国企差旅众生相。 最近,我去长春出差,顺道见了朋友老周。 我有些不解。 东北这地界,希尔顿欢朋也就三四百块钱,完全在他们公司差旅标准之内,甚至比一些中端酒店都要便宜。 我问他,"这也算超标?不是四星标准的商务酒店吗?" 老周摇摇头,压低了声音,"不是钱的事,是名字不行。" "集团现在明文规定不让住五星级酒店,尤其是外资五星,审计组那帮人,不管你实际花了多少钱,他们只看发票上的名字。" "上次我去西安,也是住的希尔顿欢朋,400多块钱一晚,结果回来报销,审计指着发票问我,为什么住希尔顿?是不是顶风违纪?" 老周当时觉得挺冤枉。 他努力和审计解释,说这个欢朋虽 ...
透过巨头的广告策略,预见下一个风口
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 13:57
Core Insights - The article discusses the shifting trends in consumer spending and advertising budgets, highlighting four key trends that reflect changes in consumer behavior and brand strategies [2]. Group 1: Emotional Value as a New Currency - Consumers are increasingly willing to spend on experiences that evoke emotions, such as attending concerts or traveling for cultural events, indicating a shift towards valuing emotional connections over mere product functionality [4]. - The tourism market is thriving, with domestic travel reaching 4.998 billion trips in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18% [4]. - Brands are adapting by engaging in immersive marketing strategies, such as combining music festivals with tourism promotions, to resonate with consumers' emotional needs [6]. Group 2: Comprehensive Health as a Lifestyle Essential - Health has become a fundamental aspect of consumer choices, extending beyond illness to encompass daily products, with the health industry in China reaching a scale of 9 trillion yuan in 2024 [8]. - Brands are leveraging partnerships with authoritative media to enhance credibility and trust, exemplified by Amway's collaboration with health-focused programs to position itself as a promoter of comprehensive health [8]. - Companies like Lunan Pharmaceutical and Fortune Oil are effectively using media partnerships to elevate their brand visibility and communicate health benefits in relatable terms [9][11]. Group 3: Smart Technology as an Invisible Caretaker - The integration of smart technology into daily life is becoming commonplace, with categories like smart refrigerators and robotic vacuums seeing over 20% growth during the 2025 holiday season [13]. - Advertising for smart home appliances has doubled, with leading brands utilizing immersive storytelling to showcase the benefits of technology in enhancing quality of life [14]. - Brands like Haier and Gree are effectively using live broadcasts and authoritative platforms to demonstrate how smart technology can simplify and improve everyday living [16]. Group 4: Green and Sustainable Choices as Value Statements - The preference for low-carbon and sustainable options is becoming a significant consumer trend, particularly in the automotive sector, where sales of new energy vehicles reached 10.446 million units in the first nine months of 2025, a 32% increase [18]. - Advertising investments in the new energy sector have doubled, reflecting brands' commitment to green initiatives and sustainable practices [18]. - Companies like Green Source and XPeng Motors are creatively integrating their green values into marketing campaigns, making sustainability a tangible aspect of consumer experiences [19]. Conclusion - The migration of advertising budgets reflects deeper societal values and consumer preferences, moving from emotional engagement to health consciousness, technological integration, and sustainability [21]. - Brands must leverage credible platforms to resonate with consumers, transforming commercial messages into meaningful narratives that align with contemporary values and aspirations [21].
马斯克一句“愚蠢至极”,又得罪了整个硅谷
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 13:57
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk criticized the pursuit of small nuclear fusion reactors on Earth, arguing that the sun serves as a free and efficient nuclear fusion reactor, and called for a halt to investments in such projects unless they are purely for scientific experimentation [5][7]. Group 1: Investment Landscape in Nuclear Fusion - In Silicon Valley, nuclear fusion is viewed as a long-term infrastructure investment rather than a fleeting trend, with nearly $10 billion in private capital expected to flow into the sector by July 2025 [9]. - Major tech figures, including Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos, have made significant investments in nuclear fusion, with Gates' Breakthrough Energy Ventures focusing on long-term clean energy strategies [9][10]. - Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) has raised nearly $3 billion, emerging as a leading contender in the fusion startup space due to its high-temperature superconducting tokamak technology [10][11]. Group 2: The Narrative of Nuclear Fusion - Nuclear fusion is often framed as an "infinite energy" solution, promising abundant fuel sources and minimal carbon emissions, which is particularly appealing in the context of rising energy demands from AI [16]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that global data center electricity demand will approach 945 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2030, with AI-specific loads increasing fourfold [16]. - 84% of fusion companies believe they can achieve grid connection by the 2030s, with over half targeting completion by 2035, driven by technological advancements like high-temperature superconductors [16]. Group 3: Challenges and Criticism of Nuclear Fusion - Musk highlighted significant engineering challenges facing terrestrial nuclear fusion, including the need for reactors to produce more energy than they consume, which remains unproven [18][19]. - The cost of building the first commercial fusion reactors is projected to be in the hundreds of billions, with construction timelines exceeding ten years, raising questions about economic viability [19]. - Musk argues that solar energy, which has seen a cost reduction of over 89% in the past decade, is a more practical and cost-effective solution compared to the uncertain future of nuclear fusion [19]. Group 4: Alternative Energy Strategies - Musk advocates for solar energy and storage technologies as the most viable and economically sound energy solutions, proposing that a solar panel area of 100 miles by 100 miles could power the entire United States [20]. - Tesla is actively working on solar products and energy storage systems to address the intermittency issues of traditional solar energy [20][21]. - Musk's vision includes deploying solar energy satellites in space, which would provide continuous power without atmospheric interference, further enhancing energy reliability for AI applications [21][22]. Group 5: Conclusion on Energy Transition - The debate between Musk and other tech leaders reflects differing philosophies on risk and return in energy technology, with fusion representing high-risk, high-reward potential, while solar energy offers more immediate and certain returns [25]. - The future of energy will require balancing the uncertainties of emerging technologies like nuclear fusion with the pressing need for reliable energy sources in the AI era [25].
公募老将领衔的加密资产第一股,成长性存疑
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 11:33
Core Viewpoint - HashKey Holdings, led by Dr. Xiao Feng, has become the first cryptocurrency company to go public in Hong Kong, but its stock performance has been underwhelming, raising questions about its future growth potential in a challenging regulatory environment [2][4]. Group 1: Company Background - Dr. Xiao Feng, a pioneer in China's public fund industry, founded HashKey Group in Hong Kong in 2022 after a successful career with Bosera Funds and Wanxiang Group, focusing on blockchain technology [3][4]. - HashKey Holdings has established three main business segments: trading facilitation services, on-chain services, and asset management, with a goal to create a closed-loop business model [4][7]. Group 2: Business Performance - Trading facilitation services are the core revenue driver, accounting for 68% of total income, with significant contributions from retail and institutional clients [5][8]. - As of September 30, 2025, HashKey has facilitated a total trading volume of 1.3 trillion HKD, leading the regional onshore platform market [5][8]. - The company has seen a dramatic increase in trading volume, from 4.2 billion HKD in 2022 to 638.4 billion HKD in 2024, representing over 150 times growth [8]. Group 3: Financial Challenges - Despite some operational highlights, HashKey faces significant financial challenges, including a cumulative loss of 2.355 billion HKD from 2022 to 2024, with a single-year loss of 1.1896 billion HKD in 2024 [10][11]. - The company has experienced continuous negative cash flow, with a net outflow of 266 million HKD in the first half of 2025, raising concerns about its sustainability [10][11]. Group 4: Market Position and Competition - HashKey holds a 75% market share in Hong Kong's virtual asset trading volume, but it lags significantly behind offshore exchanges like Binance, which has a daily trading volume of 11.6 billion USD [11][14]. - The competitive landscape is dominated by major offshore exchanges, which benefit from less stringent regulations, making it difficult for compliant onshore platforms like HashKey to compete effectively [14][16]. Group 5: Regulatory Environment - HashKey's ability to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange does not indicate a relaxation of mainland China's strict regulations on cryptocurrency, as it operates under a different regulatory framework in Hong Kong [17][18]. - The company is positioned as a "risk buffer" for the mainland, allowing for controlled financial experimentation without impacting financial stability [17][18].