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欧洲人也是搞笑,禁了燃油车现在来后悔了
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-20 09:27
Core Viewpoint - The EU's recent proposal to delay the 2035 ban on the sale of all fuel vehicles, including hybrids, reflects a significant shift in its environmental policy, allowing car manufacturers to continue selling hybrid vehicles and use various methods to offset carbon emissions from hybrids [6][22]. Group 1: EU Regulations and Industry Response - In 2021, the EU announced a plan to ban fuel vehicles by 2035 as part of its environmental initiative, which initially boosted confidence among car manufacturers [6][8]. - The recent proposal allows car manufacturers to sell hybrid vehicles and introduces a carbon credit system, indicating a retreat from the original 100% emission reduction target [22][24]. - Major car manufacturers like Volkswagen and BMW expressed relief at the delay, while companies that had already transitioned to electric vehicles, such as Polestar and Volvo, criticized the decision as detrimental to climate goals and European competitiveness [7][22]. Group 2: Challenges in Electric Vehicle Transition - Despite initial enthusiasm, European car manufacturers faced challenges in the electric vehicle transition, including inadequate charging infrastructure and poor market performance [14][19]. - The bankruptcy of Northvolt, a key battery supplier, highlighted the difficulties in establishing a reliable local supply chain for electric vehicle components, with significant financial losses reported [16][17]. - The failure to develop a robust electric vehicle industry in Europe has led to increased reliance on foreign technology, particularly from China, raising concerns about competitiveness [19][27]. Group 3: Comparison with China's Electric Vehicle Industry - China has been proactive in developing its electric vehicle industry since 2009, positioning itself to compete directly with Western manufacturers [25][26]. - The contrast between Europe's struggles and China's advancements in electric vehicles suggests that European manufacturers may have underestimated the competitive landscape [27]. - The article implies that the EU's retreat from stringent regulations may be a response to the growing dominance of Chinese electric vehicles in the global market [24][30].
AI无限拉低了普通人造假的门槛
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-20 03:27
以下文章来源于镜相工作室 ,作者镜相作者 镜相工作室 . 这是过去三年,生成式AI爆发式发展的另一面。AI大模型在生成文字、图片、视频、音频上的能力 突飞猛进,几乎所有人都能零门槛、零成本地使用AI。这些人中,不仅有AIGC艺术家、前沿科技热 爱者,也有羊毛党和靠流量吃饭的MCN机构。 在很多人的印象里,造假是少数人的事。它需要专业的技术和硬件设备,需要行业人脉积累,造假者 往往隐匿在灰黑产缝隙,是神秘的、恐怖的、没有道德底线的,与大众保持着既远又近的距离。 但今年开始,一群人感受到了明显的变化。 11月,毛绒玩偶商家于瑾第一次遭遇AI假图仅退款。到货一周后,买家发来一张图申请仅退款,在 店铺客服以人为损坏为由驳回后,买家申请平台介入并成功拿回了50元。 但那张申请仅退款的图有一个不合常理的地方——玩偶柔软的裙边上,有类似陶瓷制品的坚硬裂痕。 于瑾认定这是AI假图,发到社交平台吐槽。后来,在媒体的介入下,平台自掏腰包,把这50元返还 给了于瑾,用AI假图申请仅退款的买家却销声匿迹。 于瑾意识到,AI的普及让"羊毛党"的恶意退款成本更低了。一台手机、一句提示词就能生成一张以 假乱真的图片,薅走一个价值一百多元的 ...
“爱你老己”与苦中作乐的中国年轻人
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-20 03:27
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emerging trend of self-love among young people, encapsulated in the phrase "I love you, old self," which signifies a shift towards prioritizing self-care and self-acceptance in a challenging societal context [10][22][67]. Group 1: Cultural Context - The phrase "I love you, old self" is a humorous yet poignant expression of self-acceptance, suggesting that while love may have conditions, the commitment to oneself is unwavering [6][10]. - This trend reflects a broader cultural shift where young people are increasingly focusing on self-care amidst societal pressures and expectations [27][67]. Group 2: Psychological Implications - The concept of "old self" serves as a coping mechanism, allowing individuals to externalize their self-care needs and address their emotional struggles in a supportive manner [23][33]. - The article highlights a collective psychological response to societal pressures, where young people create a fictional caregiver role to navigate their emotional challenges [23][36]. Group 3: Social Commentary - The article critiques the societal expectation of success and the pressure to conform to performance metrics, suggesting that self-love offers a form of rebellion against these norms [27][71]. - It emphasizes the importance of self-acceptance in a world where traditional support systems are perceived as unreliable, advocating for a shift in focus from external validation to internal fulfillment [62][67]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article posits that the trend of self-love may evolve as societal conditions change, potentially leading to a more profound transformation in how young people relate to themselves and their communities [60][71]. - It suggests that while the current focus is on self-care, future developments may lead to a more active engagement with societal issues as young people seek to reclaim their agency [60][72].
日本为何完全放弃人形机器人?
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-20 03:27
Core Viewpoint - Japan has largely abandoned the humanoid robot sector, focusing instead on industrial robots due to past failures and a lack of commercial viability in humanoid robotics [6][8][10]. Group 1: Humanoid Robots - Japan entered the humanoid robot market early but faced significant losses, leading to a strategic withdrawal from this sector [8][10]. - Notable humanoid robots like ASIMO and Pepper experienced development and production halts, with ASIMO priced at $2.5 million and Pepper at ¥198,000, resulting in low sales volumes [10][12]. - The Japanese market has shifted focus away from humanoid robots, emphasizing that there is no necessity for robots to resemble humans [12][18]. Group 2: Industrial Robots - Japan excels in industrial robotics, with companies like FANUC, Yaskawa, and Kawasaki holding significant market shares [27][28]. - The global industrial robot market is projected to account for approximately 71.4% of total revenue by 2024, indicating a strong demand for industrial robots [25]. - Japan's industrial robots are characterized by high reliability and long operational lifespans, often exceeding 20 years [39][40]. Group 3: Economic and Technological Factors - Japan's technological landscape lacks the maturity seen in the U.S. and China regarding AI and large models, which are crucial for advanced robotics [20][21]. - The country faces challenges in talent acquisition, particularly in AI and engineering, which hampers innovation in humanoid robotics [21][22]. - Japan's economic structure and risk aversion contribute to its cautious approach to new robotic technologies, preferring stability over rapid innovation [22][23]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The demand for humanoid robots is currently limited, with most buyers being experimental or marketing-oriented rather than seeking mass production [17][19]. - Japan's industrial robots are designed for B2B applications, maintaining profitability and stability, contrasting with the more speculative nature of humanoid robotics [29][30]. - The Japanese robotics industry is largely self-sufficient, relying on domestic components, which enhances reliability and reduces dependency on imports [40][42].
日本加息,没有“黑天鹅”
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-19 14:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant impact of Japan's anticipated interest rate hike on global capital markets, particularly focusing on the implications for risk assets and the "yen carry trade" [4][7]. Group 1: Impact of Japan's Interest Rate Hike - Japan is expected to raise its policy interest rate from 0.50% to 0.75%, marking a 25 basis point increase, which has led to increased market anxiety and a decline in global risk assets [4][7]. - The long-standing low-interest environment in Japan has made the yen a key source of low-cost funding for global investments, particularly in high-risk assets like U.S. tech stocks and cryptocurrencies [8][9]. - An increase in borrowing costs for yen will pressure highly leveraged positions, potentially leading to forced deleveraging and selling of risk assets, starting with U.S. Treasuries and high-leverage derivatives [10][12]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Predictions - The likelihood of a market shock similar to July 2024 is considered low, as the current rate hike is largely anticipated by the market [15]. - If the Bank of Japan signals a more hawkish stance or raises rates by 50 basis points, it could exert short-term pressure on risk assets, including stocks and cryptocurrencies, while U.S. Treasury yields may rise initially [15][16]. - The medium to long-term outlook for assets like U.S. stocks and A-shares will depend on liquidity conditions and economic fundamentals, with potential risks of stagflation in the U.S. economy [16].
一个入局晚了的数据标注创业者,3个月亏了20万
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-19 14:37
以下文章来源于AI故事计划 ,作者孙瑞敏 AI故事计划 . 人在AI时代的命运。这个编辑部致力于记录AI时代的真实故事。 本文来自微信公众号: AI故事计划 ,口述:马飞扬,撰文:孙瑞敏,编辑:张霞,题图来自:AI生 成 AI创业的浪潮正加速向三四线乃至县城蔓延。 在这些下沉市场, 数据标注项目被塑造成"普通人也能参与的高科技生意",只需电脑和人力就能轻 松"连接未来"。 这让不少人动心。他们投入积蓄,租下场地,购置设备,企图搭上AI的快车。 然而入局后,小城创业者很快发现,所谓"低门槛、高回报"只是一句空洞的口号。 甲方握着绝对话语权,项目时有时无,利润被压到极低,员工流动也大,行业里处处都是隐形门槛。 今年7月,45岁的马飞扬 (化名) 在朋友的推荐下,也加入了这股浪潮。他带着20万积蓄,在老家 山东德州的郊区成立了一家数据标注公司。 短短3个月,他亏光了所有本金,被迫关停公司。 我们与马飞扬进行了对话,试图呈现一位三线城市创业者,在这波AI下沉热潮中从满怀希望到彻底 幻灭的历程。以下是他的自述。 盲目入局 我叫马飞扬,今年45岁。这已经是我人生中的第3次创业了。 原以为自己踩中了智能时代的"蓝海",结果 ...
全球大模型第一股,会是智谱吗?
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-19 14:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming IPO of Zhiyu AI, a leading Chinese large model company, and its potential to become the world's first publicly listed large model company, highlighting its rapid revenue growth and strategic shifts in business model [3][10][32]. Revenue Growth - Zhiyu AI has shown a steep growth trajectory, with revenues increasing from 57.4 million RMB in 2022 to 124.5 million RMB in 2023, and projected to reach 312.4 million RMB in 2024, resulting in a compound annual growth rate of 130% over three years [4]. - The company's revenue structure is primarily B2B, with significant reliance on private deployments, which accounted for 95.5% of revenue in 2022, decreasing to 84.8% by mid-2025, while cloud-based services contributed 15.2% [4][5]. Profitability and R&D Investment - Despite the shift in revenue structure, Zhiyu AI has maintained a stable gross margin above 50% since 2022, indicating efficient delivery of model capabilities without heavy delivery costs [7]. - R&D expenditures have surged from 84.4 million RMB in 2022 to 5.289 billion RMB in 2023, and further to 21.954 billion RMB in 2024, with a significant portion of the workforce (74%) dedicated to R&D [8][9]. Market Position and Strategy - Zhiyu AI aims to balance its revenue sources between private deployments and cloud-based services, with plans to equalize their contributions [5][19]. - The company has strategically shifted focus towards API services and cloud-based deployments, with annual recurring revenue from its model business exceeding 100 million RMB, indicating a trend towards scaling its cloud offerings [23][24]. Industry Context - The large model industry is still in a phase of conceptual pricing, with no widely accepted business model established, making Zhiyu AI's IPO significant for setting industry benchmarks [30][32]. - The article emphasizes that the first publicly listed large model company will influence how the market values similar companies, shaping future investment narratives and industry evolution [32][34].
一场千万美元的赌注:造一个替你赚钱的“分身”
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-19 14:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of Uare, a company transitioning from a digital legacy service to a personal AI platform, aiming to create AI avatars that enhance productivity and personal identity rather than merely serving as digital memorials [4][6][18]. Group 1: Company Background and Transition - Uare was formerly known as Eternos, a digital legacy service founded by Robert LoCascio, who has extensive experience in voice AI through his previous company, LivePerson [4][8]. - In November 2025, Eternos rebranded to Uare and secured $10.3 million in seed funding from Mayfield and Boldstart Ventures, with plans to fully launch by the end of 2025 [4][17]. - The shift in focus from digital legacy to personal AI was driven by customer demand for AI that can assist in work and enhance professional influence, rather than just serve as a digital companion for loved ones [6][16]. Group 2: Market Landscape and Competition - The personal AI market includes various players like Delphi, Replika, and ElevenLabs, each focusing on different aspects of AI applications, from emotional companionship to productivity enhancement [4][5]. - Uare's unique proposition is to create a digital avatar that not only preserves memories but also acts as a productivity tool, which is a departure from the current offerings in the digital legacy space [5][18]. Group 3: Technology and Business Model - Uare utilizes a proprietary framework called Human Life Model (HLM) to create personalized AI avatars based on individual user data, which allows for dynamic iteration and personalization [22][27]. - The business model includes a subscription service for users to create and utilize their AI avatars, as well as a revenue-sharing mechanism where Uare takes a percentage of income generated through the AI [27][28]. - Uare aims to transform personal knowledge and professional experience into digital products that can be monetized, thus enhancing the value proposition of personal AI [18][27]. Group 4: Challenges and Considerations - The transition to personal AI raises questions about the necessity of self-awareness in AI, as many existing AI agents in fields like customer service and law do not require personal characteristics to function effectively [29]. - Uare faces competition from specialized AI agents and large model companies, which may challenge its market position despite its focus on personalized models [29][30]. - Concerns regarding data privacy and user trust are significant, especially given the sensitive nature of the information required to build effective AI avatars [34][35].
他们为什么能找到新活法?
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-19 09:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the increasing pressure on graduates and employees in the current job market, characterized by a growing number of graduates and a shrinking number of job opportunities, leading to a sense of anxiety and burnout among workers [2][5][6] - The article discusses the trend of "dehumanization" in the digital age, where individuals feel reduced to mere data points and interchangeable parts, resulting in profound personal dilemmas [4][8] - It emphasizes the shift in employment choices among young people, moving from traditional career paths to exploring new avenues for personal fulfillment and community engagement, as seen in the experiences of individuals like Zhou Zijun and Xing Wei [8][9][20] Group 2 - The article outlines the evolution of Amway in China over the past 30 years, detailing its adaptation to market changes and the shift from a focus on health products to a broader vision of enhancing quality of life [24][25] - It highlights Amway's strategic transformation during challenging times, including the adoption of digital tools and community-based approaches to support entrepreneurs and consumers [21][31] - The narrative illustrates how Amway's model has evolved to support a diverse range of entrepreneurs, including women and older individuals, fostering a sense of community and shared values [31][32]
中年男人的“神车”,首次关闭本土工厂
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-19 09:56
Core Viewpoint - Volkswagen is facing significant challenges, including the closure of its first factory in Germany after 88 years, driven by economic necessity amid declining sales and increased competition in key markets [4][7][21]. Financial Performance - In Q3, Volkswagen reported revenue of €80.305 billion, a 2.3% increase year-on-year, but faced an operating loss of €1.299 billion, a stark contrast to the previous year's profit of €2.833 billion, marking a decline of over €4.1 billion [7][8]. - The net loss for the quarter was €1.072 billion, compared to a net profit of €1.558 billion in the same period last year, representing a decline of approximately 168.8% [7][8]. - For the first three quarters of the year, net profit dropped by 61.5% to €3.4 billion compared to the same period last year [7]. Market Challenges - Volkswagen's sales in North America have been severely impacted by a 25% import tariff, leading to a 9.8% year-on-year decline in Q3 sales to 246,900 units [11][12]. - The company anticipates a financial loss of up to €5 billion due to the U.S. tariff policy [12]. - In Europe, Volkswagen's sales have decreased by 2 million units over the past four years, exacerbated by high energy costs and labor disputes [12]. Strategic Adjustments - Volkswagen has revised its investment plan, reducing the total investment from €180 billion to €160 billion over the next five years due to anticipated near-zero net cash flow in the automotive sector by 2025 [9][21]. - The company plans to launch over 20 new electric vehicle models in China by 2027, aiming to offer around 30 electric models by 2030 [21]. Consumer Sentiment - Volkswagen's electric vehicle offerings, particularly the ID.3, are struggling to meet consumer expectations in China, where 95% of its sales are still reliant on traditional fuel vehicles [15][21]. - The ID.3 has faced multiple complaints regarding safety and performance issues, which have further eroded consumer confidence [17][21].