Workflow
虎嗅APP
icon
Search documents
国企差旅黄金时代,结束了
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 13:57
以下文章来源于旅界 ,作者theodore熙少 他是某央企东三省地区部门负责人,算是个把控实权的中层。 吃饭时,他本来兴致挺高,中途拿出手机想订个下周沈阳酒店,结果划拉了两下,眉头突然皱成了"川"字,整个人愁眉苦脸起来。 我问他,都老司机了,怎么订个房这么费劲? 老周叹了口气说,"现在订酒店太麻烦了,希尔顿欢朋都不能住。" 旅界 . 跟踪时代浪潮,讲述文旅商业好故事。 本文来自微信公众号: 旅界 ,作者:theodore熙少,头图来自:AI生成 审计风暴下,国企差旅众生相。 最近,我去长春出差,顺道见了朋友老周。 我有些不解。 东北这地界,希尔顿欢朋也就三四百块钱,完全在他们公司差旅标准之内,甚至比一些中端酒店都要便宜。 我问他,"这也算超标?不是四星标准的商务酒店吗?" 老周摇摇头,压低了声音,"不是钱的事,是名字不行。" "集团现在明文规定不让住五星级酒店,尤其是外资五星,审计组那帮人,不管你实际花了多少钱,他们只看发票上的名字。" "上次我去西安,也是住的希尔顿欢朋,400多块钱一晚,结果回来报销,审计指着发票问我,为什么住希尔顿?是不是顶风违纪?" 老周当时觉得挺冤枉。 他努力和审计解释,说这个欢朋虽 ...
透过巨头的广告策略,预见下一个风口
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 13:57
Core Insights - The article discusses the shifting trends in consumer spending and advertising budgets, highlighting four key trends that reflect changes in consumer behavior and brand strategies [2]. Group 1: Emotional Value as a New Currency - Consumers are increasingly willing to spend on experiences that evoke emotions, such as attending concerts or traveling for cultural events, indicating a shift towards valuing emotional connections over mere product functionality [4]. - The tourism market is thriving, with domestic travel reaching 4.998 billion trips in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18% [4]. - Brands are adapting by engaging in immersive marketing strategies, such as combining music festivals with tourism promotions, to resonate with consumers' emotional needs [6]. Group 2: Comprehensive Health as a Lifestyle Essential - Health has become a fundamental aspect of consumer choices, extending beyond illness to encompass daily products, with the health industry in China reaching a scale of 9 trillion yuan in 2024 [8]. - Brands are leveraging partnerships with authoritative media to enhance credibility and trust, exemplified by Amway's collaboration with health-focused programs to position itself as a promoter of comprehensive health [8]. - Companies like Lunan Pharmaceutical and Fortune Oil are effectively using media partnerships to elevate their brand visibility and communicate health benefits in relatable terms [9][11]. Group 3: Smart Technology as an Invisible Caretaker - The integration of smart technology into daily life is becoming commonplace, with categories like smart refrigerators and robotic vacuums seeing over 20% growth during the 2025 holiday season [13]. - Advertising for smart home appliances has doubled, with leading brands utilizing immersive storytelling to showcase the benefits of technology in enhancing quality of life [14]. - Brands like Haier and Gree are effectively using live broadcasts and authoritative platforms to demonstrate how smart technology can simplify and improve everyday living [16]. Group 4: Green and Sustainable Choices as Value Statements - The preference for low-carbon and sustainable options is becoming a significant consumer trend, particularly in the automotive sector, where sales of new energy vehicles reached 10.446 million units in the first nine months of 2025, a 32% increase [18]. - Advertising investments in the new energy sector have doubled, reflecting brands' commitment to green initiatives and sustainable practices [18]. - Companies like Green Source and XPeng Motors are creatively integrating their green values into marketing campaigns, making sustainability a tangible aspect of consumer experiences [19]. Conclusion - The migration of advertising budgets reflects deeper societal values and consumer preferences, moving from emotional engagement to health consciousness, technological integration, and sustainability [21]. - Brands must leverage credible platforms to resonate with consumers, transforming commercial messages into meaningful narratives that align with contemporary values and aspirations [21].
马斯克一句“愚蠢至极”,又得罪了整个硅谷
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 13:57
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk criticized the pursuit of small nuclear fusion reactors on Earth, arguing that the sun serves as a free and efficient nuclear fusion reactor, and called for a halt to investments in such projects unless they are purely for scientific experimentation [5][7]. Group 1: Investment Landscape in Nuclear Fusion - In Silicon Valley, nuclear fusion is viewed as a long-term infrastructure investment rather than a fleeting trend, with nearly $10 billion in private capital expected to flow into the sector by July 2025 [9]. - Major tech figures, including Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos, have made significant investments in nuclear fusion, with Gates' Breakthrough Energy Ventures focusing on long-term clean energy strategies [9][10]. - Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) has raised nearly $3 billion, emerging as a leading contender in the fusion startup space due to its high-temperature superconducting tokamak technology [10][11]. Group 2: The Narrative of Nuclear Fusion - Nuclear fusion is often framed as an "infinite energy" solution, promising abundant fuel sources and minimal carbon emissions, which is particularly appealing in the context of rising energy demands from AI [16]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects that global data center electricity demand will approach 945 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2030, with AI-specific loads increasing fourfold [16]. - 84% of fusion companies believe they can achieve grid connection by the 2030s, with over half targeting completion by 2035, driven by technological advancements like high-temperature superconductors [16]. Group 3: Challenges and Criticism of Nuclear Fusion - Musk highlighted significant engineering challenges facing terrestrial nuclear fusion, including the need for reactors to produce more energy than they consume, which remains unproven [18][19]. - The cost of building the first commercial fusion reactors is projected to be in the hundreds of billions, with construction timelines exceeding ten years, raising questions about economic viability [19]. - Musk argues that solar energy, which has seen a cost reduction of over 89% in the past decade, is a more practical and cost-effective solution compared to the uncertain future of nuclear fusion [19]. Group 4: Alternative Energy Strategies - Musk advocates for solar energy and storage technologies as the most viable and economically sound energy solutions, proposing that a solar panel area of 100 miles by 100 miles could power the entire United States [20]. - Tesla is actively working on solar products and energy storage systems to address the intermittency issues of traditional solar energy [20][21]. - Musk's vision includes deploying solar energy satellites in space, which would provide continuous power without atmospheric interference, further enhancing energy reliability for AI applications [21][22]. Group 5: Conclusion on Energy Transition - The debate between Musk and other tech leaders reflects differing philosophies on risk and return in energy technology, with fusion representing high-risk, high-reward potential, while solar energy offers more immediate and certain returns [25]. - The future of energy will require balancing the uncertainties of emerging technologies like nuclear fusion with the pressing need for reliable energy sources in the AI era [25].
公募老将领衔的加密资产第一股,成长性存疑
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 11:33
Core Viewpoint - HashKey Holdings, led by Dr. Xiao Feng, has become the first cryptocurrency company to go public in Hong Kong, but its stock performance has been underwhelming, raising questions about its future growth potential in a challenging regulatory environment [2][4]. Group 1: Company Background - Dr. Xiao Feng, a pioneer in China's public fund industry, founded HashKey Group in Hong Kong in 2022 after a successful career with Bosera Funds and Wanxiang Group, focusing on blockchain technology [3][4]. - HashKey Holdings has established three main business segments: trading facilitation services, on-chain services, and asset management, with a goal to create a closed-loop business model [4][7]. Group 2: Business Performance - Trading facilitation services are the core revenue driver, accounting for 68% of total income, with significant contributions from retail and institutional clients [5][8]. - As of September 30, 2025, HashKey has facilitated a total trading volume of 1.3 trillion HKD, leading the regional onshore platform market [5][8]. - The company has seen a dramatic increase in trading volume, from 4.2 billion HKD in 2022 to 638.4 billion HKD in 2024, representing over 150 times growth [8]. Group 3: Financial Challenges - Despite some operational highlights, HashKey faces significant financial challenges, including a cumulative loss of 2.355 billion HKD from 2022 to 2024, with a single-year loss of 1.1896 billion HKD in 2024 [10][11]. - The company has experienced continuous negative cash flow, with a net outflow of 266 million HKD in the first half of 2025, raising concerns about its sustainability [10][11]. Group 4: Market Position and Competition - HashKey holds a 75% market share in Hong Kong's virtual asset trading volume, but it lags significantly behind offshore exchanges like Binance, which has a daily trading volume of 11.6 billion USD [11][14]. - The competitive landscape is dominated by major offshore exchanges, which benefit from less stringent regulations, making it difficult for compliant onshore platforms like HashKey to compete effectively [14][16]. Group 5: Regulatory Environment - HashKey's ability to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange does not indicate a relaxation of mainland China's strict regulations on cryptocurrency, as it operates under a different regulatory framework in Hong Kong [17][18]. - The company is positioned as a "risk buffer" for the mainland, allowing for controlled financial experimentation without impacting financial stability [17][18].
网贷、信用卡“打折还贷”灰产调查:还款最低能打四折?
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 11:33
以下文章来源于时代周报 ,作者王苗苗 时代周报 . 记录大时代,深读全商业。互联网新闻信息服务许可证编号:44120230006 本文来自微信公众号: 时代周报 ,编辑:卢泳志,作者:王苗苗,原文标题:《18万债务9万结 清!网贷、信用卡"打折还贷"灰产调查:还款最低能打四折?》 "负债18万多元,最后协商只要还9万多元。"广西的杨女士看着手中"结清证明",仍觉得有些不真 实。在过去半年多的时间里,她通过一家自称有"内部渠道"的公司,以约五折的价格"结清"了六个网 贷与信用卡平台的欠款。 近日,时代周报记者注意到,在闲鱼等二手交易平台,一种以"高折扣还款"为诱饵的灰色服务悄然蔓 延。"还款优惠券""信用卡八二折起还卡优惠券""平台欠款减免四至五成真实结清"等极具诱惑力的广 告,吸引着大量深陷债务泥潭的借款人。 时代周报记者调查发现,这类服务的诱惑点十分明确:大部分还款优惠在七至八折,部分甚至低至四 至六折,即代还1万元仅需支付4000~6000元。折扣力度之大,远超常人理解。 这究竟是负债者的"救命稻草",还是精心包装的金融陷阱?时代周报记者历时数日,以消费者身份潜 入调查,并采访多名法律、金融领域专家,试图 ...
从BBA到SBBA:豪华轿车格局被重塑?
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 11:33
Core Viewpoint - The luxury car market in China is undergoing significant changes, with traditional luxury brands experiencing a decline in sales, particularly in the 300,000 to 400,000 RMB segment, which has seen a drop of 14.4% [1][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - In the first three quarters of 2025, BMW's deliveries in China fell by 11.2% to 464,000 units, while Mercedes-Benz's sales plummeted by 27% in Q3, leading to an 18% decline to 418,000 units for the first three quarters [3]. - The luxury car segment above 300,000 RMB is facing structural shifts, with Chinese brands attracting customers through competitive pricing and appealing specifications [3][4]. - The decline in sales for traditional luxury brands is not solely due to price competition but reflects a deeper structural change in consumer preferences [3][4]. Group 2: Importance of Sedans - Sedans are considered the cornerstone of luxury brands, providing high profit margins and serving as the brand's identity [6][7]. - Historical examples show that the rise of luxury brands often begins with a groundbreaking sedan, which establishes market dominance and brand prestige [8][9]. - Luxury sedans serve as social symbols, offering a unique "social card" advantage that is difficult to replicate with other vehicle types [10]. Group 3: Strategic Positioning of Xiangjie - Xiangjie aims to penetrate the core market of traditional luxury brands by offering a new product language and luxury logic, challenging the established dominance of BBA [11][12]. - The brand's sales data indicates a strong market presence, with over 6,700 units delivered in October and November 2025, and a target of over 10,000 units in December [13]. - The response from dealers, with over 100 applications from BBA dealers, reflects confidence in Xiangjie's potential to reshape the luxury car market [14]. Group 4: Product Differentiation - The Xiangjie S9 model addresses deep consumer needs that BBA brands have not met, focusing on providing a new luxury experience rather than just competitive specifications [18]. - The S9 offers unique features such as privacy protection and a health-oriented cabin design, elevating the vehicle from a mere transportation tool to a space for relaxation and rejuvenation [19][21]. - The Xiangjie S9T redefines the luxury travel car concept by integrating emotional value and aesthetic appeal, catering to consumers seeking distinctiveness [22][24]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Xiangjie plans to expand its product line to include SUVs and MPVs by 2026, moving from a single product focus to a broader ecological competition strategy [16]. - The collaboration between Beiqi and Huawei aims to create a robust ecosystem that supports continuous technological advancement and market competitiveness [16]. - The emergence of the "SBBA" market structure signifies a shift in luxury car definitions, with Xiangjie positioned to challenge traditional luxury brands effectively [26].
高德,千问的第一块实体拼图
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 11:33
Core Viewpoint - Alibaba's integration of Gaode with Qianwen App marks a significant step in its AI to C strategy, showcasing a comprehensive vision for future applications in a competitive global landscape [2][4]. Group 1: AI Integration and Service Enhancement - The "AI Direct Connection Service" allows complex service intents to be directly translated into actions, simplifying internet interactions [2]. - Qianwen is evolving into a practical AI assistant by transforming Alibaba's diverse capabilities into "atomic capabilities" that can be called upon [2]. - The integration with Gaode enables Qianwen to gain a real understanding of the physical world, moving beyond mere dialogue to provide actionable solutions based on real-time city rules and traffic conditions [6][19]. Group 2: Comparison with Competitors - Alibaba's approach contrasts with Google's, which focuses on integrating AI into existing applications, while Alibaba aims to connect more of its own services directly to Qianwen [3][24]. - The differences in resource endowments lead to distinct strategies: Alibaba enhances connection efficiency through its service advantages, while Google strengthens user experience through its existing traffic channels [3]. Group 3: Future Implications and Execution Power - The integration of Gaode is just the first step in a broader strategy to connect various Alibaba services, with future iterations expected to include e-commerce, payment, and local life services [27][28]. - The evolution of AI from merely providing answers to solving problems signifies a shift towards execution capability, with Qianwen expected to facilitate complex decision-making across different scenarios [19][27]. - The ultimate goal is to create a "personal assistant" that seamlessly integrates various services, allowing users to make complex decisions with simple commands [28].
巨头刹车、散户离场背后,谁在“操控”猪周期?
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 00:09
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing challenges in China's pig farming industry, highlighting the prolonged downturn in pig prices and the impact of the pig cycle on the market dynamics [3][4][11]. Group 1: Pig Price Trends - Since April 2022, the current pig cycle has been marked by a prolonged low point, with the average purchase price of live pigs dropping to 13.11 yuan per kilogram by late November 2025, reflecting a 0.9% decrease month-on-month and a 27% decrease year-on-year [4][9]. - The lack of seasonal demand during the year-end peak indicates a persistent supply-demand imbalance in the market [4]. Group 2: Industry Responses - Major pig farming companies like Tian Kang Biological, Shennong Group, and others have halted their pig farming projects, while leading firms such as Muyuan, Wens, and others have also suspended multiple projects due to cash flow pressures [5][6]. - The overall asset-liability ratio of listed pig companies has increased, indicating heightened financial stress within the industry [6]. Group 3: Smallholder Challenges - Traditional small-scale pig farmers face dire circumstances due to their limited purchasing power for feed and veterinary supplies, resulting in higher production costs compared to large-scale operations [7]. - The cost of raising pigs for smallholders has significantly increased, with a notable difference in costs compared to large-scale farmers, leading to greater financial losses during the current price downturn [7]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The number of breeding sows in China has remained above the normal level of 39 million, with recent figures showing around 40.4 million, contributing to the oversupply in the market [8][9]. - The prolonged low prices are attributed to the high number of breeding sows and the inability of the market to absorb the excess supply, exacerbated by competition from alternative proteins like chicken and beef [14]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The current pig cycle is seen as a potential turning point, not in terms of price recovery, but in the structural changes within the pig farming industry due to increased scale and consolidation [15]. - Companies are shifting from merely raising pigs to integrating downstream operations such as slaughtering and meat processing to mitigate cyclical risks and enhance profitability [17][18].
早报 | 国家医保局发文回应生娃不花钱;芬兰总理正式向中韩日民众道歉;南京博物院回应名作现身拍卖市场;“AI才女”罗福莉完成首秀
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 00:09
Group 1 - Finnish Prime Minister Orpo formally apologized to the citizens of China, South Korea, and Japan for recent racist remarks made by a member of parliament, emphasizing that racism and discrimination have no place in Finnish society [2] - Oracle's stock fell nearly 5.4% after a major investor withdrew from a $10 billion data center project, raising concerns about the company's debt levels and spending [3][4] - The Nasdaq index dropped nearly 2%, with significant declines in AI-related stocks, including Broadcom, Nvidia, and AMD, as investors continued to pull out of the AI sector [3][4] Group 2 - Google launched a new AI model, Gemini 3 Flash, which is set to replace the previous version as the default model for Google Search, indicating a competitive push against OpenAI [7] - Amazon restructured its AI team, integrating its general AI team with chip development and quantum computing research, in response to competitive pressures from Microsoft and Google [8][9] - Xiaomi's AI model, Xiaomi MiMo-V2-Flash, was introduced by a new team member, showcasing advancements in speed and cost-effectiveness compared to other leading models [11] Group 3 - FIFA announced a total prize pool of $727 million for the 2026 World Cup, with a 50% increase compared to the 2022 Qatar World Cup, attributed to the expansion of participating teams from 32 to 48 [13] - Vanke proposed a new extension plan for its maturing medium-term notes, extending the principal repayment period by 12 months and adjusting interest payment schedules [14][15] - Alibaba's investment arm reduced its stake in Huayi Brothers, decreasing its holding from 3.47% to 2.40%, which is expected to stabilize the company's shareholding structure [16]
李蓓被流量耽误了
虎嗅APP· 2025-12-18 00:09
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise and fall of Li Bei, a prominent figure in the private equity industry, highlighting her unique ability to blend investment acumen with public engagement, but also detailing the challenges she faces due to recent performance declines and market misjudgments [4][6][12]. Group 1: Li Bei's Rise and Influence - Li Bei, founder of Hanxia Investment, gained significant attention in the private equity sector through her unconventional methods, including public engagement and bold investment predictions, which have garnered her a large following [5][10]. - Her investment strategies, particularly in macro-hedging, initially led to impressive performance, with average returns of 99.99% in 2021 and 258% in 2020, positioning her firm among the top private equity players [15][12]. - The combination of strong performance and effective public relations allowed Hanxia Investment to rapidly grow its assets under management to over 100 billion [12][31]. Group 2: Performance Decline and Challenges - After 2022, Li Bei's performance began to decline, with significant misjudgments in market timing, particularly regarding real estate and macroeconomic trends, leading to substantial losses [16][18]. - The average returns of Hanxia Investment's products dropped to around 0.74% in 2022, and by 2023, the firm was among the bottom performers in the private equity sector [16][18]. - Li Bei's reliance on personal branding and public engagement has started to backfire, as investor sentiment shifts towards a demand for more substantial investment insights rather than personal narratives [17][18]. Group 3: Macro Hedge Strategy Difficulties - The article emphasizes the inherent difficulties of macro-hedging strategies, which require a high level of expertise and adaptability to changing market conditions, a challenge that Li Bei has struggled with in recent years [19][23]. - Li Bei's past successes were attributed to favorable market conditions, but the current economic environment has made it increasingly difficult to achieve similar results, highlighting the risks associated with macro-hedging [21][22]. - The article notes that Li Bei's focus on macro strategies has led to missed opportunities in high-growth sectors like technology and consumer goods, which are critical for effective macroeconomic analysis [24][25]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Future Outlook - The competitive landscape for private equity firms has intensified, with other firms adopting quantitative strategies that have outperformed traditional macro-hedging approaches, posing a significant challenge to Hanxia Investment [33][34]. - Li Bei's firm faces pressure not only from established players but also from emerging quantitative funds that leverage technology for better performance, indicating a shift in investor preferences [35][36]. - The article concludes that while Li Bei has the potential to adapt and regain her footing, the challenges posed by market dynamics and competition will require significant strategic adjustments [36][39].