经济观察报
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申请消费贷贴息,千万别踩这些坑
经济观察报· 2025-10-17 11:22
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and experiences of individuals applying for consumer loan interest subsidies, highlighting the importance of loan interest rates and the successful application of subsidies [2][3][4]. Group 1: Application Process and Challenges - Applicants generally find it easy to apply for loan interest subsidies, but the key concern is obtaining loans at low interest rates and ensuring the subsidies are successfully applied [2][3]. - The experience of a consumer, Ms. Huang, illustrates the confusion surrounding the subsidy process, particularly regarding early repayments and the lack of immediate feedback on subsidy status [3][4]. - Banks require that the loan funds be used for genuine consumption, and the identification of such transactions is crucial for subsidy approval [4][12]. Group 2: Interest Rates and Loan Types - The interest rates for consumer loans from state-owned banks are generally lower than those from joint-stock commercial banks, with many applicants securing loans at around 3.0% [14][15]. - The article notes that the maximum subsidy rate is 1% per annum, applicable to loans used for specific consumption categories, with a cap on total subsidies [6][8]. Group 3: Successful Subsidy Claims - Successful subsidy claims depend on the proper use of loan funds and the identification of transactions as genuine consumption, with some applicants successfully receiving subsidies after meeting these criteria [10][11]. - The article provides examples of individuals who successfully received subsidies, emphasizing the importance of using company accounts or verified payment methods for transactions [10][11]. Group 4: Variations in Bank Policies - Different banks have varying policies regarding the application and approval of subsidies, with some requiring additional documentation or specific account types to facilitate the process [12][16]. - The article highlights the experiences of individuals who faced challenges in securing loans from joint-stock banks, often due to stricter eligibility criteria compared to state-owned banks [15][16].
荣耀的AI进化:让手机“活”起来
经济观察报· 2025-10-17 05:33
它不再简单地对标iPhone,而是要开创一个全新的品类—— AI Phone。 作者: 陈今 封图:图片资料室 当荣耀 CEO李健在2025年10月15日荣耀Magic8系列发布会的尾声,以一句经典的"One More Thing"揭晓一款名为"Robot Phone"(机器人手 机)的颠覆性概念产品时,台下的惊叹声与线上直播间刷屏的问号,汇成了一个共同的感慨: "这还是我认识的那个荣耀吗?"。 曾几何时,荣耀给市场的印象是一位在惊涛骇浪中奋力 "求生存"的坚韧斗士,在参数、配置与性价比的红海中,凭借扎实的基本功稳住阵脚。然而, 自2025年1月,李健走马上任CEO以来,这艘航船正以一种近乎决绝的姿态,猛然调转船头, 驶向一片名为"全球领先的AI终端生态"的未知蓝海 。 Magic8系列,便是这场变革宣言的第一个实体样本。它不再简单地对标iPhone,而是要开创一个全新的品类——AI Phone。它不仅是一部更智能的 手机,能娴熟地帮用户比价、抢票、修图,更被赋予了一种"生命感"—— 一个能够在使用中不断学习、与用户共同成长的智能伙伴 。 而那惊鸿一瞥的 Robot Phone,则预示着荣耀的野心远不止于此, ...
外贸订单里,“人民币结算”正升温
经济观察报· 2025-10-17 03:22
Core Viewpoint - The reliance of emerging market countries on the US dollar in international transactions is decreasing due to geopolitical changes, rising tariff barriers, and fluctuations in the US interest rate cycle, leading to an increase in the use of the Renminbi (RMB) in cross-border transactions [1][2]. Group 1: RMB Internationalization - The 138th China Import and Export Fair (Canton Fair) has seen an increase in the use of RMB as a trade settlement currency among exporters [2]. - Reports from institutions like China Construction Bank and CICC indicate significant growth in the use of RMB for cross-border trade settlement and financing from 2024 to 2025 [2]. - The RMB's acceptance as a trade settlement currency is particularly notable in "Global South" economies, including Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Central Asia [3]. Group 2: Company Experiences - Suzhou Grun德 Electric Co., Ltd. has seen an increase in RMB trade settlements initiated by European clients, with RMB transactions now accounting for a growing portion of their business [6]. - Similar trends are observed at CaiXun Industrial (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd., where the proportion of RMB settlements has risen from 0% to approximately 40% for Russian clients [7]. - Jiangsu Jinpeng Group has reported a significant increase in African clients opting for RMB settlements, with the number of such clients doubling from last year [7]. Group 3: Cross-Border RMB Settlement Data - In June, the Bank of China reported that the cross-border RMB settlement volume exceeded 43 trillion yuan, a 31% year-on-year increase, while the cross-border RMB clearing volume reached 131.4 trillion yuan, up 49% [8]. - The CICC report highlighted the weakening credibility of the US dollar due to its misuse and the imposition of tariffs, suggesting a shift towards a more fragmented and diversified global monetary system [8]. Group 4: Challenges and Outlook - Despite the positive trends, companies face challenges in using RMB for international transactions, including low liquidity and high financial costs associated with offshore RMB [11]. - A survey indicated that 60% of companies cited low liquidity and high costs as major barriers to using RMB, while 50% reported that counterparties were unwilling to use RMB [11]. - Optimism remains, with 57% of domestic companies and 69% of foreign companies expecting to increase their use of RMB in cross-border trade settlements by 2025 [12].
国际锌价高歌猛进 国内锌厂热火朝天
经济观察报· 2025-10-16 12:36
Core Viewpoint - The zinc market is facing downward price pressure across the entire supply chain, from mining to smelting, leading to compressed profit margins. This unusual "internal weakness and external strength" market structure is reshaping global zinc trade flows and presenting unprecedented challenges to the domestic zinc industry [1][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Domestic zinc ingot social inventory has surged to 163,100 tons, significantly up from around 100,000 tons earlier this year, indicating a clear supply-demand imbalance with increased supply and weak consumption [2]. - Since August, a rare divergence in domestic and international zinc markets has emerged, characterized by a strong rise in LME zinc prices from approximately $2,700/ton to a peak of $3,004/ton, while domestic zinc prices have fluctuated between 22,000 and 22,500 yuan/ton, showing weakness [2][6]. - The extreme price disparity has caused the Shanghai-LME ratio to drop to 7.4, resulting in import losses exceeding 5,000 yuan/ton, the highest level since 2022 [2][7]. Processing Fees and Market Behavior - There is a notable divergence in processing fees, with imported zinc concentrate processing fees rising while domestic processing fees are declining. As of September 20, domestic processing fees fell to around 3,850 yuan/ton, while imported processing fees rebounded to over $110/ton [8][9]. - The decline in domestic processing fees is attributed to the worsening Shanghai-LME ratio, leading domestic smelters to prefer purchasing domestic ore, tightening its supply and allowing suppliers to increase prices [10]. Production and Consumption Trends - Domestic zinc mine production in August was 370,000 tons, stable month-on-month but up 3% year-on-year, with expectations of slight improvement in September as production normalizes post-summer [12]. - Domestic refined zinc production reached a record high of 620,000 tons in August, with a year-on-year growth rate of 28%, indicating a recovery from previous lows [14][15]. - Zinc consumption remains weak, with actual consumption in August at 590,000 tons, down 2% month-on-month and 5% year-on-year, reflecting a seasonal downturn [18]. Economic Indicators and Market Outlook - Macro-economic data supports the view of weak zinc consumption, with significant declines in infrastructure and real estate investments, which are closely linked to zinc demand [19]. - Domestic zinc ingot inventory has increased significantly, reaching 160,000 tons by September 20, with projections suggesting it could rise to around 250,000 tons by year-end [20]. - In contrast, LME zinc ingot inventory continues to decline, recently dropping below 50,000 tons, which may prevent significant price drops in the near term [21]. Future Market Predictions - The overall zinc market fundamentals appear weak due to increased supply and weak consumption, yet the market has not shown a significant downward trend due to macroeconomic support and the ongoing decline in LME inventories [23][24]. - Short-term predictions indicate that while global economic conditions may support metal prices, domestic supply remains ample, limiting the potential for significant price increases in the domestic market [25].
黄金飙涨,年轻人卖掉结婚“五金”
经济观察报· 2025-10-16 12:36
在这轮黄金上涨的热潮中,有人跻身入局,也有人"全身而 退"。年轻人们正打破传统,不再执着于 "买了就不能动" 的 旧观念,而是将黄金视作 "灵活的资产储备",既能在金价回 落时入手,也能在高价时根据需求变现,用更务实的态度对待 黄金投资。 作者: 刘颖 封图:图虫创意 2025年10月15日,"95后"赵媛看着账户里多出的18万元,忍不住感慨,当初购买的结婚"五金"竟成了小 家庭的"救急钱"。 近日,赵媛的小家庭遇到了资金周转困难。犹豫再三,她最终决定将结婚时购入的26万元结婚"五金"卖 掉。 与传统的结婚"五金"即金戒指、金项链、金耳环、金手镯和金吊坠(或金脚链)不同,赵媛结婚时以520 元/克的价格购入了银行的金条,共计500克。 今年"十一黄金周"前后,金价的迅速上涨让赵媛始料未及,国际金价涨至超过4000美元/盎司,国内上海 期货交易所主力黄金期货价格涨至超过900元/克,国内黄金饰品的价格涨至1200元/克左右。也正因此, 她才下定决心卖掉结婚"五金"。 身处不同城市的侯女士和张先生,对此也有了相似的体会。在这轮黄金上涨的热潮中,有人跻身入局,也 有人"全身而退"。年轻人们正打破传统,不再执着于"买 ...
徐翔母亲“清空”大恒科技,多宗资产仍在处置中
经济观察报· 2025-10-16 11:47
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the asset disposal related to Xu Xiang's case, particularly focusing on the auction and transfer of shares in Daheng Technology, which has implications for Xu's divorce proceedings and the ongoing asset liquidation process [2][3][4][5]. Group 1: Asset Disposal and Company Changes - Daheng New Era Technology Co., Ltd. announced a change in its actual controller from Zheng Suzhen to no actual controller [2]. - Zheng Suzhen, Xu Xiang's mother, sold her shares in Daheng Technology for 1.712 billion yuan, yielding a profit of 510 million yuan compared to her original purchase price [6][10]. - The shares sold were part of a judicial auction ordered by the Qingdao Intermediate People's Court, which had previously frozen Zheng's shares due to Xu's legal issues [8][9]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Historical Context - Daheng Technology's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 844 million yuan, with a net loss of 2.7405 million yuan, indicating a significant decline compared to the company's performance when Zheng took control [9]. - In 2015, Daheng Technology's revenue was 2.682 billion yuan, showcasing a stark contrast to its current financial state [7]. Group 3: Ongoing Legal and Financial Issues - Multiple asset disposals related to Xu Xiang's case are still ongoing, including shares in Wenfeng Co., Ningbo Zhongbai, and Huayi Family, with various stages of judicial proceedings [11][13][14]. - The divorce proceedings between Xu Xiang and Ying Ying are complicated by the ongoing asset liquidation, with the court previously denying Ying's request for divorce due to insufficient evidence of a breakdown in their relationship [12].
“中华葫芦第一村”是如何炼成的
经济观察报· 2025-10-16 11:47
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the transformation of Luozhuang Village into a leading hub for gourd production in China, driven by the return of young people and the development of a robust gourd industry that now accounts for over 70% of the national market share in gourds [1][4]. Group 1: Gourd Industry Development - Luozhuang Village, known as "China's Gourd Capital," has seen significant infrastructure improvements, with many new two-story buildings and shops dedicated to gourd-related businesses [3][4]. - The village's gourd production has a rich history, dating back to the Han Dynasty for cultivation and the Song Dynasty for processing techniques, with the gourd carving recognized as a national intangible cultural heritage [4][10]. - The annual Gourd Cultural and Arts Festival attracts thousands of buyers, with last year's event generating a transaction volume of 290 million yuan over four days [5]. Group 2: Economic Impact - Gourd cultivation is highly profitable, with farmers earning at least 20,000 yuan per mu, compared to only a few thousand yuan for other crops like garlic [5][11]. - The gourd industry in Tangyi Town, where Luozhuang is located, generates an annual comprehensive economic benefit of 1.8 billion yuan [41]. Group 3: Innovation and Market Trends - The introduction of new gourd varieties, such as the "Tianjin Mouth" gourd, has led to a significant increase in the number of gourd types available, enhancing market competitiveness [18][20]. - The village has embraced modern marketing strategies, with over 400 online stores and a shift towards live-streaming sales on platforms like Douyin and Kuaishou, moving away from traditional e-commerce [33][34]. Group 4: Cultural and Creative Products - There is a growing trend of creating innovative gourd products aimed at younger consumers, including unique designs and creative items that appeal to modern tastes [27][28]. - The integration of traditional craftsmanship with contemporary design has attracted a diverse customer base, including those interested in both traditional and modern gourd art [42].
京东需要新故事
经济观察报· 2025-10-16 11:47
Core Viewpoint - JD.com is at a critical juncture in 2025, requiring a new narrative to support future growth as it ventures into new markets like food delivery and automotive sales [1][3]. Group 1: Strategic Moves - On October 14, JD.com announced a collaboration with GAC and CATL to launch a car, marking its entry into the automotive industry [2]. - JD.com clarified that it will focus on selling cars rather than manufacturing them, leveraging its consumer insights and exclusive sales capabilities [3]. - The company's recent moves, including entering the food delivery market and automotive sales, reflect a strategic attempt to find new growth avenues amid slowing traditional e-commerce growth [4]. Group 2: Market Challenges - JD.com faces unprecedented growth pressures due to the saturation of mobile internet traffic and challenges from live-streaming e-commerce models [4]. - The slowing growth rate in financial reports and cautious market sentiment indicate that merely optimizing existing business lines is insufficient for future growth [4]. Group 3: Transformation and Adaptation - The company is attempting to address low-frequency consumption patterns by entering high-frequency markets like food delivery, while also targeting high-value sectors like automotive sales [5]. - Historical examples, such as Fujifilm's successful transformation, illustrate that large companies can pivot effectively, but it requires strategic foresight and adaptability [6]. - JD.com's aggressive cross-industry moves signify a necessary evolution, despite the inherent risks and challenges associated with such transformations [6].
未见光刻机,新凯来依旧引爆“中国芯”
经济观察报· 2025-10-16 11:47
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant advancements in China's semiconductor industry, particularly through the introduction of innovative products by companies like Wanliyan and Xinkailai, which are breaking through technological barriers and enhancing domestic capabilities in high-end testing equipment and EDA software [2][6][12]. Group 1: Wanliyan's Innovations - Wanliyan has launched a new 90GHz high-speed oscilloscope, which is the second fastest globally and the only one in China, breaking the Western "Wassenaar Arrangement" restrictions [2][7]. - The oscilloscope's high bandwidth allows for precise testing of advanced chips, such as 7nm AI chips, which require around 60GHz to 90GHz for effective testing [8][9]. - The development of this oscilloscope involved integrating seven key technology areas, showcasing Wanliyan's strong system integration and engineering capabilities [9][10]. Group 2: Xinkailai's EDA Software - Xinkailai's subsidiary, Qiyunfang, introduced two EDA software products with independent intellectual property rights, which are crucial for chip and PCB design [12][13]. - The new EDA software reportedly improves performance by 30% over industry benchmarks and reduces hardware development cycles by 40% [14]. - The software supports collaborative design, allowing multiple engineers to work on complex circuit boards simultaneously, enhancing efficiency [14][15]. Group 3: Market Context and Collaboration - The article emphasizes the collaborative progress in domestic semiconductor equipment, materials, and EDA tools, which are creating a positive feedback loop for innovation [23][35]. - The growth of companies like Xinkailai is closely tied to the expanding domestic market for AI, automotive, and data center chips, providing unique opportunities for rapid product iteration and commercialization [23][24]. - The article notes a shift in the semiconductor industry from isolated breakthroughs to a more integrated approach, where companies are working together across the supply chain to enhance overall efficiency and innovation [26][35].
券商股权冰火24小时:这边被抢疯,那边却遭遇“0人出价”
经济观察报· 2025-10-16 02:36
Core Viewpoint - The stark contrast in the auction outcomes of two brokerage firms reflects a significant shift in market perception regarding the value of brokerages [1] Group 1: Auction Outcomes - On October 12, Huachuang Yuxin's 41.455 million shares were auctioned with a starting price of 295 million yuan, but the auction ended without any bids [2] - Conversely, on October 13, Jinlong Co.'s 30 million shares were auctioned successfully, with a final price of 376 million yuan, representing a 25% premium over the starting price [2][4] - The auction results indicate a divergence in investor interest, with Huachuang Yuxin's shares failing to attract buyers while Jinlong Co.'s shares saw competitive bidding [2][5] Group 2: Financial Performance - Huachuang Yuxin reported a revenue decline of 11.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of only 0.07 billion yuan [4] - In contrast, Jinlong Co. experienced a revenue increase of 16.35%, although its net profit was still negative when excluding a one-time gain from asset sales [5] - The financial performance of these firms plays a crucial role in shaping investor sentiment and auction outcomes [5] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The auction results are influenced by the broader market conditions, with Jinlong Co.'s shares trading at a discount of 6.8% compared to their previous closing price, while Huachuang Yuxin's shares were at a 9.3% discount [7] - The market's perception of brokerage stocks has fluctuated, reflecting changes in investor confidence amid market volatility [7][8] - The ongoing trend of equity auctions among small and medium-sized brokerages is indicative of the competitive pressures they face in a consolidating industry [13] Group 4: Investment Logic Transformation - The rationale behind brokerage equity transactions has evolved from merely seeking low-priced assets to capturing future value and strategic integration [17] - Investors are now more focused on the potential for synergies and strategic fit within larger frameworks rather than just the immediate price of the shares [17] - The shift in investment logic is evident as local state-owned enterprises increasingly play a pivotal role in brokerage equity acquisitions [16][17]