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“年底收官”叠加“开门红大幅提前”,银行人感叹:“开门红”的“门”几乎没关上过
经济观察报· 2025-12-04 12:15
Core Viewpoint - The banking industry's "opening red" campaign has significantly advanced this year, with many banks starting their marketing efforts as early as October and November, leading to a dual pressure of "opening red" and year-end performance reviews for employees [1][3][10]. Summary by Sections Opening Red Campaign - The "opening red" campaign refers to traditional marketing activities by commercial banks aimed at seizing market share and boosting performance at the beginning of the year [2]. - This year, banks have initiated their "opening red" activities much earlier than in previous years, with some banks reporting a campaign duration of up to six months [10][11]. Performance Indicators - During the "opening red" period, banks set specific performance targets, such as monthly average increases in financial assets and savings [3]. - For example, a bank in Sichuan requires a monthly average increase of 40 million yuan in financial assets and 16.5 million yuan in savings [3]. Customer Engagement Strategies - Banks are employing various strategies to attract and retain customers, including offering higher interest rates for deposits made through customer managers compared to online applications [5]. - Some banks are providing incentives like WeChat discounts for customers who increase their financial assets during December [5]. Challenges Faced by Employees - Employees are experiencing significant pressure to meet both "opening red" and year-end performance targets, leading to fatigue and stress [1][4]. - New employees, like a newly appointed wealth manager, face challenges in meeting deposit targets due to a lack of established client relationships [2][5]. Market Dynamics - The early and extended "opening red" campaigns are driven by narrowing interest margins and a shortage of quality market assets, prompting banks to secure clients and funds earlier [10][11]. - The focus of the banking industry is shifting from mere scale expansion to deepening service quality, integrating wealth management, and enhancing customer loyalty [10][11]. Year-End Performance Pressure - As the year-end approaches, banks are also focused on completing their annual performance targets, which adds to the stress of employees [13]. - Employees report difficulties in retaining existing clients and acquiring new ones, with some clients moving their funds to foreign banks for better returns [13][14]. Recommendations for Improvement - Experts suggest that banks need to shift their focus from short-term performance metrics to long-term client relationship quality, incorporating customer needs analysis into their service processes [14]. - There is a call for banks to optimize resource allocation and provide ongoing training to support employees in building sustainable client relationships rather than merely chasing short-term targets [14].
新国标电动车的适应期:旧车有多火,新车就有多冷清
经济观察报· 2025-12-04 11:30
Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new national standard for electric bicycles (GB17761-2024) has led to a limited supply of compliant models in the market, resulting in fewer choices and increased prices for consumers [2][6]. Group 1: New National Standard Implementation - The new standard, effective from December 1, 2023, prohibits the sale of old electric bicycles and introduces stricter requirements regarding speed, fire safety, and smart positioning systems [2][4]. - Under the new regulations, electric bicycles must not exceed a speed of 25 km/h, and manufacturers are required to implement anti-tampering mechanisms to prevent speed modifications [5]. - The new standard mandates the use of higher-grade flame-retardant materials for key components and sets specific technical indicators for battery safety, including thermal runaway protection [5]. Group 2: Market Supply and Pricing - The market supply of new standard electric bicycles is still in its early stages, with many stores reporting low inventory levels, often displaying only one model with limited stock [6][8]. - Prices for new standard electric bicycles have increased by 300 to 500 yuan compared to old models, with some high-end models seeing price hikes of up to 1,000 yuan due to upgraded materials and features [6][8]. - Online sales channels reflect a similar trend, with only 1-2 models available from major brands, and many listings showing "out of stock" [7][8]. Group 3: Industry Response and Future Outlook - Companies are adjusting their production lines to comply with the new standard, with some brands like Aima announcing capacity transfers and temporary shutdowns of old production lines [8][11]. - Despite the current supply challenges, industry representatives express optimism about the future, believing that the new standard will enhance safety and drive demand as production ramps up [10][11]. - The market is also witnessing a shift towards electric motorcycles, which are not subject to the new regulations and have shown higher sales volumes compared to new standard electric bicycles [10][11].
从泡泡玛特看潮流性消费的生意逻辑
经济观察报· 2025-12-04 11:30
潮流性消费商业特点是产品火爆与否很难预测,火爆持续的时 间又通常很短。这种性质的生意适合怎样的经营逻辑?有没有 办法提高爆款出现的概率?如何尽量延长一款IP的生命周期? 作者: 王高 张锐 封图:东方IC 在2025年的消费图景中,潮流性消费格外引人注目:泡泡玛特(POP MART)旗下LABUBU潮 玩引发全球抢购狂潮,线上店全线产品补货秒空,99元的盲盒在二手市场的溢价可以达10倍以 上。一款高131cm的薄荷色初代LABUBU潮玩,在拍卖会上卖出108万元的高价。 潮流性消费商业特点是产品火爆与否很难预测,火爆持续的时间又通常很短。这种性质的生意适合 怎样的经营逻辑?有没有办法提高爆款出现的概率?如何尽量延长一款IP的生命周期? 值得注意的是,潮流性生意的核心特性和痛点是需求的不确定性和不可持续性,这都决定了这种生 意的关键运营逻辑:在产品走红后,最大化"榨取"流行价值。这与经典品牌营销范式中"保护品 牌,避免过度开发"的思路截然不同。潮流性品牌的经营逻辑未必适用于传统品牌的经营。 泡泡玛特的潮流生意 潮流玩具简称潮玩,又称艺术玩具(Art Toy)或设计师玩具(Designer Toy),是一种基于特 ...
理想造AI眼镜:做人工智能附件,而不是消费电子产品
经济观察报· 2025-12-04 11:30
"理想到底能够为眼镜带来什么?带来我们的操作系统、语义 模型、端到端的软硬一体的能力,真的能够让产品更好。"范 皓宇说,理想是围绕AI去做产品,而不是做一款消费电子产 品。 作者:高飞昌 封图:图虫创意 理想汽车造了一款AI眼镜。12月3日,理想AI眼镜Livis正式发布,售价1999元起。12月31日前 下单,可享受15%政府补贴,到手价1699元起。在AI眼镜日渐成为一个全新风口的当下,作为汽 车制造商的理想加入其中,会给这一领域带来哪些改变? 当前,AI眼镜市场不断扩容。根据IDC数据,2025年上半年全球AI眼镜出货量达406.5万台,同比 增长64.2%。该机构预测,2025年全球AI眼镜出货量将达1451.8万台,中国市场为290.7万台; 2029年全球出货量突破4000万台,2024年—2029年复合年增长率为55.6%。 今年,Meta、百度、阿里、华为、小米、魅族等各大科技公司以及一些传统眼镜制造商,都发布 了AI眼镜产品,使这一赛道热度空前。有观点认为,AI眼镜将是AI时代的全新智能终端,甚至能够 取代手机。 理想汽车进入AI眼镜领域,与其企业战略转变相关。在理想汽车三季度财报电话会上, ...
谁偷走了华宸未来稳健添利基金两年的收益?
经济观察报· 2025-12-04 11:30
Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in the net value of the Huachen Future Stable Income Bond Fund contradicts its name, which implies low risk and steady growth, highlighting a misalignment between the fund's operational strategy and investor expectations [1][2][8]. Fund Performance - The Huachen Future Stable Income Bond Fund experienced a net value drop of over 7% within six trading days, nearly erasing two years of accumulated returns [2][4]. - From November 25 to December 2, 2025, the fund recorded consecutive negative returns of -0.06%, -0.08%, -1.77%, -3.56%, -1.48%, and -0.80%, totaling a cumulative decline exceeding 7% [4]. - The fund's total return from November 26, 2023, to November 26, 2025, was reported at 6.53%, indicating that the recent decline significantly impacted its performance [4]. Market Context - The timing of the fund's net value drop coincided with a sharp decline in the prices of several domestic bonds issued by Vanke, leading to speculation about potential credit risks [4][5]. - The fund's management acknowledged that certain bonds in the portfolio were significantly affected by market conditions, contributing to the net value decline [5]. Fund Characteristics - Established in August 2013, the Huachen Future Stable Income Bond Fund is one of only two public fund products from Huachen Future Fund Company, with a scale of only 189 million yuan as of the third quarter [7]. - The fund's holder structure is highly retail-oriented, which can amplify the impact of price fluctuations on net value due to the small scale [7][8]. Redemption Pressure - The fund's significant net value drop occurred amid a broader trend of redemptions in the bond fund market, with over 470 billion units of bond funds reduced in the third quarter alone [12]. - The redemption trend is attributed to a combination of factors, including market shifts, performance adjustments, and changes in policy expectations [13][14]. Industry Implications - The incident with the Huachen Future Stable Income Bond Fund reflects broader vulnerabilities in the fixed income sector, particularly regarding risk management and liquidity [14]. - The fund's situation serves as a reminder for the industry to reassess risk control capabilities, liquidity management, and investor suitability [14].
上市公司造假并被强制退市:钱氏姐弟资本局
经济观察报· 2025-12-03 14:47
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in the stock price of Jiangsu Wuzhong Pharmaceutical Development Co., Ltd. (referred to as "*ST Suwu"), which has lost 90% of its market value since the involvement of the Qian siblings, with the stock price dropping from 11 yuan to 1.24 yuan by November 25, 2025 [1][15]. Summary by Sections Company Control and Ownership - In February 2018, Qian Ying, the sister of Qian Qunshan, acquired control of Jiangsu Wuzhong through a share transfer transaction valued at approximately 707 million yuan, gaining a 17.01% stake in the company [5]. - Prior to this acquisition, Jiangsu Wuzhong had nine actual controllers, and the company faced an investigation by the CSRC, which concluded with no wrongdoing found [5]. Financial Misconduct and Penalties - On November 25, 2025, the CSRC issued an administrative penalty against *ST Suwu for concealing the actual controller, financial fraud, and fund occupation, resulting in a fine of 10 million yuan for the company and 1.5 million yuan for Qian Qunshan [2][21]. - The company was found to have inflated revenue and profits through non-commercial trade activities, with inflated revenues of 4.95 billion yuan in 2020, 4.69 billion yuan in 2021, and so on, leading to significant penalties [18]. - By the end of 2023, related parties had occupied 1.693 billion yuan of *ST Suwu's funds, nearly exhausting the company's net assets [19]. Strategic Changes and Business Direction - After Qian Ying took control, Jiangsu Wuzhong shifted its strategy to focus on "pharmaceuticals + medical aesthetics," establishing a medical aesthetics division and investing in related products [14]. - Despite ongoing investigations and financial issues, Qian Qunshan continued to promote the company's medical aesthetics products, claiming significant sales figures [15]. Future Implications - The article highlights the potential for criminal charges against the Qian siblings if their actions are deemed to constitute embezzlement, as seen in similar cases where individuals were prosecuted for misappropriating company funds [22].
当传统巨头收缩战线:比亚迪的研发“豪赌”为何赢了?
经济观察报· 2025-12-03 14:22
当传统巨头收缩战线之际,比亚迪以"研发投入连续13年超净 利润"的长期主义,驱动销量跻身全球前五,诠释"技术为 王"的逆袭逻辑。 作者:薛致以 封图:图片资料室 近日,11月产销数据出炉。作为年末冲销量的晴雨表,11月销量是车企全年销量冲刺期的效果显 现,其中中国新能源汽车的月度成绩单再次成为焦点。龙头比亚迪11月单月新能源汽车销量达48 万辆,创下年内新高;此外上汽集团、吉利汽车的新能源汽车销量以及新势力品牌的销量均有不俗 的表现。 在全球汽车产业格局重塑的当下,中国新能源汽车正以前所未有的速度崛起,在全球市场渗透率不 断提升。在这股行业浪潮中,比亚迪的表现尤为突出,其不仅月度销量持续保持绝对领先优势,前 11个月累计销量更是达到418.2万辆,同比增长11.30%,继续保持行业榜首地位。 值得关注的是,在11月产销数据发布前夕,国内外车企相继发布三季度财报。不难发现,以比亚 迪为首的中国车企与全球巨头相比出现业绩分化现象,呈现出"东升西落"的态势。一边是外资巨 头增长乏力,甚至有车企出现利润腰斩,一边是中国车企普遍业绩向好,这不禁让人发问,为 何"比亚迪们"能够逆势保持平稳发展? 具体来看,财报中一组差异 ...
CT、核磁集采“大杀价” 部分跨国企业已失守
经济观察报· 2025-12-03 14:22
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing price war in the medical equipment industry due to centralized procurement, leading to significant price drops and market share losses for some multinational companies [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The centralized procurement of medical devices began in 2020 in provinces like Anhui and Fujian, but has recently expanded nationwide, affecting market dynamics significantly [2][13]. - Prices for various medical devices have plummeted, with examples including digital X-ray (DR) prices dropping from over 1 million to 200,000, and CT prices falling to historical lows of 600,000 [3][11]. - The procurement process has become more competitive, with many projects being canceled or re-tendered due to complaints from companies, indicating a turbulent market environment [9][10]. Group 2: Impact on Distributors - Medical equipment distributors are facing severe challenges, with many considering transitioning to other business areas due to shrinking profit margins from centralized procurement [4][5]. - The profit margins for distributors have drastically decreased, with potential earnings from projects dropping from millions to tens of thousands [5][6]. - It is estimated that only about 10% of medical equipment distributors will remain in the industry post-procurement, primarily focusing on after-sales services [6][7]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Domestic companies are gaining market share at the expense of smaller multinational firms, with companies like Wandong Medical achieving high bid rates in centralized procurement [10][11]. - The article highlights that while domestic companies are performing well, the overall profit margins in the industry are under pressure due to the aggressive pricing strategies adopted during centralized procurement [11][12]. Group 4: Future Trends - The trend of centralized procurement is expected to continue expanding across provinces, with most regions likely to implement such measures in the next 3 to 5 years [15][16]. - The article suggests that centralized procurement for medical devices is simpler to implement compared to pharmaceuticals due to fewer product categories and more straightforward technical specifications [15][16].
从这届火爆“黑五”透视,进口消费转向“小众淘新”
经济观察报· 2025-12-03 14:22
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the shift in Chinese consumer behavior during the "Black Friday" shopping event, emphasizing a growing preference for niche and unique imported brands rather than traditional big-name products. This trend reflects a broader transformation in the Chinese market, which remains a fertile ground for global brand growth [1][18]. Group 1: Consumer Behavior Trends - Chinese consumers are increasingly inclined to seek out niche products during "Black Friday," moving away from bulk purchasing of well-known brands seen during "Double 11" [3][4]. - The demand for imported goods is not shrinking but rather diversifying, with consumers showing a preference for unique and specialized products that cater to specific needs [5][10]. - Data from Tmall International indicates that over 1,700 imported brands saw transaction volumes double during the "Black Friday" period, showcasing the robust demand for imported goods [6][9]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The "Black Friday" event has evolved into a platform for global niche brands to enter the Chinese market, with many brands experiencing significant sales growth [12][13]. - The article notes that the overall import consumption market in China is transitioning from a focus on volume to a focus on quality and personalization, driven by consumer interests and lifestyle upgrades [19][21]. - Tmall International's global live streaming initiative during "Black Friday" allowed over 2 million products to reach Chinese consumers, enhancing brand exposure and trust [16][17]. Group 3: Opportunities for Brands - The shift towards niche products presents a golden opportunity for global brands to tap into the Chinese market, as consumers are willing to invest in differentiated and personalized offerings [10][12]. - Brands like REVOLVE have reported over 500% growth in transactions during "Black Friday," indicating a successful strategy in engaging new customers and building long-term brand loyalty in China [16][17]. - The article emphasizes that understanding and adapting to the new consumer demands is crucial for brands aiming to succeed in the evolving Chinese market landscape [21].
美国智库的台湾问题“土方子”,管不了用
经济观察报· 2025-12-03 14:22
因为这家智库2023年、2024年、2025年连续三年发布了关于台海冲突的兵棋推演,其中2024年 推演的是核武器(核威慑),2025年推演的是围困。 结合其他美国智库的表现,笔者大致点评如下: 第一,面对台湾(问题),美国智库的学者普遍有一种圣母和救世主心态。 美国智库先是开出了武力介入和经济制裁两剂猛药,随着中国 实力的增长,相对温柔的外交斡旋"药方"也出现了。归根到 底,解决台湾问题,中国有自己的策略和节奏,来自美国的干 预,不会实质影响两岸的统一进程。美国智库的推演,不过是 隔靴搔痒而已。 作者:王义伟 封图:视觉中国 对于多家美国智库近些年陆续发布的针对台海局势的兵棋推演(wargame),笔者一直兴趣不 大。原因在于这些智库里那些在其母国土生土长的所谓中国问题专家,对于现代中国的政治、经 济、军事以及中国历史、国共历史、台湾问题由来等基础性知识的储备太薄弱了。基础不牢,发布 的报告就漏洞百出。 之所以还想谈谈这个话题,是因为这几天日本和台湾媒体在炒一盘冷饭。 这盘冷饭就是美国智库战略与国际研究中心(CSIS,下称"战国中心")于2023年1月发布的一份 报告,题目是"下一场战争的第一场战役:中国入 ...