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今年起,HPV疫苗将能免费接种了
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 06:15
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has included the HPV vaccine in the national immunization program, allowing eligible girls to receive the vaccine for free starting this year [2][3]. Group 1: National Immunization Program Expansion - This marks the first expansion of the national immunization program in 18 years, with the HPV vaccine being prioritized for inclusion [2]. - Since 2007, the immunization program has maintained a structure of "fourteen vaccines for fifteen diseases," with no substantial additions in vaccine types over the years [2]. - As of 2024, 147 out of 194 WHO member countries have included the HPV vaccine in their immunization programs [2]. Group 2: HPV Vaccine and Cervical Cancer - HPV is a common virus primarily transmitted through sexual contact, with persistent infection of 14 high-risk HPV types being the main cause of cervical cancer [2]. - Vaccination can prevent at least 70% of cervical cancer cases, which is critical given the rising incidence and mortality rates of cervical cancer in China [2]. - In 2022, approximately 150,000 new cervical cancer cases and about 56,000 deaths were reported in China [2]. Group 3: Local Government Initiatives - Several local governments have already initiated free HPV vaccination programs for eligible girls, with Guangdong province being one of the earliest adopters since 2022 [3][4]. - The program in Guangdong requires eligible girls to meet specific criteria, including being under 14 years old and having no prior HPV vaccination [4]. - Over 17 provinces in China have implemented similar free vaccination projects, although the distribution of these programs is uneven, with fewer initiatives in central and northeastern regions compared to eastern and southern areas [4]. Group 4: Market Impact - Following the announcement of the HPV vaccine's inclusion in the immunization program, stock prices of several HPV vaccine manufacturers rose [5]. - WanTai BioPharmaceuticals saw a 2.52% increase in stock price, while Watson Bio and Zhifei Biological also experienced stock price increases of 1.22% and 1.71%, respectively [5].
云圣智能朱胜利:工业巡检或是低空经济“第一桶金”
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 05:28
Core Viewpoint - The low-altitude economy is flourishing, driven by essential markets such as urban governance and industrial inspection, with drones becoming crucial tools in these areas, particularly in power grid inspections, which represent the industry's "first bucket of gold" [1][3][14]. Urban Governance - The company has initiated projects like the "Integrated Urban Governance Project" in Dongshan County, which is considered a national benchmark for county-level low-altitude governance [5][14]. - The drone systems deployed in urban governance can monitor tourist flows, facility conditions, and environmental changes, enhancing safety and efficiency in city management [6][14]. Industrial Inspection - Drones are increasingly utilized in industrial inspections, especially for power grid monitoring, marking a significant revenue opportunity for the industry [3][14]. - The company has developed a fully autonomous drone inspection system that addresses challenges in battery replacement and operational efficiency, allowing drones to autonomously return to charging stations when low on power [2][11]. Development Phases - The company has undergone four revolutionary phases in drone technology, focusing on achieving true autonomy, integrating machine, network, and cloud solutions, and developing a comprehensive low-altitude network [9][11][12]. - The first revolution involved making drones fully autonomous, eliminating the need for human operators, while the second revolution focused on providing integrated solutions that combine hardware and software [10][11]. Market Outlook - The low-altitude economy is expected to see significant growth over the next 5 to 10 years, with infrastructure development being a key focus [5][9]. - The company is optimistic about the future of the low-altitude economy, anticipating increased demand across various sectors, including emergency response and traffic management [15][16].
彭飞:各国通过国内法满足最低税标准的大方向已明确
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 03:33
彭飞认为,事实上,特朗普这届政府已调整前任税收政策,通 过 "全球无形资产低税收入"(GILTI)相关规则,实质推行最 低税实践,且这一做法预计在其后续任期内延续。 作者:杜涛 封图:图虫创意 "中国并非 OECD(经济合作与发展组织)正式成员,目前以观察员身份参与相关进程,对支柱一 (针对大型跨国企业征税权重新分配)、支柱二(全球最低企业税率)长期持观望态度。一方面, BEPS(税基侵蚀和利润转移)初期针对的是美资企业,与中资企业关联度较低,但随着拼多多等 中资平台企业'出海',这一情况正逐渐变化。" "另一方面,从国内法角度看,中国现行法定企业所得税率为 25%,高新技术企业、西部地区的鼓 励类产业,以及高新技术服务企业的最低税率已降至15%,基本满足全球最低税标准,因此暂无须 额外出台政策即可符合要求。"9月9日,澳洲会计师公会2023—2025年度中国华北区委员会会长彭 飞在回答经济观察报提问时表示。 在实施进程上,部分东南亚国家、部分欧洲国家及中国香港地区,已率先推进支柱二落地。以中国 香港为例,其法定标准税率为 16.5%,但因存在"离岸收入与在岸收入分离"的特殊情况,部分企业 实际税率可能低于标 ...
煤电效益面临多重挑战,专家建议充分发挥其调节性作用
经济观察报· 2025-09-10 14:31
Core Viewpoint - The coal power industry is facing a peak in demand, with coal power generation expected to reach its maximum capacity this year, potentially capped at 5.55 trillion kilowatt-hours [2][3]. Group 1: Coal Power Generation Trends - In the first half of this year, national coal power generation has declined, with a reported generation of 294 million kilowatt-hours in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year decrease of 2.41% [1][5]. - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, coal power generation growth rates were around 1% in 2022 and 2024, compared to approximately 9% in 2021 and 7% in 2023 [1][5]. - The report indicates that the slowdown in overall electricity consumption growth and the rapid increase in renewable energy installations are primary factors contributing to the peak in coal power generation [3][4]. Group 2: Future Projections and Economic Factors - The report anticipates that during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, electricity consumption growth will gradually converge with GDP growth rates, potentially even falling below GDP growth [3]. - It is projected that the increase in electricity consumption during the "15th Five-Year Plan" could still reach between 1.4 trillion to 1.7 trillion kilowatt-hours, which can be met by renewable energy installations [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Policy Changes - The introduction of market reforms for renewable energy pricing has led to a decrease in the revenue for solar power, with prices dropping from approximately 0.355 yuan per kilowatt-hour in 2022 to 0.325 yuan per kilowatt-hour in the first half of this year [6]. - Coal power plants are now required to participate more actively in market trading, with their pricing mechanisms still based on a "base price + fluctuations" model [7]. - The average coal consumption for power generation has significantly decreased, reaching 300.7 grams of standard coal per kilowatt-hour by June this year, a reduction of over 10 grams since 2016 [10]. Group 4: Role of Coal Power in the Energy Transition - As the penetration of renewable energy increases, coal power is evolving into a more flexible and regulatory power source to manage the intermittency and volatility of renewable energy [11]. - Experts suggest that the auxiliary service functions of coal power should be valued higher in the market, as the cost of integrating a larger share of low-cost renewable energy will require additional investments [11].
手握减肥“药王”也顶不住,诺和诺德裁员近万人
经济观察报· 2025-09-10 13:21
Core Viewpoint - Novo Nordisk is undergoing significant layoffs, with plans to cut approximately 9,000 jobs, representing about 11% of its global workforce, as part of a transformation strategy to streamline operations and focus on growth opportunities in diabetes and obesity treatment [2][3][4]. Group 1: Layoff Details - Novo Nordisk announced layoffs of around 9,000 employees, aiming to save 8 billion Danish kroner (approximately 8.94 billion RMB) annually by the end of 2026 [2]. - The layoffs are part of a broader transformation plan due to recent growth slowdowns, with the company adjusting its organizational structure to enhance decision-making speed [3][4]. - The company currently employs 78,400 people globally, with over half of the layoffs expected to come from its headquarters in Denmark [3]. Group 2: Financial Impact - Novo Nordisk has revised its 2025 operating profit growth forecast down to 4%-10%, from a previous estimate of 10%-16% [3]. - The transformation plan is expected to incur a one-time restructuring cost of 8 billion Danish kroner, which will negatively impact the operating profit growth forecast by approximately 6 percentage points [5]. Group 3: Market Context - The company has seen a slowdown in growth, particularly in key markets like the U.S. and China, where sales of its diabetes drug, semaglutide, have declined by about 11% in the first half of 2025 [4]. - Novo Nordisk's semaglutide generated $16.5 billion in revenue in the first half of 2025, surpassing the previous top-selling drug, K drug, which earned $15.2 billion [4].
当豪华回归本质,捷豹路虎的“偏执”与坚持
经济观察报· 2025-09-10 09:17
Core Viewpoint - Jaguar Land Rover is committed to creating a new modern luxury experience for Chinese consumers throughout the entire lifecycle of their products, emphasizing quality as the foundation for success in a competitive market [2][27]. Group 1: Quality and Recognition - In the 2025 China Initial Quality Study (IQS) by J.D. Power, Jaguar Land Rover achieved first place among luxury brands, with Land Rover scoring 208 PP100, and the Range Rover leading the large luxury SUV segment [2][21]. - The recognition from authoritative rankings reflects consumer confidence in Jaguar Land Rover, showcasing the results of collaboration between the team and dealer partners [2][4]. Group 2: Localization and Innovation - The success of Jaguar Land Rover is attributed to its ability to integrate global standards with localized capabilities, particularly through its Changshu manufacturing base, which has become a hub for innovation tailored to the Chinese market [4][6]. - The collaboration with Chery Automobile to create the Freelander brand exemplifies a new model of localization that goes beyond traditional joint ventures, focusing on mutual benefit and deep cooperation [6][10]. Group 3: User-Centric Approach - Jaguar Land Rover's research and development are driven by real user needs, ensuring that quality is not just an end result but a starting point throughout the product lifecycle [6][10]. - The company emphasizes understanding user experiences in various environments, ensuring that vehicles maintain reliability under diverse conditions [8][10]. Group 4: New Modern Luxury - High quality serves as the foundation for Jaguar Land Rover's "new modern luxury" strategy, which integrates technology, sustainability, and personalization while respecting the brand's heritage [12][18]. - The introduction of innovative materials and designs, such as the collaboration with ECONYL for recycling waste materials, aligns with the values of today's high-end consumers [12][13]. Group 5: Customer Experience and Service - Jaguar Land Rover has consistently ranked high in customer satisfaction, with a score of 775 in the 2025 J.D. Power Sales Satisfaction Index, marking the highest score for luxury brands in five years [23][25]. - The company has enhanced service offerings through digital platforms, allowing users to track orders and manage vehicle services conveniently, reflecting a commitment to improving service transparency and diversity [23][25]. Group 6: Market Performance - Jaguar Land Rover maintains a leading position in the luxury SUV market, with the Range Rover being the best-selling model in the segment priced above 1.5 million yuan, showing a 10% year-on-year sales increase in the first half of the year [21][27]. - The brand's resilience in fluctuating market conditions is attributed to its precise response to high-end consumer demands in design, performance, and quality [21][27].
固态电池上车倒计时 上游设备企业先迎来“好日子”
经济观察报· 2025-09-10 09:17
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese solid-state battery industry is transitioning from laboratory validation to industrialization, with several companies achieving mass production or vehicle application in semi-solid-state batteries, while research and pilot testing for all-solid-state batteries are accelerating [1][5]. Industry Overview - The solid-state battery concept has gained traction, with the Wind Solid-State Battery Index rising over 11% since September. Notable stock performances include a 60% increase for Xian Dao Intelligent and over 30% for companies like Shanghai Xiba and Tian Ci Materials [2]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation have issued a plan to support foundational research in solid-state batteries through key national R&D programs [2]. - Market data indicates that leading equipment companies have reported new signed and backlog orders exceeding 30 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 70% to 80% [2][3]. Technological Developments - The lithium battery industry is entering a structural recovery phase, with a surge in demand for new technologies such as solid-state batteries and high-voltage lithium iron phosphate [3]. - Major battery manufacturers are investing heavily in solid-state battery production, with CATL planning 10-15 GWh capacity by 2025 and BYD focusing on sulfide routes for new platforms by 2026 [3][4]. Vehicle Manufacturers' Progress - Dongfeng Motor has implemented semi-solid-state battery installations and is set to mass-produce solid-state batteries with energy densities of 350 Wh/kg [4]. - SAIC Motor's MG4 model has integrated semi-solid-state batteries, while GAC Group is developing solid-state batteries with energy densities exceeding 350 Wh/kg, expected to be installed in vehicles by 2026 [4]. Market Challenges - Concerns have been raised regarding the lack of ideal solid electrolyte materials, leading to significant uncertainties in technology routes. Many companies are opting for semi-solid-state batteries as a transitional solution, which may hinder the development of all-solid-state battery technologies [5]. - The industry faces challenges in collaboration and policy direction, with a need for enhanced foundational research and coordinated breakthroughs in key materials and processes to achieve high-quality development in the solid-state battery sector [5].
涨势未止?黄金年内涨幅已达40%
经济观察报· 2025-09-10 09:17
Core Viewpoint - International gold prices have entered a new round of increases, becoming increasingly "unattainable" as they reach historical highs, driven by multiple factors including expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, weakened dollar confidence, and ongoing geopolitical risks [2][4][5]. Price Trends - Since the beginning of the year, international spot gold prices have risen from $2,625 per ounce to over $3,600 per ounce, with a cumulative increase of over $1,000 per ounce and a year-to-date rise of 40% [2][4]. - On September 9, spot gold prices reached a record high of $3,674.78 per ounce, with domestic gold concept stocks experiencing significant gains [2][4]. - The retail price of physical gold has also seen a notable increase, with prices for gold jewelry surpassing historical peaks, reaching over 1,070 RMB per gram [2]. Factors Driving Gold Prices - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to three main factors: expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, concerns over the Fed's independence affecting the dollar index, and rising risk aversion due to fiscal and political pressures [5]. - The downward revision of U.S. non-farm employment data has intensified market bets on multiple rate cuts by the Fed within the year [5]. - Global central banks have been increasing their gold reserves, providing long-term support for gold prices. As of August, China's central bank's gold reserves increased to 74.02 million ounces, marking the tenth consecutive month of increases [6]. Long-term Outlook - Many institutions believe that the upward trend in gold prices is likely to continue in the medium to long term, driven by the weakening of the dollar-based credit monetary system and ongoing geopolitical instability [8]. - Analysts predict that gold prices could reach $3,800 per ounce in the near future, with significant support from ongoing central bank purchases and rising demand for safe-haven assets [8][9]. - Major financial institutions have raised their target prices for gold, with forecasts suggesting prices could reach between $4,000 and $5,000 per ounce by 2026 under extreme risk scenarios [9]. Investment Strategy - Given the low correlation of gold with other major asset classes, it is recommended that investors consider gold as a fundamental component of their asset allocation, employing strategies such as dollar-cost averaging or buying on dips [9].
柯文哲的白纸,画不上蓝色的蓝图
经济观察报· 2025-09-10 09:17
在台湾民众普遍、朴素的观感中,民众党及其支持者(小草) 确实是一个相对单纯、干净的群体,国民党则散发着浓浓的酱 缸味。这两个政党,对外展示的形象完全不同,对外散发的味 道也完全不同,他们之间的合作不可能亲密无间。 作者: 王义伟 封图:本报资料室 一年的牢狱之灾,能让一个政治人物脱胎换骨、蜕变成另外一个人吗? 台湾民众党前主席柯文哲给出的答案是:不能。 9月8日,在经历了363天的羁押禁见之后,柯文哲走出台北土城看守所。面对蜂拥而至的支持者(小草)和媒体记者,柯文哲表演了一番极其猛烈的火 力输出。他的发言可用四句话概括:我是冤枉的,民众党是干净的,检察官太坏了,瞧瞧赖清德都干了些什么事儿。 之后,柯文哲带着太太回家找妈。在老妈家门口,柯文哲夫妇均着白衣,柯文哲越过火炉、一脚(左脚)踏破火炉后面的瓦片,进到屋里吃了一碗猪脚 面线。 这一套仪式下来,标志着那个特立独行、口无遮拦的柯文哲,重新回到台湾政坛。 接下来,柯文哲以及民众党面临的最大问题,就是如何处理和国民党的关系。 2026年,台湾将举行县市长选举;2028年,台湾将举行大选。台湾社会、台湾学界、台湾政坛各大阵营普遍认为,这两场重要的选举,民众党如果想 ...
8月PPI降幅收窄但CPI再现负增长 专家建议通过“股市”提振消费者信心
经济观察报· 2025-09-10 08:35
Group 1 - The current economic environment shows weak domestic demand and external pressures, necessitating measures to increase residents' income, such as enhancing property income and improving social security levels to boost consumer confidence [1][10] - In August, the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous month, marking the first contraction since March [2] - The narrowing of the PPI decline is attributed to lower comparative base effects from the previous year and the implementation of more proactive macro policies, leading to positive price changes in certain industries [2][4] Group 2 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.4% year-on-year in August, marking the fifth instance of negative growth in the first eight months of the year [5][8] - The decline in CPI is primarily due to a high comparative base from the previous year and lower-than-seasonal increases in food prices, with significant drops in pork, fresh vegetables, and eggs [8][9] - Experts indicate that the core issue affecting CPI is weak domestic demand, and there is a need for strategies to increase residents' income to stimulate consumption [10]