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被退货逼疯的女装店家,选择了超长预售期
经济观察报· 2025-12-20 03:15
Core Viewpoint - The clothing industry is facing a decline, prompting merchants to control production through pre-sales as a strategy to "exchange time for survival space" [1][7]. Group 1: Pre-sale Dynamics - Pre-sale is defined as the sale of products before they officially enter the market, a practice that has evolved since its introduction by platforms like Taobao in 2012 [5]. - In 2024, major platforms like Taobao and JD.com announced the cancellation of pre-sales during the "618" shopping festival, but reintroduced them during "Double 11," indicating a fluctuating reliance on this sales model [5]. - Merchants like "DuoDuo" utilize pre-sales to manage inventory effectively, often only producing a fraction of the total orders based on expected return rates [6][11]. Group 2: Consumer Experience and Challenges - Consumers have expressed frustration with pre-sales, citing issues such as indefinite shipping times, order cancellations, and quality concerns [4][18]. - A survey indicated that 78% of respondents believe pre-sale periods are lengthening, with 80% stating that extended pre-sales diminish their shopping experience [18]. - The average return rate for some merchants has escalated, with "A Jie" reporting an increase from 50% to 80% in return rates, largely attributed to consumer behavior changes [15]. Group 3: Production and Supply Chain Implications - The overall scale of the clothing industry is shrinking, with significant declines in revenue and profit reported by major companies [7]. - Manufacturers face challenges with production timelines, as frequent changes in orders and styles lead to increased costs and inefficiencies [20][22]. - The shift towards smaller order quantities has resulted in higher production costs, complicating the supply chain for manufacturers [22]. Group 4: Regulatory and Market Trends - New regulations from platforms aim to shorten pre-sale periods to improve consumer experience, yet complexities in the industry mean that not all products can be treated the same [24]. - Some merchants are exploiting category misclassifications to extend pre-sale periods, indicating a potential loophole in the regulatory framework [25]. - Experts suggest that while pre-sales can lead to inefficiencies, they also represent a shift towards demand-driven production, which could be beneficial if managed properly [25].
分文未获 董秘敲诈上市公司录得有期徒刑7年
经济观察报· 2025-12-19 14:18
Core Viewpoint - The case of Huang Jiegen, former Secretary of the Board of Jiangsu Ankao Smart Electric Co., Ltd., has drawn significant attention from the capital market, resulting in a seven-year prison sentence for attempted extortion, despite no financial gain being achieved [1][2][11]. Group 1: Case Background - Jiangsu Ankao Smart Electric Co., Ltd. was established on May 20, 2004, and is headquartered in Liyang, Jiangsu, specializing in high and ultra-high voltage cable connectors [6]. - Huang Jiegen, born in April 1984, joined Ankao Smart Electric in August 2021 as the Secretary of the Board, but was arrested in August 2022 for alleged extortion [6][7]. - The company went public on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on February 28, 2017 [6]. Group 2: Legal Proceedings - The Liyang People's Procuratorate accused Huang of modifying a performance agreement to include a clause that significantly increased the likelihood of the company's default, which he later used to demand compensation [7][17]. - Huang was arrested on August 26, 2022, after the company's chairman, Chen Xiaoling, reported him to the police [8]. - The court found that Huang's actions constituted attempted extortion, leading to a seven-year prison sentence and a fine of 100,000 yuan [11][18]. Group 3: Court Findings - The court determined that Huang's modifications to the performance agreement were made without proper disclosure to Chen, thus constituting a fraudulent act [15][17]. - The court calculated the attempted extortion amount based on the stock price of 42.79 yuan per share for the 21.06 million shares Huang sought, totaling approximately 3.2165 million yuan [17]. - The court acknowledged that Huang's actions were deemed attempted extortion due to external factors preventing the crime from being completed, allowing for a reduced sentence [18]. Group 4: Appeals and Outcomes - Huang appealed the initial ruling, claiming that the performance agreement required multiple approvals and could not have been unilaterally modified [20]. - The second-instance court upheld the original ruling without a hearing, stating that Huang's appeal lacked new evidence and was not valid [21].
银价上涨带动光伏组件涨价,业内预计明年价格继续上涨
经济观察报· 2025-12-19 12:43
Core Viewpoint - The rising silver prices have made silver paste the largest cost component in photovoltaic (PV) modules, surpassing silicon materials and glass [1][6]. Group 1: Cost Structure of Photovoltaic Modules - As of December 2025, silver paste is projected to account for 17% of the total cost of PV modules, while silicon materials and glass will account for 14% and 13%, respectively [1][6]. - The recent surge in silver prices has prompted leading PV manufacturers to increase module prices, with Longi Green Energy raising prices by 0.04 CNY/W for N-type modules and 0.02 CNY/W for BC modules [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Price Adjustments - The price adjustments come during a year-end sales push, where manufacturers initially aimed to increase sales volume by lowering prices, but the unexpected rise in silver prices forced an earlier price hike [3][4]. - The current market price for PV modules is approximately 0.75 CNY/W following these adjustments [3]. Group 3: Industry Responses to Silver Price Increases - Manufacturers are attempting to mitigate the impact of rising silver prices by optimizing the silver content in silver paste and exploring alternative materials, although significant reductions in silver usage are limited due to quality assurance [6]. - The development of silver-coated copper technology is ongoing but not yet ready for large-scale application [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Recommendations - Analysts suggest that companies should enhance supply chain management to reduce the impact of raw material price fluctuations and consider entering the component recycling business to lower costs [7]. - Predictions indicate that PV module prices may continue to rise, potentially reaching between 0.88 CNY/W and 0.99 CNY/W next year, driven by the need for profitability across the supply chain [7].
他设计的手机卖了1.5亿台|我们的四分之一世纪
经济观察报· 2025-12-19 11:16
Core Insights - The article highlights the journey of a prominent industrial designer, Shi Xiaoxi, who transitioned from designing mobile phones at Nokia to exploring broader design fields, emphasizing the importance of material and manufacturing processes in design [3][4][19]. Group 1: Background and Early Career - Shi Xiaoxi, at 44 years old, is recognized for his passion for design rather than electronic products, having been one of the youngest design experts at Nokia, where he led the design of the Nokia 1200, which sold over 150 million units globally [3][9]. - In 2006, Nokia was at its peak, with annual sales exceeding 400 million units and a market share of 40%, making it a dominant player in the mobile phone industry [8][16]. - The Nokia 1200 project was initially seen as a low-budget, low-resource endeavor, yet it became one of Nokia's most successful products, illustrating the significance of design choices in product success [9][10]. Group 2: Transition to Smart Devices - The launch of the iPhone in 2007 marked a pivotal shift in the mobile phone industry, but Nokia's management was overconfident in their existing capabilities, leading to missed opportunities in the smartphone market [13][15]. - Despite efforts to innovate, Nokia struggled with internal processes and decision-making, ultimately leading to a significant decline in market share and a loss of 5.2 billion euros in 2013 [16][17]. Group 3: Design Philosophy and Evolution - Shi Xiaoxi's design philosophy evolved to prioritize material-driven and manufacturing-first approaches, moving away from purely aesthetic considerations to focus on practical and feasible designs [21][22]. - His experience in various manufacturing environments reshaped his understanding of design, emphasizing the importance of collaboration with manufacturers to achieve innovative outcomes [21][22]. Group 4: Current Endeavors and Future Outlook - After leaving Nokia, Shi Xiaoxi continued to work in design, focusing on diverse projects, including a minimalist smart bracelet that won multiple design awards, showcasing his commitment to simplicity and functionality [19][20]. - He believes that the future of design lies in understanding manufacturing processes and trends, advocating for a broad perspective that incorporates insights from various fields [21][23].
证券业人事大变局:年内54家券商“换帅”,年轻面孔走上台前
经济观察报· 2025-12-19 10:15
Group 1 - The core theme of the article is the significant leadership changes in the securities industry, with over one-third of the 151 brokerages experiencing management transitions since 2025 [2][3] - A total of 54 brokerages have undergone leadership changes, including 29 changes in chairpersons and 25 in general managers or presidents [2] - The reasons for these changes include retirements of senior executives, the influx of younger leaders, and shifts due to mergers and acquisitions [2][3] Group 2 - Notable leadership transitions include the appointment of Huang Jianhai as the new general manager of Dongfang Caifu, while Zheng Likun will focus on managing its subsidiary [2] - The ongoing reshuffling includes significant changes at Oriental Securities, where Chairman Gong Dexiong resigned ahead of schedule, and speculation surrounds the future of Huatai Securities' leadership [3] - The trend of "airborne" executives from major shareholders is prevalent, as seen in the appointments at Guotai Haitong Securities and Zheshang Securities following acquisitions [5][6] Group 3 - Smaller brokerages are increasingly adopting a "talent acquisition" strategy, seeking experienced professionals to enhance their competitive edge [9] - Recent recruitment efforts by smaller firms include the hiring of executives with extensive industry experience, indicating a shift towards a more dynamic management approach [9][10] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with smaller firms needing to differentiate themselves while contending with the dominance of larger brokerages [10]
“激光雷达芯片第一案”再起波澜,灵明光子反诉速腾聚创侵犯专利
经济观察报· 2025-12-19 10:15
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing legal disputes between Suoteng Juchuang and Lingming Photon revolve around allegations of technology secret infringement and patent rights, highlighting the competitive tensions in the laser radar and semiconductor industry [2][3][5]. Group 1: Legal Disputes - Suoteng Juchuang filed a lawsuit against Lingming Photon in November, claiming infringement of its self-developed SPAD chip technology secrets [2][5]. - Lingming Photon responded by filing a lawsuit regarding alleged patent infringements related to Suoteng Juchuang's E1 series products [3][4]. - Suoteng Juchuang stated that the core of the dispute is its accusation against Lingming Photon for infringing its technology secrets, while Lingming Photon has not provided a substantial response to these allegations [5][6]. Group 2: Company Backgrounds - Suoteng Juchuang, established in 2014 and headquartered in Shenzhen, is a leading player in the laser radar market with a global market share ranking first, serving over 3,400 clients in robotics and more than 350 automotive manufacturers [5][6]. - Lingming Photon, founded in 2018, specializes in chip design, particularly in SPAD dToF sensor chips, which are critical components in laser radar technology [5][6]. Group 3: Legal Proceedings and Responses - Suoteng Juchuang has initiated legal actions to counter Lingming Photon’s patent lawsuit and plans to utilize legal avenues such as patent invalidation [4][7]. - Both companies have filed multiple lawsuits against each other, with Suoteng Juchuang also pursuing claims of commercial defamation against Lingming Photon for its public statements related to the lawsuits [7].
凯文・凯利:意外之美|我们的四分之一世纪
经济观察报· 2025-12-19 10:15
Core Viewpoint - The future of China is seen as a potential surpassing of the United States, akin to Japan's rise in the 1980s, with the main risks stemming from internal errors rather than external constraints [1][15]. Group 1: Unexpected Developments - The rapid proliferation of smartphones has redefined industry landscapes, integrating multiple functionalities into a single device, which exemplifies a "non-linear explosion" driven by technological convergence [5][6]. - The slow development of VR technology contrasts sharply with the smartphone boom, highlighting the importance of system dependencies and the need for a comprehensive sensory experience for true immersion [8][9]. - The emergence of large language models (LLMs) represents an unexpected breakthrough in AI, showcasing the potential for logic and reasoning through language, diverging from traditional AI paths [11][12]. Group 2: Future Outlook for China - Key drivers for China's growth in the next 25 years include the default option of open-source technology, the confidence of tech innovators moving beyond imitation, and a cultural shift led by returnees embracing globalization [16]. - The exploration spirit that embraces "unexpected beauty" is deemed crucial for fostering innovation and overcoming challenges [17].
答好“数字金融”大文章,邮储银行走出新路子
经济观察报· 2025-12-19 10:15
站在"十四五"规划收官与"十五五"谋篇的关键节点,邮储银 行以一场技术与服务的变革,展示了国有大行如何以科技创新 驱动高质量发展。 作者:柏炎 封图:邮储银行 12月10日,中国邮政储蓄银行(下称"邮储银行")召开2025年数字金融大会暨手机银行11.0发 布会,以"开启数字邮储 i∞纪元"为主题,正式发布"AI2ALL"数字生态。 站在"十四五"规划收官与"十五五"谋篇的关键节点,邮储银行以一场技术与服务的变革,展示了 国有大行如何以科技创新驱动高质量发展。 邮储银行行长刘建军在大会上指出,对于银行业来说,技术始终是第一生产力,人工智能正在推动 着传统金融模式加速解构,全新服务范式全面涌现。此次发布的"AI2ALL"数字生态,核心在于通 过内部全员提效与外部全域触达的双向赋能,构建起智能高效、融合创新、普惠共享的数字金融新 坐标。 筑牢"科技自强"基石 激活高质量发展内生动能 "十四五"时期,面对金融科技自立自强的国家战略要求,邮储银行选择了一条艰难但正确的道 路,全面推进核心系统自主研发,这不仅是技术的迭代,更是大行底座的重塑。 银行核心系统承载着存款、贷款、支付、账户管理等最基本的金融业务,其稳定性与安 ...
助贷新规后有助贷平台转向分期商城 “高价卖货+回收变现”藏套路
经济观察报· 2025-12-19 09:02
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising trend of installment shopping malls, highlighting their pricing strategies and the impact of regulatory changes on the lending industry [1][2][3]. Group 1: Installment Shopping Malls - Installment shopping malls generally sell products at a price that is over 30% higher than the market price, combined with a service fee rate of up to 24% per annum, which forms their primary profit model [1][3]. - Some installment malls have established a closed-loop system from shopping to recycling, allowing users to purchase high-priced items and then sell them back to recycling partners at a discount of 50% to 70% [1][3]. Group 2: Impact of Regulatory Changes - The implementation of new regulations by the National Financial Regulatory Administration has significantly affected the lending business, with some companies reporting a reduction in loan volumes by half [2]. - Smaller platforms, particularly those with outstanding receivables below 10 billion yuan, are facing severe challenges, leading to layoffs of 20% to 30% in some cases [2]. Group 3: Transition of Lending Companies - Many small lending companies are transitioning to installment shopping mall models, targeting customers who are unable to obtain credit from major platforms or are familiar with the installment shopping "tricks" [2][3]. - A specific example is the "Peach More" installment mall, which is operated by a third-party lending company and aims to provide a one-stop borrowing platform with various financial services [5][7]. Group 4: Pricing Discrepancies - The article provides examples of significant price discrepancies between products sold on installment malls and their prices on major e-commerce platforms, with some items being sold at prices that are more than double their market value [6][10]. - For instance, an Apple iPad Air is priced at 8,156 yuan on the installment mall, while it is available for 4,199 yuan on JD.com, indicating a substantial markup [6]. Group 5: Consumer Complaints - There are numerous complaints against installment malls like "Peach More" and "Little Elephant Premium," with issues ranging from high product prices to aggressive debt collection practices [14][15]. - The complaints highlight a pattern of users feeling misled about the true costs of products and the terms of repayment, with some users reporting that they were charged significantly more than the market price for items [14][15].
谁在像送鲜奶一样送奶粉?
经济观察报· 2025-12-19 08:47
"28天新鲜购",让奶粉罐有了温度:从智慧牧场的奶源管 理,到智能工厂的柔性生产,再到"一盘货"的渠道创新,最终 抵达消费者的精准多元的服务,伊利构建了一个数智化驱动的 完整服务生态。 作者:王刚 封图:图片资料室 深夜,河北保定的李女士点开手机里的监控软件——又到了孩子吃夜奶的时间。屏幕里,老人正为 孙子冲泡奶粉,罐子就敞开着放在桌上。她的心微微一紧。离家在外打工,孩子的吃奶问题成了她 最揪心的牵挂:爷爷奶奶喂的量够不够?奶粉是不是快过期了?老人记不记得添辅食? 在与会员的日常交流中,伊利婴配粉的工作人员捕捉到了李女士的焦虑。她的孩子自出生吃的就是 伊利奶粉,她也成为了伊利会员。李女士逐渐发现伊利的服务不止于产品:即便是妈妈群里的寻常 吐槽,也能得到工作人员的悉心回应。 很快,李女士收到了反馈:伊利旗下三款奶粉提供"28天新鲜购"服务,能确保送到手的奶粉生产 日期在28天以内。伊利的客户服务会精准跟踪用户的需求,在奶粉将尽时提醒补货、在需要添加 辅食时给予指导、在遇到喂养问题时答疑解惑……李女士紧绷的弦,终于松下来了。 事实上,李女士的焦虑并非个例,它隐藏在无数客服追问和直播间留言里——"能不能给我货架上 ...