经济观察报
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A股持续升温 外资机构路演重拾热度
经济观察报· 2025-09-12 04:41
Core Viewpoint - The interest of foreign investors in A-shares is increasing, with a notable shift from "Derating" (value depreciation) to "Rerating" (value reassessment) observed since late 2024, driven by factors such as the recovery of the Chinese economy and advancements in artificial intelligence [3][10][11]. Group 1: Foreign Investment Trends - Since 2021, foreign interest in A-shares has declined, but this trend is reversing with more roadshows planned for 2024 [2][5]. - In September, major foreign institutions like UBS and Morgan Stanley hosted investment summits in Shenzhen, attracting a significant number of global investors interested in A-share opportunities [2][4]. - Foreign investors are increasingly focusing on long-term investments in China, with many already holding Chinese assets or showing renewed interest [2][5]. Group 2: Economic Factors and Opportunities - The recovery of the Chinese economy is expected to improve corporate profits, with a notable uptick anticipated in Q1 2025 [5][6]. - The development of the artificial intelligence sector in China is a key area of interest for foreign investors, particularly regarding its impact on traditional industries [3][10]. - The "反内卷" (anti-involution) policies are being closely monitored by foreign investors, as they could significantly affect corporate profitability and market dynamics [15]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Investor Sentiment - The allocation of foreign investment in A-shares remains low at 7.4%, indicating substantial room for growth compared to other Asian markets [13]. - Recent data shows that global hedge funds have increased their net purchases of Chinese assets, reaching a two-year high in August [13][14]. - Concerns about excessive competition in sectors like e-commerce have led to cautious sentiment among foreign investors, particularly regarding internet companies [14][15].
创新药半场倒车?已有17家市值创历史新高,37家仍破发
经济观察报· 2025-09-12 04:19
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant fluctuations in stock prices of innovative pharmaceutical companies, highlighting both the successes and failures in the market, particularly focusing on the performance of companies that reached historical highs in 2025 and those that have experienced substantial declines. Group 1: Performance of Innovative Pharmaceutical Companies - As of September 11, 2025, 90% of Hong Kong and STAR Market innovative pharmaceutical companies have seen significant stock price increases since the beginning of the year [6] - A total of 17 companies reached historical highs in stock price and market capitalization in 2025, with notable companies including BeiGene (688235.SH) and Innovent Biologics (01801.HK) [7][10] - Among these 17 companies, 12 have entered or are about to enter the commercialization phase, establishing stable revenue sources [7] Group 2: Key Events and Financial Performance - BeiGene and Innovent Biologics achieved their first profits in the first half of 2025, with BeiGene reporting a net profit of approximately 450 million yuan, a significant turnaround from a loss of 2.877 billion yuan in the same period last year [10] - Innovent Biologics reported a net profit of 834 million yuan, benefiting from the growth of PD-1 and other oncology drugs in the domestic market [10] - Other companies like Kintor Pharmaceutical (06990.HK) and Rongchang Biologics (688331.SH) have also made significant progress through BD transactions and drug approvals [11] Group 3: Declining Companies and Market Challenges - Despite the successes, 50% of innovative pharmaceutical companies still have stock prices below their initial offering prices, with 31 out of 55 Hong Kong 18A innovative pharmaceutical stocks experiencing declines [14][15] - Companies like Tengsheng Bo Pharmaceutical (02137.HK) and Akeso (09939.HK) have seen significant drops in stock prices, with some losing over 90% of their value since their IPOs [20][21] - The article notes that many of these declining companies faced challenges such as failed drug trials or adverse market conditions, leading to substantial losses [20][21] Group 4: Recent Trends and Future Outlook - Three companies, including Tongyuan Kang Pharmaceutical (02410.HK), have seen stock price declines of 70% or more since the beginning of the year, indicating ongoing volatility in the sector [25] - The article emphasizes the importance of BD transactions and successful drug approvals as key factors for recovery and growth in the innovative pharmaceutical market [12][22]
大众点评迎来对手高德
经济观察报· 2025-09-12 01:46
摆脱单纯的工具属性,利用国民级出行应用的绝对流量优势, 成为连接线下消费的入口和枢纽,高德早就在本地生活服务领 域积蓄了野心。 作者: 钱玉娟 封图:本报资料室 今年6月,在外卖大战正酣时,原本在北京望京高德地图总部工作的产品经理李刚,和20多位同事一起被秘密调往杭州西溪阿里全球总部园区。他们进 驻到此前一直未启用的C4楼,开始了全封闭办公。 在长达三个月的时间里,只有阿里巴巴集团和高德地图的管理层知道这个团队,并为他们配备了独立安保、额外门禁和专人送餐。 这种程度的保密项目,在阿里巴巴集团内部也极为罕见。 9月10日,在阿里巴巴成立26周年当天,这个保密项目揭晓,由高德地图CEO郭宁直接领导的团队,完全从0到1的开发,推出了基于用户行为产生的榜 单"高德扫街榜"。该产品已于9日晚在高德地图App内上线,并被放在首页的突出位置。 "高德扫街榜不是一个流量榜,也不是一个广告榜,更不是一个网红榜,它永不商业化。"郭宁称,在用户多维度的真实行为数据基础上,高德还首次引 入了支付宝芝麻信用体系,结合用户信用等级为可信评价加权,进一步过滤虚假评价,确保榜单真实可信。 在本地生活的到店服务场景中,美团旗下大众点评的"必吃 ...
对话出门问问李志飞:人类需要一个AI“影子”
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 11:52
Core Viewpoint - The company has adapted its strategy to embrace uncertainty by shedding historical burdens and continuously innovating in response to new environments [1][9]. Group 1: Product Development and Market Position - The AI product TicNote, a card-sized AI recording device, sold 30,000 units within four months, achieving a high rating of 4.8 on Amazon and ranking first in its category on JD.com [2]. - The company shifted its focus to software development, allocating 70% of its resources to software while collaborating with partners for hardware production [2][4]. - The company has transitioned from hardware-centric projects to software innovation, leading to the development of the AIGC product "Magic Sound Workshop," which has significantly increased revenue [5][6]. Group 2: Strategic Decisions and Organizational Changes - In 2019, the company attempted to develop recording products but faced challenges due to the lack of advanced natural language processing capabilities [19]. - The decision to abandon the "Sequence Monkey" model iteration was made in response to intense competition and the realization that third-party models were more cost-effective [11][12]. - The company has streamlined operations by cutting unprofitable projects and reducing organizational complexity, which has improved efficiency and brought it closer to breakeven [13][14]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Industry Context - The company aims to position TicNote as an entry-level product for AI agents, catering to users who need assistance with recording and summarizing information [7][20]. - The competitive landscape includes major players like Alibaba, which has launched similar AI recording devices, indicating a crowded market [8][21]. - The company recognizes the importance of adapting to user needs and technological advancements while navigating the uncertainties of the AI industry [23][25].
社会不能一味逃避风险
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 11:16
"不作为"当然是"零风险",但这种以"消极"换取的安全,既 不利于个体权益的保障,也不利于社会的整体进步。某种程度 上,这是把困难推给了个体。 作者:言咏 封图:图虫创意 广东省机械技师学院在报到当日劝退一名已被录取的自闭症学生,理由是担心影响其他普通学生, 引发舆论关注。9月9日,该校在微信公号发文回应称,将对这名学生进行评估,如具备能力可入 学。 我们更应该摸索的是,如何在积极作为的前提下减少风险、化解风险、共担风险。规避风险是每个 人理性且利己的选择,不管这个人是像房东这样的个体还是政府部门、教育系统的决策者。因此, 先要让他们有动力去承担一些潜在的风险。这有赖于两点。第一,对"不作为式"避险零容忍。第 二,对已经尽到看护责任但仍没有避免的安全事故多一些宽容。上海2024年审结了一起校园安全 纠纷案件:两名学生在体育课上因争抢足球发生碰撞,其中一名经鉴定构成十级伤残。法院的判决 是,学校尽到了教育管理责任,不具有过错,不应承担赔偿责任。这样的判例可以卸下管理者的包 袱,让他们敢于作为,而不是一味地逃避风险。 我们不能站在道德制高点的角度,完全以人道主义为标杆,要求校方必须接纳特需学生。简单粗暴 应对不了 ...
打通“天地人”三网 雍禾医疗毛发赛道三年“铺路”
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 11:16
三年磨一剑,毛发医疗行业未来已经在缓缓揭幕,探索的周期 之后,雍禾的路会更好走。 作者: 于梅 封图:图片资料室 2022年-2025年,三年间经济变化带来的体感让每家中国企业的经营者刻骨铭心,有些企业在起伏中一蹶不振,有些企业穿越波涛。一蹶不振者固然 值得惋惜,穿越波涛者又做对了什么? 作为 毛发 领域的领军企业,雍禾医疗近日交出上半年业绩单, 财报显示,上半年,雍禾医疗实现营收约为 8.6亿元,毛利实现约5.5亿元,较去年同 期增长3.9%。在毛利率从58.8%上升至63.9%的基础上,公司成功扭亏为盈,实现净利润约为2790万元,去年同期则亏损约为1.4亿元。 翻阅财报, "精细化运营"这样熟悉话语背后又是雍禾医疗怎样的三年? 在雍禾医疗 CGO(首席增长官)任剑看来,雍禾用三年时间磨清了自身优势,磨出了精细化运营措施,磨通了向指数级增长机会的正确道路。 磨出自身优势 当原本顺遂的发展趋势发生改变,雍禾管理层最先做的是重新审视自身的优势,以及自身的优势如何去配适新的变化, " 只有发挥自己比较竞争优势 的时候,才能去做商业 。 "任剑说。 雍禾最核心的优势是规模,迄今为止,雍禾医疗仍然是中国门店数量最多 ...
疫苗降到蜜雪冰城价 企业集体亏损
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 11:16
Core Viewpoint - The vaccine industry is experiencing significant challenges, including price wars, vaccine hesitancy, and intense competition, leading to substantial declines in revenue and profits for major companies [4][10][19]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first half of 2025, the overall vaccine revenue for Chinese listed companies decreased by 60% year-on-year, with net profits dropping by 113% [4]. - Major companies like Zhifei Biological and Wantai Biological reported their first half-year losses since going public, with net profits declining by 127% and 155% respectively [4][12]. - Only six out of 17 listed vaccine companies achieved profitability, with the highest profit being 1.22 billion yuan from Chengda Biological [4]. Group 2: Price Wars - The price of flu vaccines has significantly dropped, with some prices reaching as low as 5.5 yuan per dose, marking a new low for public flu vaccine prices [7]. - The price competition has extended beyond flu vaccines to include HPV, shingles, and pneumonia vaccines, with prices for HPV vaccines dropping dramatically [8][9]. - Wantai Biological's revenue fell by 38% to 8.44 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, primarily due to aggressive price competition [9]. Group 3: Vaccine Hesitancy - Vaccine hesitancy has become a significant issue, with many individuals expressing doubts about vaccine efficacy, particularly for non-mandatory vaccines like HPV and flu vaccines [13][15]. - The average flu vaccine coverage in China remains below 4%, significantly lower than in developed countries where it is around 50% [15]. - Factors contributing to vaccine hesitancy include dissatisfaction with COVID-19 vaccine outcomes and the spread of misinformation [15]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The vaccine market is characterized by increasing competition and product homogeneity, leading to a challenging environment for companies [18][19]. - Experts suggest that the current state of the vaccine industry resembles a "deep winter," with potential for consolidation and elimination of weaker players [19]. - The long-term outlook for the vaccine industry remains uncertain, with expectations of a prolonged period of challenges lasting five to ten years [19].
“牛市”氛围下的两张“面孔”
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 11:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential of undervalued Chinese technology assets as an investment alternative amidst declining confidence in the US dollar and government bonds, highlighting a structural revaluation and a healthy slow bull market in China's A-share market [1][10]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The current market is characterized by two distinct faces: a "broad fundamental" driven by macro expectations, policy signals, technological trends, and valuation expansion, and a "narrow fundamental" that reflects corporate earnings and industry performance yet to fully materialize [3][4][19]. - A-share market experienced a significant rebound after a brief adjustment, with major indices showing positive performance and high trading volumes, indicating investor interest and market resilience [5][6]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Investors are adopting a defensive yet optimistic approach, balancing profit-taking with regular investments to accumulate positions, reflecting a strategy of "taking profits at highs and investing at lows" [8][19]. - The market's current style is frequently shifting, with themes like AI and gold gaining traction, while traditional indicators such as PPI and housing loans remain low, suggesting a complex interplay of factors influencing investment decisions [8][10]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - Recent macroeconomic data shows structural differentiation, with PPI declining and CPI showing signs of recovery, indicating a gradual restoration of domestic demand [17][18]. - Exports have demonstrated resilience, particularly in non-US markets, which may provide a counterbalance to potential pressures in the fourth quarter due to seasonal factors [18]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The ongoing market dynamics suggest that while valuation expansion is the main theme, the sustainability of this trend hinges on the realization of corporate earnings, with potential risks if third-quarter reports do not meet expectations [19][20]. - The article emphasizes that emotional market sentiment can ignite trends, but actual earnings are necessary to sustain them, marking a critical juncture for the A-share market [20].
小红书接住了“泼天的流量”和独家约谈警告
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 09:13
9月11日,据网信中国消息,近日,国家网信办指导上海市网信办,对小红书平台采取约谈、责令 限期改正、警告、从严处理责任人等处罚,处罚事由为"小红书平台未落实信息内容管理主体责 任,在热搜榜单重点环节频繁呈现多条炒作明星个人动态和琐事类词条等不良信息内容,破坏网络 生态"。 千瓜数据显示,8月,明星赵露思的小红书账号涨粉431.18万,是今年小红书单月涨粉数量最多的 博主。通常情况下,小红书账号排行榜第一的博主,单月粉丝增量一般在60万—130万量级。赵露 思在小红书的活跃,无疑代表了泼天流量的来临。 8月底,小红书月活跃用户迈过3.5亿大关,但和微博、抖音等 平台相比,小红书长期被指其社区生态迄今没有培养出绝对顶 流博主。 作者: 陈月芹 封图:图虫创意 8月,赵露思与经纪公司公开决裂并决定注销微博账号。之后,赵露思转战小红书,开启连续多日 的直播。到小红书直播的第二日,8月5日18时,赵露思小红书账号的粉丝数突破2000万,小红书 官方发出祝贺"赵露思成为小红书首位粉丝数突破2000万的创作者"的海报和图文。赵露思相关词 条频现热搜榜,高峰时,"小红书热点"榜上20条热点中有8条与她相关,小红书的首页信息流 ...
70家创新药上市公司 3家靠自身造血盈利
经济观察报· 2025-09-11 08:19
Core Viewpoint - The innovative drug sector in China is experiencing a recovery, with over half of the companies having commercialized innovative drugs, despite many still not being profitable [1][2][12]. Group 1: Market Overview - As of the first half of 2025, 70 innovative drug companies have been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the STAR Market, with 15 companies achieving profitability, including notable firms like BeiGene and Innovent Biologics [2][19]. - Among the 70 companies, 55 are still operating at a loss, representing approximately 79% of the total [6][19]. - Of the 55 unprofitable companies, 28 have commercialized innovative drug products, indicating that profitability may be achievable for some in the near future [4][12]. Group 2: Profitability Analysis - Only 3 companies are generating profits primarily from innovative drug sales, namely BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and Elysium [23][22]. - The majority of profitable companies rely on other revenue streams, such as biosimilars or licensing agreements, rather than solely on innovative drug sales [23][25]. - For instance, Elysium achieved significant revenue from its lung cancer drug, while companies like WuXi Biologics and Hengrui Medicine have seen profitability through biosimilars and licensing deals [24][25]. Group 3: Company Performance - BeiGene reported a total revenue of 175.18 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 4.5 billion yuan, largely driven by its innovative drugs [28]. - Innovent Biologics achieved revenue of 59.53 billion yuan, with 88.76% coming from product sales, reflecting strong performance in the oncology sector [29]. - Elysium's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 23.73 billion yuan, with over 99% derived from innovative drug sales, showcasing its successful product launch [23][20].